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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Sabato: Bevy of Gov. close contests as election day nears on: Today at 05:25:31 am
I think it's amazing that in this cycle, a majority (23/45) of states have demonstrated some relative and/or temporary tendency to be competitive at some point in either their Senatorial or Gubernatorial race. Also, the dynamic of these states being relatively split (10 conventionally Republican states, 9 conventionally Democratic states and 4 battleground states) makes it even more interesting.

2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: Today at 03:42:14 am
Interactive Georgia Early Vote Map: BK and I worked on collecting 2010 data by county tonight in order to bring you this - a map that compares 2010 early voting totals to the current 2014 early voting totals for each Georgia county. We still have yesterday (Friday's) totals to update in the VAN (hopefully today), but by and large, the picture is painted.

To make everything relative until it is updated with the final data, counties with 2014 vote totals of 106% or greater are out-performing the state as a whole in terms of the increase in early voters between 2010-2014; those less than that are obviously under-performing.

Counties shaded red are <95% of their 2010 totals; white is 95-105% of 2010 totals; green is >105%. There's a legend on the actual map below (for example: "0.98" equals 98%). You can click on each county for more details/percentages.

2014 Early Vote Turnout as a Percentage of 2010 Early Vote Turnout

3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 31, 2014, 07:54:09 pm
Lief, Thanksgiving and Christmas begin today.

Not Lief, but it's Halloween. They begin on November 27 and December 25, respectively.

Those are the actual holidays, but the holiday season is all in one (Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year's) and lasts from Halloween Day to New Year's Day.

Only in the mind of a delusional man-child who views holidays like a five year-old. The holidays have already came and passed for you. Your gifts? A family who will put up with your chronic, immoral mooching. Happy Kwanzaa, now go to work!

There is nothing wrong or childish about getting very excited for Christmas in the summer time.  Neither for playing Christmas music anytime of the year.  That is not odd and not wrong and not childish.

Wrong? No, if you had a job and were able to enjoy all of this on your own dime. Odd and childish? Yes, it is, regardless, and probably the best visible indicator to all of us of the frame of mind in which you constantly live.

I do have a job, starting Monday, that should take me into 2015 at the worst case scenario, well past Christmas.

If it is childish then that is the best way to view Christmas.  One people group I cannot stand are Scrooges.

It's not scrooge-like to tell a man half-way through his natural life that subconsciously and randomly deeming the holidays to be literally half the year in order to escape reality because he refuses to grow up and support himself is childish. And that's exactly why you do it.

No, it's not at all why I do it.  I do it because I genuinely love Christmas.  I do not use it to escape reality.  I know full well what is going on around me at most times.  And, rarely, outside of Christmas, do I act like a child.  In fact, if anything, I act like a senior citizen.

4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 31, 2014, 07:25:35 pm
Lief, Thanksgiving and Christmas begin today.

Not Lief, but it's Halloween. They begin on November 27 and December 25, respectively.

Those are the actual holidays, but the holiday season is all in one (Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year's) and lasts from Halloween Day to New Year's Day.

Only in the mind of a delusional man-child who views holidays like a five year-old. The holidays have already came and passed for you. Your gifts? A family who will put up with your chronic, immoral mooching. Happy Kwanzaa, now go to work!

There is nothing wrong or childish about getting very excited for Christmas in the summer time.  Neither for playing Christmas music anytime of the year.  That is not odd and not wrong and not childish.

Wrong? No, if you had a job and were able to enjoy all of this on your own dime. Odd and childish? Yes, it is, regardless, and probably the best visible indicator to all of us of the frame of mind in which you constantly live.

I do have a job, starting Monday, that should take me into 2015 at the worst case scenario, well past Christmas.

If it is childish then that is the best way to view Christmas.  One people group I cannot stand are Scrooges.

It's not scrooge-like to tell a man half-way through his natural life that subconsciously and randomly deeming the holidays to be literally half the year in order to escape reality because he refuses to grow up and support himself is childish. And that's exactly why you do it.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 31, 2014, 07:16:44 pm
Lief, Thanksgiving and Christmas begin today.

Not Lief, but it's Halloween. They begin on November 27 and December 25, respectively.

Those are the actual holidays, but the holiday season is all in one (Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year's) and lasts from Halloween Day to New Year's Day.

Only in the mind of a delusional man-child who views holidays like a five year-old. The holidays have already came and passed for you. Your gifts? A family who will put up with your chronic, immoral mooching. Happy Kwanzaa, now go to work!

There is nothing wrong or childish about getting very excited for Christmas in the summer time.  Neither for playing Christmas music anytime of the year.  That is not odd and not wrong and not childish.

Wrong? No, if you had a job and were able to enjoy all of this on your own dime. Odd and childish? Yes, it is, regardless, and probably the best visible indicator to all of us of the frame of mind in which you constantly live.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update XVIII: 15 Miles From Lunch on: October 31, 2014, 07:06:49 pm
Lief, Thanksgiving and Christmas begin today.

Not Lief, but it's Halloween. They begin on November 27 and December 25, respectively.

Those are the actual holidays, but the holiday season is all in one (Halloween, Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year's) and lasts from Halloween Day to New Year's Day.

Only in the mind of a delusional man-child who views holidays like a five year-old. The holidays have already came and passed for you. Your gifts? A family who will put up with your chronic, immoral mooching. Happy Kwanzaa, now go to work!
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TN-4: Winnable by Democrats? on: October 31, 2014, 06:47:08 pm
I lol'd at the beginning with the text.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: October 31, 2014, 06:18:59 pm
"And if Michelle Nunn wins, Democrats keep control of the Senate..." -Barack Obama

I have heard this line at least twenty times today in radio ads, usually coupled with Nunn's "I defer to the President's judgement". It's brutally effective

Why in the world would Barry-O say something like that anywhere near a microphone? Sad

Oh and now we're seeing Perdue and Perdue-affiliated PAC ads in the Great White North. Sad
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: October 31, 2014, 04:57:28 pm
Georgia, through Thursday. We have broken the 2010 early voting record by more than 115,000 votes, and my original projections of 750,000 - 800,000 seem to have been too conservative. It's likely that we finish this up closer to 900,000 early votes. The black share of the vote continues to increase and is on track to be 3 to 3.5 points higher than 2010, but we're probably near or at the peak of it in terms of percentage of the electorate. Females are also a slightly larger share of the early electorate than in 2010. Both likely Dems and Reps continue to decrease as a % of the identifiable electorate, but Dems maintain a overall lead in this category by close to 1 point. This early vote electorate as a whole seems to skew a bit older than 2010's, but in Georgia, ideology and voting preference is fairly uniform across age groups.

Quote
2010 Early Voting Totals:
Total Votes Cast: 678,939
White: 66.5%
Black: 29.0%
Other: 3.6%
Asian: 0.5%
Latino: 0.4%

2014 Early Voting Totals:
Total Votes Cast: 796,981
White: 61.9%
Black: 32.2% (^)
Other: 4.9% (^)
Latino: 0.6%
Asian: 0.4%

Quote
Early Vote by Gender, 2010:
Female: 55.1%
Male: 44.9%

Early Vote by Gender, 2014:
Female: 55.5% (^)
Male: 44.5%

Quote
Early Vote by Likely Party, 2010:
Likely Democrat: 36.4%
Likely Republican: 43.1%
Likely Independent: 5.2%
Unknown: 13.8%

Early Vote by Likely Party, 2014:
Likely Democrat: 39.4%
Likely Republican: 38.7%
Likely Independent: 5.0%
Unknown: 16.8% (^^)

Quote
Early Vote by Age, 2010:
18-30: 5.4%
31-50: 24.4%
51-64: 32.2%
65+: 38.0%

Early Vote by Age, 2014:
18-30: 5.0% (^^)
31-50: 21.0% (^^)
51-64: 33.9%
65+: 40.1%
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Anyone else visiting the graves tomorrow ? on: October 31, 2014, 04:20:17 pm
Bulgaria has one tomorrow, too, and I believe in Greece, it's usually a bit earlier (in Oct) if it's still done.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Just call me Dukey, Esquire on: October 31, 2014, 04:16:09 pm
Congratulations!
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Does Ireland have the best traffic safety videos? on: October 31, 2014, 04:08:28 pm
I went on a binge last night watching public safety videos, and I have to say, Ireland consistently produces some real gems.

First, this more recent one (graphic) of a driver taking out an entire kindergarten class (complete with obligatory shaming at the end):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MD8BkIgp9Fo

Then a couple from 1995, which are less graphic but still good:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jaTmf3B9xVg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jaTmf3B9xVg

And another:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0SL79olDvM

What are some other commercials you've seen that "work well"?
13  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: The National Party HQ: New Brunswick, NJ on: October 31, 2014, 04:02:41 pm
Rpryor, I'm curious to hear what it means to be a nationalist in the Atlasian context (where there are no other nations).

There are plenty of other nations in the game, though they are non-playable entities. The rest of the world didn't cease to exist in 2003-2004.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Graham: "white men who are in male-only clubs are going to do great in my pres" on: October 30, 2014, 09:42:19 pm
Quote
South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, who is toying with the idea of a presidential bid, joked in a private gathering this month that "white men who are in male-only clubs are going to do great in my presidency," according to an audio recording of his comments provided to CNN.

In the meeting, the Republican also cracked wise about Baptists, saying "they're the ones who drink and don't admit it," a variation of a joke he sometimes tells in public.

He also said, "I've tried to help you with your tax status. I'm sorry the government's so f**ked up."

Granted, it was a joking atmosphere, but the jokes are supposed to be relevant to the members, which suggests that it was a white, male-only private club he was speaking at during this.

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/29/politics/lindsey-graham-private-club/index.html
15  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Game Moderation Abolition Amendment (Debating) on: October 30, 2014, 08:41:45 pm
I want the position to work so badly, so very very badly, but I just don't know...perhaps if there was a tighter defining of the specific roles of the GM, it could be saved?
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Landmark Communications: Deal leads narrowly on: October 30, 2014, 08:26:42 pm
Thank you, Governor Deal!

Wow. What a disgusting post. Feel free to never return to the Forum.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Rasmussen: Deal breaking away on: October 30, 2014, 08:24:51 pm
I still think we are two years away from Georgia becoming a purple state.  2016 will be big here, and you have to think that if Johnny Isakson doesn't run for reelection (highly probable), Carter (or any Democrat) could be in a very strong position for the 2016 Senate race.

Isakson has said he is running again, but I don't buy it, either. He is sick, and has been for years. It's talked about here in inner political circles. He's always been a chain-smoker. I mean, take a look at how much he has aged since 2010. He's lost a noticeable amount of weight. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he has cancer and hasn't said anything yet.






Wow. What a disgusting post. Feel free to never return to the Forum.

Oh, boo-hoo. It wasn't made to be mean; it's a serious observation. He's been smoking like a chimney for 50 years and has had fairly acute health problems since not long after he was elected.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Can't we just have one thread for Election Night results? on: October 30, 2014, 08:06:12 pm
Yes, dear God, please. I'm not going to be discussing politics in a combo thread with IL (seriously?), as we already have a thread called "Georgia's Very Own Megathread".
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Polls Tend to Undercount Democrats on: October 30, 2014, 07:21:49 pm
People seriously need to read the article before they comment. It's from the NY Times, not Daily Kos or unskewedpolls.com, and it has very good arguments.

Indeed. I started out with a neutral take on it, but I'm amazed at the level of stupidity from several people in this thread. It's obvious they haven't read the analysis, the data or the comments from pollsters who are saying this as well. This isn't some equivalent sole partisan hack making a claim based on nothing (I can see why Republicans would want to make the false equivalency, though, because they were stupid to believe that nonsense in 2012).
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The "I voted" thread on: October 30, 2014, 07:12:07 pm
I voted today.

