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November 24, 2014, 11:23:36 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-PPP: Ernst +1 on: November 03, 2014, 10:17:39 am
A push poll asks negative questions before the horse race question and it has been stated above that the horse race question was asked before anything else.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac: DEAD HEAT! on: November 03, 2014, 09:19:03 am
Bruce has the juice to defeat phony Joni.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Quinnipiac shows Gardner +2 on: November 03, 2014, 09:08:29 am
Udall is closing in fast on Cory. Great news.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 03, 2014, 12:23:01 am
Not a fan of unskewing the polls but no way Udall is losing if he wins indies by 11%. Of course he probably isn't but this poll seems R friendly with party ID and has too many Ds and Rs and not enough Is.

Could be that some regular Democratic voters are self-identifying as independent for some reason. With that said, I'm not writing Udall off just yet.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Sullivan edges Begich in final PPP Alaska poll on: November 02, 2014, 11:39:31 pm
Begich can still win this, it's contingent on how good turnout is in the bush. PPP's last poll had Sullivan up by much more than this.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:38:20 pm
Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.


The writing is on the wall here.

Why are you so confident in Land's chances? She's only leading by 2 points here.

Overconfidence, anyone? Look who turned out to be right on that one. You can't do a superior dance here, child.

Two can play at the 'search for the other person in our own archives' game:

This is the first real pickup opportunity Republicans are getting and it's R+14. Outside of the very few heavily Republican districts held by Democrats, there is nothing else out there for Republicans to gain.

And I would not count on there not being another shutdown, there is absolutely no guarantee that there won't be another showdown over something.

In any case...

Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.

Creepy your fascination with me. You mention my name in your posts more than anyone, how quaint.

...why exactly is it quaint?

That's sarcasm, it's actually not quaint, it's creepy. I edited the post with something more relevant anyway.

You didn't edit it, you deleted it. But you can't go back and delete an entire cycle's worth of failed predictions and hackishness. As for me, I've always been fascinated as to how the failure (or, in your case, numerous failures) of political candidates, which has no bearing on day-to-day lives, can send people going through the Five Stages of Grief. You're still on the first (which is denial).

Most of the Republican opportunities are in R+ districts, most of what YouGov shows Republicans winning are R+ seats. After 2010 and gerrymandering, there was never going to be another 60 seat gain.

In 2012, my predictions were correct, so even if I make some mistakes now, my record is still better than you, krazen or any of your other good friends on the board. Unlike Republicans, I don't have grief over elections, it's nice to win, but I'm not going to have a mental breakdown over it.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ken Buck Margin of Victory on: November 02, 2014, 11:21:55 pm
A lot of points. Even he couldn't screw this one up.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:16:27 pm
Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.

Creepy your fascination with me. You mention my name in your posts more than anyone, how quaint.

...why exactly is it quaint?

That's sarcasm, it's actually not quaint, it's creepy. I edited the post with something more relevant anyway.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:12:03 pm
Guys, remember at the start of 2013 Dr. Scholl literally thought everything Democrats won in 2012 was totally safe for the foreseeable future? Gosh, Tuesday night will be fantastic.


The writing is on the wall here.

Why are you so confident in Land's chances? She's only leading by 2 points here.

Overconfidence, anyone? Look who turned out to be right on that one. You can't do a superior dance here, child.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 11:03:22 pm
No one can predict what the GOP will do next. Regardless, they can't pass a thing if they take the Senate, because they don't have 60 votes and there aren't nearly enough conservative Democrats left to get them over the line.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 10:49:20 pm
Can someone please tell me what is so appealing about Gardner? Some people here have him running for President and he hasn't even been elected to the Senate yet.

He's perceived as a moderate.

This race is pretty much over, RIP Udall. Maybe we can get someone not as awful in 2020 who can win re-election.

His record will prove otherwise if he's elected (big if). He's not going to be President, anyway, but with a conservative record, that even further flushes that idea.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP - Gardner (R) 48; Udall (D) 45 on: November 02, 2014, 10:46:10 pm
Can someone please tell me what is so appealing about Gardner? Some people here have him running for President and he hasn't even been elected to the Senate yet.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IL - PPP: Durbin +10 on: November 02, 2014, 08:34:49 pm
krazen, phil, etc.

Reality has a such a liberal bias.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-PPP: Peters ahead by 13 on: November 02, 2014, 08:03:28 pm
What did Land do to be so unpopular in Michigan? That is ridiculous, especially considering she was leading in the polls early on.

Outside of Pat Roberts, she has to have been the worst GOP candidate this year.

For one thing, she disappeared from the campaign for weeks at time. What really did her in was when she flubbed up at a Chamber of Commerce event and wouldn't answer any press questions. After that, she pretty much stayed anonymous.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MI-PPP: Peters ahead by 13 on: November 02, 2014, 07:22:25 pm
Yasss, Gary, read her for filth.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will be the Shelley Moore Capito of the 2016 Cycle? on: November 02, 2014, 03:25:07 pm
I don't think anyone will be in that position in 2016.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sharron Angle's PAC makes a chicken video attacking Chris Coons on: November 02, 2014, 01:29:36 pm
I like Sharron Angle, she was very helpful in 2010.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DSCC: Republicans are winning Romney states. They will lose many seats in 2016 on: November 02, 2014, 11:39:18 am
Tammy Duckworth could easily defeat Kirk.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA: PPP: Landrieu leads primary, close runoff on: November 02, 2014, 11:35:03 am
At the risk of being called names, I'm going to say it's not wise to underestimate Landrieu. Even if you hate Landrieu, you have to admit that she still has a chance, as she's been able to win before.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CT-Rasmussen: Malloy (D) up 1. on: November 02, 2014, 10:08:10 am
If that's the best Rasmussen can do, this one is over. RIP Foley, thank god.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DSCC: Republicans are winning Romney states. They will lose many seats in 2016 on: November 02, 2014, 10:05:22 am
Illinois is gone in 2016, especially if Republicans win control of the Senate this year. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are likely gone too. Florida and New Hampshire are Republicans best prospects to hold on to.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Which is more likely? on: November 02, 2014, 09:50:25 am
The YouGov polls for the House show that Republicans won't gain that many House seats and even some of the flips they are showing are questionable.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow on: November 02, 2014, 09:38:54 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.

Haha, what a sore loser. Which Republicans here disappear after the election? I most certainly don't.

This has nothing to do with losing, it's about a pattern I've nothing. Cliffy, Bawlexus and some other random names all disappeared in 2012, Cliffy was really a troll and he never posted again after he had to admit he was wrong.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: Final Marist/NBC polls out tomorrow on: November 02, 2014, 09:33:57 am
Wasn't it cute when the Democrats were convinced they were going to win Georgia?

Why is it that before an election, so many Republican avatars flood the board chastising posters and then disappear afterwards? I seriously believe Republican operatives get paid to troll message boards, because this behavior is so predictable and common.
100  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Cool interactive demographic/geography map of who benefits from Obamacare on: November 02, 2014, 09:21:17 am
When it gets repealed by the Republican Senate, watch Kentucky and West Virginia blame Obama for their lost benefits.

In fact, Democrats should be bipartisan and cut a deal with Republicans so anxious to repeal Obamacare. Repeal it in red states only. That is fair, bipartisan solution and those who claim the President never works with Republicans would finally have to shut their mouths.
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