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September 28, 2016, 03:30:04 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: College Republicans Are Split Over Trump on: August 27, 2016, 04:08:04 pm
This sentiment goes beyond college students - well into the mid-30's.

This is not to say that there aren't younger Republicans who are for Trump - but these folks tend to fit very firmly in other Trump-supporting demographics.  The urban/rural dynamic is very much at play here too.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Trump's campaign the biggest scam of all time? on: August 24, 2016, 08:14:32 pm
Yes
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: New York City mayoral election, 1969 on: August 06, 2016, 01:47:14 pm
Lindsay
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: A new poll has Trump in fourth, behind Gary Johnson AND Jill Stein w under 30 yo on: August 06, 2016, 08:24:38 am
I don't think these numbers are right on the mark, or what we would see in an actual election where 3rd party respondents either don't show up or decide to vote D or R, but in this environment I'm not sure they are that far off either.  In order for Johnson to be polling above 5%, he has to be doing really really really well among the youngs.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic National Convention days 3 and 4 **live commentary thread** on: July 28, 2016, 10:09:53 pm
This is a really, really good speech.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Grade Night Three of the DNC on: July 28, 2016, 12:27:15 am
A++  It was every thing a mainstream conservative party should reflect.  What exactly was that anti-trade, anti-free-market anti-NATO doom and gloom sh**t-show on TV last week anyway?

Tonight leaves me more convinced that this is a real party realignment.  By 2030, GOP = mid 20th century Dems (anti-trade, pro-jobs programs, very racist/nativist wing, vaguely isolationist/anti-war FP, ) and Dems = 19th century R's (aggressive on civil rights, vaguely libertarian economics, serious corruption problems, vaguely internationalist FP)  is totally plausible IMO.

One thing to think about though - the future of these parties, the people currently in their 20s and 30s, is not like that at all.  Younger Republicans were less supportive of Trump and are more aligned with the traditional GOP ideas on economics while being more libertarian on social issues.  Younger Democrats are left-wing in both economics and social issues and are becoming more isolationist by the minute.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Grade Night Three of the DNC on: July 27, 2016, 11:49:12 pm
A++  It was every thing a mainstream conservative party should reflect.  What exactly was that anti-trade, anti-free-market anti-NATO doom and gloom sh**t-show on TV last week anyway?
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 25, 2016, 08:24:02 pm
What the heck was that?
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Grade the first night of the RNC on: July 18, 2016, 11:06:19 pm
D.  Giuliani was good.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 18, 2016, 10:14:13 pm
Moderate republicans, how do you imagine someone like John Kasich or Jeb Bush actually appealing to all these lunatics? Honestly if you think the GOP will get less insane by 2020 I think you'll be dissapointed.

We are indeed aware of this reality, but still we fight.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 18, 2016, 07:25:33 pm
If people like me leave the party, that just gives them even more power.

Bingo.

The party has already left you, friend. What we are seeing this week is the Republican Party. Its biggest factions are now Trumpites and Cruzians—if you're okay with that reality, stay. But moderates aren't going anywhere among the GOP's ranks. Not anymore.

Then where do you suggest we go?
12  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: What's more important: democracy, or liberalism/secularism? on: July 16, 2016, 08:12:55 am
Liberalism > Democracy > Secularism (at least, the Kemalist version of secularism)

This - though I'd say some secularism, or more accurately - religious neutrality, falls within the liberalism category.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who are your family and friends voting for in November? on: July 13, 2016, 08:33:45 pm
Most of my friends are Young Republicans so.... Gary Johnson.  Maybe a few votes for Castle and Hillary sprinkled in the mix.
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who would you vote for in the Austrian Presidential runoff re-vote on: July 03, 2016, 04:00:38 am
Van der Bellen
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Process / Re: Ken Cuccinelli Wants to Shake Up the RNC on: July 03, 2016, 03:26:44 am
As much as I can't stand Trump, it isn't the job of the RNC to stop a candidate from participating in the process.

I see this as yet another move to weaken the national parties and and empower interest groups.  Very sad.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership on: June 23, 2016, 09:45:29 pm
Congratulations to all those who are no doubt delighted: Putin shills, PRC bots, trots, fascists, Nazis, reprobates, people who plan on being dead in the next year, anti-Semites etc

This.
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Heath Shuler (D) vs. Susan Collins (R) - who would you support? on: June 21, 2016, 10:59:45 pm
Collins/Kirk (R)  #DreamTicket!
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Brexit or Bremain? on: June 21, 2016, 07:41:16 am
Bremain (R)

I'm tired of campaigns based on xenophobia and lies - and that seems to be all that the Brexit folks can come up with.  I also think that Brexit would give aid and comfort to Scottish nationalists and violates the spirit of the effort to keep the UK itself together.
19  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Tennessee? on: June 14, 2016, 07:16:22 pm
The freedomiest of all freedom states.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Johnson win any states? on: June 10, 2016, 07:55:05 pm
Even if he got 15%, which would be an epic success for him, he wouldn't win any states (see Perot).  I guess the question is - if he won a state, which would be the first one?  My best guess would be Utah.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Libertarian National Convention thread on: May 29, 2016, 02:14:26 pm
This is so awful.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Your reaction to this map? on: May 08, 2016, 10:50:03 am
Great fear for the future of our country.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 12:53:50 pm
Who are NEOS folks voting for?
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics - Version 2.0 (Presidential Election: April 24) on: April 24, 2016, 12:38:37 pm
As bad as this result is, I'm even more depressed that it is driven by younger people.  At least in the US, the far-right anti-immigrant sentiment is coming mainly from olds.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Last president from the opposite party you consider an FF on: April 20, 2016, 12:25:01 am
LBJ.
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