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August 22, 2017, 07:46:53 pm
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76  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Vox Populi - January 1988 General Election on: May 23, 2017, 08:26:18 am
This is a difficult one. Of the real choices, Tebbit is hostile, eurosceptic, and his two years in government led to a general strike while Healy failed at his ONE job, ending the general strike. The Liberals are unfortunately a joke option and voting for them instead of the main parties just gives Socialist Labor a real chance.

I guess I'll vote Conservative in the hope that Tebbit crushes the power of the unions.
77  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: HOUSE BILL: Atlasian Regional Powers Commission Act (At Final Vote) on: May 19, 2017, 08:26:08 pm
Aye
78  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would/will you have voted? on: May 19, 2017, 05:41:05 pm
-United Kingdom: Remain
-United States: Rubio, Gary Johnson
-The Netherlands: VVD
-France: Macron, Macron
-United Kingdom: LD if at all viable, CON if not
-France: Depends on the candidate; most likely LREM, possibly LR
-Germany: CDU
-Italy: PD to keep the 5 Star Movement out
-Austria: OVP, unless Kurz goes REALLY hard on the immigration stuff, in which case NEOS
79  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone V: Born Under A Bad Sign on: May 19, 2017, 03:16:23 pm
I'm now the proud father of a baby girl.

Congratulations!!!
80  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone V: Born Under A Bad Sign on: May 19, 2017, 01:58:28 pm
I graduated from law school today. I'm one step (the bar exam) and an avatar change away from being a bonafide blue avatar lawyer.
How long do you want to lawyer until the RPOF scalps you for a State Representative seat? Tongue

Lol, the bench in Jacksonville is usually pretty deep. If that's what I wanted to do I'd probably have to wait a decade or two.
81  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone V: Born Under A Bad Sign on: May 19, 2017, 10:39:24 am
I graduated from law school today. I'm one step (the bar exam) and an avatar change away from being a bonafide blue avatar lawyer.
82  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: India to surpass China in both population and economy... then what? on: May 15, 2017, 10:17:12 pm
By the way, Nigeria is projected to have roughly as many people as India and China by 2100, but such predictions, of course, are even less reliable. It's possible that by 2100 all or most of the nation states, including Nigeria and India, will die out.

The reason nobody talks about THAT is because the estimates are almost certainly wrong. Nigerian population estimates are based on census figures that are widely manipulated for political gain. While the population of Nigeria is large and growing, you can probably tack a few decades on to any estimate of their growth to make up for that.
83  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: HOUSE BILL: The 21st Century Glass-Steagall Act (At Final Vote) on: May 15, 2017, 04:17:55 pm
Nay.
84  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: House Bill: The Department of Peace Resolution (At Final Vote) on: May 15, 2017, 01:46:59 am
I really regret not getting to debate this bill while it was still in proper debate; it might have been able to be remade into something viable. The scope of government agencies is decided by the legislature, creation of new commissions or agencies when its fully within our power to redefine the goals and parameters of existing institutions is redundant. This would be like creating a separate "clean water commission" with new and separate responsibilities because we think the EPA should focus on the issue more instead of just telling the EPA to focus on it more. Plus, as has been pointed out, you can't just ignore the problems this creates with other departments. Government departments are like wild dogs, constantly fighting for influence and money. I can see the commission and the State Department being at each other's throats, trying to stake out their own positions as THE foreign policy body whom the president and other departments go to where "peace" is concerned. And if they're not fighting? They'll both be doing the same redundant work anyway. No dice.

Nay.
85  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK General Election, June 8th 2017 on: May 14, 2017, 03:09:38 pm
Everyone's favorite analysts, The Political Compass, have released their hot UK takes.

Quote
Many [Remainer Labour voters] may regret that the Labour leader refused the allied anti-Tory front proposed by the Greens’ astute co-leader Caroline Lucas
Quote
The party’s most vulnerable seats are largely held by Blairites, whose defeat or possible post-electoral defection to the Lib Dems would leave the Labour leader with a seriously diminished but ideologically more coherent — and infinitely more manageable — pary.
Quote
It’s a measure of how far the political fulcrum has shifted to the right that Corbyn is depicted as off-the-wall left, while his mentor and ideological soulmate, Tony Benn, held several cabinet posts in pre-Blair administrations. On further reflection, Benn, unlike Corbyn, had a commanding presence and a line in self-deprecating humour that sits well with the British public.




86  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone V: Born Under A Bad Sign on: May 13, 2017, 06:10:03 pm
I finished law school. Yay.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: America's Emmanuel Macron on: May 13, 2017, 05:58:47 pm
Cory Booker
88  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: HOUSE BILL: The Currency of Atlasia Act (Debating) on: May 12, 2017, 08:55:47 pm
Love the idea of polymer banknotes - aside from the longer shelf life it would definitely make counterfeiting much more difficult.

That aside, this bill needs to allow for more flexibility as Dereich mentioned. I think there should be a provision that allows the BEP to print and coin other denominations than those listed here at their own discretion. Having the legislature amend the bill every time we want to add a 50˘ coin or $2 bill would just make it cumbersome.

Perhaps we could have the best of both worlds; the BEP is allowed to do runs of other denominations, but these must be limited in duration without legislative approval. I suppose it'd be like the effect of the War Powers Act on presidential ability to wage war. In general, they'd be limited to the denominations in the statute  but would have some flexibility for unexpected problems or some anniversary that called for another denomination.
89  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: HOUSE BILL: The Currency of Atlasia Act (Debating) on: May 11, 2017, 01:14:06 am
The Bureau of Engraving and Printing is responsible for paper currency and the United States Mint for all coinage. Incidentally, the Federal Reserve has nothing to do with the process.

