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February 08, 2016, 01:09:12 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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26  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: "Moderate" Rubio attacks Obama for speaking at a mosque on: February 03, 2016, 09:19:26 pm
The bar for moderates in the Republican Party is beyond low.
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Bernie wins SC. on: February 03, 2016, 04:22:54 pm
Sanders and his staff would end up being arrested for ballot box stuffing.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio's "past" on: February 03, 2016, 01:07:03 am
Somebody wants to make trouble for him and is quite determined to do it. I always thought that there was something potentially damaging about Rubio when he wasn't vetted (as far as we know) as Romney's running mate. Considering that Florida was a key state, it was odd that he wasn't even vetted. That is mere speculation, but what I am sure of is that someone really wants to cause problems for Rubio.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name one good thing about Ted Cruz on: February 02, 2016, 05:47:25 pm
He's not a twin.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name one good thing about Donald Trump on: February 02, 2016, 05:28:19 pm
He doesn't pretend that he's not a completely over the top person.
31  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name one bad thing about Bernie Sanders. on: February 02, 2016, 04:53:38 pm
He makes promises that he knows he could never keep if elected.
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name one bad thing about Hillary Clinton. on: February 02, 2016, 04:52:42 pm
The Iraq War vote is just about the worst thing.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 01, 2016, 10:41:22 pm
Bernie has no chance of becoming the democratic nominee regardless of Iowa and N.H. Hillary is gonna tear Bernie up on Super Tuesday as well as 2 weeks later.

Look who's panicking now Wink

It's true. Sanders is not going to win states where the electorate is mostly minority.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 01, 2016, 10:40:04 pm
Much of Polk County is still out, which is where Clinton is up by a few points. It has more minorities than any other county in Iowa, which makes it pretty tough territory for Sanders.
35  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 01, 2016, 10:29:46 pm
You do not win by losing. Sanders needed to win Iowa, period. Clinton can go out there, fund raise and campaign based on winning the first state of primary cycle, which is good for momentum. Sanders will likely win New Hampshire, but that might be in peril now that Clinton can shift resources there. A lot of Clinton's resources shifted to Iowa, but now that it is over she can shift resources into New Hampshire.

All these flavors and you chose to be salty.

I'm just not a big believer in winning by losing.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 01, 2016, 10:21:47 pm
You do not win by losing. Sanders needed to win Iowa, period. Clinton can go out there, fund raise and campaign based on winning the first state of primary cycle, which is good for momentum. Sanders will likely win New Hampshire, but that might be in peril now that Clinton can shift resources there. A lot of Clinton's resources shifted to Iowa, but now that it is over she can shift resources into New Hampshire.
37  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 01, 2016, 08:27:35 pm
Some of the last polling did show Sanders in the range of about 42%, so that entrance poll is probably not that off.
38  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Iowa Caucus results thread (entrance poll @8pm ET) on: February 01, 2016, 08:08:16 pm
Men (42%): 47-43 Sanders
Women (58%): 55-40 Clinton

Not good for Sanders...

That is quite surprising.
39  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carson drop out watch thread? on: February 01, 2016, 07:53:19 pm
Yes, it seems like he's going to drop out.
40  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton vs Sanders IA ground game: 77k Bernie vs 125k Hillary doors knocked on: February 01, 2016, 07:22:31 pm
Considering that turnout is key, an 18% win is not out of the question in terms of the delegate math.
41  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Iowa SoS attacks Cruz campaign over campaign mailer on: February 01, 2016, 02:27:08 pm
Someone I ran against used similar language in a campaign letter and went on to lose. What is worse, his campaign sent the offending letter to me because I somehow ended up on their mailing list. Definitely not a good tactic or a sign of confidence.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Here's Ted Cruz's most cringeworthy attempt at human affection watch on: February 01, 2016, 02:24:47 pm
I'm convinced that he might actually be soulless.
43  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders' campaign manager floats voter fraud conspiracy theory on: January 31, 2016, 11:52:59 pm
I remember that Clinton's campaign in 2008 made a similar claim against Obama in 2008 and we know how that cycle ended. Sanders' campaign is doing pre-emptive damage control.
44  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton vs Sanders IA ground game: 77k Bernie vs 125k Hillary doors knocked on: January 31, 2016, 10:23:31 pm
Knocking on doors at the last minute counts for a lot. Those out there knocking on doors are making sure that their "yes" votes are going to turnout. They aren't out there randomly knocking on any doors, they are going off a list of people who already said yes to voting for Clinton.
45  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rubio = gay. 100% CONCLUSIVE EVIDENCE on: January 31, 2016, 06:15:03 pm
Rubio has a smoking hot former Miami Dolphins Cheerleader wife and four kids.  He isn't gay. 

You realize that TONS of gay men have a wife and kids, right?
46  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Selzer/DMR/Bloomberg FINAL IOWA POLL: Trump +5, Clinton +3 on: January 31, 2016, 10:48:34 am
I'm going to say that it won't be particularly narrow and Clinton will secure a good amount of delegates. It goes back to her having a better distribution of votes geographically, which is what this caucus is all about.
47  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Apparently, Sanders is trying to rein in "Bernie Bros" on: January 30, 2016, 01:27:21 am
If the campaign is addressing this, I have to imagine that over the top supporters are becoming a real issue that could cause damage. Candidates often get blamed for the behavior of their supporters.
48  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA-Gravis Marketing: Trump/Cruz close, Clinton at 53% on: January 29, 2016, 10:39:54 pm
This is not all that far from what PPP shows. Gravis can be in line with the median at times and this is not exactly unbelievable.

Besides, the popular vote doesn't really matter and the totals are not posted. It's the delegate count that matters and Clinton has the better ground operation in the rural areas.
49  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who are worse? Hillary Hacks or Bernie Hacks? on: January 29, 2016, 09:07:59 pm
On this forum the hack factor is a lot lower than on social media. Sanders supporters are really over the top of social media with their hero worship. There were folks circulating a photo claiming that Sanders had marched with MLK in Selma, which was not at all true. I'm a Clinton supporter, but it's not a hero worship thing.
50  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: No Iowans at Bernie rally in Davenport on: January 29, 2016, 08:43:18 pm
Are these people going to caucus? If so, that would be highly unethical considering that they don't live in the state.
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