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November 30, 2015, 02:58:30 am
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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: favorite banned posters on: November 25, 2015, 04:38:41 pm

In all fairness, Straha has behaved himself admirably on AAD.......the other two?  WTF.  Snowpuker getting banned here might be interesting though.
He's still pretty much a useless sh**tposter over there though with a healthy dose of borderline fascism.

Anyway I concur with Sawx and politcus. I'll also be controversial and add Hamilton.
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: where were your great-grandparents born? on: November 23, 2015, 04:00:38 am
1 was born on the ship to Australia.

Rest were presumably born in NSW. NFI where exactly though. I know one was a country boy who moved to Sydney though, but that's only because of a speech made during his widow's funeral.
3  About this Site / The Atlas / Let's talk about heatmaster on: November 23, 2015, 03:57:02 am

His most recent work. Surely advocating genocide is against the ToC? And that's not forgetting how painful his posts generally are anyway.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: John Bell Edwards: Dark Horse Vice Presidential Pick on: November 21, 2015, 10:27:58 pm
Yes please. CAN'T QUELL THE BEL!
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog on: November 21, 2015, 10:23:51 pm
Edwards leading 54-46 with 68% in. Nungesser up 58-42, and AP called AG for Landry with him leading 57-43.

...but there's 75% in (55-45 JBE)
Looking at what's left I reckon Edwards might actually do better than 55/45.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in Louisiana? on: November 21, 2015, 08:24:20 pm
I've fallen for the "MUH RED STATE" factor and am now prediciting a Vitter win. I hope I'm wrong.
7  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What political view of yours is furthest from the mainstream? on: November 20, 2015, 08:38:27 pm
Probably relating to immigration (like using the "muh lines on a map" argument against people arguing for restrictions on immigration) and drug legalisation (support legalisation/regulation of most drugs), I suspect.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog on: November 20, 2015, 08:23:21 pm
Yeah, for whatever reason I feel really pessimistic here now too. JMC having Edwards under 50% didn't help.....

If Edwards loses, RIP polling industry? They've had an awful lot of misses recently.....
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MRI-Lousiana: Vitter gaining on John Edwards on: November 20, 2015, 02:07:44 am
As fun as it is to watch you all get flamed by Talleyrand, it is getting a little tiresome.

The Autism content in this thread is TOO DAMN HIGH
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog on: November 19, 2015, 09:56:59 pm
This thing is in two days. Final thoughts?

Vitter creams Edwards by 5 to 8 points.

So what's the "Texas Democrat" part of your username?  It can't possibly mean you identify as a socially conservative Southern Democrat because you'd probably, you know, be supporting the socially conservative Democrat in the race...
Talleyrand be trollin'.

Anyway I'm a bit nervous here now, but more because I worry Vitter's dog-whistling and a move towards national security is working rather than #analysis that Louisiana is deep red and Dems can't win those sort of states. Will still say Edwards wins....but I'm less confident now than I was a week ago.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Rubio the strongest Republican presidential candidate since Reagan? on: November 19, 2015, 07:23:47 pm
A+ trolling would read again
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor on: November 15, 2015, 06:25:08 pm
Edwards 53.5%
Vitter 46.5%

So still a comfortable win, but there's enough of a shy Vitter effect to see it tighten.
13  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Paris Attacks on: November 13, 2015, 07:08:03 pm
No school and universities at all tomorrow, Hollande won't go to G20 in Turkey.

It's Saturday tomorrow?
In France schools do run on Saturday morning IIRC. Granted I haven't checked that recently but it's not that uncommon.

Anyway just an unspeakable tragedy. I hope our fellow Parisians and their friends and family are safe.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015: Official Results & Analysis Thread on: November 12, 2015, 08:00:35 pm
Today's Forum Research opinion poll shows a massive honeymoon commencing for the new Liberal gov't:

Liberal: 55%
CPC: 25%
NDP: 12%
BQ: 4%
Green: 3%


I know it won't hold, but if it did, how many seats would the Liberals win with 55%? 300+ surely?
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Rank the candidates from smartest to dumbest on: November 12, 2015, 07:54:03 pm

Only hardcore partisans/extremists/establishmentarians honestly believe any of these people are idiots or average/below in intelligence.
Some of those who dropped out certainly didn't strike me as being particularly bright. Perry, Walker and Chafee don't strike me as MENSA candidates.

Others are pretty intelligent, yeah. Though some of Carson's statements just seem completely wtf.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: No Shave November on: November 10, 2015, 06:20:01 am
We call it Movember down here. I shaved (though gotten trims!) like once in about 30 months though. And even then I kept the mo and it was for a specific purpose.
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Does your avatar correspond with your location? on: November 09, 2015, 01:05:56 am
My current one relates to Donald Trump.

But I did have an AU avatar for many years beforehand.
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you live in a landslide county/state? on: November 08, 2015, 10:30:57 pm
Probably the closest equivalent of a county in Australia is a local council. AFAIK it was a landslide on 2PP but perhaps not on primary votes.

My state is pretty much 50/50. It's rare that a landslide state happens.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Welcome to the Jungle (Primary): LA 2015 Liveblog on: November 08, 2015, 10:25:01 pm
People trying to compare this with Kentucky should have a look at Hood in Mississippi. He actually overperformed the one poll of that race (admittedly was on a lower ticket), and I think Louisiana is closer to Mississippi than Kentucky demographically.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AL, AR and SC Congressional Races 2016 on: November 07, 2015, 06:34:35 pm
Boozman, Westerman and Crawford haven't filed yet, but as of now, no Democrats have filed in any CD.

Pretty bad, if it stays the same on Monday.
So does that make CD1 and CD4 uncontested?

What happens if there are no candidates that have filed in a district?
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL-Gov 2018: PEOPLE'S PAT preparing for a run! on: November 06, 2015, 08:32:03 pm
Urgh. Regardless of what we think of Quinn, he's probably the one person that would lose to Rauner.
22  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: ATTN DAVE: Reinstate the jmfcst on: November 06, 2015, 04:59:06 am
If it gets him off AAD, then I'm in favour of this.
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How old would you think the previous poster is? on: November 05, 2015, 02:26:19 am
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you know middle aged women who play video games? on: November 04, 2015, 05:10:17 am
My stepmother did when I first met her, but she was still single until fairly late in life.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What if a candidate claimed Hispanic was a seperate race on the Census? on: November 04, 2015, 01:15:16 am
Is this related to a candidate who claimed they were Hispanic when they weren't?
It's related to BRTD's weird Gully Foyle obsession......
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