Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 28, 2016, 01:42:59 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

  Show Posts
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 19
26  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why do people self-segregate by race? on: March 30, 2012, 09:38:30 am
Anyone who reads this thread ought to have the self-fulfilling prophecy alarm going off fast fast...  Asians don't advance into the top ranks because their employers are OK with claiming they're "not creative" or whatever.
http://nymag.com/news/features/asian-americans-2011-5/
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bamboo_ceiling
27  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Louisiana primary chat on: March 25, 2012, 08:33:59 am
Here is the Democratic race so far:



Nice!

Yeah, thanks!  The shading is what I was curious about.
28  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Louisiana primary chat on: March 24, 2012, 10:52:50 pm
Wolfe beat Obama in 3 parishes.

map?
29  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Louisiana primary chat on: March 24, 2012, 08:58:23 pm
Wow, St. Martin Parish is actually noncontiguous.
30  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Indiana and Oregon on: March 15, 2012, 11:26:24 pm
Oregon is 3% Mormon, safe Romney.

Well maybe not quite, but they ought to be at least 10% of Republican primary voters.
31  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: March 13 Results on: March 13, 2012, 10:25:01 pm
Those were big dumps from Mobile and Baldwin, which have now caught up with the rest of the state.  Gingrich should pull it out.
32  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Super Tuesday Results Thread on: March 06, 2012, 11:32:59 pm
All we need from Newt is just enough of a performance to somehow get Mississippi and Alabama in the Romney column. If that happens, it would be the nail in the coffin. It would be nice. I do not think it is going to happen, but it looks more likely after seeing Tennessee/Oklahoma, and factoring in Newt's momentum boost from Georgia. There is a 10-20% probability whereas earlier tonight I would have put it at 5%.

I wouldn't bet on it.  In Tennessee and Oklahoma, Mitt got less than a third of the three-man vote.  Alabama and Mississippi are unlikely to be any better for him.  So if Rick and Newt split the vote exactly, all Mitt will get out of it is an embarrassing third.
33  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Super Tuesday Results Thread on: March 06, 2012, 09:59:16 pm
Santorum wins Bismarck, and Fargo seems to be a tossup vs. Paul...

The non-college part of Minot went heavily for Romney.
34  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The Super Tuesday Results Thread on: March 06, 2012, 09:33:16 pm
Santorum's lead in OH is expanding - it is a vote short of 12,000 now. Can be overcome, but it is getting big.

Oh Ohio, You're teasing us aren't you?

Most likely it is, because Cleveland and Cincinnati are still at 0% reporting and Columbus is only at 14% reporting.

You believe Cleveland is at 0% reporting even with about 25,000 votes in?

Those are early votes, no?
35  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Washington GOP caucus **results thread** on: March 03, 2012, 11:52:46 pm
The numbers in King just jumped but the percentage in didn't...
36  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Washington GOP caucus **results thread** on: March 03, 2012, 09:50:40 pm
What's the deal with Adams County?  Why is it so heavily Romney, and what are its demographics like in general?  I thought maybe Mormons, but (according to Wikipedia) English ancestry is only 5.6% and there are even a few people who speak German as their first language.  So now I'm even more confused.
37  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Santorum has some... interesting ideas about what's going on in the Netherlands on: February 19, 2012, 05:54:30 pm
perhaps Santorum doesn't know how medicine works (or doesn't):
http://zocalopublicsquare.org/thepublicsquare/2011/11/30/how-doctors-die/read/nexus/
38  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The "ohh snap" Sulfur Mine on: February 12, 2012, 12:32:34 am
Wait, how are you people pronouncing these words? The vowel sound is traditionally transcribed as /ʌ/, but in my English it's much closer to [ə], which can of course be represented by any of six letters.

This is making me wonder if I actually distinguish between /ʌ/ and /ə/. I don't think I've read anything about such a merger.

You're right -- in the US in general, and in California in particular, this vowel is more centralized than in other varieties of English.  (My 12-year-old brother's pronunciation of short vowels uniformly confuses me by exhibiting way too many of the arrows on that chart.)  And of course in Indian English it's much closer to [ə], I don't know how much that influences you.  But /ə/ is also a fluid concept -- the French one is very nearly [], and the English one is much closer to, well, [ʌ].

The answer to your question is that it's not really relevant whether they sound the same because they're in complementary distribution -- /ʌ/ is always at least weakly stressed.
39  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The "ohh snap" Sulfur Mine on: February 11, 2012, 05:06:48 pm
I can see why the pronunciation of country would be confusing to a non-native English speaker, considering it's just one letter off from "county" which is pronounced exactly as spelled. I suspect now the silent o is in there specifically to avoid having that word appear as part of it.

Eh, the issue here is that the vowel in "country" and that other word is not present in most other European languages (basically the only other major language that has it is Korean) and so different European accents would render it differently.  If Antonio learned how to pronounce "country" from Italians and the other word from French people, then that would account for the difference he gives.
He pronounces "cunt" wrong, not "country". There is a reason the IPA sign for the vowel is based on the letter A, you know - and it's that any non-English writer would take it to be a sort of A.

