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51  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points on: October 21, 2014, 05:04:29 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!

Yes, I'm sure she'd much rather be tied or losing, like Pat Roberts (R-Ukraine).

Senator Roberts has posted a lead in several recent polls and will lead when it matters most: on Election Day. But don't worry: perennial failed candidate Greg Orman can begin plotting his 2020 campaign very soon.
52  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NC-SUSA: Another poll, another Hagan lead of 3 points on: October 21, 2014, 04:57:22 pm
Another Hagan lead in the margin of error. Must be a safe hold then!
53  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What will the results in Kansas be? on: October 21, 2014, 04:31:19 pm
The Keystone Phil option is and always was going to be correct.
54  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Official 2014-15 Club Soccer/Football Discussion Thread on: October 21, 2014, 04:23:31 pm
Roma lost 7-1 at home to Bayern. The fight for second in that group should be very interesting (Roma remain two points ahead of City).
55  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: PPP says Gardner+3 on: October 21, 2014, 04:18:32 pm
Fire up the truck!

Love that pathetic approval rating for the soon-to-be-former Senator.  Meanwhile, Gardener has a +3 favorability rating. Amazing!
56  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Monmouth: Davis at 50%, leads by 5 on: October 21, 2014, 05:42:19 am
waiting for Phil to come and tell us why this poll is junk

Oh, sorry. It can't be junk! Only the Senate numbers are a joke because they show Roberts and Orman tied. This is obviously accurate!

I swear to god, you're the most arrogant, insufferable prick this side of Joe Biden. Welcome to ignore.

Oh, no! I answered your cocky question with a not-so-cocky response and now I'm on ignore by some poster that got here like last week. Sad
57  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Monmouth: Davis at 50%, leads by 5 on: October 20, 2014, 09:24:42 pm
waiting for Phil to come and tell us why this poll is junk

Oh, sorry. It can't be junk! Only the Senate numbers are a joke because they show Roberts and Orman tied. This is obviously accurate!
58  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: October 20, 2014, 06:55:57 pm
There is still room for Grimes to win this.

Yeah, in your head, which certainly has plenty of room.

Go play with your Santorum, Roberts and Brownback dolls, okay? Bye, little boy.

Ah, the "Senate Collection." Not available: Alison Lundergan Grimes.
59  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: October 20, 2014, 06:31:59 pm
There is still room for Grimes to win this.

Yeah, in your head, which certainly has plenty of room.
60  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KY: SUSA: McConnell +1 on: October 20, 2014, 06:05:21 pm
A swing of three points to McConnell (with undecideds obviously going to break for The Leader) and the Dems still think they have a decent shot here. Too precious.
61  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: YouGov: Shaheen leads by three in poll for UMass Amherst on: October 20, 2014, 06:04:04 pm
Remember how Brown was going to lose by like twenty points according to the Atlas Forum Mentality?
62  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread on: October 19, 2014, 07:22:57 pm
Phil, do Corbett yard signs actually exist? I'm not being sarcastic or anything. I ask because I've been all over Delaware and Chester County in the past couple months, and can't remember seeing a single Corbett sign, yet I've seen dozens of Wolf signs. Even when going through heavily Republican areas, the place is blanketed with signs for the Republican state legislative candidates and Republican HoR candidates, but absolutely nothing for Corbett. I'm not trying to pull a Peggy Noonan and act like it means anything (the polls speak for themselves on that front), but it's pretty bizarre.

Yes, they do exist but they're obviously not all over the place. Tongue  I know of no more than three properties in my area with Corbett signs. That being said, Wolf doesn't have many up in the city or the suburbs that I frequent either.

I was in Delaware county today and saw plenty of signs for the big State Senate race but no Gubernatorial signs at all. I was in Montco yesterday and Wednesday and saw quite a few Wolf signs and plenty of legislative signs. Only one Corbett sign.

I think Phil meant that obviously Corbett wasn't the one who was shopping the pics. It was probably a staffer or something.

Oh, I agree! I'd just be shocked with both his approval and reputation in the tank that he would have staffers who would just do something like that without his knowledge.

Are you serious? You think they run campaign design ideas by him? No candidate for that high of an office is ever that hands on. Come on.

And yes, it was a deliberate error by a staffer. I wasn't saying "campaign error" like someone accidentally pressed a button and an image of a black woman suddenly appeared.
63  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ken Buck, Ken Buck? on: October 19, 2014, 01:04:47 pm
Ken Buck sucks. He would have lost to Udall by mid to high single digits if he had been the candidate this year. If Northam had beat him in that 2010 primary, Bennet would be back to living a commoner's life.

