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October 20, 2014, 03:16:49 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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76  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: 2014 Selfie Creepfest/Post a picture of yourself thread on: September 14, 2014, 04:43:24 pm
Moi, looking more ancient than ever, with partner Dan, music composer Tim Hecker (BRTD would just love his music - very sensual, and you can feel the vibrations hitting your body in a very physical way), and artist neighbor Marc Scrivo, at home in Hudson.



You and Dan are adorable together.  He seems like a sweetie... what a great smile! Grin

Thanks. I am incredibly lucky that Dan came into my life, no doubt about it. Smiley

Cheesy
77  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Scottish independence - The Official Atlas Forum mock referendum on: September 14, 2014, 02:59:04 pm
I'd rather have all of the UK under a Labour government than it minus Scotland under a Tory government and Scotland under some yucky nationalist government.

What's yucky about the SNP? I'd like to actually know your well thought out reasons on this.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abdelbaset_al-Megrahi

So releasing a felon with  terminal prostate cancer is your reason to hate the SNP?

That and that I oppose all nationalist parties on principle. After all "nationalist parties" is a category wide enough it also includes Golden Dawn.


Given that Christianity is a category 'wide enough' that it includes the Lord's Resistance Army then by that reasoning, you must hate yourself on principle.
78  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Scottish independence - The Official Atlas Forum mock referendum on: September 14, 2014, 02:40:14 pm
I'd rather have all of the UK under a Labour government than it minus Scotland under a Tory government and Scotland under some yucky nationalist government.

What's yucky about the SNP? I'd like to actually know your well thought out reasons on this.
79  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Doctor Who - Series 8 on: September 13, 2014, 03:45:28 pm
It was a very well crafted episode. For me that's four very good episodes in a row now.
80  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 13, 2014, 03:34:30 pm
So after the polls of just the last couple of days alone we can all happily pick our own realities. Isn't that fun.

It's a big unknown. Pollsters might not get it right and they will never need to get it right again.

On that note its 50-49 No (not sure where that missing 1% goes) with Panelbase.

50.6 to 49.4
81  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 13, 2014, 02:09:50 pm
ICM

Yes 54
No 46

Opinium

No 53
Yes 47
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 13, 2014, 11:07:57 am
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=etKV3uZ-CeE

I'm somewhere at the far right 14 seconds in Smiley
83  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Atlas Forum LGBT Census 2014 on: September 13, 2014, 10:57:26 am
We're allowed to post sarcastic nonsense jokes on the forum and it's never been an issue. As far as I can see I have not violated anything.


You knew what you were doing. Given the fact you haven't deleted them, which you had ample chance to do as they were clogging up the topic, they have now been moderated.
84  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 13, 2014, 09:07:42 am

Jim Sillars isn't a member of the SNP
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary down to a 43% approval rating on: September 12, 2014, 03:47:08 pm
She's not visible. So what do you expect?
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 12, 2014, 01:51:12 pm
*There are also certain - currently entirely theoretical - complications regarding the Act of Union, but those are best left undisturbed for now...

To be fair so little of the Act of Union remains unamended or unappealed it's pretty much like the ship of Theseus at this point.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 12, 2014, 09:20:34 am
On the other hand, if they really did want to remain as part of the UK, it would be pretty hard for Shetland and Orkney at least, to be denied that.

Ironically, at least it would guarantee an open border policy and a reciprocal relaxation in trade. Supplying Lerwick directly from Newcastle-Upon-Tyne would be a logistical nightmare.
88  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Ian Paisley, 1926-2014 on: September 12, 2014, 07:48:19 am
The polite thing for me to do is say nothing at all.
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 12, 2014, 07:43:51 am
The Zetlanders and Orcadians saying 'no' to independence for Scotland is not the same as saying that in the event of independence that they would wish to remain part of the UK and governed in effect, from London (given than Scotland had left) if that makes sense.

The might not vote for it, but they would go along with it.
90  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: UK General Discussion on: September 12, 2014, 06:43:13 am
Ian Paisley is dead.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 12, 2014, 06:41:55 am
ICM

No 51
Yes 49

Without excluded's its

No 42 (-5)
Yes 40 (+2)
DK 17 (+3)
92  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Air Force to atheist Sgt.: "Recite 'So help me god' or get out" on: September 11, 2014, 10:27:14 am
It's so sad, no one recognise me as the unique flower I am, I have to hear people mention God, oh it's so sad for me.



