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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538 Model Megathread on: Today at 11:26:59 am
Serious question - why does the Nowcast do a trendline? That doesn't make sense to me. If Clinton leads in Nevada now (as she does per their poll model) why would the Nowcast not predict her as ahead?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Trump win back the educated voters? on: Today at 11:02:49 am
Trump's candidacy is about rejecting the value of education. He is proud of his ignorance and promotes stupidity. I doubt that can appeal to educated swing voters.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: #NeverTrump GOP endorsements LATEST: Carlson,Pressler,Scowcroft,Paulson endorse Clinton on: Today at 10:56:06 am
One thing that's been hard for me to reconcile. Polls have broadly suggested that Trump is competitive with Clinton, pulling nearly all Republican voters (like 85%-90%). At the same time, rather significant numbers of GOP officeholders and party people are out against Trump. And presumably even more of them are privately opposed to him but feel the need to prioritize unity in their public image.

Now, I know people say that there is a gap between the "establishment" and the Republican voters (and clearly there is). But surely, Republican politicians must SOMEWHAT represent real Republicans? Like, I'd have expected there to be a decent chunk of Republican voters who'd feel similarly repulsed by Trump.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hungarian PM Orban endorses Trump on: July 24, 2016, 02:04:38 pm
Since both Orban and Trump supporters are fascist I guess it makes sense they like each other. Hungarian traditions of militant anti-semitism are scary as fck though so this is an aspect of Trump I don't find all that entertaining.
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Austin school teacher bodyslammed by police for speeding on: July 24, 2016, 10:39:54 am
Racist Trump Troll gets disproven but just ignores facts. As usual.

Awful video and very unprofessional police conduct.

The only one ignoring facts is you.  You calling me a racist trump troll and didn't have one answer or dispute to what I laid out in the last post.   Resistance to arrest isn't going to look pretty.   Should he have offered her a Scooby snack for compliance?

Sorry Gustaf I don't know you personally and even if I did I'd still respect you as person despite your political views I don't agree with.   See here in America that's supposed to be the beauty of what makes this country great.  Maybe you despise that notion.

There is nothing to answer. Badger already explained it to you and you completely ignored everything he had to say.

I respect different political views. I don't respect racism, however.
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Austin school teacher bodyslammed by police for speeding on: July 24, 2016, 06:59:54 am
Racist Trump Troll gets disproven but just ignores facts. As usual.

Awful video and very unprofessional police conduct.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Twitter bans Milo for directing racial harassment on: July 24, 2016, 06:28:49 am
I guess while we're vaguely on the subject, could somebody also summarize this 'Gamergate' sh**tshow as well?  I tried to understand it one time, but gave up after I felt my brain cells and soul decaying.

IT'S ABOUT ETHICS IN GAMES JOURNALISM

Beat me to it! Cheesy

I actually also gave up on it at some point. But as far as I remember a woman created a game and was accused of having slept with game reviewers to get better reviews?

Then followed a shtstorm of misogyny, death threats, etc, etc.

I think the alt right are people who are fascists but not religious or something? But I haven't really gotten that one either.
8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Bojack Horseman: Season 3 on: July 24, 2016, 06:07:46 am
Planning to binge watch today!
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French presidential election, April 23rd & May 7th, 2017 on: July 24, 2016, 05:05:07 am
I saw a recent poll which had Le Pen in front on first ballot and losing to Sarko 42-58 in second round. Hollande just barely in 3rd place. Tongue
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WikiLeaks DNC emails megathread on: July 24, 2016, 04:05:07 am
Quote
One email talks about how DNC moles had infiltrated the Bernie campaign.

Top DNC official K. Houghton tells her comrades they have moles working inside the Bernie campaign.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/07/wikileaks-revelation-dnc-hillary-moles-inside-bernie-campaign/
Lol linking the Gateway Pundit.
As opposed to Vox? Where do you expect the leaks to be repeated? The New York Times? /sarcasm

Uh...yes?

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/23/us/politics/dnc-emails-sanders-clinton.html?_r=1

Lol, Trump Trolls really are useless tools.

And moderators calling people "useless tools" is really professional.

A moderator isn't a professional position. You spew endless nonsense like just above. I know you fascists think you're entitled to safe spaces and general mollycoddling but in my world you need to do something to earn respect. Why should I not speak my mind about what you say?

Then again, if you do think acting professional is so important for an unpaid volunteer moderator on an obscure internet forum it is, curious, shall we say, that you think it's fine for the president of your country to be someone who repeatedly insults everyone around him in far worse ways than I just did.

See, it's when you insist on being this obtuse and hypocritical that you get called out.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WikiLeaks DNC emails megathread on: July 23, 2016, 07:29:56 pm
Quote
One email talks about how DNC moles had infiltrated the Bernie campaign.

Top DNC official K. Houghton tells her comrades they have moles working inside the Bernie campaign.

http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/07/wikileaks-revelation-dnc-hillary-moles-inside-bernie-campaign/
Lol linking the Gateway Pundit.
As opposed to Vox? Where do you expect the leaks to be repeated? The New York Times? /sarcasm

Uh...yes?

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/23/us/politics/dnc-emails-sanders-clinton.html?_r=1

Lol, Trump Trolls really are useless tools.
12  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Major terror attack/shooting in Munich on: July 22, 2016, 12:56:57 pm
That's awful. At least one of my Munich friends is marked as safe so far. :/ 
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Milo Yiannopoulos on: July 22, 2016, 12:52:38 pm
He's coming to Sweden. A gay friend of mine was organizing an event with him but it got cancelled. Tongue

He seems like a very amoral or immoral person.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's nomination is the first time US politics has left me truly afraid on: July 22, 2016, 05:46:00 am
I don't always agree with Mr. Klein (a very smart and informed liberal), e.g., his odes of joy about Obamacare, but I do as to this piece - each and every word. Pity that it was not complete. Hey Ezra, why did you skip over that Trump has little or no respect for the rule of law, and his bellicosity might get us into wars, in particular a trade war, but even more worrisome, wars where blood is spilled (except with respect to his favorite dictators of course)?

Oh, he skipped those two cause they don't apply to Trump. In fact, it is far more likely Hillary will start new wars because of her bellicosity. And it's not even disputed that she has little or no respect for the rule of law.

That's what I don't get. I mean, I understand you don't like Trump. But why do you accuse him of the two things which are actually Hillary trademark?

"Not even disputed that she doesn't respect the rule of law."

Maybe so in your echo chamber, but certainly I take issue with that statement.

So just out of curiosity, which of Director Comey's statements do you take exception to?

I'm afraid because Trump has absolutely no qualifications to be president. He has no idea what he's doing.

As opposed to what we've had for the last 20 years? Frankly, if the people with all the wonderful "qualifications" were doing a halfway decent job, maybe Trump wouldn't have been able to capture the nomination. If voters are ticked off enough to go with a non-politician, there's probably a reason, don't you think? If you need to be afraid of something, why not be afraid that we continue down the wrong path? That's the bigger concern, at least from my perspective...

You seem to take exception to his statement that she did nothing criminal. Tongue

As to the job of the president they need to push things through Congress so being able to work with people and understanding the system matters. Trump can't even make his own convention work together. How will he manage Congress?

And as regards policies Trump has no idea about any policies.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's nomination is the first time US politics has left me truly afraid on: July 22, 2016, 05:41:57 am
You're all a bunch of loons. You're no better than the idiots on the far right who called Obama a Muslim socialist.

You mean idiots on the far right like Donald Trump, leader of the Birther movement and who recently suggested Obama is in cahoots with ISIS?
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 21, 2016, 06:06:38 pm
That speech makes me sick to my stomach. Because it could work.

Ditto. Scary as fck. But I have high hopes on Trump being utterly unable to deliver that speech.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Melania Trump plagiarism/rickroll megathread on: July 21, 2016, 06:05:15 pm
(2) I don't know of anybody who has "demonized" Michelle Obama.

I would say you just lost all credibility but we all know that happened a long time ago.

Anyone still backing Trump at this point is either an idiot or a fascist or both so of course they'll spout nonsense. But just so we don't sink to their level, here are some examples:

http://www.salon.com/2015/09/03/the_right_wings_hideous_crusade_against_michelle_obama_has_completely_fallen_apart/
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 20, 2016, 09:06:22 pm
Never thought I'd say that, but good on Cruz.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican National Convention **live commentary thread** on: July 20, 2016, 07:49:03 pm
Uhhh who is this?

