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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 24, 2014, 04:29:05 pm
I love how Bushie "checks on things" constantly. Like it's going to run away. Remember when he moved home from Utah to "check on his house" daily and never actually did it?

Wait wasn't there some bang fest in his house?
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 24, 2014, 04:16:54 pm
Terminating the lease might not be a bad idea. His credit rating is terrible anyway.

I wonder what reads worse, his credit rating or his resume
3  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: NFL Pick a Winner Week #8 on: October 23, 2014, 10:38:38 am
Bills
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 23, 2014, 12:03:13 am
If you're ever, ever, ever going to pull yourself out of this seemingly endless cycle, you'll need to actually follow through toward your vision. Based on your work performance, I suspect that your actual execution on the job is more like the type of person who hopes to hide in the workplace and hope the boss never notices you, rather than someone who is actually interested in building a career.

You ought to try something very simple in order to start making progress. This is an old story about (I believe) Andrew Carnegie. Each night before you go to bed, take a 3x5 notecard and write the five most important things that you can do the next day, and rank them in order of importance.

My guess is that this list would never include "Watching four football games" or "Eat at Braums." The list should be meaningful and important things that help you build toward your vision. Make the first (as an example):

1. Spend one hour doing AutoCADD training on Lynda.com
2. Take a 20-minute walk
3. Go to the grocery store and buy a week's worth of fruits and vegetables
4. Call and email contacts at CADD school to ask about potential connections for the job search
5. Research how to sublease your Tulsa apartment, in the event you land a job in OKC

At the beginning of each day, review your list and knock off the items one by one. Make sure these items build toward larger goals and, ultimately, your vision.

Requoted because I can tell already, we're back to usual -- quoting dates and meaningless activities like "staying with various family members," "seeing if the apartment is OK" and "shopping with Mom." Those aren't meaningful activities, Jeff. What are you going to do to start thriving instead of simply surviving?

He;s certainly the king of the mandane.  

I can't get over how they fit in several family dinners into one weekend.  

Unnecessary car trips to do things that could be done online or over the phone...constant dinners to "visit" with distant relatives or church acquaintances...taking multiple medications throughout the day...occasionally getting up to move around...

...Jeff's typical daily routine mirrors that of a 70 year-old woman.

My guess is that the constant listing is an attempt to look busy ... "Look at how much stuff I have to do!" ... when in reality, so much of it is unproductive or what most of us would consider "sidebar activities," like buying pants. I think we're in for another round of avoiding productivity or positive change and hoping to go unnoticed.

And Jeff, I don't know what government office will be open on Saturday, November 1, so you can vote. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think early voting is handled in a government office of some sort (it is in Kansas, anyway), and those people are even more clock-bound than you are.

From the Oklahoma Board of Elections

Quote
You can vote early at the County Election Board office in the county where you are registered to vote from 8 AM to 6 PM on Thursday and Friday before all elections.  For state and federal elections only, you also can vote early from 9 AM to 2 PM on Saturday before the election.



http://www.ok.gov/elections/Early_Voting.html
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 22, 2014, 11:30:22 pm
Btw, anyone else find it hard to respond to Bushie here in update without cursing?
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 22, 2014, 11:13:01 pm
what was Bushie wearing at his previous job if he didn't have enough business casual clothes to last more than three days?



WAAAAAYYYYYYYYY too small for Bushie
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 22, 2014, 11:11:29 pm
You are telling me that you dont own a pair of khakis or can't buy something off the rack.  You dont need a bloody tailor...

I've got 3 pair of slacks, I need one more to be comfortable.  I usually wear one pair twice depending on how dirty or sweaty I get.



Why the f*** do you need to go shopping with mommy?  You're THIRTY F***** TWO..

Secndly, FFS why the F*** do you need to have your pants hemmed??  If its a suit, ok I get it, but for Business Casaul? WTF??

8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Rounds has more issues on: October 22, 2014, 09:27:46 pm
Rounds claims he didn't know but...

Quote
U.S. Senate candidate Mike Rounds as governor knew his Cabinet secretary, Richard Benda, was going to work for an investor in the Northern Beef Packers plant about the time Benda approved a proposal to give the plant more state aid — or found out immediately afterwards but was not alarmed.

Benda, then the Secretary of Tourism and State Development, authorized an extra $600,000 in loans to Northern Beef on Dec. 23, 2010. That was a little more than two weeks before both he and Rounds left office.

http://www.argusleader.com/story/davidmontgomery/2014/10/22/rounds-knew-benda-job/17703477/
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NY-04 Predict the Margin on: October 22, 2014, 07:28:09 pm
Rice 56.7
Blakeman 43.3
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Survey USA: Nunn remains slightly ahead on: October 22, 2014, 04:17:54 pm
In crosstabs. 10% say they've already voted, and Perdue has a lead there, and Libertarian only gets 1% of the already voted.  Love the 3% of already voted who are undecided.

These are the people that decide our elections....God help us

Keep in mind, the MOE for the subset of those that already voted is extremely high.  Also with it being 3% of that subset it literally comes out to 2 or 3 people who were polled that said that.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 22, 2014, 03:01:34 pm
What about this time, Gramps?

