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May 25, 2016, 06:08:56 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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51  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Describe these voters on: May 20, 2016, 12:08:31 am
This thread title is overused, but I thought this one might actually have some use at this point:

1) Voter who responds to polls that they "approve" of the job Obama is doing, but plans to vote for Trump in November.

2) Voter who responds to polls that they "disapprove" of the job Obama is doing, but plans to vote for Clinton in November.
1: My Uncle.

2: A reasonable Bernie supporter.
52  General Discussion / History / Re: Most underrated evil person in history? on: May 20, 2016, 12:06:24 am
This dude.
53  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Dying Bob Bennett apologizes to Muslims for Donald Trump on: May 20, 2016, 12:01:57 am
He was sure friendly to Muslims when he voted to invade Iraq. Or voted for Gitmo. Or voted for the PATRIOT Act and other laws that target Muslim Americans.

I am not shedding any tears for this prick. He was a Bush II era Republican in every sense of the term, and when the cracks started to form in the dam, he didn't lift a finger to plug them. Which is why, when the dam broke, he was the first to be carried away in the tidal wave. One sob story that I'm sure his children (who grew up in the elite Washington/NoVA bubble) made up to show that he was above the rubes doesn't do any justice to him. Bob Bennett was part of the problem, and not the solution.

RIP HP.
54  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Should John Bercow, MP, be a moderator here? on: May 19, 2016, 11:40:32 pm
Only if he wears the traditional wing.
55  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Irony Oremine on: May 19, 2016, 11:40:02 pm
The original question posed by Silent Cal was ...could her continued hardline stance on coal hurt her in Ohio and PA?, and I don't think there's any question that Hillary's anti-coal position will hurt her in the region. But perhaps I have a tiny Trump brain, I'm not sure...

I am.
The fact that you have to put every dumbass Lyndon quote in here makes me suspect that you are indeed obsessed with him like he claims.
56  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What's the WORST Hotel you've ever stayed at? on: May 19, 2016, 11:38:47 pm
A crack hotel in Brunswick, GA, with my mom, grandma, and brothers on our return trip from Pennsylvania in 2007. We could have stopped at my grandpa's in Charlotte but my grandma (who was always on good terms with her ex husband) felt it'd have been awkward. So we kept on pushing until we reached GA. We couldn't find a better hotel, but we only stayed an hour or so at this one. The AC and the TV were broken, and there was no other room, so we ended up checking out and getting on the road and just carrying through until we got to Vero Beach at about 3:00 AM. We just quietly crept into my aunts house, which my mom had a key too. She was quite surprised to find my brothers and I on her couch that morning Tongue.
57  General Politics / International General Discussion / So that plane thingy. on: May 19, 2016, 11:35:39 pm
Surprised there isn't a thread on the Egyptian Air Flight. I don't think it was bombed; for starters, why would ISIS (assuming it was ISIS, which again assumes it was a bombing to begin with) attack an Egyptian plane and blow their cover at DeGaulle airport instead of a more populated transatlantic flight? Also, why have they not taken credit for the so called attack?

My gut says that the plane exploded on it's own, sorta like TWA 800 (which my uncle still insists was shot down apparently).
58  General Discussion / History / Re: Most underrated evil person in history? on: May 19, 2016, 10:48:02 pm
In terms of serial killers, Gerald Schaeffer is a particularly sadistic killer who plagued the Treasure Coast and Fort Lauderdale in the 1970s.

Christopher Wilder was another infamous serial killer who isn't well known. He lived in Boynton, where I lived until I went to college. He lived up the street from my eighth grade teacher in the 1970s or early 80s. My dad worked on the construction of his home briefly, but doesn't remember meeting him.
59  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Jacksonville or Tulsa? on: May 19, 2016, 10:39:32 pm
Is Jacksonville really the worst city in Florida? Is that among just the major ones or even including Ocala, Gainesville, Pensacola, Panama City?
I'd consider Pensacola a major city. I love the Redneck Riviera. Gainesville is an SEC college town... it is disqualified from any discussion of worst cities.
There is literally nothing in Gainesville (Dereich and I once spoke of this in the IRC). Tallahassee has a lot more to do. Panama City and Pensacola are both fairly large cities, but I feel that if you aren't a retiree, a drunken UF student, or a military family, you won't enjoy it much.
60  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Jacksonville or Tulsa? on: May 19, 2016, 10:35:24 pm
When I think of Jacksonville, this is what I think of.
61  General Discussion / History / Re: Most underrated evil person in history? on: May 19, 2016, 10:34:22 pm
Yahya Khan

I'm sure Xahar will be at least somewhat in agreement.
Definitely. It's easy to point out Chairman Mao, Stalin, Hitler, Pol Pot, or the Kims, but there were and are some seriously awful dictators out there. I just wrote a 10 page paper for my final in Comparative Politics on Eritrea's regime.
62  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you remember 9/11? on: May 19, 2016, 10:11:36 pm
I remember the day vaguely, but I remember the immediate aftermath vividly. I was 5 years old at the time, so naturally it isn't all that clear.
63  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: David Koch Bankrolling Gary Johnson's Presidential Bid on: May 19, 2016, 10:08:46 pm
This puts an end to the - 'if libertarians only help corporations, why don't corporations fund the libertarian party? defense.
Not really. They'll be back in the GOP column in a few years time.
64  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-19: Clawson retiring on: May 19, 2016, 10:06:44 pm
Retiring after a single term? Is it an incoming scandal, or did he just get bored?
His father is having health problems, which is fancy talk for saying he probably found a really good private sector job.
65  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: DWPERRYWATCH on: May 19, 2016, 10:03:01 pm
http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2016/05/iprs-second-2016-libertarian-party-presidential-preference-poll-detailed-results/

According to IPR (the online mecha of most devoted Libertarian Party activists), DW Perry is going into the convention as the top choice of the "True Libertarians." Don't be surprised if he places fourth behind Johnson, Peterson, and McAfee.

Peterson is the favorite of the ex-Cruz #NeverTrump folks, the most annoying of the cuck movement. The ones who always bitch and moan about the "TRUH CONSERVATUVES." Johnson has the support of the more moderate libertarians and Republicans. It's McAfee and Perry who seem to be the favorites of the hardliners in the Libertarian Party, and if they unite around one or the other, will probably be the bigger threat to Johnson.

It occurred to me as I wrote this that Perry has a very remote chance of performing very well.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: David Koch Bankrolling Gary Johnson's Presidential Bid on: May 19, 2016, 09:57:29 pm
If anything, the Koch Brothers should focus on Senate races (NV, FL, OH, PA) instead.
The AFP network has a massive GOTV effort. They'll use that in those states (already are in WI). They can bankroll Johnson on the side.

67  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-19: Clawson retiring on: May 19, 2016, 09:53:17 pm
My money is on Benaqcuisto running.

She probably runs, but will she do any better than last time?
I don't know the district well, it wasn't on my radar this year. She really only lost the 2014 special election because of Clawson's money advantage and a split vote. I wouldn't count her out, but I wouldn't count her in. I wouldn't be surprised if the firm I intern for ends up picking her up as a client. We seem to go for the candidates who straddle the establishment and mainline conservative gray area.
68  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: House Republicans switch votes at last minute to kill anti-discrimination amend. on: May 19, 2016, 09:48:17 pm
According to Hoyer's office, the vote switchers in question were Issa, Valadao, Denham, Walden, Walters, Poliquin, and Young.

Valadao, Denham and Poliquin are gone next year, then.
Valadao and Poliquin are not in districts where this vote is going to hurt them.. Not that an irrelevant vote like this would have an effect on a congressional race anyway.

Valadao is from a D+2 district with a growing Hispanic population.  Poliquin was basically a rental from the beginning.  Trump is on the ballot.  They're gone.
First question, have you been to ME-2 before, I was literally there last weekend and this was big Trump terrority there were a lot of social conservatives.

Oh, I'm convinced then.  Safe R.
It's not Safe R, but this issue isn't going to definitely kill his chances, it will likely help him with people who voted for Richardson in 2014 who was very conservative;
People who voted for Richardson are voting Republican anyway. The real question is whether the independents who voted for Poliquin will pull the lever again. I suspect they won't for multiple reasons. Most of those social conservatives are already solid. SoCons don't swing most elections.
69  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ed Rendell: "There are probably more ugly women in America than attractive women on: May 19, 2016, 08:51:47 pm
this guy



criticising people's looks
He's not that ugly considering others in the Senate. Have you not seen Babs Mikulski, the Castro brothers, or Rick Scott?
70  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Jolly won't vote for TRUMP, CLC a reluctant supporter on: May 19, 2016, 08:48:53 pm
Looks like investigation into Murphy's suspicious connections with Bera, and suspicious campaign fundung may actually be going somewhere.
http://www.tcpalm.com/news/politics/elections/local/complaint-filed-by-conservative-group-accuses-murphy-of-violating-campaign-finance-laws-32f7cdb0-09c-379687961.html

Explain this scandal, why Murphy's bad b/c of it, and why I should care in one (at the absolute most two) short/concise sentences using 3rd grade-level words.  If you can't then it won't matter.
This scandal is mostly bad for his parents, who may have broken finance laws. It would give his opponents ammo to attack him.

Won't matter then.  Weren't there domestic violence rumors with Murphy or am I thinking of someone else? 
Well, speaking of violence, he once drunkenly started a brawl at a strip club and was arrested. Of course, Allen West ran his entire 2012 campaign on that arrest and he lost (narrowly). So long as the Pub candidate doesn't beat that scandal into the ground like West did, it can still remain relatively potent.
71  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-19: Clawson retiring on: May 19, 2016, 08:47:08 pm
My money is on Benaqcuisto running.
72  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton & Trump VP search news LATEST: Carson leaks Trump's list? on: May 18, 2016, 11:13:05 pm
FWIW, Gary Johnson named former MA Governor Bill Weld as his VP candidate today.
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Jolly won't vote for TRUMP, CLC a reluctant supporter on: May 18, 2016, 03:35:00 pm
We have plenty of ammo against Murphy anyway. This isn't a major tier scandal. Might help tarnish his image but he isn't going to the big house over it.
74  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: I just found a $750/month one bedroom apartment in Brooklyn on: May 18, 2016, 02:40:23 pm
I love how ironically BRTD is helping in the slow gentrification of Brooklyn.
75  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How would you do against Hillary/Trump on: May 17, 2016, 11:49:04 pm

Cool Cats Party (Chairman Sanchez): 0 Seats, 0.00% of the popular vote.
Shrillery Party (Shillery Killtons): 0 Seats, 0.00% of the popular vote.

Neither of us are British. No one wins. Queen appoints Prince Charles PM. 270 firewall, etc.
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