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76  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Does Greece have the highest percentage of Horrible People in the world? on: February 18, 2017, 06:31:52 pm
Still, you haven't answered the question: why is this the case? Is it endogenous?
77  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Dead people believed to be immortal on: February 18, 2017, 05:31:00 pm
Africans in this club (or at least "still alive"):

Yakubu Gowon
Shegu Shagari
Kenneth Kaunda (who's seen two of his successors die in office, plus another one)
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Trump Considering Mobilizing 100K in Nat'l Guard to Deport Illegals on: February 17, 2017, 11:03:48 am
So this was from the AP, eh?  And you wonder why the guy goes spastic on the news media.  This stupid reporting plays right into his hand.

Indeed-- but it sounds like this was a set-up if anything. Radio silence when asked, then cry "fake news!" when they go ahead with the story.

Quote
Requests to the White House and the Department of Homeland Security for comment and a status report on the proposal were not answered.
79  General Politics / Economics / Re: Corporate short-termism on: February 06, 2017, 02:44:42 pm
With a large-scale repeal of financial regulations looming, this thread is more relevant than ever.

Dividends should be taxed as normal income in order to disincentivise their issuance and instead incentivise profit retention and reinvestment.

I've grown conflicted about this. The point of increasing reinvestment rates stands, but I wonder if disincentivising dividends, would only serve to encourage only more interventions aimed at raising share prices in the short term in order to compensate for the lost shareholder gains.

The issue, I suppose, is that these are meant to serve two different purposes in the service of boosting "long-termism". Reducing dividends encourages management to reinvest profits,  while a regular dividend might encourage investors to hold on to stock longer rather than seek the short term maximisation of "shareholder value", and thus reverse the trend of decline in the mean stock holding period.
80  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Kirsten Gillibrand Preparing for 2020 Presidential Run on: February 06, 2017, 02:29:52 pm
Just how much is she doubling down on the identity politics stuff, though? While I utterly loathe the entire phenomenon of "performative intersectionalism", and am ever more receptive to left-critiques of financialisation and economic short-termism (which HRC put out an admittedly admirable policy paper on back in 2015 but appeared to promptly forget), I'm not sure just how deep an embrace of identity politics is needed in order to justify shunning a candidate in favor of the presumable alternative of class based "democratic socialism".

But to clear, when I talk about "identity politics", I don't mean anodyne corporate "diversity promotion" or "Lean In" thinking. I'm talking about reductionistic "intersectional" theories that are hostile to free speech and intellectual freedom, promote pseudoscience and gross distortions of history in the name of "affirming the lived experiences of marginalised people folks", encourage victimisation mentalities; and the corresponding practices of ethnic "votebank politics", demographically-induced triumphalism, overt racial antagonism, and the idea that "justice" can effectively be dictated to the erstwhile oppressors without regard for their views. Obama dabbled in some elements of this while condemning others.

Does Gillibrand embrace this agenda?
81  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Gallup: 55% disapprove of Muslim ban, Plurality says Trump is "moving too fast" on: February 06, 2017, 02:01:45 pm
I mean, Maryland is gerrymandered for reasons other than partisan reasons. Most of the messiness is to create two separate districts for white Democrats from Baltimore and its suburbs (the real problem) and otherwise preserve incumbents in their districts. It's possible to draw a much neater map that is nonetheless solidly 7-1.

You can actually draw a relatively neat 8-0 map. It doesn't even split the Eastern Shore that bad and it uses the Bay Bridge to cross over into Prince George's County.



Amazing how a gerrymander can look better than what exists now (presumably also gerrymander).
82  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Will Ban Ki-moon Run? (Or, S. Korean presidential election – December 19, 2017) on: February 02, 2017, 03:27:01 pm
Turns out the answer is no.
83  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Is this a legal ballot? on: January 30, 2017, 12:34:22 am
I'm glad I was able to inject some excitement into this race. Smiley
84  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: January 2017 House Special Election on: January 29, 2017, 11:41:33 am
ClarkKent if he didn't vote for Trump.
Otherwise Blair.
85  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: U.N. Passes Resolution Against Israel Settlements, U.S. Abstains on: January 28, 2017, 01:33:10 pm
Or North Korea, or Eritrea, or China or Russia or Duterte's Philippines or Iran for that matter.

