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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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26  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which county is best suited for the previous poster, politically/culturally? on: April 13, 2014, 04:10:25 pm
Santa Clara County, CA
27  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Vermont vs. New Hampshire vs. Maine on: April 13, 2014, 01:40:50 pm
One of the things I pondered today:

Why is New Hampshire so much more Republican Presidentially than its neighbors on either side?

Obviously it is still not considered a conservative state, but Vermont is one of the most liberal states in the country and Maine is up there as well. As far as I know the demographics are not very different between the three states, and yet voting patterns seem to quite literally change at the borders.

Why?


Most of the areas in New Hampshire that border Vermont are fairly Democratic, it is the Boston suburban portion of the state that tends to be the most Republican
28  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Red New England? on: April 13, 2014, 12:02:37 pm
Until the GOP drops the religious right, its gone.

The GOP doesn't have to drop the religious right, they just need to stop putting so much emphasis on social issues and governing by hostage crisis.

George HW Bush was a pragmatic conservative who won the last GOP landslide and carried much of the Northeast by convincing margins. That's what the Republican Party has to return to: pragmatic conservativism. We don't have to drop the Religious Right or become the Democratic Party. Just stop being ing insane about everything.

Winning elections and being conservative are not mutually exclusive.

And that was 26 years ago.....

Social conservatism certainly isn't the only problem the GOP has in the northeast, the GOP has a whole host o problem, but they won't even get off the ground floor with one now.  A George HW Bush pragmatic type would still get obliterated.
29  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which states could flip with no Hillary? on: April 12, 2014, 10:32:16 pm
Paul and Walker are good Republicans?  Since when?  Huntsman I agree with, but he has the same chances of winning a Republican Presidential Primary as I do.

Paul can appeal to personal liberty and antiwar voters.  Walker is a Conservative who got elected in a blue state.

Both are way too conservative socially in order to put anything in play outside of what Romney won.  Wisconsin is a possibility for Walker, but the different electorate might make that a bit more difficult.  Keep in mind Romney won a much bluer state, look how much good that did him.
30  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Red New England? on: April 12, 2014, 10:29:38 pm
So you people are telling me that the only thing keeping Republicans from doing well in the Northeast is abortion and gay marriage?

Lol no, but social conservatism just makes it impossible.
31  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update Season XIV: The new chapter on: April 12, 2014, 10:06:48 pm
Let me be clear.  I did ABSOLUTELY NOTHING WRONG on Friday.  I did what I felt was necessary.  That's ok.  It doesn't require judgment or calling someone stupid for doing that.  You guys are the ones who are insane, not me.

Jeff, you do a lot of things that you think are necessary that normal people would never do.  You apparently thought it was necessary to take money from your parents to buy porn.  That's not normal either.  Honestly, probably 80% of the time, if you think something is a good idea, just the opposite is true.  Your judgment is terrible.  If you had good judgment, you wouldn't be broke, unemployed, and in such terrible health.  Wake up, man.  Quit living in this fantasy world where everything is fine and dandy.

STOP JUDGING ME!!!!!!!!  I AM DOING JUST FINE ON MY OWN!!!!!!!!!!

But you're not doing just fine on your own.  You're not paying for anything.  You're not really "on your own".  Someone else supports everything you do.  If you were on your own, you would have gone bankrupt and become homeless years ago.  You don't seem to understand that.

All you're doing is condemning me.  You have provided ZERO encouragement.  YOU are the stupid one for that.  Not me.

Bushie, take a step back a second.  First, no one is condemning you.  However, saying you are just fine on your own obviously isn't true.

You are in your early 30's, you are living with your parents, out of work and they are providing everything for you.  That doesn't translate to everything is just fine on your own.  You need to realize this.

 Look, you aren't the only person your age that it has happened to,  but you need to realize there is a problem.  You also need to fix the problem yourself, and don't think God will do it for you.  

While I was never quite in your situation I can relate to a bit of it.  As my parents were preparing to retire to the Carolina's, the bank I was working for laid off several thousand people, I was one of them.  I went from having a nice salary and little expenses, to collecting unemployment with much larger expenses.  The increased expenses I was expecting since I was getting my own apartment, etc, but doing so getting a fraction of what I was making I burned through a large amount of savings.  To make it worse this was right in the heart of the recession and I was out of work a long time.

