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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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251  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who wins Duval County, FL? on: October 14, 2016, 01:45:08 pm
Clinton with under 50% (actual Duval resident)
252  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Did the right side win the Cold War? on: October 14, 2016, 01:40:57 pm
Easiest vote on the forum of all time.
253  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Thailand's King Bhumibol Adulyadej dies at 88 on: October 13, 2016, 01:28:12 pm
It's official: the CP would "like to wait" before taking the throne. No word on for how long. Straight from Prayuth's mouth. This is a surprise. The (junta-appointed) "Parliament" was supposed to formally recognize his accession to the throne at an extraordinary meeting, but the meeting adjourned without doing so, only holding a nine minute silence.

This means the throne is momentarily vacant, and Privy Council President Gen Prem Tinsulanonda is now acting Regent.

Let's just say General Prem is not the Crown Prince's biggest fan.

http://www.khaosodenglish.com/politics/2016/10/13/crown-prince-not-ready-take-throne-yet-prayuth-says/

Any chance that movement to replace the Crown Prince with Princess Sirindhorn actually comes to pass? I know the idea has died down since the coup leaders seemed to back the Crown Prince, but making one of his opponents the Regent doesn't exactly show the military's confidence in him...
254  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Thailand's King Bhumibol Adulyadej dies at 88 on: October 13, 2016, 08:13:43 am
RIP. You've got to respect a man who stopped a coup by publicly lecturing the leaders of both sides to be nice. 

So now the keystone of the Thai government will be the corrupt and disliked Vajiralongkorn...whatever is next for Thailand, I doubt it's good.
255  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Putin ally threatens nuclear war unless Trump is elected on: October 12, 2016, 02:40:02 pm
I was a bit worried until I saw it was Zhirinovsky. If we had a thread for every stupid or crazy thing he said it'd take up at least half the forum.
256  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Could republicans confirm Merrick Garland if HRC wins? on: October 07, 2016, 01:06:48 am
Senate Republican staffers don't expect there to be enough time for it in the lame duck session; they have more important things to do. The priority is Omnibus spending bill>TPP>Doing something with Garland. One staffer I spoke to put the chance of TPP passing at 5% and on hearings for Garland even starting at 0.1%.

The Senate is perfectly capable of tackling multiple high profile issues in the lame duck session when they feel like it. Look at what they were able to accomplish in 2010.

Sure they can, when they plan it in advance. Arranging for the senators, media, and nominee to be free and in DC  at the same time and doing so while working around other affairs of state takes planning in advance. As of now this planning just flat out isn't going on. There's no desire in the leadership to rush a Garland confirmation through the lame duck and the longer this persists the harder and harder arranging it would be if they DID decide to rush it. It's not happening.
257  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What board did u join this forum for originally on: October 06, 2016, 07:34:00 pm
International Elections. There aren't many forums with a wide-ranging and well-informed international section.
258  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Could republicans confirm Merrick Garland if HRC wins? on: October 06, 2016, 06:13:09 pm
Senate Republican staffers don't expect there to be enough time for it in the lame duck session; they have more important things to do. The priority is Omnibus spending bill>TPP>Doing something with Garland. One staffer I spoke to put the chance of TPP passing at 5% and on hearings for Garland even starting at 0.1%.
259  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Sword of Damocles - (Sign Up/Rules/Commentary Thread) on: October 05, 2016, 04:06:41 pm
I mean, he's less than 24 hours past when he thought he'd be done...this isn't even close to a long delay yet. I wouldn't worry about it.
260  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Major Hurricane Matthew On Path to Graze FL/SE US Coast on: October 05, 2016, 04:02:04 pm
Classes cancelled in Gainesville on Friday. Hurricanes in Florida are all fun and games when its just a Cat 1 or something, but now....now I've got two different family groups evacuating, possibly to my house.
261  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Have you donated money to any of the presidential candidates in 2016? on: October 01, 2016, 12:12:12 pm
Yes, to Jeb.
262  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone IV - Hungover on: October 01, 2016, 12:33:06 am
Due to events that have arisen in my life, I will be withdrawing from the forum for an undetermined period of time. I ask for your thoughts and prayers.

Kindly,
Isaac

Ask and you shall receive. Best of luck with whatever it is.
263  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: October 2016 Federalist Convention (Delegates Sign-in) on: September 30, 2016, 07:59:52 pm
X Dereich
264  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: death proofing juries on: September 30, 2016, 04:44:24 pm
You don't have to say that you support it. If it was forced into a single question, any competent attorney would phrase the question to be something like "If someone was found guilty of the crime of would you be willing to consider the death penalty as a potential punishment?"

You'll have a rough time convincing the court that striking people who refuse to even consider using the death penalty is unconstitutional. And if an attorney DID have a court that wouldn't disqualify those jurors for cause, the prosecutor could disqualify them anyway using their peremptory challenges.
265  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Jeb Bush vs. Jill Stein - who would you support? on: September 30, 2016, 02:29:16 pm
Jeb in the easiest vote in my life.
266  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics (Basque and Galician regional elections on 25/9) on: September 30, 2016, 12:13:54 pm
It seems that if there is a third election this winter and the PSOE is in the shape it is in today the PP should emerge with a majority by itself and Podemos  would become the main Leftist opposition party.  PSOE would be wise to make a deal with PP while there is till or else their leverage will go down from here.