Of course, if it was up to me, the UN would spend most of its time denouncing Eritrea. And there'd be a Ahmadnejad type spouting incendiary rhetoric about wiping it off the map.

But please, can someone please tell me how Israel will manage to maintain its nature as a Jewish and democratic state after annexing the entirety of the West Bank? It seems there would be three options, none of which would meet both criteria:

1) ethnic cleansing
2) political disenfranchisement of Palestinian autochtones
3) Northern Ireland-style power sharing

Claiming a right to territory because your ancestors inhabited it thousands of years ago is not congruent with the contemporary, rule-based world order we've tenuously managed to erect after surviving the horrors of war as mechanical slaughter. On these grounds virtually every country would have reason to make designs on the territories of their neighbors. Even less tenuous is are proclamations of GOD GRANTED LAND. If you want to raze the al-Aqsa Mosque, rebuild the Temple, and start a holy war in the pursuit of some messianic vision, that is your prerogative, but it is ridiculous to expect the support of the United States in any such endeavor, particularly considering most of its people regard said Messiah as having already been born, died, and risen from the dead two millennia ago.

I am in full agreement with Kalwejt-- there is no question as to the legitimacy of the State of Israel. Hamas are a terrorist gang and Fatah doesn't seem particularly peace-loving themselves. Arab states have traditionally been the aggressors against Israel, yes. But none of that lends itself to the justification of continued settlement construction and all but rejecting a two-state solution. I think Israel should finally be able to live in peace with its neighbors. Settlements are simply not congruent with that.

And what is this nonsense about the Hashemites being "murderous tyrants". They're probably the most reasonable people in the region at the moment.
86  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Hong Kong Chief Executive election, 2017 on: January 28, 2017, 12:21:24 pm
There's something rather ironic about a party called "Youngspiration" being led by someone named Sixtus.

I know very little about any of this, but Regina Ip seems like she'd be the sort of pro-Beijing hardliner that would inflame tensions.
87  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Presidential Election 2018 on: January 28, 2017, 12:18:19 pm
Heck, I'm not even certain we can definitely predict there will be an election, if the civilian government continue to muddle as they are doing.

That is an interesting possibility.
88  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 3.0 on: January 28, 2017, 12:06:46 pm
Kurz: when Justin Trudeau is just too old for you...
89  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Brazil Presidential Election 2018 on: January 26, 2017, 03:48:04 pm
Doesn't Lula look likely to go to jail?
90  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Chilean Presidential Election 2017 - Primary Polls, Piñera and Guillier strong on: January 26, 2017, 03:40:23 pm
Piñera is making a comeback? There's an unusual bright spot.
91  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Will Ban Ki-moon Run? (Or, S. Korean presidential election – December 19, 2017) on: January 26, 2017, 03:37:04 pm
Ban is faltering in the polls.
92  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / UT-Sen PrimR: Huntsman... +41 on: January 26, 2017, 11:56:14 am
Huntsman would beat Hatch in a Senate showdown, new poll finds

Quote
Nearly eight out of 10 Utahns say Sen. Orrin Hatch shouldn't run for an eighth term and that if the GOP primary were held now, a solid majority would pick former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman over Hatch, a new poll shows.

While just more than half of Utah voters approve of Hatch's job performance, the poll by The Salt Lake Tribune and the Hinckley Institute of Politics shows the state isn't ready to support the senator should he reverse a promise in his last campaign and seek re-election.

Some 78 percent opposed another bid by Hatch, with 58 percent of them saying he should "definitely not" run.

Asked whether they would support Hatch or Huntsman if the 2018 Republican primary were held now, some 62 percent of voters picked Huntsman and 21 percent chose Hatch
.
93  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sounds like McMullin might be about to announce a run on: January 26, 2017, 11:54:53 am
I might be (pleasantly) wrong about Hatch's chances, though:

Huntsman would beat Hatch in a Senate showdown, new poll finds

Quote
Nearly eight out of 10 Utahns say Sen. Orrin Hatch shouldn't run for an eighth term and that if the GOP primary were held now, a solid majority would pick former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman over Hatch, a new poll shows.

While just more than half of Utah voters approve of Hatch's job performance, the poll by The Salt Lake Tribune and the Hinckley Institute of Politics shows the state isn't ready to support the senator should he reverse a promise in his last campaign and seek re-election.

Some 78 percent opposed another bid by Hatch, with 58 percent of them saying he should "definitely not" run.

Asked whether they would support Hatch or Huntsman if the 2018 Republican primary were held now, some 62 percent of voters picked Huntsman and 21 percent chose Hatch
.
94  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: CA-PPP: Newsom +5 on: January 26, 2017, 11:52:36 am
I like Garcetti, but it has little to do with politics, although I hear mostly good things about him.
95  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Write a sentence that makes no sense. on: January 25, 2017, 09:31:34 pm
Donald Trump will become the next President of the United States.



Have I boosted this enough? No, I haven't.
96  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Fremont Voting Booth: January 2017 Special Election on: January 22, 2017, 11:07:53 pm
1. WI: Simfan34
2. Republitarian
3. Siren
97  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sounds like McMullin might be about to announce a run on: January 14, 2017, 11:27:32 pm
regarding the Huntsman talk: he's very strongly implied he will run if (and only if) Hatch retires.

It's now been eight years since he's lived in the state though so I wonder if that would prove to be a challenge for him

Huntsman isn't that well liked in Utah anymore...

http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/12010-utahns-give-huntsman-higher-approval-ratings-than-both-hatch-and-lee

Actually Huntsman is more popular compared to Lee or Hatch!

Mostly because Dems give him really high ratings. His numbers would collapse if he actually ran.

The linked polls show that amongst Republicans, Huntsman's approvals are 63-28, Hatch's are 65-31, and Lee's 72-16. Huntsman is also 64-28 with Mormons, and 51-41 even amongst "very conservative" Republicans.

It must be conceded that these are not good numbers for Huntsman-- or anyone else, for that matter-- if seeking to primary Hatch, but in the case of an open primary they suggest he'd have a good shot. But that depends on who else ends up running-- provided Hatch actually retires. Huntsman's name has popped up as a potential ambassador to Japan (or, who knows, if Tillerson fails to make it...), so if he takes the post it probably means Hatch is running. Then again, Huntsman's accepted an arguably ill-timed ambassadorship before, so who knows.
98  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ohio legislature votes to make abortion illegal after 6 weeks on: December 14, 2016, 02:40:48 pm
66% of Americans agree with a twenty week ban. Let's not pretend this is some radical position to take.
99  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Public Consultation and Legislation Submissions on: December 13, 2016, 04:20:53 pm
Quote
A BILL
To revise postnominal letters for the Order of the Star of Atlasia in line with prevailing customs
Be it enacted by the Congress of the Republic of Atlasia assembled--

SECTION 1. TITLE

This legislation may be cited as the ‘Amendment to Order of the Star of Atlasia Act.’

SECTION 2. PROVISIONS

2. Section 2, Clause 2 of the aforementioned act shall be revised to read "The Order shall be granted in one of two degrees, the Silver Star, or the Gold Star, the latter of which shall be for particularly meritorious achievements."

3. Section 2, Clause 2 of the aforementioned act shall be revised to read Awardees of the Order shall be entitled to use the postnominal SSA for the Silver Star and GSA for the Gold Star.

This amendment resolves ambiguous wording in cl. 2 and bring postnominals in line with normal customs (cf., "Knight Grand Cross of the Order of Saint Michael and George"-> GCMG, not "OMG(GC)".
100  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Fmr. Governor Simfan34 on: December 13, 2016, 04:04:01 pm
Can someone please explain what is going on? The wiki is not really up to date. So Blair is President? Yankee will take office in January? Who is VP? What are the main parties? Who controls the federal and state legislatures?
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