I'm sure he doesn't mind other people saying the god scented oath, he just wants to take the oath honestly.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 10, 2014, 02:32:08 pm
So does that mean that this pollster is an outlier, or has the YES support peaked and is starting to collapse?

Look at what Al posted again. This poll is the same as the last one by the same company Smiley

That doesn't mean they are wrong though. Tongue

But you can't say whether whether support is rising or falling if it's no change on the last poll by the same company. Survation are steady. Panelbase was steady. YouGov saw Yes up, TNS saw yes up. Most polling companies are now starting to iron out methodology, tweak for turnout etc. It's not an easy election to poll. A pollster could call the result wrong but technically be more accurate than a pollster that calls it right, but by too much.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 10, 2014, 02:24:29 pm
So does that mean that this pollster is an outlier, or has the YES support peaked and is starting to collapse?

Look at what Al posted again. This poll is the same as the last one by the same company Smiley
95  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 10, 2014, 06:02:45 am
All three leaders are here but at separate events so far. No sign yet of them meeting together. John Prescott is in Rutherglen and made a joke about the English and Scottish football team coming together to 'beat the Germans' and went off message attacking the Tories (to his credit, you can't stop him!)

Cameron in Edinburgh says don't vote Yes just so you can 'kick the effing Tories'. His event is closed off. 'Yessers' are outside. It's like a strange carnival. Jim Sillars is entertaining the Socialists and Greens.
96  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 10, 2014, 05:52:53 am
A good few thousand rUKers living in Scotland going without the vote next Thursday...

Over 700,000 actually.

What sounds very high. Who are they? And is this something the SNP did on purpose or just the result of some technical requirement in British election legislation?

If you are registered to vote in Scotland you can vote in the referendum. That's it.
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum prediction thread on: September 09, 2014, 02:54:36 pm
When it comes to identity questions in the census; Scottish only v British only/English only, the strongest 'Scottish' areas are the areas that voted the most strongly for devolution last time round.
98  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 09, 2014, 02:40:24 pm
Is there going to be a "unity rally"?

Probably not. Cameron, Miliband and Clegg are here on Wednesday. Nigel Farage is here on Friday and the Orange Order are marching 15,000 to 25,000 strong in Edinburgh at the weekend.

Will there be a 'secession rally'?

There was supposed to be one in the middle of last month, but the decision was made to divert the cost (which would have been near six figures) into canvassing.
99  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish Independence Referendum - 18 September 2014 on: September 09, 2014, 02:33:55 pm
Is there going to be a "unity rally"?

Probably not. Cameron, Miliband and Clegg are here on Wednesday. Nigel Farage is here on Friday and the Orange Order are marching 15,000 to 25,000 strong in Edinburgh at the weekend.
100  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Scottish independence referendum prediction thread on: September 09, 2014, 02:30:17 pm
Also any predictions for most 'Yes' and 'No' regions? Apparently counting is done by Council region so...

Most YES (no order)
Angus
Moray
Western Isles

Most NO (no order, except for the first):
Shetland
Scottish Borders
Orkney

While I won't be making a prediction (because I might make myself ill Tongue) On the matter of areas of strength, Eilean Siar is quite tense at the moment. The Wee Frees are very much No, feart of a Catholic independent Scotland. I'd say the strongest Yes area might be Dundee.

Why Dundee over Angus?

Sounds almost incredible that the Wee Frees are that paranoid, but they are after all a relatively small voting bloc. I suppose its enough to relegate Western Isles from the top spot, but presumably they will still be in the Top 5 for Yes.

Because strong rural support for the SNP, which in many cases is still a 'not the Tories' coalition does not necessarily imply strong support for independence. Angus will be strong but looking at the crosstabs, it's likely that Yes will perform better in more urban areas. The strongest areas in 1997 were West Dunbartonshire, Glasgow, North Lanarkshire for example. This might be the case again this time round. Orkney and Shetland might vote no based on that experience. Which might, in the event of a Yes vote, lead to some people trying to suggest that Scotland can be dismembered accordingly.
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