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October 20, 2014, 01:06:49 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread on: October 19, 2014, 07:22:57 pm
Phil, do Corbett yard signs actually exist? I'm not being sarcastic or anything. I ask because I've been all over Delaware and Chester County in the past couple months, and can't remember seeing a single Corbett sign, yet I've seen dozens of Wolf signs. Even when going through heavily Republican areas, the place is blanketed with signs for the Republican state legislative candidates and Republican HoR candidates, but absolutely nothing for Corbett. I'm not trying to pull a Peggy Noonan and act like it means anything (the polls speak for themselves on that front), but it's pretty bizarre.

Yes, they do exist but they're obviously not all over the place. Tongue  I know of no more than three properties in my area with Corbett signs. That being said, Wolf doesn't have many up in the city or the suburbs that I frequent either.

I was in Delaware county today and saw plenty of signs for the big State Senate race but no Gubernatorial signs at all. I was in Montco yesterday and Wednesday and saw quite a few Wolf signs and plenty of legislative signs. Only one Corbett sign.

I think Phil meant that obviously Corbett wasn't the one who was shopping the pics. It was probably a staffer or something.

Oh, I agree! I'd just be shocked with both his approval and reputation in the tank that he would have staffers who would just do something like that without his knowledge.

Are you serious? You think they run campaign design ideas by him? No candidate for that high of an office is ever that hands on. Come on.

And yes, it was a deliberate error by a staffer. I wasn't saying "campaign error" like someone accidentally pressed a button and an image of a black woman suddenly appeared.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ken Buck, Ken Buck? on: October 19, 2014, 01:04:47 pm
Ken Buck sucks. He would have lost to Udall by mid to high single digits if he had been the candidate this year. If Northam had beat him in that 2010 primary, Bennet would be back to living a commoner's life.

Enough said. Not really sure what there is to really discuss.

But...Ken Buck.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Ken Buck, Ken Buck? on: October 19, 2014, 01:00:32 pm
Colorado. Ken Buck. KEN BUCK. 2010. Ken Buck.

Thoughts?
4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Official 2014-15 Club Soccer/Football Discussion Thread on: October 19, 2014, 11:32:31 am
Favorite match of the season today: Inter vs. Napoli. Even more reason for us to win: Mazzarri is getting axed if he doesn't get three points at home.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread on: October 19, 2014, 10:55:15 am

..it's a campaign error (which I'm not excusing, by the way), dude. The Governor isn't sitting on a laptop, editing pictures on his campaign site.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 19, 2014, 07:17:25 am

 What is worrying is that the concept of 'personhood' isn't about being pro-choice or pro-life... it's about wanting the application of that principle as a policy prescription, and into law. That is a legitimately alarming position.

I really don't want this to become some big abortion debate but can you clarify this point? Are you saying, "I don't care if you're Pro Life...as long as you don't want to do something about it." I see you clearly said, "This isn't about being Pro Choice or Pro Life..." but then you reference "application of that principle as a policy prescription..." Does "that principle" mean Pro Life principles in general or specifically Personhood? Just looking for some clarity.
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 18, 2014, 06:41:51 pm
We're back at the hotel and in for the evening.  We're pooped, but we had a very good day.  We're going to try to leave between 5 and 6 am tomorrow.

Definitely read that as "We've." I was about to say that this has definitely crossed a line with details.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 18, 2014, 06:33:47 pm
The three books and a song thing obviously isn't a big deal but actually saying "We can re-tape this later, right?" and "I'm brain dead today" will probably get replayed a bit.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 18, 2014, 02:33:57 pm
Rousseff will not be re-elected.

I think she won't, but I wouldn't be so sure. That's why you will be mocked if she loses: being sure of the outcome of elections you know nothing about is risky.

I stand by my previous "infamous" prediction: Sarkozy will be re-elected. I just never said when.

And let's have a little check on yourself, buddy: you complain about arrogance but you are arrogantly sure that I "know nothing about" these races. 

Do you know anything about the race? It's possible that you know something, but I wouldn't give that for granted. Said this, it's obvious that Dilma has many chances of not being reelected. Did you predict in 2012 the reelection of Sarkozy in the 2017 race? If that's the case, I congratulate you for your developed clairvoyance (if Sarko wins the UMP nomination and the 2017 elections, of course). If that's not the case, you are competing at an advantage Wink


I said in 2012 that Sarkozy will be re-elected. I was just wise enough not to say when he'd win another term.

Wink
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 18, 2014, 02:30:44 pm
"I'm brain dead today."

Consistent!
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 18, 2014, 12:13:55 pm
The Atlas Forum Bubble Mentality dictates extreme exaggeration. So if a good pollster says X, X is undoubtedly true.

