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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump Super PAC publishes credit card numbers of donors on: October 21, 2016, 01:41:58 pm
BasketLeaks?
77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA on: October 21, 2016, 08:55:33 am
Once again, it's a model. Look at Utah. There isn't even an option for McMullin.
78  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Debate 3 Poll, Focus Group, Pundit Reaction Megathread on: October 20, 2016, 11:00:22 am
Just really sad one of these two clowns will be our next president. How on earth did we get to this point?

We can blame the south and the tea party/far right types for Trump. Heck, I also blame talk radio/most conservative talk shows for fooling people into a frothing mad mass of hate.

You can blame the entire electoral strategy of the GOP since at least 1976.
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Daily Tracking Poll/ Regular Opinion poll schism? on: October 20, 2016, 10:30:41 am
LA Times is horribly weighted.

See below for how it can be 'fixed'

https://sites.google.com/site/latuscrw/
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: As a Democrat, I feel this election is rigged. on: October 20, 2016, 06:45:29 am
History demonstrates that democracies die when you give people who openly seek to undermine it a 'fair hearing' in the name of balance. It's the job of a democracy to call out demagoguery when it presents itself.
81  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone IV - Hungover on: October 17, 2016, 11:11:49 am
Bought underwear for endowed men. This is not some self aggrandising but relief at a decent f-cking fit and support at last.
82  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Evangelicals without Standards on: October 17, 2016, 05:24:58 am
An Evangelism movement borne out of post 60's boomer hedonism that promotes the self, and self fulfillment and a 'personal' relationship with God above all things, without standards? Surely some mistake.
83  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the Atlas bizarre gay Mafia on: October 13, 2016, 05:42:58 am
Very positive.  Who doesn't love an army of gay arm-chair cartographers and political scientists?  Why?  Because we map with a flourish and we political science with pizzazz.

We also fill up PAPOY with crotch shots (oh wait.. that's just Afleitch Smiley)

Torso shots. Not crotch shots Wink
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: InfoWar lunatics disrupting Obama, Clinton, Kaine rallies with Bill is a rapist on: October 12, 2016, 01:59:11 pm
These people need help.
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: RAND Corporation Voter Panel: Clinton +10 on: October 12, 2016, 12:21:36 pm
A shame, because RAND's tracker was one of the top pollsters in 2012.
86  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the Atlas bizarre gay Mafia on: October 12, 2016, 09:45:35 am
There's a mafia of mostly married gays. Brittain is mob boss. There's a mafia of single gays and a mafia of mildly religious sexphobic/asexual posters.
87  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: PRRI/The Atlantic Survey Clinton +11 on: October 11, 2016, 07:37:45 am
Only half of the poll was taken after the tape leak.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA on: October 11, 2016, 02:21:31 am
It's multi level regression.

It was used in the UK general election by YouGov and was...not good.
89  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Hide Behind the Poll: Trump Locker Room Talk on: October 10, 2016, 05:27:05 pm
I gym every other day. Never heard language like it from anyone old enough to grow fuzz on their lip. Does saying 'I'd sink my dick into that' about a gay guy's glorious ass count? 'Gay on gay' banter is a little different.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Best Election Prediction Site on: October 10, 2016, 02:44:28 pm
My go to has been PEC for some time.
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Confirmed: Obama and Hillary are demons from Hell on: October 10, 2016, 01:48:07 pm
Mental illness is not pretty.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Pennsylvania on: October 10, 2016, 10:19:37 am
I have a feeling they might call this state (alongside Virginia) after the polls close, or at least within a half hour.
93  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How big of a bounce will Clinton get after the Second debate? on: October 10, 2016, 06:14:38 am
Just got up and will watch the debate very soon, but apparently the consensus seems to be that the debate was a draw. My pre-debate perception was that a draw would benefit Trump. People really just need an excuse to vote for Trump and they'll do it. But again, I haven't seen it yet and don't know if there are any clips that could be damaging to either candidate.

