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251  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Republican Controlled States Allocate Electoral Votes Differently on: November 12, 2014, 04:58:41 pm
No swing state would ever do this. State politicians are not going to get rid of the prestige and national attention for themselves and their states by torpedoing their importance. Self interest will always triumph over nebulous party interest; this will never even be considered by policy makers.
252  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1956 Presidential Election on: November 11, 2014, 01:18:03 am
Kefauver, just this once.
253  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: Environmental Act (just a little more voting) on: November 11, 2014, 01:11:51 am
Nay
254  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So, what happened in FL-2 and NE-2? on: November 10, 2014, 03:06:41 pm
For FL-2 not only was Graham a good candidate, but Southerland was an awful one. He was rude, abrasive, and his only accomplishment was sinking the farm bill. In short, a terrible fit for rural Southerners. The 2010 wave put him in the seat and then incumbency, Obama, and an average opponent kept him in it but Graham was in the right place and right time to take it away. Southerland is pretty stubborn so I expect him to run again, but the seat should be hers as long as he's her opponent. I don't think she'll keep it once a quality Republican runs though.
255  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: Let's Not Invade Other Regions Act on: November 07, 2014, 01:44:29 am
Nay
256  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: Environmental Act (just a little more voting) on: November 07, 2014, 01:44:02 am
I'm against fuel standards rising at a higher pace than they currently are and believe that renewable resources are subsidized enough in Atlasia as it is. Because I didn't support either proposal, I abstained. I'm not sure why the others who voted aye in the first place did though.
257  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: November 04, 2014, 11:50:49 pm
What Scott did to "Checkpoint Charlie" was almost criminal. I'm just happy the irrational haters didn't get what they wanted.

Marijuana fails too.
258  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2014 US Gubernatorial Election Results on: November 04, 2014, 09:22:18 pm
Crist is a useless tosser, isn't he?

If he fails against Rich F-cking Scott of all people, FL Democratic Party ought to be disbanded.

A "real Democrat" could have won easily. The tragedy of the FL Dems isn't that they CAN'T win, but that they CHOOSE not to. FL Dems need to keep the margins down in the north and play for the suburbs if they want to win.
259  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: November 04, 2014, 02:38:41 pm
GOP turnout has apparently been stronger than expected in the greater Jacksonville area (Duval, Clay, Nassau, basically all the Northeast) and I've heard the same thing about Pasco. Either Scott is doing well or Democrats wait till late to vote.
260  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Final US House of Representatives Predictions on: November 03, 2014, 11:34:18 pm
When did this consensus on FL-2 develop? I still think Southerland, odious as he is, pulls it out in a very southern district.
261  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Lock/Upset/Bold Prediction on: November 03, 2014, 03:53:41 pm
Lock: Beauprez wins.
Upset: Scott pulls it out by 20,000 votes.
Bold Prediction: Coakley somehow ends up winning.
262  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: Environmental Act (just a little more voting) on: November 02, 2014, 11:56:18 pm
Abstain
263  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS: GM Independence Amendment on: November 02, 2014, 11:54:58 pm
Aye
264  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in Florida? on: October 31, 2014, 12:32:54 am
I'm certain that both Crist and Scott will get more than 46% of the vote and that it won't be by a difference of more than 2 points or so. The forum's warped sense of Scott has you all thinking it should be a blowout, but Crist is just as mediocre and unlikable as Scott is and with him as the Democratic candidate it was never going to be anything but a last-person-to-gaffe-loses kind of race. Crist looks more likely to win right now, but Scott pulling a win out of nowhere wouldn't surprise me in the least.

I'll bet Crist wins 48.1% to Scott's 46.8%.
265  Election Archive / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: FL: Quinnipiac: Crist edges out Scott on: October 31, 2014, 12:17:36 am
I like this poll!   But the 8 percent for Wyllie--is that realistic?

Not a chance. In 2010 all combined 3rd parties got 3.41% of the vote, with about 48% going to both major candidates. I expect pretty much the same thing to happen this time; Scott's voters aren't going to go 3rd party this election when his approval rating now is much better than it was last time around. Crist's approvals are way lower than Sink's were, but I doubt many of her voters will be going 3rd party either.  

Wyllie will end up with 3% of the vote or so and neither major party candidate will be below 46%. You can count on it.

Is it just me, or does anyone else feel that Scott is headed for Bob McDonald-like court issues?

Seems unlikely; Scott doesn't need political patronage for wealth. If he has any problems it will come from ignorance of the law instead of actively breaching it.
266  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football Pick'em- 2014 style on: October 30, 2014, 05:23:41 pm
Florida State, but if we lose anywhere it'll be here.
Air Force
Wisconsin
East Carolina
Duke
Miami
Louisiana Tech
TCU
BYU
Georgia
Missouri
Louisiana Lafayette
Auburn
Mississippi State
Oregon
Kansas State
Notre Dame
Nevada
Arizona
Utah
267  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: Small Growth Act of 2014 on: October 29, 2014, 06:45:46 pm
I offer the following amendment:
Quote from: Amendment
6. This legislation expires on December 31st, 2016.
6. This legislation will expire upon unemployment in the IDS reaching a rate equal to or lower than 5.5 percent.

I decided on 5.5% based on the Fed statement here considering 5.2-5.5% to be the current normal rate of employment. Keeping the program open longer than that would probably cost more than it would be worth.
268  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: October 28, 2014, 06:20:25 pm
In Gainesville I've seen one Scott sign...and that's it. Nothing else for Governor.
269  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: Let's Not Invade Other Regions Act on: October 28, 2014, 10:07:21 am
I don't think the IDS has ever invaded another region. Instead, we have acted in those region's best interests to help enforce the law. I certainly don't want to see our right to do that go away.
270  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: Non controversial Act on: October 26, 2014, 10:16:26 pm
Because of the IDS Fine Act this would mean, I guess, that only the richest billionaire in the IDS would ever have to pay $500 if he littered; anyone else would get a fine of a few dollars or possibly even cents.

EDIT: Ok, working this outusing the highest IDS daily income I could find, you would pay $500 for littering if your daily disposable income was $19,301. If you made $100,000 a year, your daily disposable income would be $139, making your littering fine (unless I've messed the math up, which is probable) $0.27.
271  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: Environmental Act on: October 26, 2014, 10:13:42 pm
Nay; I'm against most regional environmental standards
272  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Will Charlie Crist underperform or outperform Obama? on: October 25, 2014, 10:47:31 am
Underperform. I'd still be very very surprised if this race was decided by more than a point.
273  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Soouth Florida to become its own state? on: October 24, 2014, 11:26:16 pm
Orlando has more in common with North Florida than South Florida; that applies to pretty much everywhere in the state, to be fair. I'd just break apart everything in the Miami orbit, so everywhere that supports Miami over any other Florida team. That would mean West Palm Beach and down. No reason to stick Tampa and Orlando in a Miami-based state.

Just Broward, Dade, PB and maybe Monroe? Nah... Orange/Osceola is definitely not part of N. Florida. Though the North Orlando metro definitely is. Even East Orlando even feels like S. Florida. Its a looong story how I got to know the area. You could probably take in Tampa without having to take in Pasco, I think. There's NPR, but that's the only metro feeling place in Pasco.

Orlando is my blind spot; I admit don't know that area very well.  However, I do know the Tampa suburbs, Clearwater and to a lesser degree St. Pete and they are MUCH more culturally similar to North Florida than South Florida. I know it doesn't make a very pretty map, but unless there's some measure I'm missing I don't see the justification for grouping Miami with pretty much anywhere else in the state but West Palm Beach.

Orlando, at this point, certainly isn't the south. Maybe a few decades ago, but not now. As for the Bay area, we are home to the largest rebel flag in the world, admittedly, but the area is a better example of a melting pot of both cultures than probably any other in Florida. I'd be hard-pressed to call the area Southern, especially St. Pete.

Where exactly is NOT a melting pot in Florida? NOWHERE in Florida is like the South as people here seem to see it, at least not east of Leon. Tallahassee, Gainesville, Daytona, and Jacksonville are mostly bland middle class suburbs you'd find anywhere in the country, just with more blacks. If you were dropped in a Jacksonville suburb you'd find zero cultural differences from one in Tampa, Northern Orlando (the only part of the city I know) or St. Pete.

I agree that Central Florida does have its differences, but if you're only splitting the state into 2 parts I cannot see where anyone could possibly put them with the South over the North; from everything I've seen of it Miami is just a completely different creature from anything else in the state.
274  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football Pick'em- 2014 style on: October 24, 2014, 12:06:56 pm
BYU
Oregon
Kansas State
Wisconsin
Nebraska
Pitt
Stanford
Michigan State
Oklahoma State
TCU
Mississippi State
UCF
Ole Miss
Auburn
Ohio State
Arizona State
275  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: October 2014 General Election - President and Regional Senators on: October 24, 2014, 11:52:45 am
President/Vice-President:
1. Lumine/Sjoyce
2. Al/Hashemite
3. Marokai/Antonio
4. WI: Seatown/Ben Kenobi

IDS Senator:
1. North Carolina Yankee
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