2012 President: General Election
62% Obama (D), 31% Romney (R)
64% Obama (D), 26% Gingrich (R)
63% Obama (D), 28% Santorum (R)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e0ca86dd-f10f-4eab-bfd9-83cc40996df1

PPP-MD+WI GOP Primary:

MD:
ROMNEY: 52%
Santorum: 27%
Gingrich: 10%
Paul: 09%

WI:
ROMNEY: 43%
SANTORUM: 36%
PAUL: 11%
GINGRICH: 08%

Romney's starting to have some success with groups that have generally been key components of Santorum's base over the last two months. For instance he leads with Tea Party voters in both states, 43-34 in Maryland and 46-38 in Wisconsin. He's also becoming more competitive with Evangelical voters, leading 43-36 with them in Maryland and trailing only47-35 with them in Wisconsin. In the states where Santorum's been victorious he's generally won Evangelicals by a much wider margin than that.

The only thing keeping Santorum competitive in Wisconsin is the state's open primary. He actually trails Romney 50-36 with Republican voters but 40% of those saying they're likely to vote are either independents or Democrats and with those folks Santorum leads 37-32, making it more competitive overall. If those non-Republicans don't actually end up turning out Romney can expect to win by a wider margin.

Among voters who decided 'in the last few days,' 9% of the Wisconsin electorate, Santorum leads Romney 52-27. That makes you wonder whether Paul Ryan's late endorsement of Romney was much of a game changer.
Newt Gingrich might not be ready to leave the GOP race for President, but the party base is ready for him to. In Wisconsin 63% of voters think he should drop out, while 27% think he should continue on. In Maryland it's 57% who believe he should drop out to 33% who believe he should stay in.

Other notes from these states:

-In the Wisconsin Senate primary Tommy Thompson leads with 38% to 25% for Mark Neumann and 18% for Jeff Fitzgerald. Those numbers are relatively unchanged from a month ago when Thompson led with 39% and Neumann and Fitzgerald both coming in at 22%. It's the same old story- more Wisconsin Republicans would like someone else to be the nominee than Thompson but as long as there are two strong alternatives he's likely to sneak by in the primary with less than 50% of the vote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/04/romney-headed-for-double-win-tuesday.html

another Bullsh**t poll

So am I take it that any poll which doesn't point towards the outcome you desire is going to be bullsh**t?

Quote
none of these swing-states will have a different of over 4% in the end-if so it would be a landslide and blowout victory for the Obumbler!!!

Its President Obama to you

Democratic Hawk

you`re blind!! Really sorry to say that!!

take a look about the last 50 years a nd show me a swing state go this big for an incubent without being a landslide. NEVER HAPPEN!!  there`s is no way that FL VA NC OH PA WI NH NV CO won`t be close. Each party can win there from now. One way I would like one way not! BUT
it will be defenetily close there by a 4%magin every other poll is from a dream world!
Let`s take OH which goes like the nation if Obama would lead there 51/ 42  that would mean he wins nationally with over 55%- a lot can change but from now that wouldn`t happen!
I have big problems  with one result for so many states. you can`t compare NV FL VA and NH very different!!! FL NC will go red first if not in no way will OH or PA or one of th others

another Bullsh**t poll

none of these swing-states will have a different of over 4% in the end-if so it would be a landslide and blowout victory for the Obumbler!!!

US SENATE – MASSACHUSETTS (UNH)
Scott Brown (R-inc) 37%
Elizabeth Warren (D) 35%


PRESIDENT – MASSACHUSETTS (UNH)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 49%
Mitt Romney (R) 33%

President Obama remains slightly ahead of the Republican front-runners in combined polling of the key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying finds that Obama picks up 47% of the vote to Romney’s 44%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. That's little changed from a week ago when Obama led Romney 47% to 42%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/core_four_states/election_2012_the_core_four_states

Looks likePA is more winnable for Romney as OH

it`s not possible that in the Senate race both candidates are tied and for the presidential level it`s a blowout. But OH is defenetily in play and now doubt Obama leads there at the moment. The R`s of the state are hurting there and OH is a twin of the national level so it`s 50/50 today I think!

I see nothing but good news in these polls. Before the R`s even united behind a candidate and started full force into Obama he’s already in the 40`s in these states.

 Obama won so narrowly in 2008 so it` impossible with his negative numbers there and on the national stage to be ahead that far. he he wins FL in Nov he would win within 1% like last time and it he would be over 50% approval in every single poll on national stage. It`s a left university poll so what!

