Romney from da' Streetz

Haha. I really like Paul on healthcare. Paul for HHS!

Is there literally any one person on the forum who supports Santorum?

NO SANTORUM, DON'T ATTACK NEWT, JUST FOCUS ON ROMNEY

I like Newt's Sam Eagle face.

Is it just me, or is Santorum the unbecessary candidate?

Good man, Paul. I have very little in common with him politically, but I find him very decent.

Newt owned the hell out of the moderator, I agree with him!

Haha I love this

Santorum: I won Iowa.
Romney: I've been married consistently.
Gingrich: I'm a Southerner
Paul: I'm a veteran.

You have to feel bad for Romney.

Must I?

So at this point...who do we reckon is going to come in second?

We know who the winner will be.

Likely Paul, but Huntsman is not impossible. Huntsman would be far more interesting, as he is a credible candidate for president and not a cartoon character.

It's starting to look possible (though not probable) that Huntsman makes second.

Methinks rick needs to depart the granite state for sc, toot sweet.

The candy you whistle, the whistle you eat?

And that's generous.

I still see a missing Clinton County precinct on Google.

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.

That math would be correct if all but one precinct were out in those counties.

Why did Perry do so well in southern Iowa? Do they speak with a twang and say ya'll in those parts?

After seeing those results, I think that's the case: both Edwards and Huckabee won in a landslide there.

There must be some Missouri influence, and Missouri (especially rural Missouri) has more Southern influence than any other Midwestern state.

Good indicator of Santorum's problem - to win, or even make a real go of it, as the stronger conservative, you need to win the South. I'm not sure that Santorum will resonate there. Gingrich and Perry could have been viable, at least as Huckabee/Edwards like sectional candidates.

This nomination is all over but the shouting, barring late entries.

If Santorum wins tonight, it is a monument to wasting time in a state that cares about you wasting time in their state when you have a whole bunch of crappy opponents.

Exactly.

What do we know about Monona and Madison Counties?

Well, guys, I'm going to bed. It's midnight here and I don't want to wake up too late tomorrow. It's a pity, but I'll have to learn about the results tomorrow.

F- it, I changed my mind. I'm here guys !

Solid choice, sir!

Mind if I invite some people from AH.com?

That would be awesome. Focus on the After-1900's!

Can it be done? Yes. Will it? Not sure.

Iowans seem to be going for the candidates they know the least about. Perry's foot-in-mouth and Cain's alleged womanizing were unknown when they first rose. But Gingrich's consulting work, offbeat positions and multiple marriages were well, well known. If the Iowans really didn't know, they simply haven't been paying attention.

So what is it that all of us know about Santorum, but the Iowans, perhaps, don't? Perhaps his 16 point loss in Pennsylvania?

If that's not widely known, it could spread by word-of-mouth, fast.

You know what the real madness is?

Whatever happens, through thick and thin, Romney's Iowa support doesn't change that much. It's almost eerie.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_primary-1588.html

This totally muddled field is his only real winning scenario.

Of course.  It's part of the ritual.