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April 23, 2014, 02:54:19 pm
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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Should I delete Update? on: April 21, 2014, 10:23:40 pm
I can understand locking it (though with the latest developement, I wouldn't want it to), I thnk that makes more sense that deleting the whole thing.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: is the preceding atlasian more conservative or more liberal than your rep.? on: April 21, 2014, 07:19:28 pm
more liberal than Peter King
3  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: IL/WI: Which Great Lakes state is more "liberal"? on: April 21, 2014, 09:51:57 am
Illinois.  Madison itself is the most liberal, but its small in size compared to Chicago.  Not to mention the conservative areas of Illinois for the most part do not have many people, Waukesha County does.
4  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: challenge to mapmakers - try drawing the wealthiest district on: April 20, 2014, 11:18:26 pm
Depends what you are using.  Is it median household income?  Per Capita income, etc?
5  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Mean Girls on: April 20, 2014, 10:58:22 pm
Although she seems like she is starting to do better, I miss the hot pre drugged out Lindsey Lohan....
6  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite Pizza Chain on: April 20, 2014, 10:56:20 pm
As someone who was born and raised on Long Island, I can pretty much speak for everyone in the NY metro area on this.....   Favorite and Pizza Chain should NEVER be in the same sentence....
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Most vulnerable Southern state for Republicans on: April 20, 2014, 07:33:58 pm
Am I the only one seeing the huge of a nuisance that the changing demographics in TX will be for the state GOP very, very soon?

From what I've read and heard, both AR and NC, though still very Democratic at the local level, will be shifting red over the next few years. I guess they are mostly old Dixiecrats whom, by some reason, were too stubborn/lazy/loyal to their tickets to go nominally red. Kind of Zell Millers.

Though I see VA as Southern due to it being in the Confederacy (and hosting its capital also), I don't see it as quite Southern. Northern VA, where if not the majority, very certainly a hefty chunk of the population lives, specially strikes me as very Northeastern.

North Carolina is moving to the left nationally.  Many transplants from the norrtheast in the Charlotte and Research Triangle areas.

Texas is a bit of a possibility, but it is more of a long term potental shift than anything that we will see in the next election cycle or two.

NE transplants, pardon me if I'm wrong, are mostly middle-class Republican leaning fleeing unemployment and high taxes, no? Though very probably more socially liberal than your average Appalachian voter, I thought they were a reliable constituency for the GOP.

Middle class is correct, but its more complex than that.  Keep in mind the transplant population is diverse.  The Asian and Hispanic populations have increased.  Also the white transplant vote, while in some cases still GOP leaning (certainly not all) is considerably less Republican than previously there.



So, its perhaps part of the same tendency which turned Northern NJ, Northern VA, and suburban counties as a whole from staunchly Republican to Democratic leaning over the last 2 decades?

Yes, it is very similar to what has been going on there, especially VA.  NC has a longer distance to travel to get to that point, but it is very similar.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Most vulnerable Southern state for Republicans on: April 20, 2014, 07:08:23 pm
Am I the only one seeing the huge of a nuisance that the changing demographics in TX will be for the state GOP very, very soon?

From what I've read and heard, both AR and NC, though still very Democratic at the local level, will be shifting red over the next few years. I guess they are mostly old Dixiecrats whom, by some reason, were too stubborn/lazy/loyal to their tickets to go nominally red. Kind of Zell Millers.

Though I see VA as Southern due to it being in the Confederacy (and hosting its capital also), I don't see it as quite Southern. Northern VA, where if not the majority, very certainly a hefty chunk of the population lives, specially strikes me as very Northeastern.

North Carolina is moving to the left nationally.  Many transplants from the norrtheast in the Charlotte and Research Triangle areas.

Texas is a bit of a possibility, but it is more of a long term potental shift than anything that we will see in the next election cycle or two.

NE transplants, pardon me if I'm wrong, are mostly middle-class Republican leaning fleeing unemployment and high taxes, no? Though very probably more socially liberal than your average Appalachian voter, I thought they were a reliable constituency for the GOP.

Middle class is correct, but its more complex than that.  Keep in mind the transplant population is diverse.  The Asian and Hispanic populations have increased.  Also the white transplant vote, while in some cases still GOP leaning (certainly not all) is considerably less Republican than previously there.

9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Most vulnerable Southern state for Republicans on: April 20, 2014, 06:46:27 pm
Am I the only one seeing the huge of a nuisance that the changing demographics in TX will be for the state GOP very, very soon?

