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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: 2020 Pence vs Kasich Republican primary on: July 31, 2017, 11:02:41 pm
John Kasich is one of my favorite leaders. He's an honorable man.  He's a decent man.  He is a tolerant man.  He is a compassionate man.

For all of those reasons, He can't win in my party right now.  He would be toast.

2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Chief of Staff? on: July 31, 2017, 08:55:04 pm
Baker
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best Senate US Majority Leader of the Past 40 Years on: July 31, 2017, 08:54:15 pm
Howard Baker
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Ford vs. Carter on: July 11, 2017, 09:29:30 pm
Ford!
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: July 09, 2017, 11:37:57 am
Opinion poll graph since 1943 I made.

Beware if you open it if you have a slug computer like mine. The file is moderately large.

http://orig01.deviantart.net/a05d/f/2017/190/3/1/1943_2017_graph_of_uk_polls_by_thumboy21-dbfnp07.png

Source:
https://www.markpack.org.uk/opinion-polls/

Awesome!  I'm intrigued by the period in 1981 when the Liberals were actually ahead in the polls.  Wow.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 British Columbia election on: June 29, 2017, 09:00:12 pm
Am I the only one who thinks this is really, really bad long-term strategy on the Liberals part?  Wouldn't a new election just result in Green votes in marginal Liberal seats putting NDP over the top with an actual majority?
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Mexican Elections 2017-18 on: June 24, 2017, 05:26:12 pm


So not only can you vote for an alliance or the individual party, but also variants of alliances?
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: New Study Shows What Really Happened in the 2016 Election on: June 23, 2017, 09:17:09 pm
While overall I'm not sure I disagree with their conclusions, I call B.S. on the chart and the idea that there aren't many fiscal-conservative/social-liberals out there.  How are they defining the center of each axis?  There's like 100 red and blue dots on the far-left of this spectrum but only one dot on the far-right?  The average Republican is economically centrist, or if you take the median, slightly center-left?  Come on.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 09, 2017, 01:05:38 am
Labour about to pick up safe Tory but very Remain seat of Kensington in London.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread on: June 09, 2017, 12:26:22 am
Seriously, I'm no expert on British elections, but when's the last time the Torie's had this many seats in Scotland?

1983
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: New York State Senate 1 vote away from passing Single Payer Health Care on: May 17, 2017, 11:37:39 pm
I'm no fan of Governor Cuomo, but the attitude of the left-wingers in this thread is insufferable. He's on the verge of accomplishing one of the most successful state-based initiatives for your side in the history of the country and that's not frigging good enough for you.  You'd prefer if instead of accomplishing major policy goals he marched in the streets screaming at people to preserve some sort of left-wing political attitude.

I'm not a supporter of single payer, but like my party I ain't got an alternative.  I don't think his plan will work, but I sincerely hope that it does.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2017: Results Thread on: May 07, 2017, 04:56:52 pm
Macron won Yerres, home of Nicholas Dupont-Aignan, with 68%.  NDA won it in the first round.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: California 2002: Gray Davis vs. Richard Riordan on: May 07, 2017, 09:05:42 am
Riordan!!!!
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who would you vote for: French Presidential second round (post-debate) on: May 04, 2017, 11:15:19 pm
Macron (free market Fillonite)
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: May 02, 2017, 10:35:53 pm
As someone who doesn't really understand UK politics, could someone explain to me why Corbyn has been floundering so badly since he got elected?

Because he's a nutter.
16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Early test: How would you vote for in the 2018 Austrian election ? on: February 24, 2017, 10:04:12 pm
1. VP
2. NEOS
3. SP
4. Greens
5. BZ
5. write in all other citizens of Austria
8,000,000. Stronach
8,000,001. FP
8,000,002. KP
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which state has the best politics? Virginia, Tennessee, or Montana? on: February 24, 2017, 09:58:44 pm
Tennessee (R), but I'm partial Smiley
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would John Kasich have done against Hillary Clinton? on: January 18, 2017, 10:31:21 pm
I supported Kasich but I have to admit that Trump accessed some segments of the electorate that no one else could reach.

Kasich would have done better in the national popular vote, besting Trump's totals in the Houston and Dallas suburbs, The OC, SLC, Chicagoland, Atlanta burbs, etc. - but I can't see him picking up nearly as many of the voters driven by blue collar angst that drove Trump's victories in MI and PA.

19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the Obama-era Republican Party on: December 20, 2016, 11:39:29 pm
For those of us in the GOP who care about facts, truth, decency, national unity, and fair play -- admittedly it has not been a glorious time.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump vs. Keith Ellison on: November 26, 2016, 04:52:02 pm
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread on: November 26, 2016, 03:10:07 pm
Where is the best place to find updated precinct shapefiles for a whole state?  Only one I can find for TN is from the 2010 census data.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Counties with the longest streak of voting for one party for President on: November 25, 2016, 03:23:27 pm
Tennessee

D: Haywood (since 1972)
R: Cocke, Hancock, Wayne (Never D in Atlas history which dates to 1912)

According to the maps on the Wikipedia pages for each election, Wayne has been R since 1876.  Cocke and Hancock have been R since 1868.  Hancock did vote for Breckenridge in 1860 but the last time Cocke voted Democrat was for Andrew Jackson in 1832, and even that appears to be by a close margin.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can't imagine how this failed to resonate in the Rust Belt... on: November 22, 2016, 11:36:36 pm
I actually really like this video, though perhaps that underscores the problem.

Clinton spent a great deal of time going after me - not me personally, but disaffected Republicans who were offended by Trump's remarks and who believe in a pluralistic and open society.  And she did get some of them as evidenced by the swings toward her in affluent suburbs and urban areas.

But for every one disaffected urbane Republican in Houston or Nashville or San Diego, there were three unemployed steel workers in states that matter in the electoral college who probably didn't take a liking to this sort of message.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Nashville/Davidson Co. TN Precinct results maps on: November 13, 2016, 06:13:46 pm
Here are maps of the Presidential results in Nashville - first one is who won each precinct, second one is swing from 2012, third is % for 3rd party candidates + people who only voted downballot.

Yuuge swings (one precinct with nearly 50%) from R to D in affluent areas like Belle Meade and West Meade, smaller swings the same direction across the southern part of the county.  These areas also had extremely high numbers of Write-ins, votes for Gary Johnson, and people who left the Presidential slot blank.  The afore mentioned West Meade precinct had 8.5% for write-in and nearly 15% who voted but didn't cast ballots for Trump+Clinton.

There were larger swings towards Trump in more rural precincts up north, and very small but consistent swings towards him in AA precincts.



Colors are a bit off because I originally made them in non-atlas colors and attempted an automatic conversion to atlas colors.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Do you understand the anguish and frustration of Trump supporters? on: November 02, 2016, 07:25:58 pm
They've heard them speak out since the 1960s. They feel that those groups have not contributed to American society in a proper way.

I'm sorry, is this the "proper" way they're supposed to contribute?

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