And, of course, the Mentality also requires that an even mildly amusing joke must be repeated as nauseam (see: "LOL SURE, SCOTT" regarding Rasmussen Polling).
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: What Network will you watch Election Night? on: October 18, 2014, 11:12:41 am
MSNBC. I like John King on CNN but the graphics and the liberal reaction pull me into MSNBC. I'll tape CNN though too and watch that days later.

Exactly my answer.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 18, 2014, 11:00:07 am
Rousseff will not be re-elected.

I think she won't, but I wouldn't be so sure. That's why you will be mocked if she loses: being sure of the outcome of elections you know nothing about is risky.

I stand by my previous "infamous" prediction: Sarkozy will be re-elected. I just never said when.

And let's have a little check on yourself, buddy: you complain about arrogance but you are arrogantly sure that I "know nothing about" these races. 
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal on: October 18, 2014, 10:49:09 am
38% of those sampled are Republican while 32.5% are Dems and U-Haul is up three? Ok, guys. What kind of massive lead must the soon-to-be-former Senator have amongst Idependents for that to be realistic?
15  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Official 2014-15 Club Soccer/Football Discussion Thread on: October 18, 2014, 10:43:04 am
Fewer Italians on Sunderland = 0-7 spanking at the hands of Southampton (home of an Italian star. What a coincidence). How's Al doing right now?
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 18, 2014, 10:01:05 am
I wonder how that "Indian Taco" was.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Magellan (R) shows Corbett gaining on: October 18, 2014, 09:43:53 am

Time for some new material, boys.
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Should Badger and Keystone Phil have their own TV show? on: October 18, 2014, 08:06:43 am
On second thought, Politicus and Badger TV show would be grand.

That would be critically panned and poorly watched spinoff of the original, after Phil left the series for a failed attempt at movie stardom.

The two main characters are next-door neighbours. Politicus is an exchange student from Denmark, interested in international elections. She suspects Badger of being a half-misogynist, half-man and half-badger and dedicates her time to unmask him. Badger is a rich lawyer, suspecting Politicus of being a succubus on a mission to eradicate the Muslims, which he vowes to stop at all costs. Despite strong differences, the two are getting married on season finale, which became a reason to cancel the show.

Reccuring characters includes Joe Republic, Badger's former law partner-turned-bitter enemy; Oakvale, who goes around and wants to ban every single thing he sees and ag, a professional doomsday preacher from Mexico. 

Am I too busy playing Soccer in each episode to even make an appearance?
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 18, 2014, 07:38:40 am
Rousseff will not be re-elected.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Scott Brown: If Romney was president, there'd be no concern about Ebola on: October 17, 2014, 11:57:25 pm
A tiny bead of sweat surfaces on IceSpears forehead...
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Am I really such a bad person? on: October 17, 2014, 11:52:23 pm
Those polls really are garbage. I only vote HP if I think someone is truly disgusting and/or mostly trollish. Voting HP just on disagreements or even just not jiving with someone personally* is stupid.


*We really know so little about each other outside of this place aside from a few cases for each of us where we've gotten to know people as real friends. Sure, someone's persona here may be emblematic of how they are outside of this place but again, aside from the few cases where we really know Forum folks in the real world, there's no way of knowing for sure.  
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying on: October 17, 2014, 04:30:55 pm
No shocker: Del Bosque states that he'll be leaving as coach of Spain after the Euros.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 17, 2014, 04:27:03 pm
Most people who are opposed to abortion don't believe that birth control pills should be illegal.

I'm not a proponent of fetal personhood, but I think its a little unfair (or purposefully deceptive) to say that the natural result is that "birth control pills" will be illegal, when the most extreme enforcement would only result in Plan B being illegal. It's like saying Hobby Lobby isn't paying for its employees birth control, when in fact it is paying for 16 out of 20 of the contraceptives Obamacare requires. Women don't take Plan B as a regular form of birth control, they use it as an emergency contraceptive after the fact. Fetal Personhood doesn't kick in until fertilization, which isn't even a factor with they daily birth control pills most women use.

Not saying that Ernst was wise in endorsing this, but if the belief is as "extreme" as you claim, then there is no need to lie about it.

Ah, I should have known not to trust Harry if it really only makes Plan B illegal.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 17, 2014, 04:17:58 pm
Look at the Dems slobber over an internal. It would be precious if it wasn't so very sad.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Magellan (R) shows Corbett gaining on: October 17, 2014, 04:15:28 pm
Don't worry friends, I am doing my part to ensure that the child molester-coddler Corbett is sent packing. I got my girlfriend to sign up for an absentee ballot yesterday, and showed her one of Wolf's ads on the YouTube.

...Kathleen Kane campaigned on the accusation that Corbett mishandled/politicized the Sandusky investigation. Her own investigation concluded that that wasn't true.
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