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October 24, 2014, 11:53:27 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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76  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 17, 2014, 11:21:58 am
Take a bow, Joni.
77  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Traitor Snowden enjoying the high life in Putin's Russia on: October 16, 2014, 06:27:22 pm
I'm sure he's also getting plenty of funds from the Duma. There is no way that he didn't have ulterior motives for doing what he did.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 16, 2014, 06:22:16 pm
Personhood failed in Mississippi of all places, so if it's not a mainstream position there, it's not one anywhere. Low interest voters are who Democrats need to get out and opposition to extreme ideas is what boosts turnout. Ground game is going to win CO and IA, because Democrats do it and Republicans don't.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer: Nunn +1 on: October 16, 2014, 06:07:33 pm
Even if Nunn isn't over 50% in polls, that doesn't necessarily mean she can't hit 50%. There have been races where candidates have lead in polls without hitting 50%, but gone on to get 50% or more in the actual election. We'll see what happens.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer: Nunn +1 on: October 16, 2014, 04:23:22 pm
Some posters here are about to need a 5150......
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 02:58:52 pm
If voters are stupid enough to actually elect Gardner, that's not Udall's fault. Sometimes, voters are determined to elect the worst possible candidates to office.

No. Dem incumbents with a good record in a lean-D State in a neutral year don't normally lose reelection. Udall screwed up, there's no other way to put it.

I still think Udall will win, but if he doesn't, I really don't see what else he could have possibly done to win this race. The difference between candidates is clear here.
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 02:32:10 pm
If voters are stupid enough to actually elect Gardner, that's not Udall's fault. Sometimes, voters are determined to elect the worst possible candidates to office.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: VA: Gillespie canceling his ads, apparently out of money on: October 16, 2014, 11:22:49 am
I'm guessing the spin will be that Gillespie has it locked up safe and doesn't need to spend anymore.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CA-52: DeMaio accused of sexual harassment on: October 16, 2014, 10:12:51 am
The race was never a toss-up, because Peters is a strong incumbent and received the Chamber of Commerce endorsement. Those are pretty weak numbers for those who don't believe the story, so clearly it's not a good thing for DeMaio's campaign, especially at this late stage.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 10:06:48 am
There is no way that Gardner leads by 6% and is only 3% with independents, those sort of numbers almost never translate into that big of a Republican lead.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 15, 2014, 10:37:42 pm
I'm not so sure Georgia and Kentucky will flip, but I do think there is a chance that WV, MT and SD are the only losses for the night. SD could have been hold with the right candidate, but that isn't the case.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: CNN/ORC: Gardner+4 on: October 15, 2014, 04:55:29 pm
The Gardner stans are really out today. Udall will win, I'm sticking firm to my prediction.....

November 5th: UDALL WILL CRUSH GARDNER IN 6 YEARS, JUST YOU WAIT!

November 5th: Gardner wasn't conservative enough, he was an awful candidate. Tom Tancredo would have won.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: CNN/ORC: Gardner+4 on: October 15, 2014, 03:46:53 pm
The Gardner stans are really out today. Udall will win, I'm sticking firm to my prediction.....
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 15, 2014, 03:45:07 pm
Ernst was up six in the last Qunnipiac poll, so this demonstrates a collapse in her numbers. Braley is closing hard and at this point, that's better news for him than it is for Ernst. It's interesting that no blue avatars are mentioning the fact that Ernst was leading by more in the last Quinnipiac poll.

Or perhaps this is just an incorrect poll, since it doesn't line up with anything else we've seen. Ernst is a horrible candidate and Republicans have pretty much admitted that they are not that optimistic about picking up the seat, that was stated in an article the other day.

Cough ...

Go get yourself some water. Either their previous poll was off (which I think it was) or Ernst has collapsed, either way, these numbers are not as good for her as the previous poll.
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI: Marquette: Tied with LVs on: October 15, 2014, 12:31:07 pm
Take a bow, Scotty.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK: Rasmussen: Sullivan +3 on: October 15, 2014, 11:49:12 am
The bush areas are definitely a place that could run up great numbers for Begich and win this race for him.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 15, 2014, 10:16:11 am
Ernst was up six in the last Qunnipiac poll, so this demonstrates a collapse in her numbers. Braley is closing hard and at this point, that's better news for him than it is for Ernst. It's interesting that no blue avatars are mentioning the fact that Ernst was leading by more in the last Quinnipiac poll.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-SUSA: Nunn+3 on: October 15, 2014, 10:13:59 am
It looks as if the momentum is shifting toward Nunn and SurveyUSA has picked it up.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Can Greg Abbott Be Knocked Down Once Again? on: October 14, 2014, 11:52:09 pm
Wendy Davis is a desperate punk. She'll get hers in due time.

Get hers? For doing what? Running for Governor?
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IL-10: Mark Kirk's ad with Bob Dold on: October 14, 2014, 11:30:39 pm
Pat Quinn won this district in 2010 of all years, so that tells you how partisan it is in it's reconfiguration.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Can Greg Abbott Be Knocked Down Once Again? on: October 14, 2014, 11:03:42 pm
Unfortunately, no.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: When will the Point of Light Defeat the Great Satan of Outsourcing? on: October 14, 2014, 10:46:34 pm
With the additional money being put in by the DSCC and Perdue's outsourcing comment, it's crazy to count Nunn out. She's got a better chance than Terri Lynn Land, who was highly overrated this cycle.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: CO-06: Coffman in the lead on: October 14, 2014, 10:44:34 pm
The white liberal comment is unnecessary. Knock off your racism, it's not funny.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NH GOPer says Kuster will lose because she's "very ugly", calls GOP opponent hot on: October 14, 2014, 06:45:13 pm
Not a winning strategy.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: PPP: Tied on: October 13, 2014, 09:03:33 pm
It's disturbing to call elected politicians kings, very scary indeed that someone would view politicians like that. That aside, Brownback will still lose, 42% is horrible for an incumbent and seldom does an incumbent win with a number like that.
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