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76  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:57:29 pm
Romney from da' Streetz
77  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:44:11 pm
Haha. I really like Paul on healthcare. Paul for HHS!
78  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:40:05 pm
Is there literally any one person on the forum who supports Santorum?
79  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:36:09 pm
NO SANTORUM, DON'T ATTACK NEWT, JUST FOCUS ON ROMNEY
80  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:29:51 pm
I like Newt's Sam Eagle face.
81  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:24:01 pm
Is it just me, or is Santorum the unbecessary candidate?
82  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:14:20 pm
Good man, Paul. I have very little in common with him politically, but I find him very decent.
83  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:12:11 pm
Newt owned the hell out of the moderator, I agree with him!
84  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:10:09 pm
Haha I love this
85  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official CNN South Carolina Debate Thread on: January 19, 2012, 08:08:44 pm
Santorum: I won Iowa.
Romney: I've been married consistently.
Gingrich: I'm a Southerner
Paul: I'm a veteran.
86  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NC PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich and Santorum lead three-way tie on: January 11, 2012, 06:44:01 pm
You have to feel bad for Romney.

Must I?
87  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official New Hampshire Primary Discussion Thread on: January 10, 2012, 01:27:02 pm
So at this point...who do we reckon is going to come in second?

We know who the winner will be.

Likely Paul, but Huntsman is not impossible. Huntsman would be far more interesting, as he is a credible candidate for president and not a cartoon character.
88  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH Suffolk University Tracking Poll Thread on: January 10, 2012, 10:10:20 am
It's starting to look possible (though not probable) that Huntsman makes second.
89  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH PrimR: University of New Hampshire: Romney Maintains Strong NH Lead, with Paul in Safe, Dista on: January 08, 2012, 01:05:30 pm
Methinks rick needs to depart the granite state for sc, toot sweet.

The candy you whistle, the whistle you eat?
90  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Can Santorum Win? on: January 04, 2012, 02:14:56 am


And that's generous.
91  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 04, 2012, 01:47:11 am
I still see a missing Clinton County precinct on Google.
92  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 04, 2012, 01:31:43 am
If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.


That math would be correct if all but one precinct were out in those counties.
93  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 04, 2012, 01:25:55 am
Why did Perry do so well in southern Iowa? Do they speak with a twang and say ya'll in those parts?

After seeing those results, I think that's the case: both Edwards and Huckabee won in a landslide there.

There must be some Missouri influence, and Missouri (especially rural Missouri) has more Southern influence than any other Midwestern state.

Good indicator of Santorum's problem - to win, or even make a real go of it, as the stronger conservative, you need to win the South. I'm not sure that Santorum will resonate there. Gingrich and Perry could have been viable, at least as Huckabee/Edwards like sectional candidates.

This nomination is all over but the shouting, barring late entries.
94  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 04, 2012, 12:41:52 am
If Santorum wins tonight, it is a monument to wasting time in a state that cares about you wasting time in their state when you have a whole bunch of crappy opponents.

Exactly.
95  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 03, 2012, 11:21:46 pm
What do we know about Monona and Madison Counties?
96  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 03, 2012, 07:57:24 pm
Well, guys, I'm going to bed. It's midnight here and I don't want to wake up too late tomorrow. It's a pity, but I'll have to learn about the results tomorrow. Tongue

F- it, I changed my mind. I'm here guys !

Solid choice, sir!
97  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread on: January 03, 2012, 06:39:47 pm
Mind if I invite some people from AH.com?

That would be awesome. Focus on the After-1900's!
98  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: Does something hit Santorum before the caucus? on: December 29, 2011, 05:38:06 pm
Can it be done? Yes. Will it? Not sure.

Iowans seem to be going for the candidates they know the least about. Perry's foot-in-mouth and Cain's alleged womanizing were unknown when they first rose. But Gingrich's consulting work, offbeat positions and multiple marriages were well, well known. If the Iowans really didn't know, they simply haven't been paying attention.

So what is it that all of us know about Santorum, but the Iowans, perhaps, don't? Perhaps his 16 point loss in Pennsylvania?

If that's not widely known, it could spread by word-of-mouth, fast.
99  Election Archive / 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: IA: Rasmussen: Romney and Paul Essentially Tied/Santorum Surge on: December 29, 2011, 11:55:42 am
You know what the real madness is?

Whatever happens, through thick and thin, Romney's Iowa support doesn't change that much. It's almost eerie.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/iowa_republican_presidential_primary-1588.html

This totally muddled field is his only real winning scenario.
100  Election Archive / 2012 Elections / Re: If Romney wins Iowa, will Paul supporters make accusations of fraud? on: December 29, 2011, 11:51:27 am
Of course.  It's part of the ritual.
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