Bushie was saying how proud he was that he paid a bill today. Turns out his parents are the ones who paid for it.
Not surprised....
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Bill Clinton headling campaign rally for Tim Bishop at my Alma Matter on: October 21, 2014, 01:52:35 pm
Not sure if I should have put this in the Congressional Board, but Bill Clinton is holding a rally for Tim Bishop at Stony Brook University tomorrow   He did this in 2010 as well,  but always kind of cool to see a former President coming to my old school.

http://observer.com/2014/10/bill-clinton-will-return-to-long-island-to-boost-tim-bishop/
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 21, 2014, 01:40:51 pm
That was fast!!!  They told me it would take a week or two to get a decision.  However, I stopped here at the McDonalds on the turnpike headed to Tulsa and had a call from my recruiter saying they want to offer me the job!!!!  I, of course, accepted.  The call and email I received were already 25 minutes old so they must have deliberated for 10 minutes or so!!

Hope this works out for you, but if they are making a decision that fast.....
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is your walkscore? on: October 19, 2014, 09:31:59 pm
66

Looks like some slight change in methodology.  Mine shows 63 now.  My parents home showed 2 the other day, not shows 0.  Home I grew up in is 59.
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 19, 2014, 01:29:44 pm
I don't think the idea of this "vacation" is all that strange. My family never went on any elaborate trips together, and a few of our getaways involved long-ish drives and short stays. If that's the Brown family's idea of a good time, let them have it.

The specifics ... mainly the fact that their 32-year-old son tagged along and stayed in the same room ... are odd, but not unheard of. I've traveled with my parents to events at different times over the last decade.

The same room stuff is certainly a bit strange
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What is Gardner doing that Buck didn't to not fall flat on his face? on: October 18, 2014, 11:08:08 pm
Just curious. At face value, these seem like very similar races. Is it Udall's joke of a campaign?

Keep in mind that polling wise Buck was pretty much in the same position Gardner is in now.  In fact the RCP average is the exact same now as it was heading into Election Day in 2010 (Buck and Garnder both +3.0)

With that being said Gardner has run a stronger and more disciplined campaign than Buck.  Gardner despite having a very conservative voting record in the House has tacked to the center a bit.  Meanwhile as Vox Populi stated Buck basically doubled down on hard core conservatism.  Ultimately, I think Udall squeaks this one out, but Gardner is a much stronger candidate than Buck and has run a much better campaign.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arizona gay marriage ban struck down on: October 17, 2014, 06:21:38 pm
As a sidenote: please Jesus let Wyoming be next.

Ding Ding Ding


Quote

CHEYENNE -- A federal judge in Casper has issued an order that strikes down Wyoming’s ban on same-sex marriage.

However, the order is on hold until Thursday, unless the state notifies the court sooner that it will not appeal the ruling.

During Thursday’s gubernatorial debate in Riverton, Gov. Matt Mead said he would not appeal if Judge Scott W. Skavdahl ruled in favor of gay marriage.

“If the court rules, with the 10th Circuit already ruling, I don’t see there will be merit in appealing the judge’s order,” Mead said.

http://www.wyomingnews.com/articles/2014/10/17/breaking_news/01break_10-17-14.txt#.VEGf_fldX3Y

Lord, it's a miracle. Cheesy

Its technically possible another state could beat Wyoming.  The state has been given to next Thursday to appeal.  The state seems unlikely to do so, but with the way these bans have been dropping another ban could be overturned prior to then (Montana seems like its just days away)
18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Arizona gay marriage ban struck down on: October 17, 2014, 06:03:29 pm
As a sidenote: please Jesus let Wyoming be next.

Ding Ding Ding


Quote

CHEYENNE -- A federal judge in Casper has issued an order that strikes down Wyoming’s ban on same-sex marriage.

However, the order is on hold until Thursday, unless the state notifies the court sooner that it will not appeal the ruling.

During Thursday’s gubernatorial debate in Riverton, Gov. Matt Mead said he would not appeal if Judge Scott W. Skavdahl ruled in favor of gay marriage.

“If the court rules, with the 10th Circuit already ruling, I don’t see there will be merit in appealing the judge’s order,” Mead said.

http://www.wyomingnews.com/articles/2014/10/17/breaking_news/01break_10-17-14.txt#.VEGf_fldX3Y
19  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is your walkscore? on: October 17, 2014, 02:05:20 pm
66
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer: Nunn +1 on: October 17, 2014, 10:44:28 am
If it gets to a runoff (which I think it will), it will depend on:

1) how far Nunn will run ahead of Perdue on November 4 (if at all).   She would probably need at least a 2 point lead on Election Day.

2) the Senate breakdown after November 4.  If the Republicans have already won the Senate in November, the enthusiasm level goes down (like it did for the Democrats in 1992 Coverdell-Fowler and 2008 Chambliss-Martin), and  the runoff will probably favor Nunn

At the end of the day though, the libertarian vote won't be six-percent on Election Day, so a 2-point lead would probably get you very close to 50%. Libertarians will poll around 6-percent in Georgia, but end up in the 2-3 point range when people pull the lever on Election Day.

