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April 20, 2014, 11:14:46 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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26  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: what distinguishes Car Control from Gun Control? on: April 10, 2014, 09:32:15 am
You need a license to operate a car and insurance, which adds a level of responsibility. Without those requirements, you'd have far more accidents. On the other hand, no testing, license or insurance is required for obtaining a gun, which is easier to use in committing a crime than a car is.
27  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI-St. Norbert College: Gov. Walker (R) with massive lead on: April 09, 2014, 09:10:23 pm
This is far too favorable to Walker.
28  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MI-Sen: For women, flexibility > equal pay, says Land on: April 09, 2014, 07:28:52 pm
Not surprising, she does own her own property management company. When you can pay yourself, matters such as equal pay are of little concern to you.
29  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Suffolk: Braley (D) with the lead, Ernst leads GOP primary on: April 09, 2014, 02:24:10 pm
No traction here, not even a Republican lead with a lot of undecideds.
30  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-Sen (RGA internal): Brown in the lead on: April 09, 2014, 02:14:16 pm
With no pollster identified, it's possible that they made up this result just to make the race appear winnable for Brown. If they were willing to unskew polls last election, creating fake polls is the next step.
31  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senator Ron Johnson knew since 2011 about Assemblyman Kramer's Sexual Assault on: April 08, 2014, 06:40:39 pm
Confidentiality is one thing, but when a crime has allegedly been committed, that makes confidentiality less of a valid issue. Kramer moving up in the leadership could have given him more authority to commit crime unchecked, as more authority can equal the ability to shut people up. When Kramer moved up, that's when Johnson should have had a talk with the leadership.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-PPP: Peters (D) surges to 5-point lead on: April 08, 2014, 10:40:39 am
Not a toss-up.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP (D) for MoveOn.org (D): Dems lead in FL, PA, GA, KS, ME on: April 08, 2014, 10:09:31 am
Unskewed, Republicans lead by double digits. PPP fakes polls results for Democrats, remember?
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: April 07, 2014, 09:16:18 pm
Sink is the only Democrat to win a constitutional office in Florida this century, so I don't see her as a bad candidate. Besides, I read that the DCCC wants her to run again and they don't usually want poor candidates to run again.

She won one election eight years ago.

Still, it's a stretch to keep calling her a horrible candidate. She over performed greatly in poor turnout conditions, I don't think any other candidate would have done as well in FL-13 as Sink, nor as well for Governor in 2010.

She overperformed? When the polls are predicting you'll win, and you'll lose, that's not called overperforming. That's underperforming. Any of the other candidates who grew up in FL-13 or have actually lived in FL-13 or owned a house in FL-13 or held a job in FL-13 would've done just as well if not better.


I won't argue about it, but the point is, she over performed in terms of how other Democrats would have performed with such turnout conditions. Some Democrats have lost by double digits in marginal seats or states, but Sink got pretty close. Turnout and gerrymandering are two issues that everyone wants to dismiss, but they play a big role in elections.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: April 07, 2014, 08:42:56 pm
Sink is the only Democrat to win a constitutional office in Florida this century, so I don't see her as a bad candidate. Besides, I read that the DCCC wants her to run again and they don't usually want poor candidates to run again.

She won one election eight years ago.

Still, it's a stretch to keep calling her a horrible candidate. She over performed greatly in poor turnout conditions, I don't think any other candidate would have done as well in FL-13 as Sink, nor as well for Governor in 2010.
36  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: April 07, 2014, 06:29:10 pm
Sink is the only Democrat to win a constitutional office in Florida this century, so I don't see her as a bad candidate. Besides, I read that the DCCC wants her to run again and they don't usually want poor candidates to run again.
The "best" candidate doesn't mean they are a lock. 'She ain't goin nowhere!

