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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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251  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rubio: No abortions for Zika-infected women on: August 06, 2016, 07:36:44 pm
Since when are Democrats fans of eugenics? Anyway, this is exactly what you'd expect from a pro-life candidate and won't move the needle no matter how much the Democrats talk about it.
252  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: Let's Play Crisis In The Kremlin on: August 05, 2016, 10:24:16 pm
Do we sign up as a party/person?

He plays the game, we tell him as a group what decisions to make.
253  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL-Suffolk: Clinton +4 on: August 04, 2016, 12:32:21 pm
One area that Hillary can clobber Trump with is the concern that Floridians have with Zika virus. An overwhelming majority of citizens claim to be very or somewhat concerned, yet Trump states Gov. Scott has it "under control."

Further, Suffolk leans Rep, so a 6 point head to head lead for Hillary is actually quite large.

Florida mosquito season will be long over by election time. Even if there are ongoing cases once the main danger has passed it won't register as a serious issue for voters.

There's no chance of Florida going for Hillary by 8; the GOP base in the state just won't bend that far. If she wins by 8 nationwide I'd expect her to win FL by 5 or 6 at most.
254  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: 1019 - Maximum Sentences for Marijuana Act of 2016 on: August 03, 2016, 06:00:15 pm
*shouting from gallery* Free the reefer!

(Or at least remove the federal prohibition so that regions can legalize it without federal encroachment.)

That second part would be constitutional. The rest? Telling the regions what they can and cannot ban is legally uhh...lets just say it provides a good example of why governments hate federalism and always try to take away powers from states and local governments.
255  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump tells @PhilipRucker he won't support Paul Ryan, John McCain in primaries on: August 03, 2016, 12:26:01 pm
After thinking about the implications of this a bit more: maybe Trump DOES have a plan here. Ryan is the clear, well-liked leader of the House Congressional Caucus. He's also the standard-bearer of the fiscally conservative wing of the GOP. McCain is a well-known Senator and former presidential candidate.

If they lost who would be the most vocal, well-known critic of Trump in the party? It wouldn't be anyone else from the House; Ryan's loss would throw the whole caucus into chaos. Mitch McConnell isn't popular or charismatic enough to oppose Trump and no other Senator is well-known enough to serve in that role. Eliminate Ryan and McCain and you basically eliminate all vocal Congressional opposition to anything Trump says.

256  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: LLR's Atlas Diplomacy I: Battle Over America on: August 02, 2016, 05:48:47 pm
I'll join as Cascadia if its still open
257  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If you could make one change to reduce partisan gridlock what would it be? on: August 02, 2016, 12:08:24 am
Unpopular but correct answers:

Get rid of CSPAN. Have the speeches made in the House and Senate be actually aimed at other members instead of primary voters at home.

Alternately, force members of Congress to spend more time in DC and away from their constituents.  Currently the only time congressmen talk to members on the other side of the aisle is during committee meetings; proximity leads to understanding and friendship and there should be more of it.
258  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Re: Help! I don't understand! (where can I find "Id. at *89."?) on: July 31, 2016, 09:26:47 pm
SteveRogers is correct in what you should do. "Id." means "the same". It's an abbreviation for the last fully written citation. If there's no page number after the Id. it means they're citing something on the same page as the previous citation.
259  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Johnson Says He Will Appoint Justices Like Breyer and Garland on: July 31, 2016, 09:19:47 pm
None of the four "major"/"main minor" candidates this year are pro-life. Trump is paying really cheap lip service. Clinton, Johnson and Stein are pro-choice.

So you can either vote for Trump or you can stay home.

That is a good point. I couldn't care less about the abortion issue as I'm not female and don't want children. But for those it matters, makes you wish Ron or Rand Paul was in there.

Also: I want Andrew Napolitano in there for Scalia's spot.  I want a strict Constitutionalist.

