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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Here's my prediction. on: January 25, 2015, 06:30:47 pm
2. Hillary Clinton. Now I have a lot of respect for her. But her age and her connections to Obama kind of puts her in a disadvantage compared to Marco Rubio should he decide to run. And  don't forget about the Benghazi thing.

Aaaand credibility is gone. There are plenty of mistakes Hillary and Obama made, and plenty of decisions deserving criticism. Benghazi is a tiny screw-up on an scale that has a passing acquaintance with reality. 
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which candidate do you think is completely overrated? on: January 22, 2015, 03:17:33 pm
Huckabee.

That anyone thinks that refugee from the 1800s has a chance in 2016 makes me laugh. He'll probably sell some books, though.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Huckabee slams Obama for letting daughters listen to Beyonce on: January 14, 2015, 01:58:18 am
Ugh, he's seriously going to pull a Bill O'Reilly and cater to old whites?
It's not like anyone else is going to buy his books.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jay Leno brutally attacks Hillary - calls her very slow, old and lacking fire on: January 13, 2015, 09:38:50 am
Easy pickings for Romney, in other words. Smiley

Except Romney is older than Hillary, and I'm pretty sure nobody has ever mistaked him for "having fire".

"Having fired" though... he's done a lot of that.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Looks like Huckles is getting ready on: January 11, 2015, 10:23:36 am
I don't think anyone has posted his goodbye message, so here it is.

For all you playing down Huckabee's likability factor, I really think that you are mistaken. The guy is just very well-spoken and charming when he speaks. Just because he has taken stands on issues where you disagree with him on doesn't make him a horrible and unlikable person.

You have it backwards. Just because he can be well-spoken and charming when he advocates and supports horrible and indefensible things doesn't make him a good person.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Looks like Huckles is getting ready on: January 09, 2015, 09:41:36 pm
Well, time to get ready for the Republican "debates".

I'm now starting to wonder how badly having a large number of candidates who are only in the race to sell books and bump their speaking fees is going to warp the Republican primaries. Maybe Newt and Palin will join in the fun!

It's one thing to campaign in hope of raising political visibility and credibility for future campaigns or a shot at a position in the new administration. (I don't take Huckabee seriously as a candidate. His brand of social conservatism is done and the Republicans will damage their brand further in addition to losing if they're somehow stupid enough to nominate him.)
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 field: Enter Mitt Romney? on: January 09, 2015, 09:33:08 pm
The Washington Post presents it in even stronger terms that Reuters did.

"I want to be president,” Romney told about 30 donors in New York. He said that his wife, Ann — who last fall said she was emphatically against a run — had changed her mind and was now “very encouraging,” although their five sons remain split, according to multiple attendees."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/romney-to-gop-donors-i-want-to-be-president/2015/01/09/ce5f821a-9848-11e4-aabd-d0b93ff613d5_story.html

Sheer ego is not a good qualification for President. An egotistical, multi-millionaire, elitist who has already lost once is far from the best the Republicans can do, even in their present state.

But it would be hilarious to see him run and end up with 47% of the vote, again.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Bush Problem: A Myth? on: January 08, 2015, 02:43:41 pm
Seems similar to what happened to Woodrow Wilson, Harry Truman and LBJ. They left office deeply unpopular after perceived foreign policy failures, but history was more generous with them. It is yet too early to say that history has spared W, though.

I think Bush's "legacy" has been helped by how incompetent and ineffective Obama turned out to be. A strong or successful Presidency would have provided an immediate contrast to the Bush Presidency. As it is, there's little to no clear difference.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Guess the next POTUS on: January 03, 2015, 12:04:20 am
Hillary Clinton.

She's by no means a certainty, but her odds right now are far better than any other likely candidate.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is the USA still a democratic republic? on: December 16, 2014, 11:44:32 am
The United States is extremely dissimilar to the Roman Republic. Extremely dissimilar.

I noticed this in the news this morning:
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/12/what-did-the-romans-ever-do-for-us-they-left-a-warning-about-the-virtual-water-trade/
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Is the USA still a democratic republic? on: December 16, 2014, 02:15:47 am
The US political system is basically an arena where countless special interest groups battle it out to grab as many goodies as they can from the the horde of Federal loot plundered from taxpayers. Some leverage votes (democracy), others leverage cash (oligarchy).
Wouldn't leveraging money be a plutocracy?
True. Thinking about it some more, I'd say the US is a combination of democracy, plutocracy, and oligarchy. The former two account for the majority of legislation and programs, but the latter also exists when you consider the minority of policy manufactured by the technocratic elite of policy wonks, think tankers, etc.
So the Roman Republic pretty much. Now what scares me with that comparison is who's gonna be the barbarians from the north to get rid of the USA.

