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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Americans Moving Back Into Suburbs on: May 26, 2014, 04:00:19 am
Not in Seattle, thank goodness!

If only more states required comprehensive plans and urban growth boundaries...
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Former FL Gov. Reubin Askew dead at 85 on: March 14, 2014, 01:46:39 am
Why did his '88 Senate run flop?
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WA-04: Doc Hastings retiring on: February 15, 2014, 12:07:48 am

Our Campaigns corroborates my numbers -- Hastings has not faced a close race since 1996.

In other news, the first Republican candidate -- Janea Holmquist Newbry -- has just announced her candidacy.

I don't doubt you! I'm just peeved that I've been duped by Wikipedia.

I'm sure Didier will announce soon. Out of the potential candidates, I definitely *like* Newbry the best.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WA-04: Doc Hastings retiring on: February 14, 2014, 05:34:30 pm
I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.

Wikipedia says Hastings won 60-40 in 2006 and and 63-37 in 2008; basically, this is a noncompetitive district, though it used to be up until the mid-1990s (Hastings was kept within single digits for the last time in 1996).

Damn. I hate when people mess with Wiki. Last time I checked, it showed way closer margins for 06 and 08.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WA-04: Doc Hastings retiring on: February 14, 2014, 04:42:04 am
I'd love for Maureen Walsh to run. I'm sure she'd have little chance of winning the primary, unfortunately. I'm also sure the Ds will put up a candidate. They actually got within a few points of taking out Hastings in 2006 and within 10 points in 2008.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WA-04: Doc Hastings retiring on: February 13, 2014, 05:57:07 pm
WA-9 is actually the least white district, since it's a minority-majority district (barely). It's 48.1% non-hispanic white. WA-4 is 56.1% non-hispanic white (37% hispanic), while WA-7 is 72% non-hispanic white.

Fun fact: Inslee represented this seat from 92-94. Hastings beat him in the 94 Republican Revolution. Inslee moved to Western Washington and returned to congress with his win in the 1st district in 98.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '14: The Dullest Midterm That You Ever Did See on: February 12, 2014, 04:44:42 am


Washington hasn't executed a prisoner in over 10 years. It's hardly a hot-button issue here.
Uhh, that's not true. Cal Coburn Brown, 2010?
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '14: The Dullest Midterm That You Ever Did See on: February 01, 2014, 08:57:29 pm
In recent years, McKenna's wins as AG are notable - especially his re-election in 2008.
9  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Counties where the largest community is more republican on: December 09, 2013, 05:17:16 am
Island County, WA.

Oak Harbor is the largest city, which holds a naval base. I believe it voted for McCain, but either way, it's much more Republican than the rest of the county that went for Obama twice.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: November 13, 2013, 12:42:28 am
Yeah, all the state stuff came first. I think the mayor's race was actually on the back of the ballot, though I could be wrong.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: November 09, 2013, 05:25:03 am
In general the late King County votes are very liberal leaning. Which explains the closening of Sawant-Conlin and the Public Financing proposition. As to why Murray-McGinn has narrowed? No clue. Comcast "scandal"?
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: November 05, 2013, 06:30:13 pm
I'm in agreement with you guys on all the winners. Though I think the Eyman thing may be a bit closer.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Creepy signs the radiation from Fukushima is contaminating the West Coast on: October 24, 2013, 04:51:23 pm
I'm not sure if this is just incidental, but:

http://www.komonews.com/news/local/Researcher-High-death-rate-puzzling-behavior-in-BC-orcas--229135551.html

Weird stuff going on with orcas too.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 22, 2013, 08:24:03 pm
Two weeks to go!  I'm actually getting mildly near-excited!

I'm already drooling over the thought of seeing more awesome precinct maps!!! Wink
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 22, 2013, 08:00:44 pm
Provincialism and NIMBY-empowerment? No thank you.
You just don't want the working class of Seattle to have a voice, do ya?

You know what's going to have a bigger and better impact? Public financing.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 21, 2013, 09:51:13 pm
Seattle needs to be massively upzoned to allow for more apartment buildings and townhouses that middle-class residents could afford. But that will never happen, and an inexcusably large portion of the city will remain dedicated to single family housing for rich white people.
+1

Sigh, I wish that KIRO poll were close to being correct.

I think the GMO labeling might fail. My anecdotal evidence suggests that people seem generally ambivalent towards it.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 20, 2013, 05:47:47 pm
Out of all the things on her platform, the $15 minimum wage is probably the most agreeable. Lol.

A $15 minimum wage may not work in Asotin County, but if there's a place where it could succeed, it's going to be a city.

I wonder if SeaTac will pass the raise too.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 17, 2013, 12:46:40 pm
I really hope the districts plan fails, but I'm guessing it won't. Has the Stranger said anything on it?

I don't think the financing measure is going to do that badly. I have heard absolutely zero on it though...

Poorly phrased poll question?
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: New Jersey Senatorial Election (Special) Final Predictions and Results on: October 16, 2013, 05:51:58 pm
Last minute: 56-43 Booker.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 09, 2013, 02:17:12 am
Sad Oh well, I hope Murray embraces pro-transit positions and continues McGinn's and really Nickels' pro-density leadership.

I don't think there's a way for McGinn to win with those numbers.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 04, 2013, 07:40:32 pm
Wow! I just realized Garfield County went from 55-42 to 64-36. That's a huge swing.

Columbia County went from 59-39 to 63-37, a decent swing.

I never realized how strong Cantwell ended up performing in Eastern Washington in 2006.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 04, 2013, 07:29:11 pm
Yeah, I remember that endorsement. She was about 300 votes short of winning Kittittas County too. Even Chelan was relatively close at 53-46 or something.

So what was the reason for Cantwell's 2006 win in Asotin? In fact, her win was stronger there than in either Whitman or Spokane counties.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 03, 2013, 10:03:57 am
Yeah. Didn't Cantwell actually win the county in 2006?

Cantwell has an odd electoral history in Eastern Washington, then going on to win Yakima County last year, but losing both Spokane and Whitman counties.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: October 01, 2013, 11:22:57 am
Welcome from Seattle! It's good to have some posters from over the mountains. Smiley
Thanks, but I like it over there much better. Im from Clarkston which is full of meth heads.

You should visit rural Pierce County... or Aberdeen.... or Sequim... Wink

Though aren't you in the Palouse. That's some real beautiful countryside.

Have any polls come out for I-522? I'm still conflicted, though lean no.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Washington '13: Mike McGinn is a GMO on: September 29, 2013, 04:26:44 pm
Welcome from Seattle! It's good to have some posters from over the mountains. Smiley
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