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February 09, 2016, 08:49:13 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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76  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Artists for Bernie Sanders on: January 31, 2016, 12:48:01 pm
So apparently Vampire Weekend has sung for Bernie Sanders. Has anyone made something like will.i.am's "Yes We Can" 2008 video for Sanders? I'd have expected it.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjXyqcx-mYY

77  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill says Hillary's "CHRISTIAN FAITH" is best way to understand her. on: January 31, 2016, 12:35:44 pm
This is an interesting hit-piece in Mother Jones from 2007:

Quote
Through all of her years in Washington, Clinton has been an active participant in conservative Bible study and prayer circles that are part of a secretive Capitol Hill group known as the Fellowship. Her collaborations with right-wingers such as Senator Sam Brownback (R-Kan.) and former Senator Rick Santorum (R-Pa.) grow in part from that connection. "A lot of evangelicals would see that as just cynical exploitation," says the Reverend Rob Schenck, a former leader of the militant anti-abortion group Operation Rescue who now ministers to decision makers in Washington. "I don't....there is a real good that is infected in people when they are around Jesus talk, and open Bibles, and prayer."

[...]

Under Jones' mentorship, Clinton learned about Reinhold Niebuhr and Paul Tillich—thinkers whom liberals consider their own, but whom young Hillary Rodham encountered as theological conservatives. The Niebuhr she studied was a cold warrior, dismissive of the progressive politics of his earlier writing. "He'd thought that once we were unionized, the kingdom of God would be ushered in," Jones explains. "But the effect of those two world wars and the violence that they produced shook his faith in liberal theology. He came to believe that the achievement of justice meant a clear understanding of the limitations of the human condition." Tillich, whose sermon on grace Clinton turned to during the Lewinsky scandal, today enjoys a following among conservatives for revising the social gospel—the notion that Christians are to improve humanity's lot here on earth by fighting poverty, inequality, and exploitation—to emphasize individual redemption instead of activism.

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2007/09/hillarys-prayer-hillary-clintons-religion-and-politics
78  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Could cocaine and khat be legalized in another 50 years? on: January 31, 2016, 09:07:21 am
I've not sampled it, but I don't really think it's a problem.  I suppose you probably shouldn't try to drive a car or operate heavy machinery after a consuming a bowl of bushman tea, but I'm not sold on the philosophy that we should try to control its use.

You'd think that, but in Ethiopia, it's very popular amongst truck drivers. Causes a lot of nasty accidents, and Ethiopians can barely drive well as is...
79  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Iowa SoS attacks Cruz campaign over campaign mailer on: January 31, 2016, 08:34:27 am
Yikes! Are they trying to browbeat voters into submission?
80  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: New Register Thread on: January 31, 2016, 01:43:58 am
The return of Inks!!! Cheesy
81  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NYT endorses Clinton and Kasich. on: January 30, 2016, 12:09:16 pm
The Times never actually endorsed Kasich, though. I read both of the articles and the one about Kasich, which was mildly positive, never used the word "endorsement".

Here's hoping for the WSJ.
82  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: $681m in Malaysian PM's personal bank account "gift" from the Saudis on: January 29, 2016, 10:30:22 pm
$680 million? Small small kacang only...

Malaysia 1MDB scandal: Investigators say about $4bn may be missing from fund
83  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 11:23:48 pm
It's OK, Jeb probably ends up meeting more Bernie than Jeb supporters.



I know you still believe Sanders is the stronger opponent in the general election, but I hope you understand the actual meaning of that photo, right?  Why Bush is smiling next to them?

I'm confused. Is there a story behind this photo beyond "Jeb Bush unwittingly takes picture with surprisingly normal-looking young Republicans who inexplicably have decided to vote for Bernie Sanders"? Are they being ironic?
84  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: TRUMP SUPER-MEGA-AWESOME WOUNDED VETERAN FUNDRAISER 9PM EST *live commentary* on: January 28, 2016, 11:21:02 pm
The handful of clips that I've seen confirm my expectation that this would go much like Trump's over-hyped SNL appearance: Bizarre, pandering, and yet hopelessly dull and not especially entertaining.

Who knows whether that will matter, obviously, but it made me feel embarrassed for everyone involved.

