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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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26  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: WMUR/Granite State Poll: Brown closing in? on: August 21, 2014, 05:55:49 pm
UNH has weird swings in both directions. The next poll will be completely different than this one.
27  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Family values Republican state rep. arrested for raping his wife on: August 20, 2014, 09:39:54 pm
I really hate to say this, but is there any evidence that the late wife would not have wanted sex with her husband?  I know young people tend to think us olds have no interest in woohooing or worse, that it is disgusting if we woohoo, but that is a form of ageism.  Certainly, nursing homes would rather not have to deal with people in their care engaging in woohoo, as it creates difficulty for them, so certainly are biased against the practice.  However, if we are going to be so hyper protective as a society as to make it the default that old people can reach the point that they won't be allowed to woohoo with those they were woohooing with, then we should be able to have documents similar to a living will detailing who we want to be able to woohoo with once we are legally unable to give consent.

There is no grey area here, if a person is not mentally capable of consent, there is no debate to be had.
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ben Carson's book has sold more copies than Hillary Clinton's on: August 15, 2014, 11:39:44 am
If I recall correctly, he was sort of wayward in his younger years, unlike Hillary, who pretty much grew up a normal person. People are always more curious about those who were not exactly normal in their past.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul writes TIME op-ed on Ferguson MO/police militarization on: August 15, 2014, 11:06:06 am
He's only making trouble for himself with Republican primary voters.

Why say you that?

Do you really have to ask?
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul writes TIME op-ed on Ferguson MO/police militarization on: August 14, 2014, 10:19:23 pm
He's only making trouble for himself with Republican primary voters.
31  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 10:04:28 pm
It's the fact that she's even talking about something that happened 10 years ago that makes her a bad candidate, especially something that was a failure.

You make it sound like Ernst is going around Iowa talking about WMDs in Iraq daily.  She misspoke once in front of an editorial meeting.  Where she was probably asked about it.  She then clarified her remarks.  And has moved on.  Unlike the left-wing blogosphere.

Quote
Besides that, she called mass murder an accident, which you could call misspeaking, but not knowing the difference between the words incident and accident is a pretty amateur mistake to make.

Which has been picked up by nothing but the left-wing blogosphere.  And she admits she misspoke and has moved on, unlike the left-wing blogosphere.

Quote
And recently, she backed off some statements she made about Agenda 21.

Which is something nobody has heard of.  Can there be a gaffe about things people don't care about?

Meanwhille, your candidate insulted the state's sitting Senator and farmers and threatened to sue because the chickens she was using as theraputic animals for disabled kids were on his lawn.  He has trouble connecting with ordinary Iowans and is throwing away what should be an easy win in November.

All those things are going to come back on her in ads, and most voters won't be impressed. And, it's never a good thing when a candidate is talking about conspiracy theories and then walks it back. If it wasn't a problem, she wouldn't have taken it back.

Repeatedly misspeaking (if that's what you want to call it, lol) is the sign of a terrible candidate.
32  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 09:10:33 pm
She didn't misspeak, she made a claim about WMDs being moved, that's not misspeaking at all. When you have to go to this length to explain for your candidate, you are losing the argument.

You sound like a cheap ad, so please, stop.

Two sentences is a long explanation?  I don't think so. 

When your best argument about why a candidate can't win is over something that happened 10 years ago, you're losing the election.

It's the fact that she's even talking about something that happened 10 years ago that makes her a bad candidate, especially something that was a failure. Besides that, she called mass murder an accident, which you could call misspeaking, but not knowing the difference between the words incident and accident is a pretty amateur mistake to make.  And recently, she backed off some statements she made about Agenda 21.
33  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 08:55:16 pm
Ernst is the one bringing up old issues, look it up. You should email her and tell her 2004 called, because she's the one trying to re-fight old issues.

She's not trying to refight anything.  She misspoke.  She later clarified her remarks, stating that Iraq had WMDs at one time - which they did.  Democrats are the ones trying to make an issue out of something that happened over 10 years ago.  Ernst hasn't raised anything since May. 

Your candidate is an out-of-touch elitist trial lawyer with serious character issues that is out-of-step with Iowa's farming tradition.  That is much more salient to 2014.

She didn't misspeak, she made a claim about WMDs being moved, that's not misspeaking at all. When you have to go to this length to explain for your candidate, you are losing the argument.

You sound like a cheap ad, so please, stop.
34  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 08:36:16 pm
Iowa is D+1, for a rural state, that's quite blue. Ernst considers mass murder an accident and thinks that there were WMDs in Iraq hat were moved, which are real crazy positions to take.

2004 called.  They want their campaign issues back.  Nobody outside of the leftist blogosphere cares if a candidate thinks there were WMDs in Iraq a decade ago.

Ernst is the one bringing up old issues, look it up. You should email her and tell her 2004 called, because she's the one trying to re-fight old issues.
35  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 06:02:19 pm
Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.

Terry Branstad and Chuck Grassley agree.

I didn't say there were no elected Republicans. It is worth noting that both of them have a long history of being elected. It's a matter of opinion, but I wouldn't really consider Ernst to be on the same level as either one and that's who is running in this race, not Brandstad or Grassley.
36  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: WI-Gravis: Ryan 48% Clinton 47% on: August 14, 2014, 05:50:44 pm
Ryan's worse performance for his House seat was in 2012, the same time he was on the presidential ticket, so I don't think he's got much ability to win statewide.
37  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 05:14:05 pm
Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.
No, Latham would have no troubles stomping a joke candidate like Braley.

Latham would have been like Terri Lynn Land, overhyped, but not all that formidable in the end. Not going to argue about it, though, not worth the time.

Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.

No it's not. It's purple with a blue tint that can easily be stomped with the right candidates. Braley is an out of touch elitist that thinks offering eggs is a public disturbance, insults a beloved senator, and talks down to his constituents. Ernst won't win as much as he will lose.

Iowa is D+1, for a rural state, that's quite blue. Ernst considers mass murder an accident and thinks that there were WMDs in Iraq hat were moved, which are real crazy positions to take.
38  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: McDaniel expected to file lawsuit today on: August 14, 2014, 05:08:23 pm
Good for him.
39  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Rasmussen: After primary, Sen. Roberts (R) in trouble on: August 14, 2014, 09:42:43 am
Brownback will lose, his issue are quite localized and with a lot of moderate Republicans purged, Davis is in  the right position to get crossover votes.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 09:40:03 am
Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.
41  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Nunn comes out swinging at GA Dem convention in Dublin - no more kid gloves on: August 11, 2014, 08:21:54 pm
Perdue made a huge gaffe (although, most here insisted it was meaningless) about needing a college degree to be credible. That is already material for a negative ad and if he continues to talk like that, it will play into the theme Nunn is using.
42  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ann Coulter: Rand Paul's positions are to please 15 year old Ayn Rand readers on: August 10, 2014, 06:26:35 pm
For once, she's correct about something.
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: RIP Jim Brady on: August 09, 2014, 07:21:35 am
Considering that there is no statute of limitations on murder and that Brady's injuries sustained from the shooting have been determined to have caused his death, a murder charge is fair.
44  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NJ-Quinnipiac: Sen. Booker (D) up by 10 on: August 06, 2014, 11:03:31 pm
YouGov's methodology was called out as flawed. It's hardly hateful to call out a poll that might be wrong, it's just speculation.
45  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WV: Tennant doesn't support "most" of Obama's policies on: August 06, 2014, 12:38:29 am
I'm trying to imagine a Republican Senate candidate in 2006 declaring they don't support most of Bush's policies and it just doesn't work.

Why is Democratic intraparty discipline so godawful.

Bush made some pretty bad mistakes, if anything, it was Republican candidates not distancing enough themselves from Bush that caused them to lose. It's not like it made all the difference, but supporting Bush didn't help at all.
46  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Pelosi chases Tom Marino (R-PA) across House floor on: August 01, 2014, 09:48:43 pm
Read him, Nancy, read him.
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: UT-04: Internal poll from Owens (D) shows him trailing Mia Love (R) by 9 on: July 30, 2014, 04:16:20 pm
Love comes off very aloof, uninformed and pretentious, so I could see her winning by much less than another Republican would.
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Vox Populi (R): Perdue leading by 9 on: July 30, 2014, 02:26:52 pm
Cantor was leading in their poll.
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Gov. Mary Fallin (R-OK) is sweating right now... on: July 29, 2014, 10:31:38 pm
Well, she's probably used to sweating a lot. Just ask her bodyguard.

Mods, please ban this guy.

I don't think that post is anything to be banned for, it's not like it breaks any rules.
50  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: Bluegrass Poll: McConnell leading by 2 on: July 29, 2014, 10:26:53 pm
This is what Phil's two cents are worth. Lol.

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=131443.0



LOL MUST ALWAYS BE WRONG THEN HAHA!

Aside from a few infamous predictions (and what you referenced wasn't even a prediction), I'm actually pretty accurate with my predictions. The vast moronic conspiracy against me seeks to drown out the truth though and sadly, it has been pretty successful around these parts. This is what you resort to when you can't refute my actual points.

You didn't make a valid point to refute. McConnell leading by only 2 in an R+13 state that has a lot of Democratic office holders statewide does not suggest he will win big, let alone win at all.

Right, the factors I mentioned just aren't proof of how a race can ultimately break quite clearly one way...

You are just incorrect at times, that's all there is to it.
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