From what I've read and heard, both AR and NC, though still very Democratic at the local level, will be shifting red over the next few years. I guess they are mostly old Dixiecrats whom, by some reason, were too stubborn/lazy/loyal to their tickets to go nominally red. Kind of Zell Millers.

Though I see VA as Southern due to it being in the Confederacy (and hosting its capital also), I don't see it as quite Southern. Northern VA, where if not the majority, very certainly a hefty chunk of the population lives, specially strikes me as very Northeastern.

North Carolina is moving to the left nationally.  Many transplants from the norrtheast in the Charlotte and Research Triangle areas.

Texas is a bit of a possibility, but it is more of a long term potental shift than anything that we will see in the next election cycle or two.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Most vulnerable Southern state for Republicans on: April 20, 2014, 06:28:06 pm
I somehow went blind and didn't see Virginia so I voted North Carolina.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Will Marion County, Indiana vote Republican in the next few election cycles? on: April 20, 2014, 06:25:29 pm
Lol, no
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / 20 years Later Illmatic on: April 17, 2014, 01:23:36 pm
Saturday will be the 20th Anniversery of the release of what is thought of one of the best if not the best hip hop album of all time  Nas's "Illmatic". 

Pure classic

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXM6qu8hGrI
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: How has your family voted? on: April 17, 2014, 12:32:33 am
Recent ones I knew for both of them. Dad I asked a few years back, some of them he wasn't sure, others I'm not sure IIRC. 


Dad
68- Humphrey
72- Nixon
76- Ford?
80- Carter?
84- Reagan
88- Bush?
92- Clinton..
96- Clinton
00- Gore
04 Bush
08- Obama
12 Obama


Mom, 72-88  really have no clue, proably a bit of a mix
92 Perot..
96 Clinton
00 Gore
04 Bush
08 Obama
12 Obama


In 92 I know one voted for Clinon the other for Perot, I think it was my dad for Clinton and Mom for Perot, but not certain.  Mom was actually a registered Republican in NY, but never knew how and considered herself an Independent, and was more apoltical.  Dad was registered Democrat, wasn't really aware of it either, considered himself an Independent but leaned slightly more Democratic.

My parents moved to S.C in 2009 (right outside of Charlotte) which doesn't have registration by PArty, but now are both pretty much solid Democrats.


14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How can I get cash? on: April 16, 2014, 06:40:14 pm
...go to the bank?

My bank is a mostly North Dakota one. It has only one branch in the state which is out in Golden Valley.


You clearly need to switch banks.

Or just borrow some cash off a friend or something. How much can you possibly need for "merch"?

Convenience. My mom works at the bank so if I ever have problems (like this fraud) I just text hwr and let her take care of it. I rarely so anything aside maybe sign sone papers I get mailed.

As for merch prices LPs and shirts are usually like $15.


Might be time to switch banks...


Also, what do you do when you have to go to the ATM?  Don't you have to pay atm fees if it isn't your bank?
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever fix yourself non-meat dinners? on: April 15, 2014, 10:54:25 pm
Not really, even if I just fix myself a salad or something like that I throw some chicken in there for the protein since it helps when working out.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of walking on: April 14, 2014, 09:30:29 pm
Really enjoy it, one of the things I miss the most about working in Manhattan (although Midtown would be even better than where I was)
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: In what decade were your parents born? on: April 14, 2014, 07:34:48 pm
1945 and 1951

^^^^This
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which county is best suited for the previous poster, politically/culturally? on: April 13, 2014, 11:31:45 pm
Orange, NC
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Red New England? on: April 13, 2014, 11:27:58 pm
Until the GOP drops the religious right, its gone.

The GOP doesn't have to drop the religious right, they just need to stop putting so much emphasis on social issues and governing by hostage crisis.

George HW Bush was a pragmatic conservative who won the last GOP landslide and carried much of the Northeast by convincing margins. That's what the Republican Party has to return to: pragmatic conservativism. We don't have to drop the Religious Right or become the Democratic Party. Just stop being ing insane about everything.

Winning elections and being conservative are not mutually exclusive.

That was also at a time of important electoral flux as it was the GOP's last romp in New England. His victories there probably had more to do with image, the economy, and tradition rather than his political stances, seeing how right he veered in order to make sure he had the nomination lined up for him in '88.