Don't forget there's also the Governor's race in Georgia. If that goes to a runoff as well, you'll have higher turnout. It will basically be a general election redux.

There would be two seperate runoffs in Georgia.  The Governor's race in December, the Senate in early Jan
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: October 16, 2014, 01:29:30 pm
Smash lives on Long Island.  His mind is just boggling that people pay such cheap rent.  Perhaps $300/month is a bit low, but you could, say, find a perfectly adequate 1br in Tulsa for $500/month, and probably even cheaper if you felt like clicking around some more.

Obviously I know its considerably cheaper in most of the country, the $300 is what really surprised me.  The $589 Bushie pays is closer to what I would have thought.
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: NFL Pick Em, Week 7 on: October 16, 2014, 01:23:50 pm

Week 7: October 15 - October 21
THU, OCT 16
NY Jets at New England 

SUN, OCT 19
Atlanta at Baltimore 
Tennessee
at Washington   
Seattle at St. Louis 
Cleveland at Jacksonville 
Cincinnati at Indianapolis 
Minnesota at Buffalo 
Miami at Chicago 
New Orleans
at Detroit 
Carolina at Green Bay 
Kansas City at San Diego 
Arizona at Oakland 
NY Giants at Dallas 
San Francisco at Denver 8:30 PM

MON, OCT 20 
Houston at Pittsburgh 8:30 PM   



TIE BREAKER - TOTAL SCORE  KC VS SAN DIEGO 51

23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: NFL Pick a Winner Week #7 on: October 16, 2014, 01:21:50 pm
Cards
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: October 15, 2014, 04:08:03 pm
There are people raising young children on $8.35 an hour

True statement. And I think Jeff could make some concessions so that a smaller wage is a more-acceptable wage -- eating at home and cutting back on TV would be top on the list.

Still, I don't think we should oversimplify how bare bones one would have to exist in order to make an $8.35 an hour wage work. Jeff is in a more-manageable situation due to having his parents' help, so he could get by on a smaller wage in order to build up experience, a somewhat-stable job history and start to pay down some debt. However, this is where the mentor / life coach / etc. comes into play to help him make that type of wage work -- because it wouldn't be easy:

Estimated pre-tax annual earnings at $8.35 an hour would be:

$17,368 -- that's assuming there is paid time off and / or vacation included.

Tax liability at that level would be low, but for sh[inks] and grins, let's assume $1,500 -- federal and state.

What would other reasonable monthly expenses be?

Rent          $300 / mo
Electric      $50 / mo
Water        $25 / mo
Food          $350 / mo (Can you get by with less? Sure ... but you'll eat unhealthy food)
Gas / Car   $150 / mo (This includes routine maintenance ... no idea if Jeff has car payments)
Clothing     $40 / mo (Don't expect someone to not buy clothing)
Phone        $75 / mo (Assume data and possible replacement at some point)
Internet     $50 / mo (Sorry, it's probably a necessity in this day and age)
Debt          $150 / mo (I have no idea what Jeff's debt is, but this is a reasonable amount)

That's $1,190 in expenses per month and completely excludes entertainment (other than web-based) or miscellaneous needs. It also excludes health care, since Jeff seems to get his for free. Otherwise, it'd be another $150 easily.

If the taxes are estimated somewhat correctly, someone earning $8.35 an hour would pull in $1,322.33 per month. They'd have enough to pay the bills listed above and have $132.33 left over.

And I have no idea what Jeff's actual expenses are. His rent may be lower or it may be higher. In Manhattan, KS (which is somewhat comparable to Tulsa), you're unlikely to find a single apartment for less than $600. I may be off on the estimated expenses, too.

Maybe you all are living like St. Francis. I personally haven't ever had to manage an income level that low, and it's been a decade since I've managed one even close to that. While I think buckling down and managing a tight budget would ultimately be good for Jeff, I can certainly understand his reluctance to accept something that leaves very little wiggle room.

That being said -- this needs to be part of your deliberation process when looking at jobs and possible offers, Jeff. Ask yourself, "What do I want," vs. "What do I need?" Because surviving on needs may be the critical step to build toward enjoying your wants.



Wow......
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVII: I Ate The Strawberry (The REAL, AUTHENTIC Update) on: October 14, 2014, 03:41:50 pm
I'm home from the interview.  I did find out that I was turned down for the job in OKC, not due to lack of skill, but due to abundance of applications.  The interview here in Tulsa went very well.  It was only a 10-15 minute meeting with the HR Manager, but I should have further word on that job by the end of the week.  This confirms that I will need to keep my phone on while we're driving to ABQ this Friday.  I am going to stay in my interview clothes for a while longer just in case something unexpected pops up the remainder of the afternoon.  I am going to leave here at 1800 for the fellowship.  When I get back tonight, I am going to do Week 11 of the Real-Life Discipleship Training that we will cover tomorrow night at church.  There is a potential that I may have another interview tomorrow or Thursday for a 4-month temporary position in Tulsa that would take me through February.

Umm what??  Is there a reason you wouldn't keep your phone on??
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