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July 22, 2017, 07:40:29 am
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: July 21, 2017, 08:20:58 pm
I know it's not really a tea leaf, but apparently the people of Cambridge, Massachusetts are already running Warren for President Tongue



2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who's your favorite Atlas poster from your political opposition? on: July 21, 2017, 08:13:32 pm
my original Atlas bro Carl all come to mind.

I just realized that I've been posting on this forum for nearly 7 years. Disgusting.

It also made me remember that my leftward shift was received with a bevy of "what ideology will 20RP12 be next" comments...that was 5 years ago Tongue
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: July 21, 2017, 05:31:35 pm
Guys... both Maggie Hassan and Kusty go to New Hampshire quite frequently... are they planning something in 2020???!?

They represent New Hampshire, so of course they go to New Hampshire...therefore that joke is idiotic.

Wow, you must be fun at parties.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What is your preferred Democratic ticket? on: July 21, 2017, 05:30:26 pm
Ideal, but wouldn't win: Warren/Gabbard or Sanders/Gabbard

Preferred and might win: Warren/Bullock or Warren/Cooper
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Sean Spicer officially resigns as WH Press Secretary on: July 21, 2017, 03:32:14 pm
What a glorious day!
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who's your favorite Atlas poster from your political opposition? on: July 21, 2017, 03:28:33 pm
Goldwater, Leinad, PiT

I also enjoy Grumps' posts every now and again
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: US citizens will be banned from visiting North Korea on: July 21, 2017, 12:30:51 pm
Well, there goes my vacation plans.
8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite Linkin Park Songs on: July 21, 2017, 12:27:10 pm
Sometimes I forget how many edgelords with red avatars post on this forum.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Hide behind the poll on: July 21, 2017, 12:23:12 pm
$hillary
10  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: OJ Simpson granted parole on: July 20, 2017, 09:42:43 pm
Crazy that OJ murdered two people and gets to potentially live the rest of his life as a free man
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gillibrand co-sponsoring bill to make BDS (not BDSM) illegal on: July 20, 2017, 04:55:35 pm
Yikes.
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Today is the 1/8th point of Trump's term on: July 20, 2017, 04:52:23 pm
He should get an A+ solely for not involving us in a global nuclear war yet.
13  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Favorite Linkin Park Songs on: July 20, 2017, 04:50:29 pm
Crawling, Numb, and What I've Done are all great song. I never loved Linkin Park, but only today did I realize how many great songs they released. That is solely my fault.
14  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Linkin Park lead singer Chester Bennington dies on: July 20, 2017, 04:49:25 pm
Was never a big Linkin Park fan, but this is absolutely soul-crushing.

RIP.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DAE feel like the Dem candidates all suck? on: July 20, 2017, 04:47:57 pm
incredible insight yet again, beet
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Outside of Sanders and (possibly) Biden, do we have a weak 2020 lineup? on: July 20, 2017, 12:00:57 pm
Warren is either the strongest or most polarizing candidate the Dems could have.

Bullock could potentially be strong, but he could end up as a Bill Richardson type. Harris and Gillibrand are strong on paper, but all Trump needs to do is connect them to Hillary and they're pretty much done. Booker is too establishment. Cuomo is too corporate. O'Malley is boring. Gabbard would be pretty electrifying in the general.
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: John McCain has been diagnosed with brain cancer on: July 20, 2017, 11:55:57 am
Hope he can get through this........FF as a person.

No he isn't. He doesn't deserve cancer but let's not pretend he's in anyway a "good person."

Stop.
18  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What professional sporting events have you been to? on: July 20, 2017, 11:54:48 am
At least a dozen Phillies games, a few Sixers games, one Flyers game, one (then) Philadelphia Phantoms game, several Lancaster Barnstormers games, like 2 Millersville football games, and countless Millersville hockey games.
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Bloomberg: Muller expands probe to Trump business transactions on: July 20, 2017, 10:56:45 am
Didn't 45 threaten to fire Mueller if he did this? Could be yuge.
20  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Confirmation Hearing - Encke for Deputy GM (Questioning) on: July 20, 2017, 10:54:31 am
A great contributor! I echo Senator SJoyce's comments.
21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: SB - Bioengineered Food Disclosure Act (Debating) on: July 20, 2017, 10:53:59 am
I'll sponsor this.
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: SB - The Storm Surge, Coastal Flooding... (Debating) on: July 20, 2017, 10:53:25 am
I'll sponsor it!
23  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: SB 2017-108: The AtlasiaPlays Initiative of 2017 (Debating) on: July 20, 2017, 10:53:03 am
Bump

I would be willing to table this if there isn't a lot of interest in passing it right now.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden vs. Warren vs. Harris vs. Cuomo vs. Booker on: July 20, 2017, 10:46:09 am
I'd give Biden Iowa, Ohio, and West Virginia.

I would expect Warren to appeal to the working class folks in those states the way Bernie did. Iowa could very well go for Biden, but that's just me being a Warren hack.



OTOH, your map makes more sense if you consider the prediction as an exercise in guessing the plurality probability winner in each state viewed in isolation, ignoring the fact that whichever candidates get some early victories are going to become more likely to keep winning.

This was what I had in mind. It was more of a "if every state held their primary on the same day early in the campaign, who would win and where?"
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden vs. Warren vs. Harris vs. Cuomo vs. Booker on: July 20, 2017, 09:18:29 am


Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (DE)
Senator Elizabeth Warren (MA)
Senator Kamala Harris (CA)
Senator Cory Booker (NJ)
Governor Andrew Cuomo (NY)
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