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June 29, 2015, 10:28:41 pm
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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Post 29,000 Part II on: Today at 03:10:22 pm
If God has a gender, what does he use His/Her's genitals for BTW?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: University of Arkansas: Hillary leads (Jeb) Bush, Rubio and Christie by 2:1 on: June 26, 2015, 10:53:11 am
Libertarians are bad enough with their beliefs. Now they have to take up the cause of bumping polls from two years ago for no reason?
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Supreme Court Issues Ruling On Same Sex Marriage Legalizing Marriage Nat. on: June 26, 2015, 09:27:27 am
I think everyone was assuming this was going to happen except for the most fringe right wingers, so no effect on the trajectory.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does the crowded primary work to the GOP's disadvantage? on: June 25, 2015, 09:13:15 pm
No because it ends up turning the debates into who can drop the most iconic one-liners to get the far-right crowd cheering. The Republicans are going to all come across as completely unprofessional and un-Presidential
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why is Bush so underrated? on: June 25, 2015, 09:10:55 pm
If anything, Bush is overrated.  His last name will sink him and he'd have a hard time getting the conservative base out to vote.  The base is sick and tired of holding their nose to vote for establishment candidates.

So they said in 2008 and 2012, but it was only partly true. They said that a few million Republicans stayed home due to Romney being on the ballot. Don't know if the reason was him being a Mormon, him being insanely rich, all of his gaffes (including 47%), or him not being conservative enough though. Probably a mix of them all. Don't know the numbers for McCain, but guess they were better than Romney's, as 2008 saw record turnout in most states.

This time is different.  Mainstream conservative bloggers are getting increasingly fed up with Republican establishment spinelessness. 

If the new normal for elections is winning by turning out the base, Bush will have a much harder time doing that that most of the other candidates in the Republican field.  He is anathema to the base on immigration and common core, among other things.

Conservatives better coalesce around a candidate soon then because if all Bush needs is 15% to win a state, he's going to rack up the delegates quickly.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: YouGov: Hillary leads Trump and Bush on: June 25, 2015, 04:51:44 pm
YouGov sucks, but the Spankening is on just as planned.

Trump's racist moronic announcement speech gave him a bump. Imagine what his racist moronic debate one-liners will get! Whoever the nominee is, Trump or otherwise, will be forced to stand there and agree with him.

The Republican nominee will have a 60% unfavorable rating with the public the day he locks up the nomination and be 100% dead in the water. No lame Hillary scandal can save him.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: SC-Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage: Bush ahead, Walker slides, Christie @ 0% on: June 25, 2015, 03:32:56 pm
Trumpmentum is real... jesus.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread (Part 2) on: June 25, 2015, 11:14:11 am

Papa Gilmore is postponing his retirement to fund his son's Presidential campaign. He wants to cut him off but Mama Gilmore won't let him.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA/NH-Bloomberg: Sanders gains, Clinton stronger in NH on: June 25, 2015, 09:59:04 am
2 to 1 victories in every state for Clinton-Sanders is about right. That's enough for him to earn delegates. He should just stay in for the long haul and have fun with it.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Obamacare faces challenge at the US Supreme Court (oral arguments today) on: June 25, 2015, 09:57:35 am
I look forward to the next ridiculous court case against this law.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why on earth is Trump in 2nd in New Hampshire? on: June 25, 2015, 09:13:19 am
Because he's leading nationwide.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: John Oliver condemns online harassment, the Internet responds predictably on: June 25, 2015, 09:09:11 am
He really meant well, but Sarkeesian, no matter what you think of her, is too toxic to use an example regardless.

This. Same goes for Wu. John Oliver chose possibly the worst two people for his examples he could have.

Do those even count as examples? They were on screen for such a short period of time I wouldn't even list them in imdb credits for this episode. It wasn't even an interview, it was a clip of another news piece by ABC.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: O'Malley Super PAC launches attack ad against Bernie Sanders on: June 25, 2015, 09:05:24 am
Ah so he's just a Hillary plant. His campaign makes more sense now. But lucky for Bernie, that ad is just as awkward and off-putting as Martin O'Malley.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who Do You Match on iSideWith? on: June 24, 2015, 11:03:40 pm
Did Sanders supporters write this quiz? What a bunch of softball questions and answers.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Webb vs Bush on: June 24, 2015, 09:03:16 pm


Webb (D) 47% 206 EVs
Bush (R) 51% 332 EVs
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 408 people are running for President so far on: June 24, 2015, 05:06:59 pm
I didn't know Mark B Graham was Blairite.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Opinion of Nate Silver on: June 24, 2015, 05:06:09 pm
There's a 5.8% chance of him being a FF and 94.2% chance of him being HP. Now, I am not calling him a HP. You cannot attack me for this because this is NOT an opinion nor is it a prediction.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 408 people are running for President so far on: June 24, 2015, 12:30:53 pm
I hope Pedro Torres jumps into the race soon.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Webb won't comment on the Confederate flag on: June 24, 2015, 12:24:14 pm
Isn't Webb still just for civil unions?

I'm surprised Wulfric isn't on his bandwagon.
20  General Politics / Economics / Re: Ventura: Eliminate Income Tax and Replace it with 15% National Sales Tax on: June 24, 2015, 12:17:36 pm
STOP WITH THE FACTS. WHY WON'T YOU LIBERAL PROGRESSIVES JUST SHUT UP AND ADMIT THIS IS A GOOD IDEA?!?!
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: KY (PPP) - Clinton under 60, #trumpmentum on: June 24, 2015, 11:40:09 am
Holy crap Trump is actually a first tier candidate.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Deus Naturae on: June 24, 2015, 11:25:11 am
The man believes in shadow inflation of asset prices. Obvious HP.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Have we talked about how this sudden removal of Confederate stuff is a ruse? on: June 24, 2015, 11:15:27 am
Other countries have faced similar dilemmas. Part of the reason the Dutch no longer use their historical blue-white-orange tricolor (their flag is red, white and blue) is that it became associated with Nazi collaborator groups during World War II.

Good post for the most part but I'm pretty sure the Dutch don't use orange on their flag because orange dye fades with sun exposure.
24  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Have we talked about how this sudden removal of Confederate stuff is a ruse? on: June 24, 2015, 10:42:36 am
It blows my mind that once again we have a horrific mass shooting, and while the rest of the world shakes their head at us again because they already know exactly what the problem is, our own solution is... to take down some flags?

While it probably won't do much about gun violence, I think getting rid of Confederate culture in this country is still a good thing. We need to stop being nice to rednecks and their garbage. We never should've abandoned the tone of Reconstruction in the South.

It's sad that it took this event to spring this series of events, but I'm not disappointed that it's happening.
25  General Politics / Economics / Re: Ventura: Eliminate Income Tax and Replace it with 15% National Sales Tax on: June 24, 2015, 09:24:41 am
Generally speaking, yes. That's the idea, but in the derogatory way you'd think. Who says that rich people don't spend all of their money? The idea is that they will buy lots of stuff, such as their 50 sports cars and 3 yachts, and therefore pay more in taxes. It would be preferable to have the sales tax be bracketed in terms of inherent value/necessity, but how would one go about determining that?

Is 50 sports cars and 3 yachts really the best use of our economic power? How many companies manufacture sports cars and yachts? Not many.

Or would we rather have it where as many Americans possible can afford to eat dinner at a restaurant and buy new clothes and furniture, which are the largest retail sectors of our economy and compose majority of the small businesses in this country?

To me, Option 2 sounds like it would create millions more jobs and triillions more GDP.
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