Averroes is right, as usual.
85  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 10:27:23 pm
Again, AAD is wrong. This is why I like inflatable flailing tube arms man.
86  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA 1st tier debate @9pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 10:13:29 pm
We need to have live fact checking in debates if we're going to do this.
87  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Announcing The Activity Project on: January 28, 2016, 09:58:05 pm
I will always be willing to serve my region.
88  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who won the Fox Kiddie Table debate? on: January 28, 2016, 08:06:19 pm
I am being honest when I say Gilmore. His answer on scapegoats, and his criticism of Huckabee and Santorum for sucking up to Trump were good.
89  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA kiddie debate @7pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 08:02:23 pm
I think Gilmore legitimately won this.
90  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News Channel Des Moines, IA kiddie debate @7pm ET **live commentary thread** on: January 28, 2016, 07:50:35 pm
Excellent answer by Gilmore. Truly honest. A man of upstanding moral character, who has stood up to Trump. For once!
91  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Stop whatever you're doing and watch this video immediately on: January 28, 2016, 07:42:53 pm
GILMORE will sweep up the millennial vote with his fresh new, uh, trap music. I think.
92  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Stop whatever you're doing and watch this video immediately on: January 28, 2016, 07:39:08 pm
Forget Trump, GILMORE is the real deal in this race.
93  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Could cocaine and khat be legalized in another 50 years? on: January 28, 2016, 04:30:50 pm
Large(r)-scale Somali immigration?
94  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: Bloomberg/Purple Strategies national poll:Trump 34% Rubio 14% Cruz 12% Carson 9% on: January 27, 2016, 08:39:13 pm
Or they may be assuming that the person deserved to be shot, otherwise Trump wouldn't have shot them.
95  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: $681m in Malaysian PM's personal bank account "gift" from the Saudis on: January 27, 2016, 10:50:34 am
Smashed by who? The opposition coalition fell apart last year.
96  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Houston clears Planned Parenthood... and indicts prolife activists instead. on: January 27, 2016, 10:34:07 am
So they were indicted for making a fake drivers license? Keep that in mind, kids!
97  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The 45th president, on Day 1, announces a New Constitution. The Reaction? on: January 26, 2016, 02:54:44 pm
If this president tried to impose a new constitution unilaterally, they would be impeached and removed for breaking their oath of office. There would be no support for such a move, regardless of who it came from. If they tried to organize a constitutional convention, the proposal would still be dead in the water, but that would be the end of it.

There wouldn't be a war. That would just be silly. Unless the gun nuts just started shooting in attempt to live out their "fight against tyranny!!1" fantasies.  There wouldn't be a coup, either-- trampling on the constitution in order to save it sort of defeats the point. The only way the military would enter the picture would be if the president refused to accept the Senate's verdict and had to be physically escorted from the White House.
98  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: "Too Liberal" Conservative Ad Targets Sanders on: January 26, 2016, 02:31:29 pm
I don't get it. Did they mix up the punchline and music with another ad? Are the bunch of white men sitting around a table in a dark room and couple standing in front of their large house with their cars supposed to be the relatable characters? The smiling graduates the villains? This can't be an attack ad. I've never seen the Akin ads though.

e: Okay, I looked at some of the the Akin ads, and whereas their content would appeal to conservative voters but repulse more centrist ones, the things this ad says about Sanders are unambiguous positives in a Democratic primary. It even makes it sound like his plans can be funded! Maybe it's just a cruder attempt but it makes for a baffling result.
99  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / "Good guy with gun" fears movie shooting, shoots woman on: January 26, 2016, 02:16:42 pm
Quote
A man who accidentally wounded a woman in a suburban Seattle cinema told police he brought his gun along because he feared a mass shooting.

Police say Dane Gallion, 29, had a gun in his waistband during a Thursday night showing of 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi.

He told police the gun had dropped to the floor during the film and fired, striking the woman in shoulder.

He fled the cinema after the shooting, but was later arrested.

The woman was treated at hospital and is expected to recover.

Mr Gallion told police he had taken medication for anxiety and drunk beer before the movie.

He was released on bail under the condition he surrender his guns to a family member and avoid drugs and alcohol.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-35412196

If only the woman had had a gun as well! She could have defended herself! Or how does the pro-gun spin work for this?
100  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / What would happen if Obama endorsed Hillary early in the primaries? on: January 26, 2016, 03:26:17 am
I suppose there are two or three separate scenarios I'm imagining:

-Obama endorses Hillary this week, before the Iowa caucus (say, this Thursday)
-Obama endorses Hillary before the NH primary, after she's won by a fair amount in Iowa
-Obama endorses Hillary shortly after a Sanders victory in the NH primary

What would happen? How much would Obama's endorsement help Hillary, and to what extent would it hurt Sanders? Would it lead to Sanders making more pronounced and direct criticisms of Obama administration policies? Would O'Malley just instantly drop out as a result? Would it lead to a bevy of copy-cat endorsements? (From whom?)
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