Thats not the consensus.

Indeed, it was not in any subjective sense a tie. Clinton won on substance and tone. But how it plays out in the next 24-48 hours will determine the real outcome and impact. As everyone has said, the impacts of this debate were always going to be blurred with Pussy-gate.

Indeed, it's very difficult to subjectively talk about 'Trump doing well' off the back of the debate and ignore the impact of what he said about women. There's very few people who can take to the air to 'praise' him without that issue being brought up. And visually, his performance of shuffling about the stage, following, 'stalking' Clinton and making her feel uncomfortable enough to not hit the mark on some of her responses as a piece of body language is potentially devastating for him with women voters. It feeds back into the existing narrative.

Which is what this weekend and indeed the last debate was about. If Clinton connects with white women voters in a way that the Democrats have not been able to manage in recent cycles, she can break through the electoral ceiling caused by political polarisation.
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the debate? on: October 10, 2016, 05:58:06 am
It wasn't a debate to be won.
95  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Are the Clintons responsible for JFK Jr.'s death? on: October 09, 2016, 04:22:21 pm
They keep Chelsea's deformed twin in the attic and feed her fish heads.
96  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: USC Dornsife/L.A. Times Daybreak National Tracking: 10/8 - Trump +2.2 on: October 09, 2016, 11:38:40 am
The post-pussy surge has begun. BEAUTIFUL!

Please don't make me think of a pussy surge Sad
97  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is there now a high chance of "Hillaryslide" and "Blue Tsunami"? on: October 09, 2016, 08:47:11 am
I think America is too partisan to allow anything one or two 'blue' states more than what Obama managed.
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The thing I hate about pussygate on: October 09, 2016, 07:53:09 am
Clinton's path to the Presidency is via the Obama coalition and white educated women. That's what makes this potentially potent.
99  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Did the Trump apology video make it even WORSE???? on: October 08, 2016, 09:38:56 am
HOW DOES HE KEEP DOING THIS?!

He doesn't want to win.
If he didn't want to win, he would have dropped out tonight.

He doesn't want the GOP to win.
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Donald Trump caught on hot mic having lewd conversation about women on: October 08, 2016, 07:09:13 am
About whether or not Trump is 'a ladies' man'. I don't think being a ladies' man is a good thing and I certainly wouldn't want to be one myself, but it's possible to be a ladies' man and also a kind, courteous, solicitous person, including to the ladies whose man you are. Leonard Cohen is a ladies' man. Trump is not a ladies' man. Trump is a dangerous sleaze.

Bill Clinton is a "ladies man."  That's why he had a number of lewd consensual sexual encounters with Monica Lewinsky, and regularly cheats on Hillary (presumably with her permission) with a number of actresses, female politicians, and single moms around Chappaqua.

Having an active, consensual sex life is entirely different from sexually assaulting married women and bragging that you get away with it because you're a star.

As for my opinion of the three Clinton sexual assault allegations, see whatever other thread it was where I was arguing with some dipsh**t.  But to make a long story short, the fact that the allegations were all created by those with political beefs with Bill and nobody ever accused him of such behavior again after he left the White House should clue you in.  And I like how Hannity just goes "Paula, Juanita, Kathleen, Monica" as though he raped Monica too, even though the poor girl came onto Bill, had consensual oral sex with him, and then probably cried for hours as Linda Tripp maliciously destroyed her life by leaking the wiretapped conversation.


Let's not spin this to let Bill off the hook, please. He was the most powerful man in the world and Monica was an intern decades younger than him.

Don't be ridiculous.

Uh, okay?

Quote
P.S. Trump is 24 years older than Melania and Bill was 27 years older than Monica.

Yes. The Trumps' marriage is incredibly creepy too, albeit not for all the exact same reasons. I don't know what I've said that could indicate that I think Bill is worse than Trump.

Bill Clinton's private indiscretions were made public for political reasons. And he and Hillary survived it. And for me that's all that matters.
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