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October 21, 2014, 05:26:56 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1051  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: SCOTUS temporarily halts gay marriage in Utah on: January 08, 2014, 09:50:18 pm
Wow. Surely they'll sue?
1052  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / What happens if..... on: January 08, 2014, 09:27:45 pm
With Christie's reputation in question following Bridgegate and Walker still in a competitive race for Governor, what impact does the possibility of Bridgegate blowing up further and Walker losing re-election have on the primary?

If anyone says this is a hack's wet dream, well it kinda is, but unlike some hack's wet dreams this one actually has some plausibility now.
1053  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NYT/WSJ: Christie aides tied to bridge closure on: January 08, 2014, 09:21:58 pm
Well....

The good news for CC is that if he manages this well he'll probably make it out alive. The initial response to the allegations is a good sign.
1054  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which state is the worst match for the preceding poster? on: January 08, 2014, 09:10:19 pm
Utah
1055  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What state is the BEST match for the previous poster? on: January 08, 2014, 09:07:39 pm
Vermont
1056  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Kasas governor race 2014 on: January 08, 2014, 09:02:41 pm
Tough to decide. Gut feel is that Davis is too liberal for Kansas, but Brownback is really in an awful state. Looks a lot like an inverse Illinois IMO.
1057  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Janet Yellen on: January 08, 2014, 08:59:00 pm
FF (not an awful True Leftist)

Seriously though, she sounds pretty decent.
1058  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: DEMOCRATS ONLY: Do you believe Bill Clinton's presidency was a success? on: January 08, 2014, 07:04:23 pm
I think he was, but it was more like an Eisenhower success rather than a Lincoln success, and some of his policies were pretty awful.

I wasn't even born when he was first elected Tongue
1059  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: LA Gov 2015: Potential R-on-R runoff on: January 08, 2014, 06:02:43 pm
1060  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of John Thune on: January 08, 2014, 05:42:56 pm
Given how generic Thune is.....

1061  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders/Kucinich vs. Christie/Martinez on: January 08, 2014, 07:35:12 am
I think Illinois could flip too. Remember Mark Kirk won there in 2010, and Sanders is probably worse than Gillaniouious (sp?)

Basically Christie would go pretty damn close to winning all states bar Vermont and DC. Sanders would still keep a few states but the result would look ugly for us sadly.
1062  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which state is the worst match for the preceding poster? on: January 08, 2014, 02:23:32 am
Rhode Island
1063  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: US Presidential Election, 1984 on: January 07, 2014, 11:09:04 pm
Interesting Reagan leads by such a big margin.
1064  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Official Atlas Community Poll: Do you support banning opebo? on: January 07, 2014, 09:47:50 pm
Tied after 134 votes! Talk about polarising.
1065  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: SCOTUS temporarily halts gay marriage in Utah on: January 07, 2014, 09:46:32 pm
I'm assuming the marriages which have already been issued are still allowed right?

I think it makes legal sense, given that the law hasn't been decided yet.
1066  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Leaving the forum for the forseeable future on: January 07, 2014, 09:43:33 pm
Farewell, mate. You were one of the best.

Also, this seems way too abrupt for me. What the f**k happened?
1067  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: most likely states to flip to R in 2016 on: January 07, 2014, 09:41:51 pm
Colorado - already Hillary is a fair way behind the 8-ball here. Absent a strong VP pick and a poor Republican nominee she probably loses.
Florida - probably over-rated by many as a pickup opportunity, as I reckon she's a better fit for this state than Obama was, but it's still generally an R-leaning state and the size of the state means that Republicans pretty much have to win here.
Iowa - again a state where Hillary isn't a great fit. Can easily see it flipping against a Midwestern Pubbie/Christie.
Virginia - lower black turnout and (possibly) better suburban appeal will hurt us here, but if Warner becomes Hillary Veep selection then it should stay blue.
Ohio - Hillary is a better fit for Ohio than Obama, IMO. Important that Team R win here, but they possibly have other paths to victory.
Pennsylvania - Christie seems to be super popular in the Philadelphia area, but may he be hurt in the coal area? SWPA will be crucial to Republicans hopes here.
New Hampshire - will be tough with Christie, but it should be safe enough to hold against a weaker Republican.
Wisconsin - again a state where the Republican's chances are over-stated. Hillary is not a great for Wisconsin, but too often is it fools good for Team R. Not convinced that Walker makes that much of an impact here.
Nevada - only if Sandoval or someone is the Veep, and I can't see them making him Veep given his pro-choice stances. The state is only becoming better for the Democrats.
New Jersey - fools gold for Christie if he isn't facing a weak Dem, IMO. Can't see a state which voted for Obama by 18 points flipping, particularly given Hillary actually won the primary here.
Michigan - again a state for the landslide. Republicans can do very well in bad years for Team D, though.
Minnesota - doesn't really swing, and Republicans are on the nose here. We haven't lost it since 1972 (and in a non-landslide in probably 100 years or something), and I can't see us losing it now.
1068  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Best and wrong VP choice for Hillary. on: January 07, 2014, 09:09:07 pm
So:

Examples of best: Martin Heinrich, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Sherrod Brown, Brian Schweitzer (before he went rouge on the establishment), John Hickenlooper, Mark Warner

Examples of worst: Amy Klobuchar, Elizabeth Warren, Terry McAuliffe, the Mayors and pretty much any woman.
1069  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Best and wrong VP choice for Hillary. on: January 07, 2014, 09:05:50 pm
Best: Young male. Minority not required but it would work. Some progressiveness would be good. A Westerner would also work here as they are pretty skeptical of Hillary over there.

Worst: Female. Older people as Hillary isn't young herself. A moderate may not look great either as it could make the ticket look too "DLC" for certain liberals.
1070  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Should the Democrats hold a Mid-term Convention? on: January 07, 2014, 08:55:01 pm
It's worth a trial, at least. Can see it pumping up excitement within the base for the party, particularly given mid-terms have a lot to do with turnout IMO.
1071  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Maxwell (mah519)? on: January 07, 2014, 08:08:15 pm
Maxwell is leaving? Sad

Obvious vote is obvious here, he was one of our best.
1072  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Candidates that would best unite both fractions of their respective parties on: January 06, 2014, 10:48:56 pm
Walker definitely for the Pubs. He's got a good record as governor and the Tea Party likes him unlike Christie.

Dunno for the Dems. Clinton would make sense but at least from those I've spoken to there's a lot of across the board distrust of Hillary/the Clintons. Although that could be different in the general public. O'Malley would be the best answer IMO for the Dems.
1073  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What are the odds there won't be a female on the Democratic ticket in 2016? on: January 06, 2014, 10:30:08 pm
Very, very small. If Hillary doesn't run, one would expect Gillibrand or Klobuchar (just to name two) to become our Veep nominee and more pressure on them to be our Presidential nominee.
1074  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: U.S. Presidential Election, 1916 on: January 06, 2014, 10:01:03 pm
Debs though I'd be happy with either of the three. Kern if it's a two-way race.
1075  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders/Kucinich vs. Christie/Martinez on: January 06, 2014, 09:58:07 pm
I think Sanders may hold on to some big states which will nullify the margin of victory somewhat, but yeah obviously the Republicans win in a walk against a glorified Greens ticket.
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