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December 07, 2016, 11:12:10 pm
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News: Cast your Ballot in the 2016 Mock Election

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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favorite poster who joined in 2011 on: Today at 10:43:40 pm
bore, Flo, TITD for me. Interesting field.
2  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Ohio legislature votes to make abortion illegal after 6 weeks on: Today at 08:53:37 pm
Abortion should be safe, legal, and encouraged, if not mandatory for immature teenage girls who are driving up our poverty rate.

Was wondering when Wolverine would get in here and steer us down the eugenics tunnel.

What's so bad about eugenics?
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: More likely to be elected Senator in 2020? on: Today at 06:14:30 am
Hard to call as neither are incumbent Senators. I'd say Bullock probably has a better chance of winning though if both were to run and is probably more likely to run anyway.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Senator Tom Carper (DE-D) undecided on re-election in 2018 on: December 06, 2016, 10:27:34 pm
Markell would presumably have right of first refusal in the primary, though Delaware Democrats sometimes like to elect young freshmen (see Joe Biden or, less obviously, Chris Coons).

TBF, those were both sacrificial lambs that ended up winning due to really strong campaigning (Biden) or luck (Coons).
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Elections since 1932 where the less charismatic candidate won on: December 06, 2016, 06:23:44 am
1988?

You kidding, Dukakis might very well be the least charismatic Democrat of them all, barring Stevenson.

Yes, but his opponent was a Jeb that won.
Herb may be a Low Energy Loser, but he's surely more charismatic than the Duke!

Probably the only years that count are 1968 and 1972. Pretty much since Hoover America has gone for the Higher Energy candidate, as someone's #analysis on AAD pointed out.

EDIT: You could argue 76, but that's kinda a 1988 like situation.
6  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Have you gotten snow yet this season? on: December 05, 2016, 08:48:09 am
It's summer here so....Tongue

And in any case it hasn't snown in Sydney for 200 years apparently.
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you wealthier or less well off than your local community? on: December 05, 2016, 05:49:21 am
Average to slightly above average, I guess. The area I live in isn't super-wealthy, but very gentrified to an extent that most people here at least middle-class.
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favorite poster who joined in 2010 (Runoff) on: December 05, 2016, 05:46:59 am
Wow.

Voted Nathan, if barely. Both great posters though.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the previous poster better or worse then when you first saw that poster post on: December 04, 2016, 08:21:04 am
Was always quality, but got a lot funnier after a while. So better.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: IL-GOV 2018: Rahm Emanuel for Illinois governor? on: December 03, 2016, 06:15:07 pm
Congrats, Bruce Rauner.
11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Leftists only: Ronald Reagan vs Narendra Modi on: December 03, 2016, 07:42:59 am
Well Reagan didn't cause state-endorsed genocide, so
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: LA-Southern Media & Opinion Research: Kennedy +14 on: December 02, 2016, 11:23:56 pm
Some narrowing, but Kennedy was not going to lose. Just not the right candidate for the Democrats to beat.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: PA-Sen: Rep. Pat Meehan considers run against Sen. Bob Casey on: December 02, 2016, 08:26:50 pm
Big mistake IMO. Not only does he probably lose to Casey, it puts his House seat under jepoardy.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / Re: What parties would you be in other countries? on: December 01, 2016, 08:49:01 am
Australia: Greens 1st preference, Labor over Liberal. Some random microparties in the Senate. If I lived in a Greens/Labor swing seat it would depend on the candidates and how close it was.

USA: Democrats because of the nature of the party system means that the third parties are full of cranks.
Canada: NDP, though I don't mind Trudeau.
UK: Labour. I have reservations about Corbyn's leadership, but they're still definitely the best option right now. Would have supported SNP in Scotland but apparently they've been terrible governing. NI, probably SDLP because I have a long memory.
NZ: Labour. Could consider the Greens too.
Ireland: Probably Social Democrats. Hate all the major parties here.

France: Melenchon's mob I guess. Might be tempted to vote Marcon in a few months time though as a tactic. In a Fillon/Le Pen runoff.....urgh. Almost tempted to spoil my ballot.
Germany: Probably Die Linke I guess. Could consider Greens though.
Spain: Podemos. The PSOE is a joke.
Italy: Hmmm...SI if it wasn't going to be close, PD if it is. Could be getting their voting system wrong though.
Greece: SYRIZA (not sure about whether they've improved Greece though).
Hungary: One of the Unity parties. Or someone who isn't Orban or Jobbik.
Netherlands: Socialists.
Israel: Zionist Union.
Russia: Yabloko I guess. A Just Russia isn't a real party.

India: INC
Japan: Social Democrats, I suppose.

Brazil: PT
Mexico: PRD

South Africa: DA
Zimbabwe: MDC
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the previous poster better or worse then when you first saw that poster post on: December 01, 2016, 02:40:56 am
Has been good all the way through.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is the previous poster better or worse then when you first saw that poster post on: November 30, 2016, 05:04:21 am
Meh. Preferred him when he wasn't an Evangelical. Still a good poster mind you, and much better than what he was 12 months ago.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Very early House 2018 rating on: November 29, 2016, 10:26:38 pm
Likely R, but closer to Lean than Safe. It'll be hard to overturn such a map for the Democrats (I think the gerrymanders for this cycle are harder than 2001-2010), but Trump may well be unpopular enough for it to happen, and there are enough Clinton-voting districts that might be flippable in a wave. Jimmie has some good points.
18  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: on: November 29, 2016, 10:19:25 pm
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Any Definite DOAs in 2018? on: November 27, 2016, 08:34:24 pm
No one is DOA at this level. I think McCaskill, Donnelly, Heitkamp and Heller would have to have a fair bit of luck to survive, though.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2018 Senate Control Rating on: November 27, 2016, 08:33:05 pm
Solid R is a better word than Safe R, but the chances of the Democrats picking up 3 seats when they already hold three quarters of that class has to be very slim at best.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would you rather live in Connecticut or Montana? on: November 27, 2016, 06:25:44 pm
Montana. Connecticut is basically a giant suburb right?
Not quite. Certainly true of places like Fairfield County, but a lot of it is actually rather rural.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who will the previous poster be a hack for come 2020 (or 2024 for Republicans)? on: November 24, 2016, 08:25:47 pm
Andrew Cuomo.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: ‘Bye, Donald Trump lover’: Mother kicking her young son out over mock vote on: November 24, 2016, 06:30:24 pm
If his parents were that pro-Hillary/anti-Trump it seems weird that he would be a Republican at that age. Pretty obviously fake.
24  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Four years from today, who will be.....? on: November 23, 2016, 09:49:15 pm
...president of the United States? Hillary Clinton
...chancellor of Germany? Angela Merkel
...president of France? Nicolas Sarkozy
...prime minister of the UK? Angela Eagle
...prime minister of Canada? Justin Trudeau
...prime minister of Australia? Bill Shorten (despite me thinking Malcolm wins tomorrow)

A few bolters, but meh.
Well this is off to a bad start. Clinton and Sarko lost and Eagle got cold feet.
25  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why can moderate republicans win in red states but not the other way around? on: November 22, 2016, 08:02:29 am
Mostly it's a nature of political climates. If moderate Democrats make up no ground in blue states, then maybe you have a point, but in the last 12 months we've seen the likes of Justice, Edwards and Bullock win, so moderate Democrats can easily win blue states.
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