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September 16, 2014, 06:31:07 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul: Democrats are afraid I'll run on: August 25, 2014, 08:18:02 pm
Paul would win 55-45.

Only if his supporters stuffed the ballot boxes, which they are capable of doing.
77  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Nunn +7 on: August 25, 2014, 04:44:22 pm
Get a grip, it is just an internet forum. It's really not that serious.
78  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DKE: Democrats have 47% chance of holding the Senate on: August 25, 2014, 09:50:59 am
What else should be relied on but polling? Historical trends don't always hold up and gut feelings aren't rooted in fact.
79  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: DKE: Democrats have 47% chance of holding the Senate on: August 25, 2014, 09:08:43 am
It will be interesting to see how many Republican poster disappear from around the boards when their predictions turn out to be horribly wrong. It happened in 2012, where a few very repetitive posters claimed polls were being faked and that Romney had a huge lead, but after the election, they didn't post anymore. It was so hilarious.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Nunn +7 on: August 22, 2014, 11:07:04 pm
Junk poll, as was their last one, and whatever came before that.

They actually have had some accurate polling in the past, in 2012, they were good. It's so sad how every single poll that shows a Republican trailing is labeled junk on this board.

You've got to be kidding me.  Atlas is just about the only place I've seen where most think the Dems will keep the Senate (based on Forum surveys).  Your persecution complex is delusional.

Take a look at some of the threads, there are plenty of posters calling polls junk.

Sure, but polls showing leads or close races for people like Brown are also called junk.  Besides, this forum is far nicer in predictions for Dems than nearly any other place I've seen....  All I'm saying is, when every poll besides Landmark(which has been the only source of Nunn leads for a while) is against you, don't you think Landmark should be taken with a grain of salt.

Landmark is considering a Republican leaning firm, and on top of that, their results have been accurate before.
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict % margin of the next PPP IA poll. on: August 22, 2014, 07:06:18 pm
10% Braley lead, because PPP is a democrat party hack firm.

Didn't 2012 teach anything about this logic?
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Nunn +7 on: August 22, 2014, 06:20:41 pm
Junk poll, as was their last one, and whatever came before that.

They actually have had some accurate polling in the past, in 2012, they were good. It's so sad how every single poll that shows a Republican trailing is labeled junk on this board.

You've got to be kidding me.  Atlas is just about the only place I've seen where most think the Dems will keep the Senate (based on Forum surveys).  Your persecution complex is delusional.

Take a look at some of the threads, there are plenty of posters calling polls junk.
83  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark: Nunn +7 on: August 22, 2014, 05:56:16 pm
Junk poll, as was their last one, and whatever came before that.

They actually have had some accurate polling in the past, in 2012, they were good. It's so sad how every single poll that shows a Republican trailing is labeled junk on this board.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: WMUR/Granite State Poll: Brown closing in? on: August 22, 2014, 02:14:54 pm
Have the Dems sent a money dump to NH recently? If not, it will be interesting to see if they do now. That will tell the tale of how real this is. What is real, is that the Dems are in increasingly bad shape this cycle when it comes to the Senate overall. That is what happens when the news seems near unremittingly bad, week after week.

Check the history of this pollster before counting your chickens.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-SurveyUSA: Perdue (R) opens up lead on: August 22, 2014, 02:14:02 pm
His comments about supporting the shutdown in a debate, plus his views of people who didn't go to college will do him no favors when they are actually put in campaign ads. The negative ads haven't even started yet, because Nunn hasn't been playing any offense.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Public Policy Polling: Davis narrowly leads, Umbehr helps Brownback on: August 21, 2014, 07:54:29 pm
Quinn has a better chance than Brownback, because Quinn doesn't have to deal with an ancestrally fractured party which has been recently purged. Brownback has to deal with a lot of moderate Republicans crossing over to vote Democratic, just like they did for Sebelius.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: WMUR/Granite State Poll: Brown closing in? on: August 21, 2014, 05:55:49 pm
UNH has weird swings in both directions. The next poll will be completely different than this one.
88  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Family values Republican state rep. arrested for raping his wife on: August 20, 2014, 09:39:54 pm
I really hate to say this, but is there any evidence that the late wife would not have wanted sex with her husband?  I know young people tend to think us olds have no interest in woohooing or worse, that it is disgusting if we woohoo, but that is a form of ageism.  Certainly, nursing homes would rather not have to deal with people in their care engaging in woohoo, as it creates difficulty for them, so certainly are biased against the practice.  However, if we are going to be so hyper protective as a society as to make it the default that old people can reach the point that they won't be allowed to woohoo with those they were woohooing with, then we should be able to have documents similar to a living will detailing who we want to be able to woohoo with once we are legally unable to give consent.

There is no grey area here, if a person is not mentally capable of consent, there is no debate to be had.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ben Carson's book has sold more copies than Hillary Clinton's on: August 15, 2014, 11:39:44 am
If I recall correctly, he was sort of wayward in his younger years, unlike Hillary, who pretty much grew up a normal person. People are always more curious about those who were not exactly normal in their past.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul writes TIME op-ed on Ferguson MO/police militarization on: August 15, 2014, 11:06:06 am
He's only making trouble for himself with Republican primary voters.

