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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump 2016 = Richard Nixon 1968? on: March 12, 2016, 06:00:41 am
Hillary is Nixon

Trump is Wallace

Kasich is Humphrey
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What Republicans must do and must do NOW on: March 10, 2016, 01:35:56 am
Some people say Trump will move to the middle during the general, but I think it's too late. Plus, I seriously doubt he will tone down his personality.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Democratic apathy with Clinton give Cruz the election in November? on: February 06, 2016, 03:02:15 pm
I have said this before: Rubio is 2008 Obama without the charisma and strong narrative.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess! Who will be in Hillary's VP Final Shortlist and Who will She Pick? on: December 17, 2015, 11:37:00 pm
Most likely Tim Kaine.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Possible Running-Mates for Hillary Clinton on: November 16, 2015, 05:41:10 pm
 Tim Kaine will most likely be her VP,
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What's the most SJW city in America? on: October 29, 2015, 07:45:32 am
This term has been overused and lost its meaning.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: President Rubio? on: October 29, 2015, 07:28:31 am
He's like 2008 Obama without the charisma and narrative. I think he will be a better candidate in 2020.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Name the next three U.S. Presidents on: October 28, 2015, 04:19:47 pm
Hillary Rodham Clinton: 2017-2021

John Kasich or Marco Rubio: 2021-2029

Unknown democrat: 2029-2037
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Superficial thread: which candidates "look" presidential? (I.e. Attractiveness) on: October 28, 2015, 03:44:59 pm
Hillary and Kasich
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Which presidential cyclical theory do you like better? on: October 23, 2015, 10:42:57 am
I think Obama is Reagan-lite or maybe "Nixon done right". If Hillary wins, she' could be Ford or Bush 41.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Likeliest or best VP choice for Clinton? on: October 22, 2015, 05:51:21 am
Tim Kaine.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is most likely to win the general election? on: September 29, 2015, 02:41:21 am
If a recession doesn't pop up, Hillary or Biden.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NBC/WSJ national:Biden leads all Republicans; Clinton down 1 to Carson & Fiorina on: September 29, 2015, 01:25:05 am
Biden is likeable and somewhat charismatic. If he can tone down the gaffes, I could see him winning the presidential election. Especially if a recession does not happen.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who are the 5 most conservative Presidents since 1900? on: September 23, 2015, 06:46:30 pm
Calvin Coolidge
William McKinley
Ronald Reagan
George W. Bush
Warren Harding
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Will the winner in 2016 be a one-term president? on: September 23, 2015, 04:49:56 pm
The longest period without a recession? 1961-1974?
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: was 1952 a realigning election? on: September 23, 2015, 04:06:00 pm
Rethinking this. I think there are two kinds of realigning presidential elections: Demographic and Ideological.

1932 was actually both.

Demographic: 1952 and 1992.

Ideological: 1980 and 2008.






Geographic : doesn't challenge the ideological alignment, only the bases.

1952 - Republicans have a consistent base in the Great Plains and Mountain States

1972 - Republicans dominant in the South for most elections from now on.

1992 - Democrats have a fixed base in the great lakes, North East and West Coast

Ideological: Definite change in the general ideological fixture of politics.

1932 - Government welfare programs and intervention in the economy becomes a norm.

1980 - Reversal of 1932, with cutbacks to taxation and more free market orientated policies.



Maybe it's too early to say 2008 is ideological, but I feel it probably is. Obamacare, LGBT rights and moderate Keynesian economics.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: was 1952 a realigning election? on: September 21, 2015, 05:05:14 pm
Rethinking this. I think there are two kinds of realigning presidential elections: Demographic and Ideological.

1932 was actually both.

Demographic: 1952 and 1992.

Ideological: 1980 and 2008.



18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Who are the 5 most liberal/progressive Presidents since 1900? on: September 20, 2015, 06:42:41 pm
Lyndon Johnson
Franklin Roosevelt
Barack Obama
Woodrow Wilson
Theodore Roosevelt
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Will the winner in 2016 be a one-term president? on: August 10, 2015, 02:47:15 am
It's been said the recession ended in 2009, but didn't truly end until 2011. That's when unemployment started going down and jobs picked up, albeit slowly.

We're probably due for a one-termer, but it's hard to beat a sitting president They have to be really bad (Hoover/Carter) or have just enough things go against them (Bush 1).  Truman won because Dewey ran the worst kind of campaign.

If Hillary wins, a recession and slight party fatigue will make her a one-term president.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Name the next three U.S. Presidents on: August 08, 2015, 01:53:36 am
Hillary Rodham Clinton: 2017-2021
John Kasich: 2021-2029
Unknown democrat: 2029-2037
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is this the most progressive decade since the 1960's? on: August 02, 2015, 11:19:54 pm
Yes, but of course, not on the level of the 60's.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How is it feasible for Jeb to beat Hillary? on: August 02, 2015, 10:58:46 pm
Far from an easy victory for Hillary, but I don't think Jeb can win unless another recession pops up.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Which President reelection looked the most Bleak after their first midterm on: August 02, 2015, 10:53:41 pm
I can't decide between Clinton and Reagan. Reagan had a huge recession going on. Clinton looked really weak, but the economy was good in 1994.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: At what point will GOP donors be stunned that no one wants another Bush on: July 16, 2015, 05:12:02 pm
Jeb Bush is a pretty dull candidate, even without W's unpopularity.

Hillary will probably win. Unless another recession pops up.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016=1988 on: July 14, 2015, 08:16:59 pm
I'm more and more believing this will be like the 1988 election. Much closer, of course.
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