More specifically the video game stuff coupled with Tipper Gore's stuff turned off a lot of 18-29 year old males.

Miami, FL
Chicago, IL
Orange County, CA
Los Angeles, CA
San Jose, CA
Sacramento, CA
New York, NY
Washington DC
Fairfax County, VA
Houston, TX

CNN has young adults dropping out of labor force.

Is this a guess or do you have a cite ?

The recovery has been half exports since June 2009.

Lebanon isn't going to take sudden demographic changes too well.

Output per worker. As we note it doubled it's 1987 number some time in early 2005. Pretty much the same amount of time a child born in 1987 took to graduate high school.

Interesting that nearly all that increase took place in the 1990s.

and the number of people employed stayed pretty much the same until the 2001 recession.

Agree

Santa Cruz County, California must be up there. The opening of UC Santa Cruz in the mid 60s has transformed this traditionally Republican coastal county into one of the most hard-left areas in the country (Angela Davis is a professor at UC Santa Cruz, 'nuff said).

No, a lot of the shift happened because the Republican party went crazy hard right. The university played a role but the trend is seen all over the bay area, and really accelerated with that dumbass Bush. Acting like some sort of uneducated redneck is not going to play well in that part of the country.

Yes, Dubya was toxic for CA Pubs. Beyond Dubya being Dubya, Californians just don't think very highly of Texans in general, and loathe their accent and cultural style as a crude generalization. The accent thing matters. I think that is one reason why Carter did so poorly in CA, and Tunney with his Boston accent went down to Hiyakawa. You may think I'm nutter, but I really believe that.

Oh I absolutely believe you. Hey in seeing it in action now with the looks I get when I say I live in Tennessee.

Santa Cruz did indeed trend heavily D after the university opened. Many of Santa Cruz's older established families are the core of the R vote in the area.

1960: 39.9%
--Skip 1964--
1965 - University founded
1968: 41.0%
1972: 46.4% (1968 => 1972 should be seen as unprecedented for a positive D trend, and it was probably due to UCSC's student body increasing)

It actually also rejected FDR in 1940 and 1944.

The most likely issue here is that turban-wearing Sikhs look more like bin Laden than actual Muslims do.

What happened around 1980?

Decline in manufacturing, perhaps?

Manufacturing output has never declined. Lower-level manufacturing jobs have been automated though.

Not quite as early but from 1987 we can see the trends of manufacturing employment and manufacturing output:



Output per worker. As we note it doubled it's 1987 number some time in early 2005. Pretty much the same amount of time a child born in 1987 took to graduate high school.

People will increasingly self-regulate on college debt.

This needs to be diluted through printing - the only way to get it out from under the mattress is to print and spend till they have no bloody choice.

Then the cash horde earns more interest to keep up with ensuing inflation opebo, or the corps switch to another currency. Try again.

Come on buddy, you know if the State printed and spent they would create such economic growth that the corporations would have incentive to invest.  Of course my personal preference would involve the guillotine for all involved in such crimes as this, but that's probably too much to hope for.

Even if the cash supply exceeds the country's GDP?

Cash and GDP are not comparable concepts. One is a flow variable and the other is a stock variable.

Stocks and flows, stocks and flows.

7

[Optimistic]

For me

Optimistic
The FSA decrees that once Assad has been pushed out that there will be guarantees against Sunni reprisal against Alawites and Christians. The West could back the FSA but than deploy troops to enforce this guarantee. Another scenario is create a state for Alawites and Christians north of Lebanon and leave a land-locked Sunni state. If anything the West was too slow in backing the FSA and should have done so before the global Sunni fundo brigade decided to.

Pessimistic
A protracted Iraq-style sectarian civil war. This has the potential to be dangerous as Sunnis from other hot-spots such as Afghanistan/Iraq and Saudi Arabia trickle into Syria. Syria's Alawites are a lot easier to hate from their point of view than Iraq's Twelvers.  Hezbollah could easily come in and take the side of the Alawites and go on a wrecking tour of anti-Assad areas.

If FEMA had sent New Orleans African-Americans to Atlanta instead of Houston/Dallas than Georgia would be polling pretty much as a swing state.

Mostly Dem AFAIK

6

I have a feeling this wouldn't be all that useful for some areas, for example, precincts in the Central Valley that have 1,000 Hispanics and 3 Whites that cast 3 votes total.

But you could always just run a correlation coefficient on a spreadsheet and than square it to for the R^2.

7

6

http://www.presstv.com/detail/2012/07/24/252543/top-sunni-cleric-embraces-shia-islam/

Top Sunni mufti and head of Sunni scholars in France Sheikh Sankoh Muhammadi has embraced Shia Islam after a visit to the holy city of Karbala in Iraq.

Pre-DC DLC Gore would have easily won TN and WV and had an outside chance at AR.

Chambliss would have probably lost had there been more of a "reverse Great Migration" of African-Americans from depressed de-industrialized Northern cities back to the South.