Who said she was a lock? I never put that in my post.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: April 07, 2014, 06:26:03 pm
Sink is the only Democrat to win a constitutional office in Florida this century, so I don't see her as a bad candidate. Besides, I read that the DCCC wants her to run again and they don't usually want poor candidates to run again.
38  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senator Ron Johnson knew since 2011 about Assemblyman Kramer's Sexual Assault on: April 06, 2014, 12:19:14 am
But, Kramer was elected to the leadership, so shouldn't have Johnson's office had said something to the Assembly leadership about this, before Kramer was elected to the leadership? That's not something you sit on rather or not confidentiality is requested, because it involved a crime. All that aside, the average voter isn't going to really see it as anything as something being covered up by politicians. I don't think Johnson will resign, but depending on how far this issue goes, it could be an issue during his re-election campaign.
39  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NC election officials identify hundreds of potential voter fraud cases on: April 05, 2014, 04:01:45 pm
Now we know how Romney carried that state

Yeah, because >92,000 votes were just fraud on the republican side Roll Eyes

Don't you know what sarcasm is? Apparently not.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Boehner runs first ad in 4 years on: April 05, 2014, 01:39:21 am
Why isn't appearing with Republican challengers in Democratic held swing districts? I mean, it certainly would be a boost to have the Speaker of the House doing ads for them. Seems like a waste of time for him to do ads in his own safe district.

Because he's incredibly unpopular as Speaker? It'd be like Obama campaigning with a vulnerable Dem.

I was jesting about him being in ads, because he is unpopular and that would be a major drag on any candidate in a swing district.
41  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Boehner runs first ad in 4 years on: April 04, 2014, 09:35:28 pm
Why isn't appearing with Republican challengers in Democratic held swing districts? I mean, it certainly would be a boost to have the Speaker of the House doing ads for them. Seems like a waste of time for him to do ads in his own safe district.
42  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NC election officials identify hundreds of potential voter fraud cases on: April 04, 2014, 07:07:09 pm
Now we know how Romney carried that state
Even assuming that all of the instances identified by this study were cases of voter fraud, Romney won NC by more than 36,515 votes.

I was being sarcastic.....
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Charles Koch sick of lowly 'collectivists' calling him out on: April 03, 2014, 09:27:45 pm
The Koch Brothers are buying stake in elections in order to get people elected who will pass legislation favorable to their interests, it's as simple as that.
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen-2016: If Rubio runs for Pres, he's out on: April 03, 2014, 09:22:38 pm
Patrick Murphy has the right profile to run statewide, representing a district that is somewhat more Republican than the state as a whole is not a bad staging point for a statewide campaign.

The mayor of Jacksonville might be an option (depending on how good a job he's done as mayor), as well as Val Demings.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WI-6: Grothman to primary Petri on: April 03, 2014, 07:59:26 pm
Geez, I'd hope Pubs could find a decent conservative challenger instead of a nutbar. We are talking about a "Pub" who advocates single-payer.

That's like one member out of over 230, not really a big deal. The problem Republicans have is that they aren't a big enough tent and don't get that complete ideologically purity is not a must.
So, if a Democratic Congressman advocated the elimination of all federal health care programs, you wouldn't have a problem with that?

That's an extreme position, single payer is hardly extreme and Petri is mainly a party line voter when it comes to most issues.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA - Perdue scoffs that "there’s a high school graduate in this race" on: April 03, 2014, 07:57:10 pm
The rural primary voters won't like this at all.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WI-6: Grothman to primary Petri on: April 03, 2014, 04:01:02 pm
Geez, I'd hope Pubs could find a decent conservative challenger instead of a nutbar. We are talking about a "Pub" who advocates single-payer.

That's like one member out of over 230, not really a big deal. The problem Republicans have is that they aren't a big enough tent and don't get that complete ideologically purity is not a must.
48  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Marijuana linked to death of Colorado student on: April 03, 2014, 02:52:17 pm
A person could fall off a building due to being drowsy from cold medicine.
49  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NC election officials identify hundreds of potential voter fraud cases on: April 03, 2014, 01:41:59 pm
Now we know how Romney carried that state
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / WI-6: Grothman to primary Petri on: April 03, 2014, 11:35:44 am
I hope he wins, the Republican House caucus needs someone to entertain now that Michele Bachmann is leaving. Too bad primaries are closed in Wisconsin, Democrats could crossover and vote for Grothman.

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/253734901.html

Quote
Sen. Glenn Grothman (R-West Bend) announced Thursday he will challenge longtime Republican congressman Tom Petri in the 6th Congressional District.

Grothman made the announcement on Charlie Sykes' morning talk-show on WTMJ-AM (Radio 620). Asked if he was running, Grothman replied, "Absolutely."
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