Senator: Michelle Nunn (D)
Governor: Jason Carter (D)
Lt. Governor: Connie Stokes (D)
Attorney General: Greg Hecht (D)
Ag Commissioner: Chris Irvin (D)
Secretary of State: Doreen Carter (D)
Labor Commissioner: Robbin Shipp (D)
Insurance Commissioner: Liz Johnson (D)
State School Superintendent: Valarie Wilson (D)
Public Service Commissioner: John Monds (L)
Public Service Commissioner: Daniel Blackman (D)

House of Representatives: Write-in: "Democrat"
State Senator: Write-in: "Democrat"
State Representative: Write-in: "Democrat"
County Commissioner: Write-in: "Democrat"
County Commissioner: Write-in: "Democrat"
Board of Education: Write-in: "Democrat"
Board of Education: Write-in: "Democrat"
Board of Education: Write-in: "Democrat"

State Constitutional Freeze of Income Tax: NO
State Constitutional Fines for Reckless Driving: NO
State Constitutional Handout to UGA: NO

County Redevelopment Powers: YES
County Sunday Sales of Liquor by the Drink: YES
County Sunday Beer and Wine Sales: YES
21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: The Office of President-Elect Lumine on: October 30, 2014, 06:40:14 pm
Game Moderator: Currently not up for applications.

It should be. The current GM hasn't made a post in the GM thread in 36 days, and just took a 5-day LOA.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: October 30, 2014, 06:32:39 pm
I voted and stuff

23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Rasmussen: Deal breaking away on: October 30, 2014, 06:05:54 pm
I still think we are two years away from Georgia becoming a purple state.  2016 will be big here, and you have to think that if Johnny Isakson doesn't run for reelection (highly probable), Carter (or any Democrat) could be in a very strong position for the 2016 Senate race.

Isakson has said he is running again, but I don't buy it, either. He is sick, and has been for years. It's talked about here in inner political circles. He's always been a chain-smoker. I mean, take a look at how much he has aged since 2010. He's lost a noticeable amount of weight. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if he has cancer and hasn't said anything yet.




24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: 2014 October Presidential elections, political winner on: October 30, 2014, 02:14:27 pm


lol

Like I said before, if it's made to be about us, then we always win, in one way or another.



FTR, I never made the first quoted post, that was by Nix Tongue

That's weird. I must have copied and pasted a quote in my original reply to you and it somehow got carried over. Huh
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why Polls Tend to Undercount Democrats on: October 30, 2014, 01:58:49 pm
Now that the Democrats are behind, it's their turn to whine about bad polling.

I don't think polls undercount Democrats in midterms. Aren't the results in midterms much more Republican than the polls predicted? I know that in 2010 they were way off. The GOP won some seats that weren't even close in the polls (for instance, the seat in Duluth and Boucher's seat in Virginia).

Last time, it was the republicans saying even in the final days they'd defy the odds and win the presidency (in a landslide) and the senate. Instead, the democrats swept everything. Now, it's the democrats saying they'll defy the odds and hold the senate (and depending on who you talk to, have house net pickups and make significant net pickups among the governors (>3)). Seems like we're going to see a very good night for republicans.



Quote

In 2010, the polls underestimated the Democrats in every competitive Senate race by an average of 3.1 percentage points, based on data from The Huffington Postís Pollster model.

In 2012, pre-election polls underestimated President Obama in nine of the 10 battleground states by an average of 2 percentage points.

False equivalency, guys. Unlike the Republicans' claims in 2012:

1) there is actually a trend in polling that backs up this for Democrats
2) several real pollsters are actually expressing agreement with the sentiment

But I wasn't necessarily saying that this would make the difference in Senate control. If we had a 2010-like discrepancy, however, then it likely would.
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