^^^ Yup. If DelBene had run in 2006 or 2008 she would've beaten Reichert. Rodney Tom in 2008 may have also had a shot.
I liked Darcy a lot both times she ran before but don't much anymore; I think she's become way too negative and ideological. The most important factor though is that she's not going to be able to beat Koster in November (yes, I know that SurveyUSA poll had her doing the best. That's just because of name recognition.)
Fair enough. Negative and ideological don't turn me off too much and the new district as I understand gave Obama a decent margin but is swingier down ballot.
The national climates of 2006 and 2010 were a bit different...
I consider this argument a fallacy...yes it can account for some races, but I don't think it can be tossed around the way it is on this site. For example Dan Lungren got 60% in 206 and only 50% in 2010. A similar district to Reichert's would be PA-6, where Gerlach regularly gets low 50s no matter the opponent. District specific issues like the rumors about Reichert's health could also be a factor, so I think you're being a bit unfair, if not completely aversive to the big picture. I'd like to know what traits would make DelBene a stronger candidate otherwise.