Family members should never be a prevailing reason for policy change, positions on policy should be taken based on the consideration of fairness for all constituents, not just family.

If I recall correctly, there was absentees counted for Bush, even though they were not postmarked.

That is all a moot point now, since a lot of irreparable damage was done during Bush's presidency and that can't be changed,

New internal poll for Colbert Busch

http://colbertbuschforcongress.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/PollMemo.ECB_.f.040113.pdf

Colbert Busch 47
Sanford 44

Colbert Busch 48
Bostic 39

Colbert Busch is not that far away from 50% against Sanford in the poll, whereas the NV-2 poll had Marshall in the low 40% range. It can be argued that the undecideds would break for Bostic, but as far as Sanford goes, there is no telling how they could break. Plus, Sanford's approvals are horrible, whereas Amodei was never double digits underwater. Sanford vs. Colbert Busch would be a competitive race.

Didn't you learn anything from your many wrong, overconfident predictions in 2011?


Nope.

You are not addressing the fact that you made several wrong predictions. I maintained that Obama would win and that seats like MA, MO and WI would stay in the Democratic column, plus I never constantly overrated Democratic chances.

Check the election results? Your predictions were wrong.

How is that popular? Michigan is a heavily unionized state, which is why Snyder's numbers have sank, because right-to-work doesn't fit with the state. It didn't fit with Ohio and was overturned by a landslide proportion. Kasich backed off it and hasn't tried to pass it again, because he knows it would be a liability.

Didn't you learn anything from your many wrong, overconfident predictions in 2012?

And your point is? I suggested that Christie's numbers could fall, you stated that Snyder would be in good shape for 2014 based on a poll with tons of undecideds. A plurality with tons of undecideds doesn't equal popular.

But, Senator Brown, Senator Thompson, Senator Akin, President Romney and whoever else you claimed was dominating are all proof of your erroneous predictions.

How is that popular? Michigan is a heavily unionized state, which is why Snyder's numbers have sank, because right-to-work doesn't fit with the state. It didn't fit with Ohio and was overturned by a landslide proportion. Kasich backed off it and hasn't tried to pass it again, because he knows it would be a liability.

Didn't you learn anything from your many wrong, overconfident predictions in 2012?

I agree, it was a gotcha question and conservatives need to stop playing games with issues. It's settled law, move on.

Time for him to retire, he's been in the House far longer than he should have been. His hand being in the cookie jar all day, everyday is bad enough, but this racism really tears it.

Local sources are saying that Grimes has spoken with the DSCC and plans to file for an exploratory committee.

McConnell wanted to run against Judd, but even his own polling showed him up only single digit against her. You can only imagine what the other matchups looked like that he did not release.

Do not underestimate Grimes, especially since McConnell has such terrible approvals.

When I opened this thread, I immediately thought, "I wonder if this is about Andrea Seastrand" and I was right. I lived in the district she repped when I was a kid and I can still remember when Walter Capps unseated her. She was way out of step with the district.

It's important to note that Linda Ketner came very close in this district in 2008, albeit that district included Horry County and the new one includes Beaufort. And that was against an incumbent with no baggage. Some of Colbert Busch's donors are straight line Republican voters, yet are supportive of her.

Poll results are in

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/03/ppps-first-look-at-the-special-election-in-south-carolinas-1st-congressional-district-finds-a-toss-up-race-democrat-elizabet.html

PPP's first look at the special election in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District finds a toss up race. Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch leads Republican Mark Sanford 47-45 and ties Curtis Bostic at 43.

This is a Republican leaning district and Barack Obama's approval rating in it is only 41% with 57% of voters disapproving of him. But Democrats are far more unified than the Republicans are. Busch is winning 87-89% of the Democratic vote while Sanford (76%) and Busch (72%) are both earning less than 80% of the GOP vote. Busch is also up by 16-18 points with independent voters.

Sanford remains a strong favorite for the Republican nomination heading into next week's runoff. He leads Bostic 53/40.

Never thought I'd see Warren being criticized for telling a joke that is not liberal enough. What is the big deal here?

Elizabeth Warren won because she is the better fit for the state, end of story.

https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/316351504674086914

@ppppolls

Our first look at SC-1 finds Elizabeth Colbert Busch with a small edge over Mark Sanford. Full poll up around 11 AM

Great news!

All that business with her bodyguard and her divorce is why she won't be on any short list, that sort of baggage is not what a nominee wants their VP choice to have. Plus, I don't think any southern state (Oklahoma is close to it) governors would do much for a Republican ticket, it might even put off some more moderate voters.

He brought it on himself by posting on Facebook. The authorities were not out of bounds here.

Grimes crushed her Republican opponent by double digits and was had one of the highest percentages the 2011 elections. McConnell has very poor approvals. Those two things make me think that Grimes could win this.

She ran almost twenty points behind Romney, who won the district with 67% of the vote. I can't see her winning if she ran that far behind in very favorable conditions, if anything, she probably was aided quite a bit by the top of the ticket.

http://tpmmuckraker.talkingpointsmemo.com/2013/03/dominican_police_3_women_paid_to_claim_they_had_se.php?ref=fpb

Looks like someone went into their wallet to help manufacture this story.

Keep up the good work, this sort of thing only makes minorities even less likely to consider supporting Republicans.

Ron Kind would be a formidable challenger and after passing on 2012, I think he'll run in 2016. Johnson will be near the top of the Democratic list for pickups, because it is a very good opportunity.

Possibly, especially now that he might want to run for President. On the other hand, Jeb probably would have been a non-factor in 2004 and 2008, the primary voters would have chosen someone not named Bush.

I think these bills should go through. Honestly.....the real Pennsylvania should have a say in choosing the President, and not just Philadelphia which basically dictates the whole state.  Same with Detroit/MI etc. I think it would be very fair.

Republicans typically do not ever like "rocking the boat," though -- and most likely won't follow through on the bills

There is no "real" part of any states, state boundaries determine every state and that's how it goes. Everyone in the state has a vote, regardless of where they are at, which is an equal say. With that said, the way the map is drawn, sparsely populated areas would get more of a say than the bulk of the state and that isn't fair.