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April 24, 2014, 10:46:15 pm
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1  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Is it better to have an exciting or an uninspiring personality in life? on: Today at 04:37:50 pm
Bland, dry, droll and monotone.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Update for Everyone II - Less Boring, More Whoring on: Today at 04:35:53 pm
No sex!
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Quinn: Black Republicans Like Pro-Nazi Jews on: Today at 04:31:14 pm
And I'm sure you guys will all applaud.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Lebanon Presidential Election 2014 on: Today at 12:39:28 pm
The thought of a President Geagea is terrifying.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Shattering the Ceiling: Clinton wins in 2008! on: Today at 12:38:02 pm
Didn't India have a special election for Quayle's U.S. Senate seat in 1990 ?

no, that was lebanon.

Who will win the Lebanon primary?
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NY Times polls of four southern states (AR, KY, LA, NC) on: Today at 01:03:22 am
William Kristol writes that the polls' results seem bogus due to the disingenuous responses to the presidential vote question in number 12:



Looking at these results, one becomes pretty inclined to declare this a rather bad poll. As Kristol rightly points a poll that shows Obama one point behind in Arkansas, when carried Arkansas in 2012 by 24 points. Similarly, the Kentucky sample is +3 Romney when reality was +23. The Louisiana sample is +3 Obama in a state Obama lost by 17, and the North Carolina sample is +7 Obama in a state he lost by 3, he notes. Feel free to dismiss it as "right wing media" but it was noteworthy enough for the BBC to mention it (which is where I read it first)

Nate Cohn writes that this can be explained by the "well-known bias toward the victor in post-election surveys. Respondents who voted for the loser often say that they don’t remember whom they supported, or say they supported someone else". This seems rather far-fetched to me however, considering polls show Romney victories in hypothetical re-votes and that the President is considerably underwater in the opinion polls, particularly in these states. It would seem the results of this poll, then, cannot amount for much.

The presidential vote question was asked of all adults. The 2014 election questions were asked of only registered voters.

You have to admit that it is a bit strange to see Romney in the twenties and thirties in states that he won.
If only 60% of the population votes, and someone gets 60% of the vote, they have just got 36% of the total vote.

As for the rest... I've read that post-election, when you ask someone who they voted for, a significant proportion of people who voted for the loser will say they voted for the winner. Something to keep in mind.

I mentioned this.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Realm of Generations on: Today at 12:13:30 am
...
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NY Times polls of four southern states (AR, KY, LA, NC) on: April 23, 2014, 09:59:26 pm
William Kristol writes that the polls' results seem bogus due to the disingenuous responses to the presidential vote question in number 12:



Looking at these results, one becomes pretty inclined to declare this a rather bad poll. As Kristol rightly points a poll that shows Obama one point behind in Arkansas, when carried Arkansas in 2012 by 24 points. Similarly, the Kentucky sample is +3 Romney when reality was +23. The Louisiana sample is +3 Obama in a state Obama lost by 17, and the North Carolina sample is +7 Obama in a state he lost by 3, he notes. Feel free to dismiss it as "right wing media" but it was noteworthy enough for the BBC to mention it (which is where I read it first)

Nate Cohn writes that this can be explained by the "well-known bias toward the victor in post-election surveys. Respondents who voted for the loser often say that they don’t remember whom they supported, or say they supported someone else". This seems rather far-fetched to me however, considering polls show Romney victories in hypothetical re-votes and that the President is considerably underwater in the opinion polls, particularly in these states. It would seem the results of this poll, then, cannot amount for much.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the update's existance a good thing for BushOklahoma? on: April 23, 2014, 06:47:14 pm
It certainly hurts his reputation. But judging by the quality of  advice his family gives him I don't think we're hurting him.

Surely a lot of us are now openly mallicoid t I doubt anyone started that way; it was his constant refusal to listen that did it. If there are some who are openly malicious then it's because o
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: France: new Regions on: April 23, 2014, 12:27:46 pm
They are trying to abolish the départements?!!!
11  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: lunch(eon) on: April 23, 2014, 10:41:07 am
Lief I've never seen Dinosaur BBQ lunches before! That sounds fantastic.
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Is "Hey Soul Sister" one of the worst songs ever? on: April 23, 2014, 10:23:55 am
I feel like it's mildly racially insensitive.
13  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: AggregateDemand on: April 23, 2014, 10:22:21 am
F[inks] off.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Bacon King Institute of Comedy on: April 23, 2014, 10:18:25 am
If it looks like a duck and acts like a duck and quacks like a duck...

Stones in glass houses dude.

But a bird in the hand is the smoking gun that broke the camel's back, n'est-ce pas?
15  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: WalterMitty vs. MilesC56 on: April 23, 2014, 10:17:42 am
This is insulting to Miles.
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: The Proportional Representation Act is garbage on: April 22, 2014, 09:10:33 pm
Surely the most straightforward solution is to simply permit the vacancy for the remainder of the term?
17  General Politics / Economics / Re: Which is worse Hyperinflation or Deflation? on: April 22, 2014, 04:14:33 pm
People are actually arguing hyperinflation is worse than deflation? My God this forum is full of morons.

Huh Hyperinflation is worse than deflation. This is not actually a remotely controversial position.

