Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 24, 2014, 10:33:17 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 150
26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP says Gardner+3 on: October 21, 2014, 03:29:20 pm
If Republicans get the trifecta, the overreach will be huge. Beauprez thinks Obama wasn't even born here, so you can imagine what sort of craziness him and Republican legislature would come up with. That would destroy Republicans in 2016.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP says Gardner+3 on: October 21, 2014, 01:37:02 pm
Where is KCDem and Dr.Scholl?
They've gone away quietly, thankfully....

I'm still here, sorry if that upsets you.
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI: Mitchell - Land getting crushed on: October 21, 2014, 01:35:26 pm
That's not an error, she's trying to make low information voters support her by putting out misinformation. That's how Republicans operate.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Monmouth: Gardner +1 on: October 21, 2014, 10:44:06 am
I love that Udall is up by ten among those who have already voted, even though the GOP has a 15-point lead in early voting as of yesterday.


To a certain extent, that doesn't always indicate who is doing better in the early vote, since you don't know how voters are actually voting. The difference could be in independents.
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: October 21, 2014, 10:05:01 am
McConnell is running ads on urban radio critical of Grimes for not saying if she voted for Obama. In the ad, he uses an African-American Obama voter, who says that Mitch cares more about African-Americans than Grimes does.
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP says Gardner+3 on: October 21, 2014, 09:55:29 am
I'm going to stick to my prediction that Udall wins. On election day, I have to imagine that Udall carries women by more than 4%. Turnout counts, and Democrats do more ground work than Republicans. I can't tell you how many Republicans think groundwork is silly.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: CA-17/SUSA: Honda +2 on: October 20, 2014, 11:25:29 pm
I can't get worried about a Dem vs. Dem race, Khanna isn't going to vote for Boehner and that counts for a lot. With a seat at D+20, there's little risk of him doing anything that is too conservative.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Latino Decisions/NCLRAF: Udall wallops Gardner among Latinos on: October 20, 2014, 08:41:45 pm
Not everyone shares the conservative view that if the EPA was eliminated that jobs would skyrocket. Colorado is a state that has a lot to protect environmentally, so it's not rocket science to understand why Hispanics there are supportive of the environment.

It is not possible to eliminate the EPA. It could be made to be more restrained and more to the point, though. Less activist.

The regulations have proven to be necessary, because companies aren't going to protect the environment on their own, the only thing that stops them is a fear of fines and shutdown.
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Latino Decisions/NCLRAF: Udall wallops Gardner among Latinos on: October 20, 2014, 08:11:31 pm
Not everyone shares the conservative view that if the EPA was eliminated that jobs would skyrocket. Colorado is a state that has a lot to protect environmentally, so it's not rocket science to understand why Hispanics there are supportive of the environment.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: October 20, 2014, 06:33:32 pm
There is still room for Grimes to win this.

Yeah, in your head, which certainly has plenty of room.

Go play with your Santorum, Roberts and Brownback dolls, okay? Bye, little boy.
36  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: October 20, 2014, 06:26:13 pm
There is still room for Grimes to win this.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: YouGov: Shaheen leads by three in poll for UMass Amherst on: October 20, 2014, 06:21:36 pm
There was a tweet from the NHDP chair that did say that Republican internals had Brown down by 9%, so whether or not you want to believe that, KCDem didn't make that up.
38  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AR-Hendrix College: Cotton +8 on: October 20, 2014, 06:18:07 pm
Blanched. Ding dong, the white liberals are finished.

You're a racist.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NRCC triages ME-02 on: October 20, 2014, 04:24:34 pm
I don't think a triage is ever really a good thing.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cohn (NYT): Early Voting Offers No Proof That Dems Have Improved Turnout Effort on: October 20, 2014, 11:41:46 am
Nevada and Ohio don't have really competitive races at the top of the ballot, so I wouldn't really expect a huge Democratic advantage in early voting in those places.
41  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ken Buck, Ken Buck? on: October 19, 2014, 02:02:13 pm
This cycle, he's running for something he can't lose.
42  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: "Hey, I wonder what the polls looked like at this point in 2010?" on: October 18, 2014, 10:57:00 pm
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/de/delaware_senate_oadonnell_vs_coons-1670.html#polls

7/14 poll. And that was before anyone even thought that she would win the primary.
43  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What is Gardner doing that Buck didn't to not fall flat on his face? on: October 18, 2014, 10:54:29 pm
Buck wasn't labeled a bad candidate until after he lost. It was a big surprise to Republicans that he lost and they threw him under the bus.
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: "Hey, I wonder what the polls looked like at this point in 2010?" on: October 18, 2014, 10:46:35 pm
I'm not sure how all the polls missed Boxer winning by 10%, that was a very big miss. I also recall how Rasmussen showed Christine O'Donnell leading at one point, even though that was completely absurd.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal on: October 18, 2014, 09:33:33 pm
http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/political-eye-pollster-tracked-berkleys-ups-downs

Quote
"Indeed, we were consistently 1-2 points behind for the last couple of weeks, and our final track was exactly where we ended up - a bit more than one point down," he added.

Mellman didn't release his final exact numbers on the race and would only discuss the margin. He said there were still 1 to 2 percent undecided voters right up until Election Day. He had "none of these candidates" and a third-party contender getting about 4 percent each, also on target.

Interesting that she did not choose to publicly release those internal polls showing her behind, instead publicly releasing polls showing her with a three-point lead. Will we hear after the election that Udall's internals privately showed him trailing as well?

Read it again, they never publicly released any internals in the last couple of weeks, when Berkley was down 1-2 points consistently, as it wouldn't make sense to release polls with your candidate trailing. If the internals showed Berkley down 1-2 points in the last couple of weeks, that was very accurate to the actual result. The polls showing Berkley up were released earlier in the month, not right before the election.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal on: October 18, 2014, 05:53:55 pm
http://www.reviewjournal.com/news/elections/political-eye-pollster-tracked-berkleys-ups-downs

Quote
"Indeed, we were consistently 1-2 points behind for the last couple of weeks, and our final track was exactly where we ended up - a bit more than one point down," he added.

Mellman didn't release his final exact numbers on the race and would only discuss the margin. He said there were still 1 to 2 percent undecided voters right up until Election Day. He had "none of these candidates" and a third-party contender getting about 4 percent each, also on target.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Republican pollster: Don't underestimate Dem turnout machine on: October 18, 2014, 05:20:42 pm
There are lots of voters who vote Democratic (Democrats and Independents) that really don't decide to vote until the last minute, which is why you have phone banking non-stop in the final weeks.
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Benenson (D): Also Udall +3 on: October 18, 2014, 04:55:41 pm
You shouldn't have posted this, the blue avatars don't like internals being posted.
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal on: October 18, 2014, 01:40:22 pm
5150? What the hell does that mean?

Involuntary psychiatric hold. It's only a joke, not meant to be taken seriously.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 18, 2014, 01:17:09 pm
If I'm not mistaken, there was a time that RCP didn't enter a poll last cycle, and it was an independent poll that wasn't commissioned by any group (it also showed a Republican trailing). RCP isn't all that trustworthy at times when it comes to entering polls.
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 150


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines