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April 27, 2017, 04:17:41 am
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51  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: McMullin owes $670,000 for his failed presidential bid on: April 19, 2017, 02:26:26 pm
I'll be sure to wipe this shinks in Rick Wilson's nose.
52  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT: Fox/Bill OR spent 13+ million settling sexual harassment claims (He's out!) on: April 19, 2017, 02:25:27 pm
Good. Now get rid of Hannity and Fox might actually become a "proper" news channel.
Is MSNBC a "proper" news channel?
53  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: scandals for each of the prospective 2020 Democratic presidential candidates on: April 19, 2017, 02:24:31 pm
Cory Booker is a gay

Yeah, I think it's pretty obvious at this point. Would he benefit from coming out though, or is America not ready yet for a gay president?

If America was ready for an admitted sexual assaulter President, they're ready for any type of President.
The fact that Cory Booker isn't out makes me suspect he isn't gay. Coming out is something that the majority of Americans celebrate now. It makes no sense for him to avoid it.
54  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Florida State Sen. calls collegues "asshole", "bitch", and "n**gers" on: April 19, 2017, 02:12:41 pm
HAHAHAHA this is the same one who beat the kid up at Clydes.
55  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Chris Christie angling for a comeback: Politico on: April 19, 2017, 02:12:19 pm
Christie's "comeback" will be avoiding jailtime and making the rounds as a well respected Republican media personality who argues the party's talking points aggressively on CNN or Fox or something like that.
56  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT: Fox/Bill OR spent 13+ million settling sexual harassment claims (He's out!) on: April 19, 2017, 02:11:09 pm
Who will scare America's white grandpas to the point of mental derangement now?
I 'betcha there'll be talk of Fox buying out The Blaze and bringing Beck back to show how "Fair and Balanced" they are (Beck is a yuge asshole and a yuger Trump critic).

But I think Laura Ingraham gets the slot.
57  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT: Fox/Bill OR spent 13+ million settling sexual harassment claims (He's out!) on: April 19, 2017, 02:09:52 pm
Incredible. I can't believe the biggest giant in cable news is gone. This is a welcome but bizarre turn of events.
58  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Iowa is Rubio Country on: April 19, 2017, 01:09:59 pm
I used to work for AFP. Most of our committed volunteers were libertarians like me or Rubio types. Not a surprise that they'd endorse him (or any Republican of course) but Rubio would probably result in the AFP organization really kicking their turnout operation into high gear. They knocked on millions of doors in FL alone in 2016. It's community organizing on an industrial scale. A neat experience to be a part of for sure!
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 19, 2017, 01:07:36 pm
As much as I would like to see Ossoff win over Handel, she will smash him with a margin of victory in the lower double digits.

One thing I have to give to people on the right is that, when the outcome of a primary or GE doesn't go perfectly for them, they usually suck it up and live to fight another day.  They don't whine, threaten to stay home, and/or wet their beds.  Just look at Breitbart comments if you don't believe me; hardly anyone is complaining about the fact that Handel won, even though she was the "establishment" candidate in the field.  If you want to give up without even putting up a fight, that's your prerogative, but it only makes the Republicans' goal of cementing their rule that much easier.  Quitters never win.
I've watched hardcore Gingrich/Santorum voters jump to Romney in a heartbeat, usually starting with a caveat like "Mitt's a good guy" and ending with "but Reagan said never attack another Republican."

Uniting behind the nominee is a natural Republican tradition. I was attacked quite angrily on social media by some of these Republican grannies for voting for Gary Johnson in 2012, for example. Even hardcore Trump voters were against him mounting an independent campaign and were prepared to hold their nose again for Jeb if they had too. It really is quite fascinating how strong Reagan's legacy is among Republicans. It is a precedent-setter for future generations, I suspect.

Repasting my runoff poll comment for discussion:

Osoff wins 51-49%. He needs just 3% from his 48.1% (with all precincts reporting) to win. The GOP will coalesce around Handel but it's clear at this point that the district has swung sharply away from the GOP since 2012 and disgusted Atlanta suburban voters are breaking Democratic heavily.

Given that suburban educated Republicans are the weakest part of Trump's coalition and given most of them are still infuriated at the President, I would say that Ossoff keeps his 48% and picks up a handful of Atlanta suburban voters that allow him to eke out the win.

Eventually, this district will become strongly Democratic at some point between the Trump - Pence era. Republicans are on borrowed time with this educated Atlanta suburbs with a strong grouping of minority voters.

What you are seeing here, ladies and gentlemen, is Georgia beginning the transition to becoming a blue (Atlas red) state.

EDIT: Expect the winning Democratic President of 2024 to take 55-58% of the vote in this district, if the lines remain the same.