Looks likePA is more winnable for Romney as OH

it`s not possible that in the Senate race both candidates are tied and for the presidential level it`s a blowout. But OH is defenetily in play and now doubt Obama leads there at the moment. The R`s of the state are hurting there and OH is a twin of the national level so it`s 50/50 today I think!

If Rasmussen shows this numbers in Sept after the conventions I would be worry but not now

I see nothing but good news in these polls. Before the R`s even united behind a candidate and started full force into Obama he’s already in the 40`s in these states.

Here`s my weekly electoral map:

GOP Primary: National: Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum are the frontrunners now!

Romney:38.4% Santorum:27.2% Gingrich:13.2% Paul:12.0%

Romney :AK AZ CA CT FL HI ID IL MA MD ME MI NH NJ NV NY OH OR RI SD UT VA VT WA WY

Gingrich:GA KY MT NE NM SC WV

Santorum:AL CO IA IN LA MN MO MS NC ND OK PA TN TX WI

IA Caucus: Jan.3:
RS24.6% MR24.5% RP21.5% NG13.3% RP010.3% MB05.0% JH00.6%   25 Delegates
NH Primary: Jan.10:
MR39.3% RP22.9% JH16.9% NG09.4% RS09.4% RP00.7%    12 Delegates
SC Primary: Jan.21: NG40.4% MR27.9% RS17.0% RP13.0%    25 Delegates
FL Primary: Jan.31: MR46.4% NG31.9% RS13.3% RP07.0%    50 Delegates
NV Primary: Feb.04:   MR50.0% NG21.1% RP18.7% RS09.9%    28 Delegates
ME Primary: Feb.04-11: MR:39.2% RP:35.7% RS17.7% NG:06.3% 24 Delegates   
Co Caucus: Feb.07:   RS40.2% MR:34.9% NG:12.8% RP:11.8%    36 Delegates
MN Primary: Feb.07:   RS44.8% RP27.2% MR16.9% NG10.7% 40 Delegates   
MO Primary: Feb.07:   RS55.2% MR25.3% RP12.2%    00 Delegates
AZ Primary: Feb.28:   MR47.3% RS26.6% NG16.2% RP08.5%    29 Delegates
MI Primary: Feb.28:   MR41.1% RS37.9% RP11.6% NG06.5% 30 Delegates
WY Caucus: Feb.29:   MR39.0%   RS31.9% RP20.8% NG07.8%    29 Delegates   
WA Caucus: Mar.3:   MR37.6% RP24.8% RS23.8% NG10.3%    43Delegates
AK Caucus: Mar.6:   MR32.6% RS29% RP24.0% NG14.2%    27 Delegates
GA Primary: Mar.6:   NG47.2% MR25.9% RS19.6% RP:06.5%    76 Delegates
ID Caucus: Mar.6:   MR63.2% RP17.4% RS17.1% NG02.2%    32 Delegates
MA Primary: Mar.6:   MR:72.1% RP:12.1% RS09.6% NG:04.0%    41 Delegates
ND Caucus: Mar.6:   RS39.7% RP28.1% MR23.7% NG08.5%    28 Delegates
OH Primary: Mar.6:   MR38.4% RS37.4% NG14.8% RP09.4%    66 Delegates
OK Primary: Mar.6:   RS33.8% MR28.0% NG27.5% RP09.6%    43 Delegates
TN Primary: Mar.6:   RS37.2% MR28.0% NG24.0% RP09.1% 58 Delegates
VT Primary: Mar.6:   MR40.3% RP25.1% RS23.4% NG08.3%    17 Delegates
VA Primary: Mar.6:   MR59.5% RP40.5%    49 Delegates
KS Caucus: Mar.10:   RS:51.2 MR:20.9% NG:14.4 RP:12.6%    40 Delegates
NMI: Mar.10:    MR:87.3% RS:06.3% RP:03.3% NG:03.2%    09 Delegates
VI Caucus : Mar.10 :   MR:34.4% RP:29.2% RS:06.0% NG:04.7%    09 Delegates
Guam Caucus : Mar. 10: MR:100%    09 Delegates
AL Primary: Mar. 13:   RS:34.5% NG29.3% MR29.0% RP05.0%    50 Delegates
HI Caucus: Mar.13:   MR45.4% RS25.3% RP:18.3% NG11.0%    20 Delegates
MS Primary: Mar.13:    RS32.9% NG31.3% MR30.3% RP04.4%    40 Delegates
AS Caucus: Mar.13:   MR:100%    09 Delegates
PR Primary: Mar.18:
MR:82.9% RS:08.0% BR:02.2% NG:02.0% FK:01.7% RP:01.2%    23 Delegates
IL Primary: Mar.20:   MR:46.7% RS:35.0% RP:09.3% NG:07.9%    54Delegates

LA Primary: Mar.24:    RS49.0% MR:26.7% NG:15.9% RP:06.2%    20 Delegates
MD Primary: Apr.03:   no polls but Romney should win here    37 Delegates
DC Primary: Apr.03:   no polls    but Romney should win here    19 Delegates   
Wi Primary: Apr.03:   MR36.8% NG07.6% RP10.1% RS31.4%    42 Deelegates


Delegates:   
Mitt Romney:    564 + 32 +2 = 598
Ron Paul:    068 + 01 = 069
RickSantorum:    288 + 02 = 290
Newt Gingrich:    140    + 03 = 143


If the presidential election would be held today a Generic GOP candidate could get 323EV! President Obama could get 205EV! 10EV from MN are a toss-up! A candidate needs 270EV to get elected!

Mitt Romney    53.2%    45.0%   Barack Hussein Obama
Rick Santorum    51.4%    47.7%   Barack Hussein Obama
Newt Gingrich    45.3%    51.5%   Barack Hussein Obama
Ron Paul    47.6%    47.8%   Barack Hussein Obama

If its Mitt Romney against Obama it would be:
290 EV   218 EV   030 EV toss-up

If its Newt Gingrich against Obama it would be:
149 EV   389 EV   000 EV toss-up

If its Ron Paul against Obama it would be:
215 EV   221 EV   102 EV   toss-up

If its Rick Santorum against Obama it would be:
176 EV   216 EV   146 EV   toss-up

Senate:
2010:   GOP: 47    DEM: 51   IND: 02   
2012:   GOP: 52 DEM: 45 IND: 01 -1   Toss-up: 2
Takeover   GOP:    MO MT NE VA WI   
DEM:
Toss-up:   CT FL


Governor:
2010:   GOP: 29    DEM: 20   IND: 01   
2012:   GOP: 33 DEM: 16 IND: 01 Toss-up: 1
Takeover   GOP:    MT NC WA WV
DEM:
Toss-up:   IN


President: Approve/Disapprove

Strong approve Obama:
CA: (53.2/41.0)
DC (85.0/15.0)   
DE:(56.6/43.5)
HI (59.2/36.7)
MA (56.0/38.2)   
MD (54.4/41.6)
NY (65.1/29.3)
VT (54.3/37.3)

Lean approve Obama:   
CT:(52.8/43.3)
IL: (51.9/42.2)
MI (50.5/43.4)
RI (51.4/41.5)
NJ: (50.6/43.0)
WA (50.2/44.9)
WI: (49.9/44.

Weak approve Obama:


Strong disapprove :   
AL (59.9/39.0)
AK (59.8/38.
AZ (54.7/41.0)
AR (63.7/33.2)
ID (71.0/29.0)
IN (56.0/40.5)
KS (62.2/36.0)
KY (58.0/35.9)
LA (59.7/39.0)
MS (57.8/39.7)
MT (58.6/38.
NE (60.6/37.3)
ND (60.7/38.7)
OK (66.4/33.4)
SD (58.1/40.7)
TN (52.4/39.6)
TX (52.8/39.7)
UT (69.3/28.1)
WV (63.3/29.1)
WY (68.9/30.4)

Lean disapprove:
CO (50.0/43.
FL (50.6/46.0)
GA (49.6/42.
MO (52.1/42.
NH (50.0/43.2)
NM: (49.7/44.3)
NV (50.1/43.9)
OH (49.5/43.6)
OR:(52.7/44.6)
PA (49.6/45.2)
SC (49.1/43.6)

Weak disapprove :
IA: (47.7/45.7)
ME:(47.7/47.0)
NC (50.2/47.0)
VA: (47.0/48.3)

Toss-up:
MN:( 46.9/46.9)

GOP Primary National:

Romney: 39%
Santorum: 31%
Gingrich: 13%
Paul: 13%

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2012/03/26/143153/poll-romney-still-close-to-obama.html