Why say you that?

Do you really have to ask?
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rand Paul writes TIME op-ed on Ferguson MO/police militarization on: August 14, 2014, 10:19:23 pm
He's only making trouble for himself with Republican primary voters.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 10:04:28 pm
It's the fact that she's even talking about something that happened 10 years ago that makes her a bad candidate, especially something that was a failure.

You make it sound like Ernst is going around Iowa talking about WMDs in Iraq daily.  She misspoke once in front of an editorial meeting.  Where she was probably asked about it.  She then clarified her remarks.  And has moved on.  Unlike the left-wing blogosphere.

Quote
Besides that, she called mass murder an accident, which you could call misspeaking, but not knowing the difference between the words incident and accident is a pretty amateur mistake to make.

Which has been picked up by nothing but the left-wing blogosphere.  And she admits she misspoke and has moved on, unlike the left-wing blogosphere.

Quote
And recently, she backed off some statements she made about Agenda 21.

Which is something nobody has heard of.  Can there be a gaffe about things people don't care about?

Meanwhille, your candidate insulted the state's sitting Senator and farmers and threatened to sue because the chickens she was using as theraputic animals for disabled kids were on his lawn.  He has trouble connecting with ordinary Iowans and is throwing away what should be an easy win in November.

All those things are going to come back on her in ads, and most voters won't be impressed. And, it's never a good thing when a candidate is talking about conspiracy theories and then walks it back. If it wasn't a problem, she wouldn't have taken it back.

Repeatedly misspeaking (if that's what you want to call it, lol) is the sign of a terrible candidate.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 09:10:33 pm
She didn't misspeak, she made a claim about WMDs being moved, that's not misspeaking at all. When you have to go to this length to explain for your candidate, you are losing the argument.

You sound like a cheap ad, so please, stop.

Two sentences is a long explanation?  I don't think so. 

When your best argument about why a candidate can't win is over something that happened 10 years ago, you're losing the election.

It's the fact that she's even talking about something that happened 10 years ago that makes her a bad candidate, especially something that was a failure. Besides that, she called mass murder an accident, which you could call misspeaking, but not knowing the difference between the words incident and accident is a pretty amateur mistake to make.  And recently, she backed off some statements she made about Agenda 21.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 08:55:16 pm
Ernst is the one bringing up old issues, look it up. You should email her and tell her 2004 called, because she's the one trying to re-fight old issues.

She's not trying to refight anything.  She misspoke.  She later clarified her remarks, stating that Iraq had WMDs at one time - which they did.  Democrats are the ones trying to make an issue out of something that happened over 10 years ago.  Ernst hasn't raised anything since May. 

Your candidate is an out-of-touch elitist trial lawyer with serious character issues that is out-of-step with Iowa's farming tradition.  That is much more salient to 2014.

She didn't misspeak, she made a claim about WMDs being moved, that's not misspeaking at all. When you have to go to this length to explain for your candidate, you are losing the argument.

You sound like a cheap ad, so please, stop.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 08:36:16 pm
Iowa is D+1, for a rural state, that's quite blue. Ernst considers mass murder an accident and thinks that there were WMDs in Iraq hat were moved, which are real crazy positions to take.

2004 called.  They want their campaign issues back.  Nobody outside of the leftist blogosphere cares if a candidate thinks there were WMDs in Iraq a decade ago.

Ernst is the one bringing up old issues, look it up. You should email her and tell her 2004 called, because she's the one trying to re-fight old issues.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 06:02:19 pm
Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.

Terry Branstad and Chuck Grassley agree.

I didn't say there were no elected Republicans. It is worth noting that both of them have a long history of being elected. It's a matter of opinion, but I wouldn't really consider Ernst to be on the same level as either one and that's who is running in this race, not Brandstad or Grassley.
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: WI-Gravis: Ryan 48% Clinton 47% on: August 14, 2014, 05:50:44 pm
Ryan's worse performance for his House seat was in 2012, the same time he was on the presidential ticket, so I don't think he's got much ability to win statewide.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Toss-up on: August 14, 2014, 05:14:05 pm
Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.
No, Latham would have no troubles stomping a joke candidate like Braley.

Latham would have been like Terri Lynn Land, overhyped, but not all that formidable in the end. Not going to argue about it, though, not worth the time.

Iowa is a blue state, Braley would have won regardless of who ran, but against Ernst, who is crazy, he'll win easily.

No it's not. It's purple with a blue tint that can easily be stomped with the right candidates. Braley is an out of touch elitist that thinks offering eggs is a public disturbance, insults a beloved senator, and talks down to his constituents. Ernst won't win as much as he will lose.

Iowa is D+1, for a rural state, that's quite blue. Ernst considers mass murder an accident and thinks that there were WMDs in Iraq hat were moved, which are real crazy positions to take.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: McDaniel expected to file lawsuit today on: August 14, 2014, 05:08:23 pm
Good for him.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Rasmussen: After primary, Sen. Roberts (R) in trouble on: August 14, 2014, 09:42:43 am
Brownback will lose, his issue are quite localized and with a lot of moderate Republicans purged, Davis is in  the right position to get crossover votes.
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