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October 26, 2014, 12:10:29 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Charles Darwin for Midwest Governor! on: October 25, 2014, 09:58:09 pm
Endorsed.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Martha Coakley on: October 25, 2014, 09:27:02 pm
HP, but for the reasons wormy said, rather than being a dud campaigner.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning on: October 25, 2014, 07:25:03 pm
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: HI: Star-Advertiser/HNN Hawaii Poll (by Ward Research): Schatz +51 on: October 25, 2014, 06:04:17 pm
If Schatz get's more than Inouye in 2010, than it'll be really... interesting.

Inouye is a rapist, so it probably could happen.
[citation needed]
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Sage Garden II on: October 25, 2014, 05:43:38 pm
For the record I am not proposing that kids stop playing sports, only that these should be handled by community sports clubs rather than educational facilities. High school sports in particular, in my view, promote a toxic variety of tribalism (look at the reaction around Steubenville) and help to form a social elite both within and outside of the school environment which values said athletics while either disregarding or mocking intellectual pursuits and achievements.
6  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Which U.S. Census divisions would the previous poster perform best and worst in? on: October 25, 2014, 05:57:24 am
Best: Mountain
Worst: New England
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: DEMOCRATS: Pick one competitive governor's race to lose on: October 25, 2014, 05:37:18 am
Rhode Island. Raimondo isn't a real Democrat and we have supermajorities here anyway.

EDIT: Actually, change to Massachusetts, after reading about that scandal that wormyguy posted.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: By-elections of the 44th Australian Parliament (2013-2016) on: October 25, 2014, 05:20:53 am
Both called for Labor

Swing to Labor in Newcastle slightly subdued, in no short part off the strength of the Greens. But it's a by-election and the Greens were always going to do well. Charlestown was a stonking ALP win - just over 20% swing on primaries and over 50%.
Worth noting the Independent in Newcastle was the de facto Liberal candidate, something they lacked in Charleston.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CA: Drudge Report: BROWN LOSING on: October 24, 2014, 10:44:32 pm
Any reason why white Californians are more conservative than whites from other heavily democratic states?
Is it? Remember it used to be rather Republican, the trends here are in part due to the minority population increasing.

I'd say it's probably down to Southerners emigrating to California during the Depression era, and their values being maintained throughout history.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many seats will Republicans have in the Senate when all is said and done? on: October 24, 2014, 09:15:19 pm
53 for mine. Think the Senate will look rather ugly.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Your overall race ratings for Senatorial Races on: October 24, 2014, 08:31:36 pm
Safe D

Delaware
Hawaii
Illinois
Massachusetts
Michigan
Minnesota
New Jersey
New Mexico
Oregon
Rhode Island
Virginia


Lean D

New Hampshire

Tilt D

North Carolina

Tilt R

Alaska
Colorado

Georgia
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana

Lean R

Kentucky
South Dakota

Likely R

Arkansas

Safe R

Alabama
Idaho
Maine
Mississippi

Montana
Oklahoma (both of them)
South Carolina (ditto)
Tennessee
Texas

West Virgina
Wyoming
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: New NBC/Marist polls out Sunday (AR, CO, IA, KS, NC, SD) on: October 24, 2014, 08:27:03 pm
Arkansas: Cotton +6
Colorado: Gardner +3
Iowa: Ernst +1
Kansas: Orman +2
North Carolina: Hagan +2
South Dakota: Rounds +5, Weiland second
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Your overall race ratings for Gubernatorial Races on: October 24, 2014, 08:19:26 pm
Will avoid from calling races toss-ups. Instead for a race I consider a toss-up I'll use the Tilt category to flow with my predictions.

Safe D

California
Minnesota
New York
Oregon

Pennsylvania
Vermont

Likely D

Hawaii
Maryland
New Hampshire
Rhode Island


Tilt D

Colorado
Connecticut

Florida
Illinois
Kansas
Maine

Massachusetts
Wisconsin

Tilt I

Alaska

Tilt R

Georgia
Michigan


Lean R

Arizona
Arkansas

Likely R

Idaho
Nebraska
New Mexico
Oklahoma
South Carolina


Safe R

Alabama
Iowa
Nevada
Ohio
South Dakota
Tennessee
Texas
Wyoming


Being a bit cautious for the races so far, but a lot of the races seem rather localised this year. Feeling kinda optimistic here, in contrast to my Senate predictions. Most likely the races that can be considered toss-ups will probably be half-way between the two extremes I've got.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Keating Research (D): Udall +1 on: October 24, 2014, 08:04:13 pm
Regardless of Keating's track record, this poll smells like the average released internal rather than a legit poll, unfortunately.
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Is Bushie the most selfish Atlas poster? on: October 24, 2014, 08:01:58 pm
Yes, and I'm confident enough to bring out the (normal) here too.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What would be the scandal that ends the above poster's political career? on: October 24, 2014, 07:09:05 pm
Emigrated to another country!!11!1!! Not a TRUE MURICAN!!!!111!!!

Ignoring the fact that he emigrated to my country
17  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Is the previous poster more or less libertarian than you? on: October 24, 2014, 06:40:38 pm
More, naturally.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Grade Mark Udall's campaign on: October 24, 2014, 05:59:53 pm
Has to be a D or an F, IMO. Utter failure, as bad as Braley.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FiveThirtyEight: Nunn now favored to win election night on: October 24, 2014, 05:50:39 pm
She'll definitely be ahead on election night. The question is whether or not she gets the 50%+1 she needs, and I still doubt that.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: AK-Hellenthal (R): Begich +10 on: October 24, 2014, 05:47:23 pm
As much as I'd like to believe it, this is trash.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which of the following sock accusations have you believed? on: October 24, 2014, 07:05:00 am
I thought Mr. Pollo was Aizen for a little while tbh.
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: October 2014 General Election - President and Regional Senators on: October 24, 2014, 03:34:57 am
[ 1 ] Al Sibboleth of West Virginia and Hashemite of Oklahoma
All Atlasia Progressive Rashtriya Janata Dal - Verenigde Gesuiwerde Atlasianer Volksfront

[ 4 ] Lumine von Reuental of Utah and SJoyceFla of North Carolina
Federalist Party - The People's Party

[ 2 ] Marokai Blue of Iowa and Antonio V of Hawaii
Labor Party

[ 3 ] Poirot of New York and Shua of Nunavut
Independent - Democratic-Republican Party

[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________

[  ] None of the above

MIDEAST SENATE

[  ] Bmotley of Indiana
Democratic-Republican Party

[  ] Cassius of Virginia
Federalist Party

[ 1 ] Windjammer of Michigan
Labor Party

[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________

[  ] None of the above
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What would be the scandal that ends the above poster's political career? on: October 24, 2014, 12:16:00 am
Someone reads his Atlas posts during his True Leftist phase Tongue
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MA: Globe has Baker +9 on: October 23, 2014, 07:44:10 pm
Can Martha Coakley be killed with fire?
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH: ARG: Shaheen +1 on: October 23, 2014, 03:56:35 pm
I didn't realise ARG was still a thing.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 217


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