French-speakers and Latin American Spanish-speakers (but not Spaniards) pretty much all pronounce it as /ɔ/, basically because their /a/ is far more fronted.  So no.  It's a question of whether you view position or roundedness as more salient.
40  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The "ohh snap" Sulfur Mine on: February 11, 2012, 04:22:05 pm
I can see why the pronunciation of country would be confusing to a non-native English speaker, considering it's just one letter off from "county" which is pronounced exactly as spelled. I suspect now the silent o is in there specifically to avoid having that word appear as part of it.

Eh, the issue here is that the vowel in "country" and that other word is not present in most other European languages (basically the only other major language that has it is Korean) and so different European accents would render it differently.  If Antonio learned how to pronounce "country" from Italians and the other word from French people, then that would account for the difference he gives.
41  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Obama/Santorum map on: February 11, 2012, 11:50:42 am
If someone as right-wing as Reagan

...well to the left of today's Republican orthodoxy...

and someone as left-wing as Obama

...well to the right of Bill Clinton, who was already a moderate...
42  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The CO, MN & MO Results Thread on: February 08, 2012, 01:58:40 am
Minnesota being slow getting the last few votes in.  I was going to say that Paul did well in the colorful counties, Blue Earth and Red Lake, but Santorum totally owned Yellow Medicine, not to speak of Brown and Goodhue.  The Silly French Name constituency also went for Santorum largely at above-average margins, although much more so in Talking Lake than in The Sweat, with Thousand Lakes and Reed somewhere in between.
43  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The CO, MN & MO Results Thread on: February 07, 2012, 10:57:30 pm
Amusingly, Red Lake County currently has 13 votes spread over 11 precincts.
44  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The CO, MN & MO Results Thread on: February 07, 2012, 09:58:20 pm
BBC headline: "Romney duels a surging Santorum"

what an image...
45  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: The CO, MN & MO Results Thread on: February 07, 2012, 09:50:47 pm
Paul is no longer winning Hennepin and won't be winning St. Paul for long-- probably it's the small liberal precincts that reported first (remember the U of M straddles the border.)

Still a great night for him, of course.
46  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Surprise in Transnistria on: January 14, 2012, 09:49:47 am
One way of insisting on the separate "Moldavian" identity of the new Moldavian SSR was "transliterating" the local Romanian dialect into Cyrillic (in Romania proper, including the part of the historic Moldova, centered around Iasi, that has always been one of the three major constituent parts of Romania) Latin alphabet is used (though, there is, indeed, some medeival precedent for using Cyrillic). Consequently, a new written standard was formed: Moldavian, as distinct from Romanian.

In fact, Romanian was written in Cyrillic until the mid-19th century, although it was a very different Cyrillic from the one ultimately imposed on the Moldavian SSR.

(The story of the "Moldavian language" is also fairly interesting.  Soviet linguists in the 1930's tried to craft a standard from the trans-Dniester dialects that were within their borders, which were actually fairly divergent.  When Bessarabia came into Soviet possession, though, they were basically forced to give up that project, write standard Romanian in Cyrillic, and pretend it was a different language.  See also: all the Central Asian languages, corresponding to previously nonexistent ethnic divisions.)
47  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Russian electoral type event: 2011 (Duma) on: December 06, 2011, 10:26:35 am
Red = This is the one that I notice first, most strikingly, and, I can indeed explain. If you check the history of the Soviet Union you will see that this is the area that was most pro-communist. Being aware of Russian culture, I have my doubts that this, in the long-run, was due to any kind of left-wing base, at least, left as we know it. This area seems to be the part of Russia that truly appreciates "strong" leadership.

Hm, so you're saying that the fault lines of the Mongol yoke are still visible on today's map?  That's a terrifying thought.
48  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Argentina 2011: Presidential election and other stuff on: June 23, 2011, 07:00:04 pm
My poor understanding of Argentine political parties is that most of them are officially Peronist and actually opportunist.  There are ideologically coherent parties on the left and right, but they are in the minority.
49  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Christine O'Donnell will win the General Election for DE-Sen. on: October 23, 2010, 05:21:02 pm
Jefferson being an anti-religious crusader is surprising news to me.

Jefferson was anti miraculous religion, as opposed to philosophical religion. He would have been happy being a Buddhist.

This is totally off-topic, but a bit of a pet peeve of mine.  Westerners often treat 'Buddhism' as a single religion which is somehow more abstract, more philosophical, and less theistic than the Abrahamic religions.  In reality, Buddhism is just as varied as Christianity, and at least as susceptible to being folklorized, acquiring bizarre cosmologies, roadside saint altars, relics you have to pay 1000 yen to see, and so on.  This conception of Buddhism you appear to share (though I suspect you know better) is much as if some culture derived their entire idea of Christianity from some amalgamation of Spinoza and the Quakers.  (After I typed this, I realized Spinoza was Jewish... the analogy might still work, or you might substitute some other highbrow religious philosopher, because I don't know them very well.)
50  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Where can I find the land areas of census block groups? (AND another question) on: September 30, 2010, 08:19:51 am
Thanks!

I'm trying to visualize density profiles: y% of people in this urban area live at density at least x.  I have to run to class in a bit, I might write more later though.
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 19


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines