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October 22, 2014, 10:01:58 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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51  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 17, 2014, 04:27:03 pm
Most people who are opposed to abortion don't believe that birth control pills should be illegal.

I'm not a proponent of fetal personhood, but I think its a little unfair (or purposefully deceptive) to say that the natural result is that "birth control pills" will be illegal, when the most extreme enforcement would only result in Plan B being illegal. It's like saying Hobby Lobby isn't paying for its employees birth control, when in fact it is paying for 16 out of 20 of the contraceptives Obamacare requires. Women don't take Plan B as a regular form of birth control, they use it as an emergency contraceptive after the fact. Fetal Personhood doesn't kick in until fertilization, which isn't even a factor with they daily birth control pills most women use.

Not saying that Ernst was wise in endorsing this, but if the belief is as "extreme" as you claim, then there is no need to lie about it.

Ah, I should have known not to trust Harry if it really only makes Plan B illegal.
52  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 17, 2014, 04:17:58 pm
Look at the Dems slobber over an internal. It would be precious if it wasn't so very sad.
53  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Magellan (R) shows Corbett gaining on: October 17, 2014, 04:15:28 pm
Don't worry friends, I am doing my part to ensure that the child molester-coddler Corbett is sent packing. I got my girlfriend to sign up for an absentee ballot yesterday, and showed her one of Wolf's ads on the YouTube.

...Kathleen Kane campaigned on the accusation that Corbett mishandled/politicized the Sandusky investigation. Her own investigation concluded that that wasn't true.
54  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which posters would you most like as a roommate? on: October 17, 2014, 06:55:27 am

The question was "which posters would you most like as a roommate".

The answer in NONE.

That's the most straightforward answer you can imagine.

Well, yes, I agree. I'm generally opposed to roommates, too. But I answered as if I had to choose people here.
55  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 17, 2014, 06:45:15 am
Seems like a few people on this thread are forgetting how extreme and loony "Personhood" is -- there isn't a strong correlation between people's beliefs on abortion and people's beliefs on "Personhood." Remember, Mississippi rejected this nonsense in a landslide, and that was with national "Personhood" groups funneling so much money in the state in their desperation.

Most people who are opposed to abortion don't believe that birth control pills should be illegal. Most people who are opposed to abortion don't believe that IVF and other common fertility treatments should be illegal. Most people who are opposed to abortion don't believe that police should investigate and harass women who've had miscarriages in the same way that they would in the case of a child's accidental death.

It's one thing for Gardner to recant and apologize for formerly holding such a fringe, repugnant position. It's completely different for Ernst to double down on it. If Braley can get her on tape defending this abomination, he can flip the race around.

And those are all fine points, Harry (wow! There's a sentence you rarely see) but having Braley make his campaign just about that is idiotic and, quite frankly, most people will see it as him just making it about abortion in general. But hey, by all means, I hope he does it.
56  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: It's happening ... on: October 16, 2014, 06:22:47 pm
Actually, it will motivate a good deal of conservatives (and maybe a few moderates) that aren't happy with Corbett and planned on staying home. There has been next to no motivation within the base for Corbett. This at least moves things somewhat in his direction.

You're right that there was/is no base enthusiasm for Corbett, but there's no way they were actually going to stay home. The Republican base always votes, and an unenthusiastic nose holding vote counts just as much as an enthusiastic one.

I disagree that the base "always votes" and I certainly dispute that when it comes to this race. Corbett's numbers with the GOP have been putrid for literally years now!

"Always votes" was obviously hyperbole, but Republicans tend to turn out en masse even in the local special off year election for dog catcher. Even if they dislike Corbett, they weren't going to stay home since there's House and state legislature elections on the ballot too.

Our Dear Base isn't exactly as much of a factor (numbers wise in comparison to more moderate voters) in the very few truly competitive legislative races.
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 16, 2014, 06:17:53 pm
Harry should open a political consulting firm: single issue abortion campaigns (after proving to not work especially in a midterm environment), demand that Dems embrace Obama or run to his left in the South...
58  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 16, 2014, 06:13:35 pm
Harry, you're more obsessed with this issue than Mark U-Haul. Get over it. But I hope Braley doesn't get over it. He should definitely take your advice and make this a single issue campaign. It worked wonders in Colorado.

Actually, the reason it didn't work in Colorado was because Gardner immediately turned against personhood the second he entered the Senate race. There's a reason he did so, and it's because he's a lot smarter than more politically savvy than Joni Ernst. This could be a potent line of attack for Braley.

Ernst is physically sickening.

The Democrats' War on Women rages on. Absolutely shameful.
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IA: Ernst endorses fetal "personhood" on: October 16, 2014, 06:10:08 pm
Harry, you're more obsessed with this issue than Mark U-Haul. Get over it. But I hope Braley doesn't get over it. He should definitely take your advice and make this a single issue campaign. It worked wonders in Colorado.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: It's happening ... on: October 16, 2014, 06:07:46 pm
Actually, it will motivate a good deal of conservatives (and maybe a few moderates) that aren't happy with Corbett and planned on staying home. There has been next to no motivation within the base for Corbett. This at least moves things somewhat in his direction.

You're right that there was/is no base enthusiasm for Corbett, but there's no way they were actually going to stay home. The Republican base always votes, and an unenthusiastic nose holding vote counts just as much as an enthusiastic one.

I disagree that the base "always votes" and I certainly dispute that when it comes to this race. Corbett's numbers with the GOP have been putrid for literally years now!
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: It's happening ... on: October 16, 2014, 05:56:49 pm
Actually, it will motivate a good deal of conservatives (and maybe a few moderates) that aren't happy with Corbett and planned on staying home. There has been next to no motivation within the base for Corbett. This at least moves things somewhat in his direction.
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: WRBL/Ledger-Enquirer: Nunn +1 on: October 16, 2014, 05:53:25 pm
Oh, please. Worst case, it goes to a runoff.
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: It's happening ... on: October 16, 2014, 04:09:58 pm
Totally unnecessary but, hey...

You do realize that Obama will campaign somewhere where he is popular in the state (like Philadelphia). You're foolish if you believe his travel to the state hasn't been poll tested to ensure it helps more than it hurts Wolf.

Ah, I forgot: campaigning in Philly will mean only Philly area voters will see him with Wolf.
64  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying on: October 16, 2014, 04:07:23 pm
German media already started to panick a bit about this, asking if this could be the first time since 1968 Germany doesn't qualify for a European championship. Tongue

I'd actually hate that but I love watching them sweat.
65  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Sen, Quinnipiac: Gardner in the lead on: October 16, 2014, 04:04:32 pm
Just start calling him Mark U-Haul because he's doing some major packing soon!
66  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying on: October 16, 2014, 06:56:32 am
Jokemany! Hahaha
A one-goal win against the total football superpower of Malta is not too impressive either. ;-)

And you'll never see me thinking it's acceptable but it's pretty typical for us. Wink
67  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Remington: Roberts +2 on: October 16, 2014, 06:50:33 am
Going to need a bulldozer to scrape that omlette off your face, Atlas Forum.

Of all the politicians to feel passionate about, why Pat Roberts?  He seems extraordinarily dull, mediocre.  Unless it's just purely the sake of seeing the GOP succeed, then I get that.

It will be a major victory in the fight to deliver the Senate to the GOP. And the reactions around here among the self appointed experts will be hilarious (same with the KS Gubernatorial race).

Because getting a rise out of people is totally worth making America even more of a fetid, right-wing s**thole.

That's the spirit!

But that's no where near my primary reason for supporting a GOP takeover of the Senate. I really don't want the dumbs thinking that I think that highly of them.
68  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The democrats are going to gain a seat in the senate this november on: October 15, 2014, 10:14:31 pm
California. Yellow avatar. Let me guess what you were up to before posting this thread...
69  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 15, 2014, 09:58:53 pm
GUYS! YOU EVER HEAR OF THAT TIME WHEN KEN BUCK LED IN POLLS IN 2010 BUT STILL LOST?

GUYS! REMEMBER WHEN SANTORUM AND SARKOZY WERE GOING TO BE REELECTED?

No? What kind of moron would predict that?
70  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Where would you rather want to live ? (Tender Branson edition) on: October 15, 2014, 09:43:33 pm
Thanks for putting one good choice, Tender! My choice is obvious! Catania is about an hour away from one of my ancestral cities.
71  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: October 15, 2014, 09:31:59 pm
GUYS! YOU EVER HEAR OF THAT TIME WHEN KEN BUCK LED IN POLLS IN 2010 BUT STILL LOST?
72  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: October 15, 2014, 09:18:01 pm
While Scott shouldn't have thrown a hissy fit, let's not lose sight of the fact that diva Charlie needed a fan at his legs.

He always does that.

So he's a diva all the time. Great.
It was 90 degrees with 93% humidity where the debate was today. Dude sweats. Get over it. Y'all, like Charlie, need to chill

Correct and last time I checked, no one else that had to deal with the heat demanded a small electric fan. It's not a huge deal but it's still so damn diva-ish.
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: October 15, 2014, 09:11:17 pm
While Scott shouldn't have thrown a hissy fit, let's not lose sight of the fact that diva Charlie needed a fan at his legs.

He always does that.

So he's a diva all the time. Great.
74  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: October 15, 2014, 09:05:47 pm
While Scott shouldn't have thrown a hissy fit, let's not lose sight of the fact that diva Charlie needed a fan at his legs.
75  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: As of right now (10/15) on FiveThirtyEight.... on: October 15, 2014, 09:01:53 pm
Maybe on election night, but Perdue has a better chance of becoming a Senator due to the runoff.

There will be no runoff.

Yeah, Perdue should crack 50%.

Says the Republican from Pennsylvania... Roll Eyes

Ok, you're officially Politico.
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