Deflation basically means economic depression. Hyperinflation might eat out most of growth, but it doesn't generally lead to the same lows.

Well, speaking purely about economies, would you rather live in 1990s Japan or 1920s Germany?

Sorry, Antonio, but--while I'm not an expert on the subject and could be misinformed by the economic education that I do have--I'm going to have to part company with you on this one.

You don't need to be an expert in order to know the answer, and you, indeed, are correct.
18  General Politics / Economics / Re: This is how your 2013 tax dollars were spent. on: April 22, 2014, 04:08:49 pm
What is exactly is meant by government expenditure on "government"?
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Pacific Voting Booth: Executive Department Amendment (Federal) on: April 22, 2014, 01:32:04 pm
Aye.
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Game of Thrones on: April 22, 2014, 01:21:21 pm
I sometimes wonder if Martin created GOT as a satirical middle-aged version of Austria, with all it's incest, rape, lunatics, people in dungeons, cunts, whores, dicks, etc.

No.
21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Midwest Governor Windjammer (Kids, nuclear) on: April 22, 2014, 11:36:37 am
Restrictions on the construction of nuclear power plants have been passed historically, and Minnesota has a ban on construction outright, which reads as follows:

Quote
The [power] commission may not issue a certificate of need for the construction of a new nuclear-powered electric generating plant.

http://www.ncsl.org/research/environment-and-natural-resources/states-restrictions-on-new-nuclear-power-facility.aspx

As for closing existing plants, the least disruptive way to do that is to have a prohibition on the extension of operating licenses. But I'm not sure what power the states- here, the regions- have on that. The Federal NRC has control over licensing, but the regional energy commission could have some certification process.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Should I delete Update? on: April 22, 2014, 09:22:52 am
Looking at our mutual friends (six!) it strikes me that they would be the sort of people who might have a certain disdain, if a passive one, for the sort of middle American like Bushie. I say this if because I distinctly remember an episode with one such person, one of these mutual friends, who in a conversation with a girl from Oklahoma said to us "if it wasn't for people like [this girl], I'd completely think everyone there was hoplessly insane" and then the conversation turned to the Westboro Baptists and other such things.

The point is knowing the sort of people they come off as across, they'd find this all to be funny and self-validating. A strange use of one's time, yes, but there'd be nothing wrong in trying to expose Bushie's blatant hypocrisy and disgregard for any sort of self discipline or appeal to that effect. Which would be the reaction, I think, of any new reader, but people like that in particular, your Ivy Leaguers and the like of the sort that are able to pursue careers in dance in the like... I think the sort of person I am referring to is obvious. And frankly, I doubt they'd be wide of the mark. I've thought of doing such things myself.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / The Good Old Days are back! White House courts young heirs on: April 22, 2014, 12:21:15 am
White House Hosts ‘Next Generation’ Young and Rich

Quote
On a crisp morning in late March, an elite group of 100 young philanthropists and heirs to billionaire family fortunes filed into a cozy auditorium at the White House.

Their name tags read like a catalog of the country’s wealthiest and most influential clans: Rockefeller, Pritzker, Marriott. They were there for a discreet, invitation-only summit hosted by the Obama administration to find common ground between the public sector and the so-called next-generation philanthropists, many of whom stand to inherit billions in private wealth.

“Moon shots!” one administration official said, kicking off the day on an inspirational note to embrace the White House as a partner and catalyst for putting their personal idealism into practice.

The well-heeled group seemed receptive. “I think it’s fantastic,” said Patrick Gage, a 19-year-old heir to the multibillion-dollar Carlson hotel and hospitality fortune. “I’ve never seen anything like this before.” Mr. Gage, physically boyish with naturally swooping Bieber bangs, wore a conservative pinstripe suit and a white oxford shirt. His family’s Carlson company, which owns Radisson hotels, Country Inns and Suites, T.G.I. Friday’s and other brands, is an industry leader in enforcing measures to combat trafficking and involuntary prostitution.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/04/20/fashion/white-house-hosts-next-generation-young-and-rich.html?from=us.politics&_r=0

Truly, the good days have returned, and maximum efficiency has been reached, for our leaders have finally recognised that the power lies in these people, the hereditary class, as it did in the Golden Age of our society at the turn of the last century, and not the common rabble! A Great Society, of grace and splendor, and selflessness, of clean politics- and the White House is getting a leg up! Where is the GOP?
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The College Compendium on: April 22, 2014, 12:02:11 am
You guys who like telonovela nonsense will enjoy my latest contribution to this thread. I got friend-zoned by someone I accidentally fell madly in love with (as it turns out I'm a romantic and kind of conservative in a few ways). Pree normal but I was also told that I was very attractive and that she needed to get to know me better before committing. Socially inept females confuse me. Say no and be like "ur a nice guy" or something if you want to let me down easy. Don't make up lies or be inadvertently mean.

Hmm. As am I currently wondering how to talk to the girl I find sitting on our stoop in the evenings smoking and drinking, usually, what appears to be a glass of whisky. I've barely seen her, but the chutzpah is what gets me.

I think this thread is quite necessary, by the way.
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: People who wear bow ties tend to be... on: April 21, 2014, 11:50:47 pm
Supremely excellent.
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