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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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101  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 US Congressional Election Results on: November 04, 2014, 10:06:21 pm
Unfortunately for the country, a GOP Senate means massive gridlock and possibly wasted time on impeachment.
102  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Here's what happens when you remind churches not to make political endorsements on: November 04, 2014, 12:35:53 pm
They should have named names of who sent the nasty notes. These sort of stories are pointless without calling people out directly by name.
103  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Standing by my prediction that democrats will gain seats in the senate tomorrow on: November 03, 2014, 08:21:32 pm
I don't go as far as suggesting a gain, but I do think we hold AK, CO and IA.
104  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AR: ORA: Pryor + 2 on: November 03, 2014, 04:21:29 pm
I'm hoping that Pryor can pull it out, mainly because Cotton comes off as kind of creepy. That's an unclean spirit right there.
105  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Survey USA: Final poll has Perdue+3 on: November 03, 2014, 12:22:29 pm
Some people do not realize when certain posters are just trying to push buttons.
106  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 03, 2014, 11:56:43 am
This thread is so hilarious. The shade is off the charts.
107  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Quinnipiac shows Gardner +2 on: November 03, 2014, 11:55:53 am
Udall is closing in fast on Cory. Great news.

No, the race isn't actually moving much at all.  But the polls are wobbling because nobody is sure of what the turnout will ultimately look like and because polls wobble.

Gardner is going to win this race. 

+7 to just +2 is movement, but whatever. We shall see who is correct tomorrow night.
108  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1 on: November 03, 2014, 10:17:39 am
A push poll asks negative questions before the horse race question and it has been stated above that the horse race question was asked before anything else.
109  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac: DEAD HEAT! on: November 03, 2014, 09:19:03 am
Bruce has the juice to defeat phony Joni.
110  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Quinnipiac shows Gardner +2 on: November 03, 2014, 09:08:29 am
Udall is closing in fast on Cory. Great news.
111  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 03, 2014, 12:23:01 am
Not a fan of unskewing the polls but no way Udall is losing if he wins indies by 11%. Of course he probably isn't but this poll seems R friendly with party ID and has too many Ds and Rs and not enough Is.

Could be that some regular Democratic voters are self-identifying as independent for some reason. With that said, I'm not writing Udall off just yet.
112  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Sullivan edges Begich in final PPP Alaska poll on: November 02, 2014, 11:39:31 pm
Begich can still win this, it's contingent on how good turnout is in the bush. PPP's last poll had Sullivan up by much more than this.
113  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:38:20 pm
Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.


The writing is on the wall here.

Why are you so confident in Land's chances? She's only leading by 2 points here.

Overconfidence, anyone? Look who turned out to be right on that one. You can't do a superior dance here, child.

Two can play at the 'search for the other person in our own archives' game:

This is the first real pickup opportunity Republicans are getting and it's R+14. Outside of the very few heavily Republican districts held by Democrats, there is nothing else out there for Republicans to gain.

And I would not count on there not being another shutdown, there is absolutely no guarantee that there won't be another showdown over something.

In any case...

Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.

Creepy your fascination with me. You mention my name in your posts more than anyone, how quaint.

...why exactly is it quaint?

That's sarcasm, it's actually not quaint, it's creepy. I edited the post with something more relevant anyway.

You didn't edit it, you deleted it. But you can't go back and delete an entire cycle's worth of failed predictions and hackishness. As for me, I've always been fascinated as to how the failure (or, in your case, numerous failures) of political candidates, which has no bearing on day-to-day lives, can send people going through the Five Stages of Grief. You're still on the first (which is denial).

Most of the Republican opportunities are in R+ districts, most of what YouGov shows Republicans winning are R+ seats. After 2010 and gerrymandering, there was never going to be another 60 seat gain.

In 2012, my predictions were correct, so even if I make some mistakes now, my record is still better than you, krazen or any of your other good friends on the board. Unlike Republicans, I don't have grief over elections, it's nice to win, but I'm not going to have a mental breakdown over it.
114  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ken Buck Margin of Victory on: November 02, 2014, 11:21:55 pm
A lot of points. Even he couldn't screw this one up.
115  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:16:27 pm
Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.

Creepy your fascination with me. You mention my name in your posts more than anyone, how quaint.

...why exactly is it quaint?

That's sarcasm, it's actually not quaint, it's creepy. I edited the post with something more relevant anyway.
116  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:12:03 pm
Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.


The writing is on the wall here.

Why are you so confident in Land's chances? She's only leading by 2 points here.

Overconfidence, anyone? Look who turned out to be right on that one. You can't do a superior dance here, child.
117  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:03:22 pm
No one can predict what the GOP will do next. Regardless, they can't pass a thing if they take the Senate, because they don't have 60 votes and there aren't nearly enough conservative Democrats left to get them over the line.
118  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 10:49:20 pm
Can someone please tell me what is so appealing about Gardner? Some people here have him running for President and he hasn't even been elected to the Senate yet.

He's perceived as a moderate.

This race is pretty much over, RIP Udall. Maybe we can get someone not as awful in 2020 who can win re-election.

His record will prove otherwise if he's elected (big if). He's not going to be President, anyway, but with a conservative record, that even further flushes that idea.
119  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 10:46:10 pm
Can someone please tell me what is so appealing about Gardner? Some people here have him running for President and he hasn't even been elected to the Senate yet.
120  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IL - PPP: Durbin +10 on: November 02, 2014, 08:34:49 pm
krazen, phil, etc.

Reality has a such a liberal bias.
121  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-PPP: Peters ahead by 13 on: November 02, 2014, 08:03:28 pm
What did Land do to be so unpopular in Michigan? That is ridiculous, especially considering she was leading in the polls early on.

Outside of Pat Roberts, she has to have been the worst GOP candidate this year.

For one thing, she disappeared from the campaign for weeks at time. What really did her in was when she flubbed up at a Chamber of Commerce event and wouldn't answer any press questions. After that, she pretty much stayed anonymous.
122  Election Archive / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-PPP: Peters ahead by 13 on: November 02, 2014, 07:22:25 pm
Yasss, Gary, read her for filth.
123  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will be the Shelley Moore Capito of the 2016 Cycle? on: November 02, 2014, 03:25:07 pm
I don't think anyone will be in that position in 2016.
124  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sharron Angle's PAC makes a chicken video attacking Chris Coons on: November 02, 2014, 01:29:36 pm
I like Sharron Angle, she was very helpful in 2010.
125  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DSCC: Republicans are winning Romney states. They will lose many seats in 2016 on: November 02, 2014, 11:39:18 am
Tammy Duckworth could easily defeat Kirk.
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