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7701  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: If the last three posters were running for POTUS who would you vote for and why? on: July 20, 2012, 11:54:15 pm
Frodo
7702  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: What will be the closest state on: July 20, 2012, 09:56:21 pm
Iowa or Virginia. If Romney wins WI then he's already past 270.

Obviously, re the last part.  You'd pick WI if you think the election would be a big Romney win.

I picked it but I don't think Mitt will have more than 280-290 EVs.
7703  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: What will be the closest state on: July 20, 2012, 06:46:12 pm

Yes but I also think the trends in this particular state couldn't be clearer.
7704  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What State is the Previous Poster best suited to Politically? on: July 20, 2012, 03:38:22 pm
Louisiana
7705  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '12: The Gregoire Farewell Tour (Featuring Marriage Equality) on: July 20, 2012, 03:36:17 pm
OK. If you all don't think Burner can win then it makes sense not to support her. Still I would prefer to see her win the primary and the general.
7706  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: What will be the closest state on: July 20, 2012, 01:44:36 pm
Wisconsin
7707  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which U.S. President is the preceding poster most like on: July 20, 2012, 11:24:47 am
Reagan
7708  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '12: The Gregoire Farewell Tour (Featuring Marriage Equality) on: July 20, 2012, 09:52:31 am
Napoleon, I think the most damning piece of evidence there is that Reichert was the only Republican congressman (who I'm aware of) to lose vote share between 2008 and 2010.


I would explain that by pointing to the rumors of brain damage and all that but if you guys don't think that had an impact..
7709  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: SENATE BILL: The Judiciary Reform Amendment of 2012 (At Final Vote) on: July 20, 2012, 09:40:26 am
Nay

I don't agree with you on everything but I sure am glad I voted for you. Smiley
7710  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What State is the Previous Poster best suited to Politically? on: July 20, 2012, 01:31:14 am
New Hampshire
7711  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which U.S. President is the preceding poster most like on: July 20, 2012, 12:53:00 am
Probably GWB
7712  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '12: The Gregoire Farewell Tour (Featuring Marriage Equality) on: July 20, 2012, 12:41:39 am
^^^ Yup. If DelBene had run in 2006 or 2008 she would've beaten Reichert. Rodney Tom in 2008 may have also had a shot.

I liked Darcy a lot both times she ran before but don't much anymore; I think she's become way too negative and ideological. The most important factor though is that she's not going to be able to beat Koster in November (yes, I know that SurveyUSA poll had her doing the best. That's just because of name recognition.)
Fair enough. Negative and ideological don't turn me off too much and the new district as I understand gave Obama a decent margin but is swingier down ballot.

The national climates of 2006 and 2010 were a bit different...

I consider this argument a fallacy...yes it can account for some races, but I don't think it can be tossed around the way it is on this site. For example Dan Lungren got 60% in 206 and only 50% in 2010. A similar district to Reichert's would be PA-6, where Gerlach regularly gets low 50s no matter the opponent. District specific issues like the rumors about Reichert's health could also be a factor, so I think you're being a bit unfair, if not completely aversive to the big picture. I'd like to know what traits would make DelBene a stronger candidate otherwise.
7713  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '12: The Gregoire Farewell Tour (Featuring Marriage Equality) on: July 20, 2012, 12:40:08 am
That is very petty. I can't imagine a different candidate defeating him in either of those elections. Burner is solidly liberal and is willing to take firm stances on the issues that matter.

I sure can. DelBene did better in 2010 than Burner did in 2008... It was probably one of the only swings to the Democrats in 2010. Burner was and is a weak candidate.

DelBene did worse than Burner did in 2006. Reichert always wins with low 50s, just like Gerlach in PA-6. The challenging candidate doesn't matter much.
7714  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '12: The Gregoire Farewell Tour (Featuring Marriage Equality) on: July 20, 2012, 12:30:29 am
That is very petty. I can't imagine a different candidate defeating him in either of those elections. Burner is solidly liberal and is willing to take firm stances on the issues that matter.
7715  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '12: The Gregoire Farewell Tour (Featuring Marriage Equality) on: July 20, 2012, 12:21:05 am
A couple of new polls: http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2012/07/19/new-poll-shows-burner-ahead-in-wa-01

Democracy for America (Burner supporters):
17 Burner
13 DelBene
5 Hobbs
4 Ruderman
1 Rauniyar

Strategies 360
12 Burner
11 DelBene
6 Hobbs
3 Ruderman



I'l consider voting for DelBene if I have to...

Vote for Burner.  You can't hold losing to Reichert against her.
7716  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is snowstalker rightwing? on: July 19, 2012, 11:47:51 pm
Everybody that was in the IRC around 9:00pm tonight, quit posting.

Fixed
7717  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Rank the preceding poster's authoritarianism on a scale 1 (low) to 10 (high) on: July 18, 2012, 02:19:19 pm
1
7718  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Rank the preceding poster's authoritarianism on a scale 1 (low) to 10 (high) on: July 18, 2012, 10:05:20 am
1
7719  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which Governor is the preceding poster most like? on: July 18, 2012, 03:09:05 am
Jerry Brown
7720  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Tea Party in Connecticut on: July 18, 2012, 01:31:54 am
These idiots are present even there? I always considered Connecticut a very reasonable state)))

This was back in 1991. Their solution was to elect the crook in my signature three times before he finally got carted off to prison.
7721  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: SENATE BILL: WHITE HOUSE BUDGET PROPOSAL (Debating) on: July 17, 2012, 10:57:25 pm
This is becoming a time waster. Either create a budget slot, pass this damn thing as is, or take up your pet issues in their own bills. Two months is long enough.
7722  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: McCain: Palin was a better candidate than Romney! on: July 17, 2012, 05:32:25 pm
I love how you left out the word "thought," changing the article from a no-news article to an incredibly hackish post.

When has he ever done anything else?
7723  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which Governor is the preceding poster most like? on: July 17, 2012, 03:05:00 am
Cuomo or maybe Lynch.

Definitely NOT Lynch. Skip
7724  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Do you smoke? on: July 17, 2012, 03:03:32 am
And I really can not think of a single good reason to smoke tobacco. Like seriously, none. If I had to experiment with some drugs, I would seriously rather do heroin or meth, at least those give you some cool side effects. Tobacco is the most pointless thing ever to use.

Speak for yourself. Smiley
7725  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which Governor is the preceding poster most like? on: July 17, 2012, 01:49:08 am
A pragmatic but principled liberal- Cuomo (Andrew or Mario)
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