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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you regularly message/talk to other Atlas members? on: July 21, 2017, 08:08:00 pm
Semi-regularly go on IRC, my interest in it can vary significantly depending on the time period though.

Don't really talk to anyone off the forum via social media though.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: AZ-SEN Class 3: Senator McCain on: July 19, 2017, 08:56:21 pm
Well, he probably won't even be Senator by 2022, sadly.
3  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Which British Sports Will Become Popular Among Americans in Future Decades? on: July 18, 2017, 06:01:46 am
On paper you'd think that the significant South Asian and Carribean population in the US could give cricket a base, but the USCA is f**ked up enough that it'll never truly progress.
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How often do you eat sweets? on: July 15, 2017, 10:19:27 pm
Probably about every two days on average. Which is still far too much but w/e, I like sweet food!
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Klartext Landfill for Absurd, Ignorant, and Deplorable Posts VI on: July 14, 2017, 02:51:12 am
Yuck, I'm not going to be able to enjoy his music now.

You enjoyed his music in the first place?

Of course. "All Summer Long" is a fantastic song.

For once R2D2 is in the right re: music. And if you wanted to listen to All Summer Long, why not Sweet Home Alabama? Or even better, Werewolves of London?
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2018 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-PPD: Mandel +8 on: July 10, 2017, 08:31:06 pm
I can't take a poll seriously that has Trump with a 15 point better approval than Kasich.
7  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: More Conservative Country on: July 10, 2017, 01:43:19 am
So Canada is more economically conservative and Australia more socially conservative, yeah?

Seriously, it's Australia. Although the bigger gaps are on social policy (especially immigration).
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How safe is Pete Sessions in 2018? on: June 26, 2017, 11:54:28 pm
I'd have it around Tilt/Lean R. Any seat that Hillary won is vulnerable by default, and this is more Democratic than GA-06 is, but a strong candidate is required and I don't know if we have the infrastructure required to win the seat.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: More likely Democratic pickup? on: June 25, 2017, 10:36:04 pm
I'll say Nevada, simply because I have a firmer idea of the 2018 climate than the 2020 one. If both were running in the same year though, then I'd say Colorado.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What would be your strategy to get to 218 if you're the dccc? on: June 23, 2017, 08:56:47 pm
In reality, there are three areas of focus, ordered from most potential gains/benefit to least:

1) Midwestern and Rust Belt areas
2) Suburban areas where GOP has no business holding seats (CA, NY, NJ, etc)
3) Sunbelt and/or Southern suburban areas

The path to 218 likely picks seats from all three of these categories, but to not start with the lowest-hanging fruit possible is ridiculous. We basically have a question here that goes like this: "Do we go after the areas where voters have always supported Democrats and still do a large degree down-ballot (but happened to vote GOP for President in the past election), or do we go after the areas where voters have always supported Republicans and still do to a large degree down-ballot (but happened to vote Dem for President in the past election)?".

The answer seems pretty straightforward: we're not in a realignment period just yet.
Thing is that's the thing. Most of those sorts of districts still have Democratic Congresspeople.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What would be your strategy to get to 218 if you're the dccc? on: June 22, 2017, 09:57:04 pm
The worry with Option 3 is that there just aren't WWC Obama/Trump seats that are winnable. IA-01 is the only one that's true low-hanging fruit in my eyes, though several of course are winnable.

Realistically a House majority has to make some significant inroads through the suburbs.
12  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion 2.0 on: June 21, 2017, 10:19:02 pm
I have a question for everyone.

In, which Labor member do you think is the closest analogue we have to Bernie Sanders? This includes policy, personality, everything.
When you take background/personality into account? Honestly can't think of a good one in the Labour party. Closest in politics overall might be Bob Brown, but he's obviously retired and was a Green.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: WV-PPP (D): Moore Capito up 13 points over "Democratic opponent" on: June 20, 2017, 09:16:18 pm
Hmmm those numbers are better than I expected. She'll still win though.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: GA-06 Predictions Thread (June 20) on: June 19, 2017, 08:36:46 pm
This is tough. On the one hand, I don't have any faith in the American people making the right choice. On the other hand, the last time I hedged my bets was in the Louisiana race, and look what happened there.

I'll stick with an Ossoff 51/49 win or something like that, but Handel winning would be far from surprising.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Could the Republicans control the House for most of the next 30 years? on: June 16, 2017, 09:41:26 pm
With significant Dem inroads in Sunbelt suburbs and (hopefully) less agressive gerrymanders for the next cycle, the Republican House advantage will diminish, IMO.