Looks around.  Traditionally, barbarians of the invading sort, are heavily-armed groups who ruthlessly rule their immediate neighbors by fear and violence, threaten the borders, are well-financed and well-equipped, fast to adapt to changes, and are often co-opted by elements of the empire?
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Post Presidential political career for President Obama? on: December 16, 2014, 02:10:10 am
I understand there are some good openings for sock-puppets on the comedy circuit. That would let him cater to his strengths.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Washington Post: Santorum is running in 2016 on: December 11, 2014, 02:07:25 am
Assuming it's true, all the Democratic strategists looking at 2016 just smiled.

Santorum won't affect things a great deal, but he will pull the primaries a little more to the right. And every move to the right makes it harder for the Republicans to win in the general. Not that its going to be easy under any circumstances.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why is Obama so unpopular? on: December 11, 2014, 01:59:57 am
President Obama isn't unpopular.
Bigger problem that he isn't inspiring anymore, Obama coalition turnout rate was less than pre-Obama (2006). It looked like he would be the perfect guy to turn them into a permanent political force but he's been disappointing on that line, in part due to outside factors.

Given how Obama has been a staunch supporter of the status quo, I've been thinking that driving down the turnout and generally disillusioning younger voters is a feature and not a bug.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: US Senate report on CIA interrogration/torture on: December 11, 2014, 01:55:04 am
There have to be prosecutions after this. There is simply no way that this can be ignored. If it is, the US is in grave trouble.

The US is already in big trouble. This is just a sign. Torture, police violence, Mortgage scandals, and I'm sure many more I'm forgetting. Everyone has always joked about the problems with the legal system, but its less of a joke and more "this thing doesn't work right".
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: US Senate report on CIA interrogration/torture on: December 09, 2014, 03:25:26 pm
So, will someone please round up all the Bush regime figures and finally put them in a plane to The Hague for trial ?

Would it be clever to try and do exactly that around May 2016? Give the Republicans in office a choice between defending war criminals wanted by the UN, or throwing Cheney (and a few others) under the bus?
17  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why is Obama so unpopular? on: December 09, 2014, 03:22:40 pm
The conservative right hates him because they're bigots.
The Tea-Party hates him because they're stupid.
The civil libertarians hate him because spying/torture.
The young hate him because of failed promises.
And the various flavors of far left hate him because he's a moderate Republican.

I think that covers most of it, but that the real economy is pretty anemic doesn't help either.

18  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Fascists Arive in New York to roaring cheers on: December 08, 2014, 03:59:28 pm
I'm far less irked by these monarchs than the heartless hereditary dictators of the Persian Gulf that the government cuddles up with.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would you currently rate the odds that Jeb Bush runs? on: December 06, 2014, 03:51:21 am
Voted 50% because it seems to be a coin flip, to anyone who can't read his mind. If he runs, he'll have no problem with money, name recognition or basic groundwork. It comes down to "does he want to?" And only he (and those closest to him) can answer that.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: John Kerry 2016? on: December 02, 2014, 05:36:37 pm
Nope not happening.

Kerry vs. Romney 2016 could be interesting to watch.

Best chance for a 3rd party candidate ever. And a beautiful way to de-legitimize the system in the eyes of the voters. Even Hillary v. Jeb wouldn't be as laughable as Kerry v. Romney.

"You turned them both down before, but now we're shoving one down your throat whether you like it or not!"

"America - where democracy means choosing between two stupidly rich elitist @$$hles!"
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Most boring possible Republican primary on: December 02, 2014, 05:29:41 pm
CPAC gets hit by a rogue meteor. Due to having skipped it, Jeb Bush is the only first- or second-tier candidate not dead or seriously injured.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mike Huckabee versus Hillary Clinton: Who would you vote for? on: December 01, 2014, 10:26:13 am
Likely whoever the Green party is running. I'd rather not see Huckabee as president, but I refuse to buy in to the destructive and anti-American two-party system.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: NYT: Hagel to resign on: November 28, 2014, 02:05:30 pm
It was nice to have a grunt as SecDef even if Hagel seems to have had problems.

I can't help but wonder if that was part of why he had problems. And possibly why he was out - he doesn't seem to have been in favor of throwing more young kids into the meat-masher.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: WaPo gives glimpse into Hillary Clinton's paid speaking career on: November 28, 2014, 05:54:04 am
That speaking fee is outrageous. I can't believe universities throw money down the toilet inviting hack politicians to speak at functions when they could reduce tuition rates or hire more tenured professors rather than relying on adjunct profs.

True, but beside the point. Universities do regularly six figures on prestigious speakers. While I'm deeply skeptical of Senator Clinton as a national leader, criticizing her for her speaking fee is somewhere between silly and disingenuous.
25  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: GOP Mulls Not Inviting Obama to Give State of the Union on: November 28, 2014, 05:44:14 am
Oh my, but this is going to be a darkly funny two years.
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