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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican Path to 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. on: March 21, 2014, 11:13:57 pm
Another Florida type issue with confusion over ballots.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: LA-06: It's happening! Edwards leads! on: March 20, 2014, 09:14:43 pm
Get it, boy
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Myth of the California Renaissance on: March 19, 2014, 09:22:52 pm
Democrats control all statewide offices, plus have two thirds in both houses of the legislature and California is doing better than it has in years.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook Report moves GA Senate race to "Toss Up" on: March 19, 2014, 07:57:48 pm
Based on polling, it's accurate to call it a toss-up. Conditions aren't overly favorable to Democrats, yet Nunn is managing to stay competitive. Strategically, Nunn probably is aiming to close this race out on election day, which is something that can be done.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-PPP: Gardner makes it tight on: March 18, 2014, 04:45:47 pm
The all-mail voting system Colorado is moving to virtually guarantees a Udall win.
Yeah, it's prone to fraud and people voting more than once.

This race must already be over if fraud is already being claimed
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: D.C. and Puerto Rico: Who runs for Congress post-statehood? on: March 18, 2014, 02:37:17 pm
Marion Barry would run, it just seems like something that he would do.

As for Puerto Rico, the current resident commissioner would run, as well as any number of legislators.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John King: Veteran House Dems retiring this week on: March 16, 2014, 10:49:39 pm
Oh, great, if Slaughter retires, we'll have to hear about how fabulous Maggie Brooks is over and over again, despite the fact that she lost big.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John King: Veteran House Dems retiring this week on: March 16, 2014, 04:49:27 pm
Peterson and Bishop would be the only ones possibly fitting the category or tough race and veteran House Dem, who have not yet announced what they are going to do. Am I missing anything?



Where did it say it would be a competitive district? All the article indicates is that there could be more retirements, but didn't say from where.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Quinnipiac: Braley (D) with an average lead of 12 points on: March 14, 2014, 01:51:00 pm
Not a toss-up.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI gov: Rassy Poll, Walker is tied with Burke on: March 13, 2014, 07:36:22 pm
The difference between this and the recall is that this is a regularly scheduled election, people who might not have felt Walker deserved to recalled, but are not actually supporters of his will show up this year. Walker will need to actually campaign and not expect some landslide.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alan Grayson may have pushed his wife on: March 12, 2014, 06:26:18 pm
http://www.wftv.com/news/news/local/congressman-alan-graysons-ex-wife-dismisses-injunc/nfBpc/

Quote
ORANGE COUNTY, Fla.

The injunction that was filed against congressman Alan Grayson was voluntarily dismissed by his estranged wife, Lolita Carson-Grayson, Wednesday afternoon.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI gov: Rassy Poll, Walker is tied with Burke on: March 12, 2014, 12:51:11 pm
Walker is likely to end up in a closer race than expected and I think it's a good pickup opportunity. If a tie is the best Rasmussen can do, he's in trouble.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 12, 2014, 11:10:25 am
By all accounts given the 13th's demographics and the fact that David Jolly was a a terrible candidate with a terrible campaign Sink should have won.

If I were the a Democratic strategist I'd def take this as bad news for D prospects in general-not only in the House but in the Senate.  After all if they had trouble pulling off a victory in the 13th with more money, a better turnout operation and a stronger candidate imagine what it means in places even less friendly to the Democrats.   

Again, the district voted as it was drawn to, it's not a huge surprise or difficult for a Republican to achieve. If anything, Republicans lost a lot of ground, Young won 57% of the vote in a presidential year, whereas Jolly won only 48% in a special. We can spin all day, but it doesn't mean anything in terms of November.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 10:19:05 pm
FL-14 isn't a VRA seat, and it's actually majority white if I am correct. That part of St. Pete does not belong in FL-14, it's not a clean map and it's not VRA required.

No Democrat was winning this seat, turnout fall off didn't allow for it and it was specifically drawn for a Republican to win, despite the fact that Obama won it.