If they get a good year with the current Senate cycle though I can see the Senate being very red soon enough.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: How would Bernie react if he found out about the "My King is alive" meme? on: June 14, 2017, 02:23:52 am
Creeped out, but it probably doesn't even crack the top 100 deeply disturbing Bernie Sanders memes.




For example, BRTD is competing in arena that contains this.


jesus christ this is why we have TRIGGER WARNINGS
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Jim Messina on: June 13, 2017, 02:48:02 am
hahahhhaahahshahhhhahaahhaahahahhahha
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your musical abilities on: June 11, 2017, 10:19:30 pm
Tried learning how to play the guitar, but cbfed after a while. Can't sing to save myself.

Reckon I'd make a decent drummer.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread on: June 10, 2017, 11:08:36 pm
Politico: Trump hearings launch Kamala Harris

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/09/kamala-harris-2020-239318


Kirsten Gillibrand continues to display her dirty mouth:
"Has he kept his promises? No. F*** no."

https://twitter.com/hamiltonnolan/status/873186899606867968


20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of TNF on: June 10, 2017, 10:43:39 pm
Up until about 2014 he was actually a very good poster. Went further and further off the deep end of leftism as time progressed though, sadly.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: OH-18: Dettelbach Official on: June 03, 2017, 08:49:49 pm
Husted goes in favored. How much, IDK, which is why I don't want to prognosticate on the specifics of the general. At this juncture, best to worst Republican opponent for the Democrats goes:

  • Taylor
  • Renacci
  • DeWine
  • Husted

In my opinion, OFC.

Completely agree

As do I

more I think about it, there is something special about husted, hes conservative in the right areas for conservatives, moderate  in the right areas for moderates. If he wasn't a white man he'd probably be one of the biggest rising stars in the national republican party

And Democrats don't mind him that much because we know at the end of the day, he's one of the few Ohio Republicans we can work with.

Why Democrats think we can work with someone who purged 550,000 voters and has been awful for voting rights is beyond me. Am I the only one who remembers fighting for Golden Week in '14?

No, but he didn't try to screw around with the ballot language on the SB5 repeal, refused to endorse Trump (actually refused, not the BS "I support the nominee" schtick Portman has), and seems at least somewhat open to redistricting reform.  I mean, I wouldn't vote for him for Governor, but I do think he has crossover appeal.
Didn't he help nuke that in 2012 when he screwed around with the ballot language?
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: ME: Susan Collins Consindering on: May 31, 2017, 11:54:15 pm
If Cutler f***s Maine into more sh*tty Republicans like LePage, so help me God.
Doesn't Maine have IRV now to prevent stuff like this?
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Why do so many think 2018 will be this amazing gop year? on: May 27, 2017, 09:26:53 pm
According to the "how many House seats do the Dems pick up?" 50% of people think that the House will be Democratic in 2019....I don't see your point.
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Name the first poster that comes to mind for each state on: January 25, 2017, 07:53:09 pm
Alabama - NFI
Alaska - AkSaber
Arizona - CarlHayden / omegascarlet
Arkansas - Kingpoleon
California - retromike
Colorado - Aizen
Connecticut - Scott (I suppose he lives in NC now, but meh)
Delaware - NFI
Florida - Sanchez
Georgia - BK
Hawaii - NFI
Idaho - DFB
Illinois - RINO Tom
Indiana - JSourjourner
Iowa - PBrower
Kansas - tmth (if he counts)
Kentucky - TNF
Louisiana - Miles
Maine - Kevinstat
Maryland - Gass
Massachusetts - Nathan
Michigan - Inks
Minnesota - Snowguy
Mississippi - Harry
Missouri - Jimmie
Montana - Redalgo
Nebraska - dead0man
Nevada - Joe Republic
New Hampshire - Sawx
New Jersey - HockeyDude
New Mexico - King
New York - Eraserhead
North Carolina - NCYankee
North Dakota - BRTD
Ohio - Malcolm X
Oklahoma - Bushie
Oregon - Computer89
Pennsylvania - Snowstalker
Rhode Island - Mint
South Carolina - Duke
South Dakota - NFI
Tennessee - TNvol
Texas - Lief
Utah - Progress
Vermont - MattVT
Virginia - Nagas
Washington - Xingurei (sp?)
West Virginia - RileyKeaton
Wisconsin - MasterJedi
Wyoming - Svensson

A few cheats (putting tmthfu in Kansas while putting Lief in Texas).
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Are you more liberal or conservative than most people you live near? on: January 25, 2017, 06:00:14 pm
Comparable, maybe slightly further left? My are is quite left-leaning, so it's hard to compare.
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