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October 31, 2014, 11:49:14 pm
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Will the Republicans... on: Today at 08:44:10 pm
To be honest I'd need to actually look at all the House races first and then make a judgement call. I think we'll lose 8 Senate seats at this point, so House losses would need to be in double-digits to make it conclusively higher than the Senate.

Probably the House though.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: NY-11: Siena: Grimm up 19 (!) on: Today at 06:47:59 pm
The Governor's race is 56-33-5 Cuomo.
WTF?

If Cuomo's up by 23, yet Grimm's up 19........this poll is worth less than the thing that comes out of my ass.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: Today at 05:57:45 pm

I believe Republicans had a 13% lead in 2010, and Dems lost by a single point.
Looks like Checkpoint Charlie is dominating!
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-FOX News: FitzGerald surges, cuts Kasich's lead in half on: Today at 05:44:21 pm
Congrats, Adam.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: Today at 05:37:02 pm
What were the figures in Florida in 2010 at this point, out of curiosity?
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: Vox Populi: Hassan trailing on: Today at 05:08:20 pm
topkek
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Fox News: Davis busts out six point lead on: Today at 05:07:59 pm
Glorious news! Looks like you can be too right-wing for Kansas.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How old were you when you last went trick-or-treating? on: Today at 04:59:01 pm
I never did it. Not a thing down here, or at least it wasn't when I was a kid.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Election Night - Drink of Choice? on: Today at 04:53:33 pm
I've got sh**t on later that day, it's in the morning in my time zone and I'm not a huge drinker anyway so probs nothing.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Graham: "white men who are in male-only clubs are going to do great in my pres" on: Today at 01:55:00 am
The first sign towards acceptance is admitting your problem.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Something you don't like (anything at all) about the previous poster on: October 30, 2014, 11:55:31 pm
The cakes he makes are full of crabs.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Ipsos: Deadlocked on: October 30, 2014, 11:19:34 pm
But yes, I'm still waiting for PPP.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Ipsos: Deadlocked on: October 30, 2014, 11:18:35 pm
How good is Ipsos? I'll wait for another (decent) pollster to confirm this.
According to Fairfax (Australian newspaper who are now hiring Ipsos for Australian polling - Ipsos are an international firm rather than just an American one), "Ipsosí 2008 US presidential poll was regarded as the most accurate of the 22 covering the election that brought Barack Obama to power".

So you can't completely toss it in the junk.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is KCDem an election troll? on: October 30, 2014, 11:07:18 pm
Probably, but I suspect he may come back, and from memory DrScholl's been at least posting on other boards despite being just as big of a hack.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Early voting, absentee requests & statistics on: October 30, 2014, 09:53:59 pm
Those numbers don't look pretty for us.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in Florida? on: October 30, 2014, 09:32:48 pm
Barring the night being 2010-esque, Crist will win.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Generic Congressional Ballot Polls Thread on: October 30, 2014, 03:40:29 pm
WTF is up with the Congressional Ballot being so mixed?
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Describe the preceding poster's posting history with an Upworthy style headline on: October 30, 2014, 02:59:05 am
50 Ways A Partisan Republican Turned Into A Social Democrat, And How You Can Too!
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: KS-01-Jayhawk Consulting: Democratic internal shows Huelskamp (R) down 7 on: October 29, 2014, 08:45:18 pm
Hahahahahahahahahha.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: October 29, 2014, 08:44:02 pm
The Republican primary fight's gonna be fun.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: October 29, 2014, 04:37:35 pm
Hopefully Hawkins can get above 10%.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac - Ernst up 4 on: October 29, 2014, 04:13:18 pm
21 point lead with early voting, yet down by 4? Colour me skeptical.

Quinnipiac has been super R-friendly this cycle. We'll see if they were right to be on Tuesday.

R-friendly as in what? Showing Republicans ahead?
As in showing the Pubs ahead by more than say PPP or SurveyUSA (to name two polls with a very strong track record)....I don't think Eraserhead is wrong here.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in Maine? on: October 29, 2014, 03:46:27 pm
Cutler's semi concession makes me think Michaud is ahead now, although there are some worrying signs here.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: WI: Final Marquette poll out today! on: October 29, 2014, 06:45:29 am
Bring it on!
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Upset of election night on: October 28, 2014, 10:02:15 pm
I think some strong-red district like UT-04, AR-02, LA-06, KS-02, WV-02 will be an unexpected gain/hold for democrats.

LA-06 is going to a runoff no matter what happens on election night.
Is that the district where the lizard is running?
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