Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2016, 12:26:43 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 263
1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump wins Indiana Tuesday, is Trump the GOP nominee? on: April 28, 2016, 09:23:29 pm
Yes. It's hard to see how he doesn't reach 1237 if he wins Indiana.
2  About this Site / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: April 27, 2016, 09:34:44 am
Let's be fair, Smith is probably a sock.

I thought it was pretty obvious from the beginning.

If so, who are likely suspects?
If smith didn't join AAD I'd say Hamilton.
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in Utah or Albania? on: April 27, 2016, 12:53:27 am
I feel like anywhere in the US would be better than Albania.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Likelihood to win the nomination on: April 27, 2016, 12:20:26 am
Clinton: 99%
Other (indictment, death, etc.): 1%

Trump: 75%
Cruz: 17%
Kasich: 5%
Convention Dark Horse: 2%
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Australia 2016 - How would/will you vote? on: April 23, 2016, 11:00:13 am
HOR - I'll probably vote Greens first preference, unless the Liberals change their preferencing decisions (although I'm generally a fairly partisan Green voter in the Lower House, I still feel Albanese is the best person to represent Grayndler and is one of the good Labor ones). Preferencing Labor over Liberals but that probably means jack sh**t in my electorate.

Senate - NFI because there's like 50 parties and a lot who I have no real idea about. Leaning towards either the Pirates or the Greens, but I dunno who's actually registered and who isn't. Add that NSW ballot papers tend to have the most parties/names on the ballot and I probably won't actually decide who to give my first preference to until I get into the voting booth.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: April 22, 2016, 10:00:41 am
Feel The Cotton!

Sounds like an ad slogan for a tampon.
TAMPON TOM FOR 2020
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: kasich wishes lgbt+ people would "just get over" discrimination on: April 18, 2016, 05:52:48 pm
Smiley What a kind and sensible moderate Smiley
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Share your "privilege score" here on: April 16, 2016, 08:50:46 pm
66

But yeah, ordinary quiz. Lots of questions about cultural issues (which I tick pretty much all of the main privileged boxes - I'm a straight white cisgendered male, and while I'm not religious I don't live in a country where that matters) but few regarding socio-economic ones (where my family isn't exactly poor but it's not uber-wealthy and did have cost of living issues when I was younger).
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Remember when this was jfern's signature? on: April 15, 2016, 07:37:38 pm
To see it try and quote the post and put in the URL of the image in your browser.

Though I knew what the image was before even seeing it Tongue

Good times, good times.
10  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the likely political views of the previous hypothetical person on: April 15, 2016, 07:42:21 am
There isn't one out there, so here's a new one

Age: 111
Gender: Female
Marital Status: Widowed for 50 years
Occupation: Never worked
Location: Shreveport, Louisiana
Race: White
Religion: Baptist
Income: Supported by middle class grandkids and great-grandkids (her great-great-granddaughter is pregnant with her great-great-great grandkid).

Old-school Dixiecrat, still usually votes Democrat. Probably didn't vote Obama, backing Hillary this time around.

Age: 28
Gender: Female
Martial Status: Married, 2 children (one to previous husband)
Occupation: Data Entry Clerk w/ local county
Location: Hibbing, Minnesota
Race: White
Religion: Methodist
Income: $30,000
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of evergreen on: April 14, 2016, 09:29:43 pm
i'm a fan. pretty clear ff
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The three branches of Atlas on: April 14, 2016, 09:28:55 pm
IRC for mine. AAD is pretty damn good once you get over the way it was formed and a few trash-tier posters, but the IRC when I get in there is mostly very good as long as there's people in there. Sadly most of the time time zones is an issue.

Atlas really isn't that good these days. Most of the best posters are pretty lazy these days and their replacements are largely too young or kinda annoying.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict how close the general will be (whichever party wins). on: April 14, 2016, 08:33:26 am
With Cruz, probably a win for Hillary similar to 2012. Cruz will keep his base in tact, but he just is too unlikeable and right-wing to win over Independents (yes more so than Hillary AFAIC). It's winnable for the Republicans with a strong campaign and the Democratic primary getting messy, but it's hard to see Cruz pulling it off in anything but a very low-turnout election.