Anyway, could I just add as an observer that legislation which is so specific in this vein is rather unworkable. Much better, in my opinion, to leave the decisions on denominations to the respective agencies, and if the Congress wishes to institute a commemorative coinage series for example, that could easily be done through legislation.

Whoops, my mistake. Still doesn't change the inflation concerns though; we wouldn't want something like this to happen.
90  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: HOUSE BILL: The Currency of Atlasia Act (Debating) on: May 10, 2017, 08:35:19 pm
My main objection is that this limits the ability of the federal reserve to print higher notes should future inflation require higher notes. I guess they could appeal to the legislature, but we'd almost certainly move slower than financially optimal.

The only other quibbles I can think of are that this kills the $2 bill (which is a thing), and that this takes away the power to make $1 coins.
91  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: HOUSE BILL: Atlasian Regional Powers Commission Act (Debating) on: May 09, 2017, 07:05:26 pm
Are there any powers in particular you think the commission should specify or would want to look at? It'd be no good if a commission was thrown together without direction and failed to achieve anything because it lacked direction.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: South Korean (early) presidential election (9 May 2017) on: May 09, 2017, 02:45:43 pm
Final polling averages along with exit polls (from Japanese election blog)



Hong was projected to get around 17% of the vote, exit polls said 23.3% and most likely he will end up with around 24.3%

What's with the massive jump for Ahn Cheol-soo? Where did it come from? No one else seemed to lose support (in fact Moon Jae-in had an increase at the same time).

He campaigned as the anti-Moon candidate which got him a lot of support from conservatives who where gonna vote for him just to stop moon. Then he tanked in the debates and Hong was able to get a lot of that conservative vote to come home.

But where did his support come from in the first place? Was there just a big block of undecideds? It looks like 25% just went to him without anyone else loosing any. Was there another candidate in the race that dropped out?

Park was permanently removed on March 10th, just before the big polling swings. I'd assume the pre-surge numbers were only speculative, without the field being fully known, and the surge came when the candidates declared and the race took final shape.
93  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: New Speaker Election Thread on: May 08, 2017, 11:39:49 am
[1] NCYankee
[2] OneJ_
94  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion on BRTD on: May 07, 2017, 10:44:47 pm
"Opinion of BRTD" is probably the most asked question on the forum.
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France 2017: Results Thread on: May 07, 2017, 01:47:50 pm
Time to get rid of the myth that nationalist choices always have better polling results than polls show. It actually works both ways: Brexit and Trump on one side but Le Pen and Hofer on the other. It only creates unpredictibility.

59-41 for Macron, with over 6 million votes counted, of some about 35 million expected.

Not just Le Pen and Hofer; according to this tweet by Nate Silver, this is the sixth European election in a row where the nationalist candidate under-performed their poll numbers.
96  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: If USA/Russia/China are the 3 most powerful countries, who are 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 ? on: May 07, 2017, 11:10:58 am
In Brazil's place I'd put either Turkey, South Korea, and Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is probably the best answer; its soft power has been enormous in the Muslim world for decades and its military is one of the best funded (and with its recent interventions probably among the most experienced top) in the world.
the country that even with billions of dollars spent on US toys can't beat a few thousand Yemeni tribesmen with dusty AKs? 

You can use that same logic against the US in Afghanistan
97  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Swearing in of New Officeholders on: May 07, 2017, 12:18:38 am
I, Dereich, do solemnly affirm that I will faithfully execute the office of Representative, and will, to the best of my ability, preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the Republic of Atlasia, so help me Dave.
98  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: If USA/Russia/China are the 3 most powerful countries, who are 4,5,6,7,8,9,10 ? on: May 06, 2017, 01:35:52 pm
Since 2014 Brazil's economy has taken a nosedive and its political situation has turned unstable. I doubt people today would be inclined to put them in the top 10. In Brazil's place I'd put either Turkey, South Korea, and Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia is probably the best answer; its soft power has been enormous in the Muslim world for decades and its military is one of the best funded (and with its recent interventions probably among the most experienced top) in the world.

China should absolutely be at second. Economic wealth (and the soft power you get from that) really makes the difference. China is able to invest and spread its influence through Africa and South America. Russia has trouble exerting power with its neighbors. The hacking and election influencing boosts Russia, but we don't really see it all that much outside of Europe and its success has been limited. Unless I see them actually succeed at building a new international coalition, China gets second.

So my list would be:

1.United States
2.China
3.Russia
4.France
5.Britain
6.Germany
7.Japan
8.India
9.Saudi Arabia
10.Italy
99  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Hello on: May 03, 2017, 07:36:36 pm
I am dragging myself through my last exam ever. It's not a difficult exam, but I'm finding it almost impossible to work through.
100  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Rank the SCOTUS Justices 1-9 on: April 30, 2017, 11:07:58 pm
1. Roberts
2. Thomas (gets credit for teaching one of my classes)
3. Gorsuch (I'll stupidly give credit for saying things I like in nomination committee)
T4. RBG and Kagan (RBG is the better opinion writer, but she's had more opinions for me to dislike. Both are quality justices)
6. Alito (I haven't read much of his stuff and I've disliked most of the opinions I've read)
7. Breyer (There are things to like, but I just haven't come across his opinions as much)





8. Kennedy (incoherent judicial philosophy, I occasionally agree with his opinions)
9. Sotomayor  (incoherent judicial philosophy, I rarely agree with her opinions)
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