Enough said. Not really sure what there is to really discuss.

But...Ken Buck.
64  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Ken Buck, Ken Buck? on: October 19, 2014, 01:00:32 pm
Colorado. Ken Buck. KEN BUCK. 2010. Ken Buck.

Thoughts?
65  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Official 2014-15 Club Soccer/Football Discussion Thread on: October 19, 2014, 11:32:31 am
Favorite match of the season today: Inter vs. Napoli. Even more reason for us to win: Mazzarri is getting axed if he doesn't get three points at home.
66  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Pennsylvania 2014 Discussion Thread on: October 19, 2014, 10:55:15 am

..it's a campaign error (which I'm not excusing, by the way), dude. The Governor isn't sitting on a laptop, editing pictures on his campaign site.
67  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 19, 2014, 07:17:25 am

 What is worrying is that the concept of 'personhood' isn't about being pro-choice or pro-life... it's about wanting the application of that principle as a policy prescription, and into law. That is a legitimately alarming position.

I really don't want this to become some big abortion debate but can you clarify this point? Are you saying, "I don't care if you're Pro Life...as long as you don't want to do something about it." I see you clearly said, "This isn't about being Pro Choice or Pro Life..." but then you reference "application of that principle as a policy prescription..." Does "that principle" mean Pro Life principles in general or specifically Personhood? Just looking for some clarity.
68  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 18, 2014, 06:41:51 pm
We're back at the hotel and in for the evening.  We're pooped, but we had a very good day.  We're going to try to leave between 5 and 6 am tomorrow.

Definitely read that as "We've." I was about to say that this has definitely crossed a line with details.
69  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 18, 2014, 06:33:47 pm
The three books and a song thing obviously isn't a big deal but actually saying "We can re-tape this later, right?" and "I'm brain dead today" will probably get replayed a bit.
70  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 18, 2014, 02:33:57 pm
Rousseff will not be re-elected.

I think she won't, but I wouldn't be so sure. That's why you will be mocked if she loses: being sure of the outcome of elections you know nothing about is risky.

I stand by my previous "infamous" prediction: Sarkozy will be re-elected. I just never said when.

And let's have a little check on yourself, buddy: you complain about arrogance but you are arrogantly sure that I "know nothing about" these races. 

Do you know anything about the race? It's possible that you know something, but I wouldn't give that for granted. Said this, it's obvious that Dilma has many chances of not being reelected. Did you predict in 2012 the reelection of Sarkozy in the 2017 race? If that's the case, I congratulate you for your developed clairvoyance (if Sarko wins the UMP nomination and the 2017 elections, of course). If that's not the case, you are competing at an advantage Wink


I said in 2012 that Sarkozy will be re-elected. I was just wise enough not to say when he'd win another term.

Wink
71  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Colorado Megathread: Buck-ing the trend on: October 18, 2014, 02:30:44 pm
"I'm brain dead today."

Consistent!
72  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: PPP-IA: Braley +1 on: October 18, 2014, 12:13:55 pm
The Atlas Forum Bubble Mentality dictates extreme exaggeration. So if a good pollster says X, X is undoubtedly true.

And, of course, the Mentality also requires that an even mildly amusing joke must be repeated as nauseam (see: "LOL SURE, SCOTT" regarding Rasmussen Polling).
73  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: What Network will you watch Election Night? on: October 18, 2014, 11:12:41 am
MSNBC. I like John King on CNN but the graphics and the liberal reaction pull me into MSNBC. I'll tape CNN though too and watch that days later.

Exactly my answer.
74  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Election - 5 October 2014 on: October 18, 2014, 11:00:07 am
Rousseff will not be re-elected.

I think she won't, but I wouldn't be so sure. That's why you will be mocked if she loses: being sure of the outcome of elections you know nothing about is risky.

I stand by my previous "infamous" prediction: Sarkozy will be re-elected. I just never said when.

And let's have a little check on yourself, buddy: you complain about arrogance but you are arrogantly sure that I "know nothing about" these races. 
75  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Mellman (D): Udall+3 in internal on: October 18, 2014, 10:49:09 am
38% of those sampled are Republican while 32.5% are Dems and U-Haul is up three? Ok, guys. What kind of massive lead must the soon-to-be-former Senator have amongst Idependents for that to be realistic?
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