 When I finally found a job, it wasn't exactly what I was looking for, and didn't pay what I wanted, but I was a few months away from packing it up heading down to the Carolina's and moving back in with my folks so obviously I took it

During my job search I made mistakes.  There were times that I didn't apply to a position I should have because it was a little less than what I wanted, or didn't due as much research I should have prior to the interview.  However, I didn't look for other people to blame, I didn't make excuses, I learned from my mistakes and moved on.  That is the problem I think most of us have.  You do the same thing over and over, make the same mistakes over and over and nothing changes.  You don't take any responsibility for any mistakes that you make.  You put your faith in God doing things for you instead learning from your mistakes, putting the faith in yourself and most of all working your ass off.
32  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Which states could flip with no Hillary? on: April 12, 2014, 12:25:46 pm
I don't understand why everyone is treating Hillary as inevitable, though. She's getting old, and before being constantly heckled about it, said running is something she wouldn't do again.

In particular with PA and MN, I often say they don't know that they want to be red (or blue here?) states. It will take a good candidate to put them in play though. Notice how the awful Bush closed the gap in them all, as well as in MI and WI. Imagine what a GOOD, popular Republican could do. I always say WI is not gone due to how close it was in 2000 and 2004. Obama in all these states was a fluke, IMO.

This Blue Wall that is spoken of is only I really solid with someone popular like Bill or Obama, as I stated. Given a generic Democrat like O'Malley or Dean, and a good Republican like Rand Paul, Scott Walker, or maybe even Jon Huntsman, and I think a lot of these states can be in play.

Paul and Walker are good Republicans?  Since when?  Huntsman I agree with, but he has the same chances of winning a Republican Presidential Primary as I do.
33  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Red New England? on: April 12, 2014, 12:20:16 pm
Until the GOP drops the religious right, its gone.
34  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What is Huckabee's ceiling against Clinton in the Electoral College? on: April 12, 2014, 12:17:07 pm
The ceiling implies that Huckabee avoids serious gaffes, and runs a good campaign in a favorable environment.

If so he'll do as well as any Republican could (with the exception of Christie, who in a best case scenario, could take New Jersey).

In 2012, 85% of voters agreed with the sentiment that Obama cared more about people like them than Romney did. Huckabee could do much better in that category. I could see him articulating a positive vision of government, generally an appealing message.



The problem with Huckabee is that he's a high risk type. He could win the nomination without demonstrating General Election strength. He's a skilled enough politician (and likely to be surrounded by enough minders) that he should be able to avoid Akin style gaffes. But a nomination could still be a disaster. Electorally, his floor is probably McCain in 2008. But he could also hinder the party in other races. It could hurt the House races, to say nothing of Republican incumbents running for Senate in Ohio, Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Florida and New Hampshire, especially if any of those become open seats.

This is way past absurd.  Huckabee is completely unelectable.  His ceiling is Romney 2012 and N.C might be pushing it. 
35  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your governors during your lifetime on: April 11, 2014, 09:38:04 pm

Carey 82
Cuomo 83-94
Pataki 95-06
Spitzer 07-08
Patterson  08-10
Cuomo 11- Present
36  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: A debate on Car Control on: April 10, 2014, 12:15:54 pm
I think we should have safety measures for cars, airplanes and guns that are warranted in each case.  There are a number of factors you would consider in that calculation including the number of people killed by that weapon or vehicle.  It ends up being a cost-benefit analysis between the cost of the safety measure and the reduced risk of harm.  

What I take issue with is the argument that we need to regulate everything with a potential to kill in the same manner.  We don't heavily regulate knives and knives kill people, therefore we shouldn't regulate guns.  That's just silly.  By that logic, we don't regulate fists and you can punch someone to death, therefore, nuclear weapons should be legal for private citizens.
But we don't regulate cars at all for their owners' propensity to commit a violent act with their cars.

The issue here is not, "We don't heavily regulate __X__, so we shouldn't regulate guns."  The issue should be, "Why should we regulate guns?"  Where is the logic in the regulation of guns?  There has to be a reason for the regulation that starts somewhere broad and works its way into the narrow universe of guns.  If you don't do that, your regulations are admittedly arbitrary.

So what is the rationale for regulating guns, and what is your logic chain that shows that your proposed regulation isn't arbitrary?


Hmm, perhaps because the PURPOSE of a gun is to kill........

So are swords, but we don't regulate them, and they are inherently dangerous and designed to kill.  So that can't be the basis for why we have gun regulation.  There has to be something more than just being inherently dangerous with the purpose of design to kill.  You're still working backwards from your conclusion and attempting to justify it.

How many swords are actually used to kill someone?  How many guns are used to kill someone?   FTR, I'm not saying we should ban guns, but they need to be more regulated.  To make a comparison between something designed to kill and something not designed to kill is asinine.  To make a comparison between something that very rarely used to kill to something that is used to kill quite often is asinine.
37  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senator Ron Johnson knew since 2011 about Assemblyman Kramer's Sexual Assault on: April 10, 2014, 12:00:48 pm
Confidentiality is one thing, but when a crime has allegedly been committed, that makes confidentiality less of a valid issue. Kramer moving up in the leadership could have given him more authority to commit crime unchecked, as more authority can equal the ability to shut people up. When Kramer moved up, that's when Johnson should have had a talk with the leadership.

I'd argue that he should've made that appeal to the alleged victim first.  If, after making that plea, she still wanted him to stay quiet, I still think there's an ethical problem with violating her wishes.

Isn't there an ethical problem with knowing someone committed a Sexual Assault and not alerting the Authorities??  This wasn't some minor crime that Johnson stayed quiet about.   

We don't even know who wanted who to stay quiet first, but even assuming that she was the one who wanted to stay quiet, when its something like sexual assault and you know about it, you have an ethical responsibility to do something about it. 

Johnson didn't know someone had committed a sexual assault; he knew someone had allegedly committed a sexual assault.

Do you support mandatory arrest laws in domestic violence instances?

Yes, someone that beats the crap out of their wife/ girlfriend, etc needs to be stopped asap, regardless of whether or not wants to press charges.  Same for those who rape, sexually assault someone.
38  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: A debate on Car Control on: April 10, 2014, 07:37:27 am
I think we should have safety measures for cars, airplanes and guns that are warranted in each case.  There are a number of factors you would consider in that calculation including the number of people killed by that weapon or vehicle.  It ends up being a cost-benefit analysis between the cost of the safety measure and the reduced risk of harm.  

What I take issue with is the argument that we need to regulate everything with a potential to kill in the same manner.  We don't heavily regulate knives and knives kill people, therefore we shouldn't regulate guns.  That's just silly.  By that logic, we don't regulate fists and you can punch someone to death, therefore, nuclear weapons should be legal for private citizens.
But we don't regulate cars at all for their owners' propensity to commit a violent act with their cars.

The issue here is not, "We don't heavily regulate __X__, so we shouldn't regulate guns."  The issue should be, "Why should we regulate guns?"  Where is the logic in the regulation of guns?  There has to be a reason for the regulation that starts somewhere broad and works its way into the narrow universe of guns.  If you don't do that, your regulations are admittedly arbitrary.

So what is the rationale for regulating guns, and what is your logic chain that shows that your proposed regulation isn't arbitrary?


Hmm, perhaps because the PURPOSE of a gun is to kill........
39  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: if youre looking for a job.... on: April 09, 2014, 10:18:06 am
Depends what you are doing and where you are.  When I was out of work there were many days I was putting in 25+ applications.  However, looking for a finance job in NY metro area (primarily looked in NYC and LI) is far different than looking for another type of job elsewhere in the country.
40  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP (D) for MoveOn.org (D): Dems lead in FL, PA, GA, KS, ME on: April 09, 2014, 10:07:17 am
Dominating.

Not really: There's a chance these PPP polls (who are done for a left-wing outfit) are off by about 3-5 points in favour of the Dems.

See Jolly vs. Sink.

Considering it is a poll for Moveon rather than just something they are doing themselves I could buy the argument of questionign it, however being off in a Special Election Congresional race (which is notriously very difficult to poll) is not a reason to question it.
41  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senator Ron Johnson knew since 2011 about Assemblyman Kramer's Sexual Assault on: April 08, 2014, 11:38:27 pm
Confidentiality is one thing, but when a crime has allegedly been committed, that makes confidentiality less of a valid issue. Kramer moving up in the leadership could have given him more authority to commit crime unchecked, as more authority can equal the ability to shut people up. When Kramer moved up, that's when Johnson should have had a talk with the leadership.

I'd argue that he should've made that appeal to the alleged victim first.  If, after making that plea, she still wanted him to stay quiet, I still think there's an ethical problem with violating her wishes.

Isn't there an ethical problem with knowing someone committed a Sexual Assault and not alerting the Authorities??  This wasn't some minor crime that Johnson stayed quiet about.   

We don't even know who wanted who to stay quiet first, but even assuming that she was the one who wanted to stay quiet, when its something like sexual assault and you know about it, you have an ethical responsibility to do something about it. 
42  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: THE NEW YORK RANGERS ARE IN THE PLAYOFFS!!! on: April 08, 2014, 01:22:14 pm
And the first round exit door is over there ------>

^^^^^^^
43  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senator Ron Johnson knew since 2011 about Assemblyman Kramer's Sexual Assault on: April 07, 2014, 04:37:59 pm
It seems like a lot of people are passing judgment on Johnson without knowing all of the facts.  If it is true that the alleged victim asked Johnson to stay quiet about the assault, then I see nothing wrong with what he did.  If he influenced her to keep quiet, I certainly would be on the opposite side of the fence, but if she independently chose to not press charges and did not want the incident gaining public attention, that's her choice, and I think Johnson should have honored that.

Until proven, an allegation is simply an allegation, and for some reason, when it comes to sexual assaults, Americans tend to throw due process out the window and vilify the accused before he has had his day in court.

Certainly if I were Johnson, I would have encouraged her to go to the police, and he may have done that; the article doesn't discuss that.

But in not going to the police upon the alleged request of the victim, I don't think Johnson did anything wrong.  On the contrary, if I were the victim and someone had taken this public against my wishes, I'd be pretty pissed.

Yes, I do think it is important to know if she asked him to be quiet or not, but if a friend of yours, someone who worked for you, etc was sexually assaulted would you just say quiet about it or would you go to the police?
44  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What are you listening to right now? II on: April 06, 2014, 10:57:21 pm
Still on the UMF kick

Martin Garrix's Ultra 2014 set
45  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: And now Mississippi has passed Religious Freedom Protection Bill on: April 06, 2014, 04:19:18 pm
How is this a sign of the religious right dying?

I wouldn't say they are dying, but losing influence.  There are exceptions in hellhole states like Mississippi.
46  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Senator Ron Johnson knew since 2011 about Assemblyman Kramer's Sexual Assault on: April 05, 2014, 10:26:54 pm
The # 2 in the Wisconsin Assembly was recently charged with two felonies regarding a Seual Assault against a woman in 2011.  The woman was a staffer to Ron Johnson, and did not go to police until other sexual misconduct allegations against Kramer came to light.  She did however tell Johnson, his aide andd the Waukesha GOP chair in 2011.

Quote

Madison U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, his chief of staff and a Waukesha County GOP official were all told three years ago of allegations that a then-aide to the senator had been sexually assaulted by state Rep. Bill Kramer, but none of them took the matter to the police or Assembly leaders.

The woman told her supervisor in Johnson's office and a number of other people, but decided at the time to have her attorney send a letter to Kramer rather than go to the police, records show. Last month nearly three years after the alleged assault outside a Muskego bar the woman learned of Kramer's alleged mistreatment of other women and filed a complaint with Muskego police that has resulted in two felony charges of second-degree sexual assault.

In the meantime, Kramer's Assembly colleagues elected him last fall to the job of majority leader, the No. 2 position in that house. Before that vote, some Republicans in the Assembly who opposed Kramer's bid raised concerns about his behavior.

But neither Johnson nor anyone from his office contacted Assembly Speaker Robin Vos (R-Rochester), who has led that body since January 2013, or Jeff Fitzgerald, who served as speaker at the time of the alleged 2011 assault.



Read more from Journal Sentinel
 http://www.jsonline.com/news/ron-johnson-did-not-tell-police-of-assault-allegations-three-years-ago-b99240536z1-253954591.html#ixzz2y4VxHFUi
47  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: And now Mississippi has passed Religious Freedom Protection Bill on: April 04, 2014, 11:39:16 am
Joke State
48  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Rank your sports teams by how much you care about them on: April 03, 2014, 03:51:21 pm
1.  New York Giants
2.  New York Yankees
3.  New York Islanders
Gap
4.  Brooklyn Nets
49  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What are you listening to right now? II on: April 02, 2014, 11:16:53 pm
Tiesto's set from Ultra
50  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What are you listening to right now? II on: April 01, 2014, 11:02:45 pm
Ultra Music Festival 2014 Hardwell's set
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