How would tying themselves to one of the most corrupt and disliked governments in the Western world make PSOE more likely to retain their status as the main Leftist opposition? We have the example of PASOK who suffered for doing exactly what you're proposing to point to the contrary.
267  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the first debate? on: September 26, 2016, 09:50:48 pm
As someone admittedly anti-Trump but not quite pro-Clinton I think she won. It wasn't The Greatest Debate of All Time or anything, but she exceeded expectations and shouldn't fall in the polls from this or anything. It won't decisively put Trump away but won't gain him anything either. Anyone who thinks this is the end is a straight-up hack.
268  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hofstra University POTUS debate at 9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: September 26, 2016, 08:19:15 pm
So it seems her strategy is to bait him. I didn't expect that. He's (mostly) keeping himself restrained for now. I doubt that'll last.
269  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football 2016 on: September 26, 2016, 05:00:52 pm
I think there will be real chaos for the selection committee this year, as I don't think there will be 4 undefeated or one-loss teams from P5 conferences, let alone that won conference championships.  Somethingsg controversial will happen- possibly two teams from one conference or a close call with a mid-major.  It probably leads to an expansion to eight teams in a couple years.

Probably not in the near term. The current TV contract makes changing anything before 2026 virtually impossible.

And yes, rooting for a conference is disgusting.
270  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Post your tips on how to survive the debates with sanity intact on: September 26, 2016, 03:24:59 pm

Fixed.
271  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: College Football 2016 on: September 25, 2016, 11:38:52 pm
This year seems potentially crazy enough that I think there is a reasonable chance that a two-loss team can get into the CFP.  I would not have fired Les Miles at this point if I were Joe Alleva and LSU.  If you brought him back at the end of last year, I would at least give him the year.  He was literally fired because of a tenth of a second!!

They didn't want to keep him last year and he wasn't fired because of this game. If you'll recall, they tried to fire him last year, but an outpouring of fan support, his ridiculous buyout, and divided booster opinions convinced them to give him one more year which was supposed to be better since LSU retained everyone. LSU came out this season looking like it had solved literally none of its problems and seeming to all the world like Les had changed nothing. By firing him now they show potential coaching candidates that they are serious about a change this time and get a leg up on several other high paying schools who will probably fire their coaches in the candidate search.

Over/under on Orgeron straightening out LSU, beating Bama, and still not getting hired for the HC job?

Lol! I'll never forget how despicable USC was for not retaining him, and I hope they continue paying the price for it. The difference here is that he is the hometown kid this time around, so I really hope the attachment takes hold. He's more than earned it over his career.

Extremely sad to see Les go though. Should've taken the Michigan job when he had the chance. I definitely prefer him to Harbaugh.

I just found out that one of LSU's football news sites found out that LSU's AD reached out to Art Briles.

Dear God why. Why would anyone want that man near a college football program again.

Art Briles makes perfect sense! He'd be cheap (important since LSU is still going to be giving boatloads of money to Miles for years to come), he's available (no need to compete with Clemson, FSU, or Houston in a bidding war), and he's an offensive mind who could probably beat Bama. There's no room for weighty moral considerations in the cutthroat SEC West.
272  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What sports do you watch? on: September 25, 2016, 11:32:58 pm
College Football






NFL



College Basketball
273  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Question to self described "pro-life" posters on: September 23, 2016, 11:12:50 am
I've never liked that danger to the mother is always tied to the exception for rape and incest. It muddies the pro-life argument by treating those children as somehow less necessary to save than "normal" children. Children can't be blamed for the evils of their parents and a wrong on the mother doesn't somehow justify wronging her innocent child.

The medical exception makes a lot more sense. As long as doctors aren't intentionally killing the child when less deadly methods could be used to guarantee the mother's health I don't think there's any problem with necessary procedures to save the woman's life that happen to kill the child.

Voted option 1 (moderate hero)
274  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Sword of Damocles - (Sign Up/Rules/Commentary Thread) (ANNOUNCEMENT) on: September 22, 2016, 02:02:40 am
Frankly I think the Chinese Civil War is one of the only good excuses for not having a China player. A unified China with decades of peace to grow is just too big and important to be an NPC.

Russia is an extremely diverse set of people set over the largest area on Earth who were held together for centuries by little more than despotism. The huge distances which span Russia (as well as the shoddy transportation between these places) makes the whole thing breaking up the moment the iron hand eases up seem pretty likely. The same thing happened both in the 1910's and 1990s IRL, just with a stronger central government and military able to re-exert themselves much faster than in this timeline.
275  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Sword of Damocles - (Sign Up/Rules/Commentary Thread) (ANNOUNCEMENT) on: September 21, 2016, 04:24:57 pm
I'd honestly just say restart the entire thing from original BoP. Isn't the whole idea behind ending that game that it was pretty much played out? As a new player it's difficult to jump into the enthusiasm of a nation that has already had multiple players over the course of multiple games. Why not try a new setting instead of hacking it together to try and make something that didn't work well in the first place continue to work only to fall short yet again and disappoint everyone

Just my two cents, I'd probably play either way but be more active in a new setting.

I think you're exaggerating the learning curve a bit. I believe Kal is the only one who is coming over from the previous game. I can't think of much that you wouldn't be able to get from Lumine's opening posts setting the scene except maybe the attack on Mecca. I haven't read through all the old threads and I seriously doubt anyone else has either.

As for the threads of THIS game when you look back at it we haven't actually gotten all that far yet. From the start of the game the geopolitical situation has changed in these ways:
  • A civil war has started in China between the Kumiotang, the Emperor, and the Communists
  • A war has started pitting France, Italy, and monarchist rebels against Communist Spain
  • The United States has had a change in government, moving away from a MacArthurite military dictatorship toward a form of government TBD by FDR
  • The heir to Romania was assassinated, possibly by Crimea (this doesn't really matter)
  • One Russian successor state has been defeated
  • A war started between the Turks and Romania, ostensibly because of an attack on the Bosphorus straits. Several Balkans countries have taken sides in the conflict.

That's it. The game really is still just getting started.
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