Yes, yes, let the hate flow through you.

What about my post was hateful?
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 10:11:35 pm
FL-14 isn't a VRA seat, and it's actually majority white if I am correct. That part of St. Pete does not belong in FL-14, it's not a clean map and it's not VRA required.

No Democrat was winning this seat, turnout fall off didn't allow for it and it was specifically drawn for a Republican to win, despite the fact that Obama won it.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: FL-13/St. Pete Polls: Jolly+2 on: March 11, 2014, 09:09:31 pm
PPP is okay with krazen as long as they show a Republican ahead.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: FL-13/PPP: Sink+3 on: March 11, 2014, 09:08:13 pm
Junk poll!

Amen. PPP's new methodology sucks.

They actually thought Faulconer would get thrashed in San Diego.

Now that's a damn lie, their last poll of that race was a tie. You can't call a tie a thrashing.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 07:08:26 pm
You can't force people to vote, so turnout isn't what you make it. A lot of people who vote in presidential elections simply aren't plugged into any other elections in off-years.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: FL-13/PPP: Sink+3 on: March 11, 2014, 06:59:06 pm

If you saw his bad 2012 predictions and some of the junk polls he posted, you'd know he has no room to run around calling anyone out.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:56:32 pm
Gerrymandering works, what a freaking surprise.
Yes, it may have been a small factor, but you lost because you nominated a horrible nominee.  You threw one away.  Should have had Rick Kriseman run instead of mayor.  You would have a house seat then.

Nope, gerrymandering one the seat for Republicans. There is no way any Democrat was going to win this seat in a special elections. Republicans knew what they were doing when they drew this district.
No, you won because the legislature cut out black voters and used water continuity to pack them. You really think Jolly would have won if the whole of St. Pete was in the district?
I know it was a factor, but not the main one.  You still, even with the gerrymander should have won the seat.  Jolly is a bad candidate, but Sink is worse.
I completely disagree.  This was a winnable seat, especially with the candidate we ran.  It comes down to who you nominated.  She grabbed defeat out of the jaws of Victory.

It wasn't going to flip, period. Democrats can't win these sort of seats in low turnout special elections, not without other factors at play.

Wrong again.  Obama won this district.  There were many better candidates on both sides.  You just nominated the wrong one.  Stop making excuses for it, she sucks, and I hope the FL Democratic party does not make the same mistake and nominate her for anything. 

The district voted as it was drawn to vote, it's as simple as that. The Republican legislature knew what it was doing when it drew this district. Obama may have won it, but that was with higher turnout.
The district was drawn for Bill Young, yes, but it is trending democratic fast.  It should have been a pickup for you guys, even in a low turnout election.  You could have, and should have won.  It is Sinks fault you didn't, simple as that.

Bill Young was a Republican and at his age, the legislature couldn't have expected him to be there that much longer, so it was drawn with a Republican advantage period. Young might have won it un-gerrymandered, but that's something we'll never know.

Yes, we will never know.  Can I ask, why are you making excuses for Sink?  It is her fault.  Rick Kriseman would have easily won this district against jolly.

The district was drawn for Bill Young, yes, but it is trending democratic fast.  It should have been a pickup for you guys, even in a low turnout election.  You could have, and should have won.  It is Sinks fault you didn't, simple as that.

Someone at RRH said that this seat would be more Democratic with a fair map, but others, like Murphy's, would get more Republican.

True.  But, I think the map could have been much worse if the redistrict amendment had not passed. 

I'm not making excuses, I'm pointing out the makeup of the district. Even Charlie Crist probably wouldn't have won that seat in a special election.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:50:53 pm
Gerrymandering works, what a freaking surprise.
Yes, it may have been a small factor, but you lost because you nominated a horrible nominee.  You threw one away.  Should have had Rick Kriseman run instead of mayor.  You would have a house seat then.

Nope, gerrymandering one the seat for Republicans. There is no way any Democrat was going to win this seat in a special elections. Republicans knew what they were doing when they drew this district.
No, you won because the legislature cut out black voters and used water continuity to pack them. You really think Jolly would have won if the whole of St. Pete was in the district?
I know it was a factor, but not the main one.  You still, even with the gerrymander should have won the seat.  Jolly is a bad candidate, but Sink is worse.
I completely disagree.  This was a winnable seat, especially with the candidate we ran.  It comes down to who you nominated.  She grabbed defeat out of the jaws of Victory.

It wasn't going to flip, period. Democrats can't win these sort of seats in low turnout special elections, not without other factors at play.

Wrong again.  Obama won this district.  There were many better candidates on both sides.  You just nominated the wrong one.  Stop making excuses for it, she sucks, and I hope the FL Democratic party does not make the same mistake and nominate her for anything. 

The district voted as it was drawn to vote, it's as simple as that. The Republican legislature knew what it was doing when it drew this district. Obama may have won it, but that was with higher turnout.
The district was drawn for Bill Young, yes, but it is trending democratic fast.  It should have been a pickup for you guys, even in a low turnout election.  You could have, and should have won.  It is Sinks fault you didn't, simple as that.

Bill Young was a Republican and at his age, the legislature couldn't have expected him to be there that much longer, so it was drawn with a Republican advantage period. Young might have won it un-gerrymandered, but that's something we'll never know.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:47:37 pm
I feel like Sink's political career is basically over after this.

That said, I can't be happy with a guy like Jolly going to Congress.

Why does it matter? He has an R next to his name, take what you can get.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: FL-13/PPP: Sink+3 on: March 11, 2014, 06:46:45 pm
Junk poll!

Junk poster!
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:45:28 pm
Gerrymandering works, what a freaking surprise.
Yes, it may have been a small factor, but you lost because you nominated a horrible nominee.  You threw one away.  Should have had Rick Kriseman run instead of mayor.  You would have a house seat then.

Nope, gerrymandering one the seat for Republicans. There is no way any Democrat was going to win this seat in a special elections. Republicans knew what they were doing when they drew this district.
No, you won because the legislature cut out black voters and used water continuity to pack them. You really think Jolly would have won if the whole of St. Pete was in the district?
I know it was a factor, but not the main one.  You still, even with the gerrymander should have won the seat.  Jolly is a bad candidate, but Sink is worse.
I completely disagree.  This was a winnable seat, especially with the candidate we ran.  It comes down to who you nominated.  She grabbed defeat out of the jaws of Victory.

It wasn't going to flip, period. Democrats can't win these sort of seats in low turnout special elections, not without other factors at play.

Wrong again.  Obama won this district.  There were many better candidates on both sides.  You just nominated the wrong one.  Stop making excuses for it, she sucks, and I hope the FL Democratic party does not make the same mistake and nominate her for anything. 

The district voted as it was drawn to vote, it's as simple as that. The Republican legislature knew what it was doing when it drew this district. Obama may have won it, but that was with higher turnout.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat on: March 11, 2014, 06:39:16 pm
Gerrymandering works, what a freaking surprise.
Yes, it may have been a small factor, but you lost because you nominated a horrible nominee.  You threw one away.  Should have had Rick Kriseman run instead of mayor.  You would have a house seat then.

Nope, gerrymandering one the seat for Republicans. There is no way any Democrat was going to win this seat in a special elections. Republicans knew what they were doing when they drew this district.
No, you won because the legislature cut out black voters and used water continuity to pack them. You really think Jolly would have won if the whole of St. Pete was in the district?
I know it was a factor, but not the main one.  You still, even with the gerrymander should have won the seat.  Jolly is a bad candidate, but Sink is worse.
I completely disagree.  This was a winnable seat, especially with the candidate we ran.  It comes down to who you nominated.  She grabbed defeat out of the jaws of Victory.

It wasn't going to flip, period. Democrats can't win these sort of seats in low turnout special elections, not without other factors at play.
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