PRESIDENT – NATIONAL (Marist)
Obama: 48/47

Barack Obaam (D-inc) 46%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Rick Santorum 43%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 53%
Newt Gingrich (R) 38%


http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.mcclatchydc.com%2F2012%2F03%2F26%2F143153%2Fpoll-romney-still-close-to-obama.html&h=YAQGDHEOnAQEc5fxfVTcoKyx4-hxAs19qMpCPKaBk0DeLgg

In a hypothetical 2012 matchup, Mitt Romney leads President Obama by two percentage points, 45% to 43%. If Rick Santorum, the winner of yesterday's Louisiana Republican Primary, is the GOP nominee, the president leads 47% to 42%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

wheer is the link for the poll??

Harris Poll
National: in all swing states of `08(CO;FL;IN;IA;NV;NH;NC;OH;VA):

Obama/Romney: 47/39 48/41
Obama/Santorum: 48/38 51/35
Obama/Gingrich: 50/31 52/31
Obama/Paul: 45/36 40/39

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/NewsRoom/HarrisPolls/tabid/447/ctl/ReadCustom%20Default/mid/1508/ArticleId/992/Default.aspx

if MI is that kind of close then Obama never wins VA by 9%

PRESIDENT – NEW HAMPSHIRE (ARG)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Mitt Romney (R) 41%

Barack Obama (D-inc) 48%
Rick Santorum (R) 37%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

The ARG New Hampshire Poll shows that about 1/3 of Republicans would vote for Obama over Romney,but the Indies split 41/41% That ARG poll is pure trash.

LOL Obama winning Indies with 20%

 if true the whole thing is over-but sorry if the senate race is near a tied with thr R in the lead now way in hell Obama have a bigger lead over Romney as over McCain in 2008!

R`s won in 2009 the Gov and 2011 the state senat back-big! VA will be cloese no question and can go either way-it will be the oH of 2004 and FL of 2000 but I dont see break to a landslide for someone. If I must bet i would say it`s a tied now and in the end Romney will take VA 51/48

in 2008 Obama won the Indies with 01%. He will lose them this time

Obama at 40% approval and 45% willing to vote for him again

http://www.harrisinteractive.com/NewsRoom/HarrisPolls/tabid/447/ctl/ReadCustom%20Default/mid/1508/ArticleId/991/Default.aspx

PURPLE Poll: Obama: 46/50

CO NV NM:
Obama: 43/51
Obama/ Romney: 45/46
Obama/Santorum: 45/45

IA MN WI:
Obama: 48/47
Obama/Romney: 50/44
Obama/Santorum: 51/41

NH OH PA:
Obama: 44/51
Obama/Romney: 48/43
Obama Santorum: 48/43

FL NC VA:
Obama: 46/51
Obama/Romney: 47/46
Obama/Santorum: 49/42

http://www.purplestrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/MarchPurplePoll12.pdf

‎52% Obama (D), 36% Santorum (R)

MR45.7% NG13.0% RP:09.4% RS31.9%

PRESIDENT – NEVADA (Rasmussen)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 50%
Mitt Romney (R) 44%

President Obama is ahead of Rick Santorum by 16 points and leads Mitt Romney by six points in hypothetical Election 2012 matchups in Nevada.A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Obama earning 50% of the vote to Romney’s 44%.  Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, while two percent (2%) are not sure.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/nevada/election_2012_nevada_president

 I think VA will be the OH of 2004 and the fL of 2000 but no way that Obama is in a big lead like that!
Quinnipiac is usually pretty accurate,but this VA poll is a little odd.
1-It has many more Republicans voting for Obama then vice versa
2-Romney carries men by only 2 points,and
3- Virginians trust Obama on the economy by 3 points over Romney.
It was those clueless young people that turned out for Obama in 2008.
I think VA is a future solid blue state with all the govermentt workers in the state however I think it has 1-3 more cycles as a swing state before that happens!

Obama Trails Santorum, Leads Romney in Core Four States (FL, NC, OH, VA)

Santorum leads the president 48% to 44% in the so-called Core Four states.Obama remains ahead of Romney 46% to 42%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/core_four_states/election_2012_the_core_four_states

Zogby:
Romney: 30%
Santorum: 29%
Gingrich: 17%
Paul: 16%

http://www.ibopezogby.com/news/2012/03/08/65-believe-obama-likely-be-re-elected/