She sells fake medicine via a pyramid scheme mainly backed by Alex Jones.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's chances of winning Wisconsin just got lower on: July 20, 2016, 09:00:34 am
This issue is so stupid.  As others have said, the government should levy a tax to provide everyone with a free voter ID card and require everyone to show it at the polls in order to vote (while still accepting driver's licenses and passports).  It's amazing this isn't a universally supported idea that literally combat disenfranchisement and fraud at the same time.  Guess some people aren't worried about those two things in reality.

Totally agreed.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Taking a break on: July 20, 2016, 08:35:30 am
They hate Sanders because his supporters tended to be too white and male for their taste and being an SJW/PC-warrior is very, very important.

I disagree. For a forum filled with politically-inclined young people, we have remarkably few SJW-type members. Moreover, those members fitting that description who come to mind are mostly Sanders supporters. The crowd of vehemently anti-Sanders Democrats tend to have more in common with what we would have referred to a few years ago as the Very Serious People, and they deploy the Bernie Bro caricature more for the sake of browbeating their opposition than out of any real concern about patriarchy, white supremacy, or anything like that.

With all due respect, this is some goddamn nonsense. Thanks for erasing me.

To clarify: if you really believe that I'm lying about my motivations when I say that things like harassment and implicit bias are Real Problems... that would be good to know going forward.  In particular I'd appreciate a clarification as to whether you agree that they are problems and you think people who complain about Bernie Bros are all just lying shills, or if you just systematically don't think people are allowed to point those behaviors out from any side.

What a fatuous comment. I wish that I had seen it earlier.

First of all, I do not group you among the "vehemently anti-Sanders" crowd. I can understand why you would assume that you are a member, as you do have a knack for latching on to their critiques in a particularly fervent, me-too-ish kind of way. And, somehow, it seems not to bother you much that many of the most vocal posters in this category are also among the forum's most notorious bullies, which, in terms of character judgments, ought to matter a lot more anyone's failure to repudiate off-site Bernie Bros with sufficient vigor or frequency.* But I was not referring to you.

To be clear, online harassment is vile and stupid. Sexist attacks on Hillary Clinton or any other woman in either public or private life are vile and stupid. Implicit bias, particularly toward women in positions of power, is real. I do my best to be conscious of this, I criticize this behavior when I recognize it, and I mostly ignore those who refuse to listen to my appeals. Moreover, I find it obnoxious that you would ask me to "clarify" whether I really believe that any of this is meaningful or important. If my behavior around here has left the answer to this question in any doubt, what good does even the most unequivocal response do? If I doubted anyone else's credibility on the subject on the basis of his or her behavior, I would probably not care how he or she responded.

* In this vein, there is a tendency, both within this community and among just about any other group with a large share of college-educated members, toward calling out the most obvious and troglodytic harassment while ignoring anyone who is eloquent and savvy enough to be nasty, prejudiced and unfair in a more sophisticated way. What is trivial to recognize in an illiterate rant is not necessarily so obvious when it is couched in the kind of language that (for instance) outwardly sensitive, left-leaning professionals with liberal arts backgrounds tend to use.

The asterisked part is something that bothers me as well. Elements of the left often fail to recognize hatred and bigotry within their own ranks when couched in the right buzzwords and linguistic style.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's chances of winning Wisconsin just got lower on: July 20, 2016, 06:52:49 am
So if you don't require ID then how does it work?

In Sweden all citizens above 18 get a mail with their "vote card" and you bring that to the booth on polling day (that's what I recall at least).

In the UK, you go to the polling station, you state your address and name and they check against the electoral register.

Right. I think that's how it works here as well.

It's weird to me that so many Americans lack ID though. That sounds like a problem in and of itself.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 538: Clinton's lead about as safe as Kerry's heading into the convention on: July 20, 2016, 06:27:46 am
The main point of the article is that conventions traditionally have boosted the incumbent party and that polls around convention time aren't very reliable.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's chances of winning Wisconsin just got lower on: July 20, 2016, 06:23:25 am
So if you don't require ID then how does it work?

In Sweden all citizens above 18 get a mail with their "vote card" and you bring that to the booth on polling day (that's what I recall at least).
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump's chances of winning Wisconsin just got lower on: July 20, 2016, 04:07:47 am
I'm all against Republican voter suppression tactics, but why wouldn't you require ID? Do you have some sort of vote certificate? Because that's what we have in Sweden, as I recall.
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