Remember that after the 1990s, "law and order" more or less disappeared as a significant electoral issue. For most of the mid- and late-20th century, Republicans had that advantage. People were worried about violent crime and domestic unrest. You had protests in the '60s, all those people trying to assassinate Gerald Ford in the '70s, the crack epidemic in the '80s. The Rodney King riots in 1992. Bill Clinton and the Democrats more or less had to play on Republican turf to win in the '90s by going on about school uniforms and having Tipper Gore talk about banning violent video games and whatever else was going on.

That's not an issue anymore. Not even uptight suburban moms are worried about being "tough on crime." Even conservatives have come around to the idea that simply throwing the book at people for minute infractions might not be the best strategy. Scaling back criminal sentencing and drug laws dovetails perfectly between social liberals who want a more lenient approach to drug use and who are concerned about high incarceration rates among minorities, and fiscal conservatives who finally realized that prisons are really expensive to run.

New Hampshire is the only true swing state in New England. 



I will forever argue to my grave that ME-2 can be in play with the right Republican. All those guys that once made Maine a red stronghold didn't all just die, did they?

It has been 25 years and the most reliable GOP voters werre likely older eve back then, I would say its a very real possibility that many are dead.
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which county is best suited for the previous poster, politically/culturally? on: April 13, 2014, 04:10:25 pm
Santa Clara County, CA
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Vermont vs. New Hampshire vs. Maine on: April 13, 2014, 01:40:50 pm
One of the things I pondered today:

Why is New Hampshire so much more Republican Presidentially than its neighbors on either side?

Obviously it is still not considered a conservative state, but Vermont is one of the most liberal states in the country and Maine is up there as well. As far as I know the demographics are not very different between the three states, and yet voting patterns seem to quite literally change at the borders.

Why?


Most of the areas in New Hampshire that border Vermont are fairly Democratic, it is the Boston suburban portion of the state that tends to be the most Republican
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Red New England? on: April 13, 2014, 12:02:37 pm
Until the GOP drops the religious right, its gone.

The GOP doesn't have to drop the religious right, they just need to stop putting so much emphasis on social issues and governing by hostage crisis.

George HW Bush was a pragmatic conservative who won the last GOP landslide and carried much of the Northeast by convincing margins. That's what the Republican Party has to return to: pragmatic conservativism. We don't have to drop the Religious Right or become the Democratic Party. Just stop being ing insane about everything.

Winning elections and being conservative are not mutually exclusive.

And that was 26 years ago.....

Social conservatism certainly isn't the only problem the GOP has in the northeast, the GOP has a whole host o problem, but they won't even get off the ground floor with one now.  A George HW Bush pragmatic type would still get obliterated.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which states could flip with no Hillary? on: April 12, 2014, 10:32:16 pm
Paul and Walker are good Republicans?  Since when?  Huntsman I agree with, but he has the same chances of winning a Republican Presidential Primary as I do.

Paul can appeal to personal liberty and antiwar voters.  Walker is a Conservative who got elected in a blue state.

Both are way too conservative socially in order to put anything in play outside of what Romney won.  Wisconsin is a possibility for Walker, but the different electorate might make that a bit more difficult.  Keep in mind Romney won a much bluer state, look how much good that did him.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Red New England? on: April 12, 2014, 10:29:38 pm
So you people are telling me that the only thing keeping Republicans from doing well in the Northeast is abortion and gay marriage?

Lol no, but social conservatism just makes it impossible.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which states could flip with no Hillary? on: April 12, 2014, 12:25:46 pm
I don't understand why everyone is treating Hillary as inevitable, though. She's getting old, and before being constantly heckled about it, said running is something she wouldn't do again.

In particular with PA and MN, I often say they don't know that they want to be red (or blue here?) states. It will take a good candidate to put them in play though. Notice how the awful Bush closed the gap in them all, as well as in MI and WI. Imagine what a GOOD, popular Republican could do. I always say WI is not gone due to how close it was in 2000 and 2004. Obama in all these states was a fluke, IMO.

This Blue Wall that is spoken of is only I really solid with someone popular like Bill or Obama, as I stated. Given a generic Democrat like O'Malley or Dean, and a good Republican like Rand Paul, Scott Walker, or maybe even Jon Huntsman, and I think a lot of these states can be in play.

Paul and Walker are good Republicans?  Since when?  Huntsman I agree with, but he has the same chances of winning a Republican Presidential Primary as I do.
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