My guess is this district gets chopped into pieces before Georgia Republicans allow for that to happen. Wouldn't be to impossible to see 4 congressional districts (6, 7, 9, & 11) start in the northern Atlanta Metro area before baconmandering up into the Northeast corner of the state.
I'm certainly mistaken, but I for some reason remember that being exactly the case when Gingrich first ran. I might be confusing the maps though.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: UT-3: Chaffetz retiring on: April 19, 2017, 01:00:51 pm
Has he already ruled out a 2018 Senate run? I should be writing a finals paper right now, too lazy to run back to Wiki Tongue
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 19, 2017, 12:59:56 pm
So Spicer now got up an called this an "big loss" for the dems and repeated that "spent 8 million" lie. Quick question why is Trump keeping throwing bombs on stuff like this when by his own admission he needs dems for his infrastructure plan?
They'll look small and stupid if they vote down an infrastructure plan. What does it matter? He holds all the cards right now and you'll have to take them away  one by one before you can stop him on the infrastructure plan. He's gonna give your side just about everything they want because he happens to be basically a Democrat on infrastructure/related funding issues. He'll piss on you all the way to the bank until 2020, which is the next serious opportunity for a reset by Dems.
62  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Unpleasant Kuckdom general election 2017: your vote? on: April 19, 2017, 12:40:20 pm
A vote Tory is a vote for May, basically Tongue.

Probably still would stick with UKIP. With Brexit accomplished, there really isn't anything at stake that has any real effect directly on me. You won't see me getting emotionally invested in this, aside from staying up all night to watch the returns on C-SPAN.

Easy Tory vote now that Cameron is gone.
I have to agree, Cameron was the exact type of Romney/Jeb (not politically, but personality wise) guy I'd never in a million years vote for. I truly get the feeling from May that she remembers where she comes from, and that she's genuinely working on their behalf even if she does represent the "establishment" on the whole.

Don't take any of my British election posts seriously, though. I have only so much knowledge on the subject at hand.
63  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: The Idaho "Death Zone", where one can't be tried for any crime on: April 19, 2017, 12:36:08 pm
You're welcome to go see if this would work.


Big Hint-it won't!


Federal prosecutors can chose which court to prosecute you in, it doesn't have to be in yours or where the crime took place.  This is just like one of those dumb laws list...."it's illegal to put diapers on your camel in Phoenix on Sundays before dawn".  Technically it might be true, but in reality it's not true at all.
In WV it's illegal to leave your home with no destination in mind.
64  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-6 Special election discussion thread on: April 18, 2017, 08:56:52 pm
So much for the #resistance.
65  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Unpleasant Kuckdom general election 2017: your vote? on: April 18, 2017, 07:51:22 pm
I could vote for May if I were British.
66  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: President Romney vs. Hillary on: April 18, 2017, 06:44:19 pm
I'd certainly expect a Cruz primary challenge regardless of how conservative Romney governs.
67  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Slave Trade is booming in Libya since Gaddafi has been overthrown on: April 17, 2017, 06:03:03 pm
Good job Hil.
68  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Most Disgusting Food that People Enjoy on: April 17, 2017, 03:39:43 pm
Mayo.

angus likes mayo on his french fries, which may not sound horrible, but watching him eat them was completely grossing me out, even though we had a great lunch.  Thankfully I had a martini in me.  Smiley
Mayo and/or curry ketchup are the only acceptable condiments for fries.
Ugh, I want to puke thinking about anyone eating fries that way.
69  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you bothered by unnatural sexualities? on: April 17, 2017, 03:38:57 pm
70  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone V: Born Under A Bad Sign on: April 17, 2017, 03:00:23 pm
I've spent the last five minutes at the bus stop watching a socialist protester at the Wells Fargo across the street dancing on a statue. A bus pulls up for a few seconds, and when it leaves, she has vanished, nowhere to be seen. Have socialists developed a means of teleportation, or was she just raptured?
"I no longer feel fit for the times"-Calvin Coolidge.
71  Forum Community / Forum Community / I'm kinda troubled. I need help guys. on: April 17, 2017, 02:57:23 pm
I admit it. I need help. I'm washing my couch cushion covers. There gross brown suede monstrosities, and they need to be cleaned. I'm drying them after washing them on low heat. I know to make sure to put them back on when they're a little damp, but how damp is damp? Won't that cause mold? This is a crisis guys. I have nowhere to sit.
72  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Could US destroy NKorean artillery pointed at Seoul with a pre-emptive strike? on: April 17, 2017, 11:57:40 am
All this hand-wringing will be for naught if the North Koreans are stupid enough to launch a pre-emptive strike of their own, like they did the first time around in 1950.   
They aren't.
73  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Alt-right leader Mike Cernovich punched in the face at Trump Tax March rally on: April 17, 2017, 11:56:36 am
Can we talk about how violent the young Democrats have gotten or are we gonna ignore that?
74  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Could US destroy NKorean artillery pointed at Seoul with a pre-emptive strike? on: April 16, 2017, 09:23:14 pm
There's no Apple Genius solution for this one. Which is why North Korea has to be brought down as gently as possible.
75  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Alt-right leader Mike Cernovich punched in the face at Trump Tax March rally on: April 16, 2017, 04:44:00 pm
Alt-right White Supremacist leader Mike Cernovich punched in the face at Trump Tax March rally

FTFY

IIRC Cernovich isn't a white supremacist, just popular with them.
I've never even considered him alt-right. Maybe alt-like, not alt-right.
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