You call a man who would bring back Lochner as natural law a "strict Constitutionalist"? Scalia is rolling in his grave.
260  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: South African Political Parties on: July 31, 2016, 09:07:26 pm
DA (White non-communist foreigner who is not receiving ANC patronage)
261  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Will your county vote for Trump? on: July 31, 2016, 10:50:54 am
Duval, FL is a really close one. If Trump wins Florida my county will be one of the places he needs the votes. I haven't seen any enthusiasm for him here but since it hasn't been won by the Dems in years I'll say Trump wins it 48-47.5.
262  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Where have you flown this year? on: July 28, 2016, 12:55:15 pm
Since January?


263  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who are you voting for in the 2016 General Election? on: July 28, 2016, 12:15:21 pm
It depends on how the polls look. If Hillary is in serious danger of losing Florida I guess I'll vote for her. Otherwise, Johnson. Voted Johnson since I don't believe Trump has a viable path to winning Florida.
264  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Franklin Foer: the DNC hack is Watergate, but worse on: July 27, 2016, 11:06:59 am
So is the Cold War still over or is Putin still the next Hitler? The Democrats keep changing every four years, I can't keep up Tongue.

It's not like the GOP is any more consistent right now. Four years ago Romney was calling Russia our number one geopolitical threat and now we have the most pro-Russian candidate since Henry Wallace.
Well yes, because most Americans are pro-Russian.

Where are you getting this? Gallup says otherwise:

265  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Franklin Foer: the DNC hack is Watergate, but worse on: July 27, 2016, 10:07:48 am
So is the Cold War still over or is Putin still the next Hitler? The Democrats keep changing every four years, I can't keep up Tongue.

It's not like the GOP is any more consistent right now. Four years ago Romney was calling Russia our number one geopolitical threat and now we have the most pro-Russian candidate since Henry Wallace.
266  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Sword of Damocles - (Sign Up/Rules/Commentary Thread) on: July 23, 2016, 04:20:37 pm
It's Lumine's decision, not ours. If a potential player is motivated enough to join at this point in the game and to take up a smaller nation I say why not let them.
267  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Grade the last night of the RNC? on: July 21, 2016, 11:07:07 pm

This was by far the best night of the RNC. Donald Trump, Ivanka, Barrack, and Thiel all gave wonderful speeches. The other nights were absolute disasters.

This. There will probably be people at the DNC who can speak better than Ivanka or Donald, but Hillary won't be one of them. Ivanka was polished and professional and Donald gave about the best speech he could have given. It wasn't perfect (I still think Bill at the 2012 DNC was better) but they did about as well as they were able to.
268  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What state will have the largest percentage of Clinton Republicans? on: July 19, 2016, 11:43:41 am
Florida might be a good guess; Trump's approval rating among Cubans is in the tank and Hillary might dramatically improve among the older group who have voted Republican for decades.
269  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice Reform Congressional Committee on: July 19, 2016, 11:27:52 am
I know you're just getting started, but I'd like to ask to brief the committee on the current Federal criminal justice structure once you're established.
270  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary's "Confessions of A Republican" ad on: July 19, 2016, 10:40:52 am
I had never seen the original; I really liked this one before I knew it was a retread. On second watch? Its still fine but it doesn't quite match up to the original; modern ads are too short and stylized to capture the same kind of turmoil and indecision the original did. If you're one of the people its aimed at it'll resonate and if you're already a committed Hillary or Trump voter it won't. Simple as that.
271  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Swearing in of New Officeholders on: July 15, 2016, 06:49:49 pm
I, Dereich, do solemnly swear that I will faithfully execute the office of Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the Republic of Atlasia and will, to the best of my ability, preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of Atlasia, so help me God.
272  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: So at the upcoming Republican Convention.... on: July 14, 2016, 09:21:25 am

Here's what I worry about: violence at the convention. With all the violence that has been happening lately, what's going to happen in Cleveland? Considering that violence was occurring at the campaign rallies earlier wherever Trump went, and now with the (pun intended) trumped up energies, is Cleveland safe from violence? I shudder to think about it.

Word on the hill is that lots of the staffers and other normal convention hangers-on aren't going because they're terrified of BLM/snipers/mob violence. Some of the delegates are even talking about not going. Everyone is expecting SOME kind injury.
273  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Senate Confirmation Hearing: Dereich for Federal Supreme Court Justice on: July 12, 2016, 02:26:43 pm
I had a long, beautiful response all typed out and ready when my new apartment's stupid wifi messed up getting rid of it all. So life goes.

Whats your view on the constitutionality (if that's the right word) of abortion in Atlasia?

"If that's the right word" is the right way to think of it. The Atlasian constitution doesn't protect the right to privacy used in Roeto justify abortion rights. When I look past the talking points, my interpretation of the debate is that its really an argument about when life begins. If it begins at birth, abortion should be justified. If it begins earlier than that, abortion becomes virtually unjustifiable. Personally I think it does begin before life; if I as a legislator or citizen had to vote on an abortion bill I'd vote pro-life. As a member of the Court? I'd have to see strong constitutional (and possibly scientific) evidence to justify a vote either for banning or allowing it generally.

Basically, my conclusion is that it is legal (as everything is) until it is banned by either the regional or federal governments. I'd wait to hear arguments as to federalism and which rights were involved before concluding anything on specific bans.

Do you believe that the decision in Obergefell v Hodges (2015) was the correct ruling?

It was the right ruling but done in the wrong way. Here I went in to a long rant on current Due Process case law; I'd rather not reprint it unless you want to know more. Essentially, the way its used now especially by Justice Kennedy, a violation of due process can be used to justify literally anything as fundamental. For the same reason the Court eventually got rid of Lochner I'm against the use of due process. There's a very good argument between young(er) Scalia and the libertarian law professor Richard Epstein here as to whether the Right should use Due Process to invalidate economic laws such as minimum wage under "freedom to contract". Instead, the court should have done one of three things.

1. Done nothing and let the People's representatives sort it out as they are bound to do, as the Conservatives said.

2. Brought back the Privileges and Immunities clause and used it to justify the action, as Justice Thomas wanted.

3. Used the Equal Protection clause and declared homosexuals a protected class. This would require much stronger justification from legislatures when making laws that disprivilege homosexuals and could have been used to invalidate DOMA and the state legislatures that have passed anti-gay laws.

By not going all the way and doing 3, the Court chose a path that was confusing, muddled case law further, and set up a whole new round of lawsuits on other laws that prejudice homosexuals. I see no reason for "marriage" to be FUNDAMENTAL to liberty as due process was supposed to require; it was a dumb copout so Kennedy could give gay marriage but didn't have to declare gays protected. I wouldn't have joined the majority in Obergefell.

Lastly a rather hypothetical question- the 2003 ruling in Lawrence v Texas outlawed anti-sodomy laws in 14 states. Ignoring your own personal views, how would you have ruled on this case?

Ugh, you throw another Kennedy Due Process case at me. I would have invalidated Lawrence under the Equal Protection Clause; the majority even mentions it and had the recent example of Romer v. Evans to follow up on. This would mean I would be joining Justice O'Conner in using a rational basis plus test; if there was no legitimate government interest (using SERIOUS analysis, not the hyper deference normal Rational Basis gets) for the Government's action in banning same-sex sodomy that isn't just attacking a protected class it should be overturned.
274  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of the dropouts: Bernie Sanders on: July 12, 2016, 12:13:01 pm
HP. Trump's populist opposite on the left and just as bad as he is.
275  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone IV - Hungover on: July 11, 2016, 10:01:43 am
So I spent the first half of my summer working as a summer associate at a law firm. Unfortunately, that had to end because my firm was only offering half summer jobs this year. So I'm up in Washington working for my Congressman's DC office again. I'll be spending most of my free time for a lobbying, government or even (fingers crossed!) a proper DC legal job. In the meantime though I've just finished moving in to my completely unfurnished apartment and set up an air mattress. Fun times ahead.
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