With Trump....could be anything. At this stage I'll tip a 2008-esque win for Hillary, but if she plays her cards right and is able to marry the Sanders base well enough it could be Goldwater-esque for Trump. If Biden was the candidate instead I actually there would be a pretty good of that happening, but I'm not quite seeing it with Hillary (Biden would have more working-class and ethnic appeal, which is probably the only area where Trump seems to doing well apart from rusted-on Pubbies). He could even beat her if Trump pivots towards the centre and becomes less weird (unlikely to happen from what we've seen though).
14  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the likely political views of the previous hypothetical person on: April 14, 2016, 01:49:27 am
Obviously a Republican. Mostly more of a business Republican than a culture warrior but still backs Cruz.

Age: 52
Gender: Male
Race: White (Polish/English/Irish/German)
Income: $70,000
Education Level: Bachelor's Degree
Religion: Catholic (mostly only attends on holidays, though)
Occupation: Project Manager at a Construction Company
Martial Status: Married, 2 children
Location: Lake County, IL
Hometown: Toledo, OH
15  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the likely political views of the previous hypothetical person on: April 13, 2016, 10:17:09 pm
Probably a Democrat, though one who might be fairly moderate on economic matters than most his age. Still backs Sanders though.

Race: White (mostly English/German)
Gender: Female
Income: $45,000
Education Level: Bachelor of Arts
Religion: Raised Southern Baptist, now a Deist but not really religious
Occupation: Paralegal
Age: 31
Martial Status: Married, no children
Location: Dallas, Texas
16  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Describe the political views of the previous hypothetical person - Int'l Edition on: April 13, 2016, 09:56:38 pm
Probably an SDP/Linke swing voter. Religion probably stops him from being a Green (I'm assuming he's a Muslim?)

Age: 30
Gender: Male
Ethnicity: Various Anglo-Celtic but mostly English, parents born in England.
Education: Bachelor of Laws/Arts
Occupation: Was previously a lawyer but now owns a pub since moving to London
Family: Married, expecting first child
Religion: Athiest
Current location: Acton, London
Hometown: Sydney, Australia
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Nicolas Sarkozy v. Marine LePen? on: April 13, 2016, 09:12:10 pm
Sarko, I guess.

Though of course if this were the situation I'd be trying to get the hell out of France ASAP. Because I suspect it might not be long before LePen takes power.....
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Democrats only: Would you support the other candidate if they won? on: April 13, 2016, 09:09:46 pm
I'm still not 100% convinced who I'm supporting (not that it matters given...y'know), but I if were American I'd of course vote for whoever the Democrats put up.

Those who say otherwise (and I mean this regardless of who you're backing)....you only have yourselves to blame if we get a President Trump/Cruz. Especially if you live in a swing state.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Predicts: Which party will win the 2016 presidential election? on: April 11, 2016, 10:36:28 pm
The most likely result is the Democrats. I just can't see a scenario where the candidate nominated by the Republicans doesn't rip the party apart if it's a Kasich/dark horse type, and Trump and Cruz are just too toxic/dislikable.

It's funny in hindsight that Cruz may just be the most electable candidate in the field.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why did Sanders only get 55.7% in Wyoming? on: April 09, 2016, 08:43:49 pm
Probably because there were like 20 voters.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PA Sen: Obama and Biden endorse McGinty on: March 31, 2016, 07:57:24 am
What makes McGinty such a bad candidate, OOC? I'm not saying this in support of her, I'm honestly curious.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: WI-Marquette: Feingold +3 on: March 31, 2016, 07:54:56 am
If Clinton sinks Feingold here, I will be pissed. Hopefully we won't have to worry about that with Trump as the nominee as he seems to be a bad fit for the state as well but who knows...
I don't see Republicans winning here either upballot or downballot unless it's a very bad night for the Dems overall. And Cruz and Trump I don't think are the people that can cause a bad night....
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DC Madame Scandal - Who Is It? on: March 29, 2016, 10:23:39 pm
It's Cruz. C'mon guys. The scandals seem pretty real....
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is thre previous user a high energy poster or a low energy poster? on: March 29, 2016, 06:28:37 pm
Reasonably high energy.
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is thre previous user a high energy poster or a low energy poster? on: March 28, 2016, 08:16:44 pm
Reasonably low, was higher back in the day.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 263


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines