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1051  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Fidel Castro vs. Jefferson Davis on: March 15, 2014, 08:04:41 am
1052  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Recent bans on: March 15, 2014, 12:40:28 am
Good news. Moderation team are redeeming themselves with this and Simfan being unbanned.
1053  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Petition to ban the Obamanation on: March 15, 2014, 12:34:54 am
Don't care. But given that the Roach got banned for similar reasons (apparently), x morgieb.
1054  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MS: Chris McDaniel vs. Travis Childers, who wins? on: March 14, 2014, 08:44:42 pm
Would be more of a race than it needs to be, but I still say McDaniel.
1055  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which side is worse: The True Left or Tea Party Right? on: March 14, 2014, 07:51:37 pm
1056  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Sage Garden on: March 14, 2014, 05:52:58 pm
It will come, but not over Crimea. Hopefully it will be the class war.
1057  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Will WW3 happen? on: March 14, 2014, 05:48:50 pm
Not over f**king Crimea.
1058  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which PM/POTUS tag team was worse? on: March 14, 2014, 05:48:01 pm
Both are terrible (normal).

I guess Reagan/Thatcher was worse.
1059  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Richard Nixon on: March 14, 2014, 05:47:26 pm
Far too complicated to fit within the FF/HP paradigm. I'll vote FF just to be a hack and avoid any further sagery on my part.
I vote Neutral.  He was a pretty good president aside from Watergate, but I can't excuse his bad behavior either.
Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln?
1060  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Richard Nixon on: March 14, 2014, 05:46:03 pm
HP (normal)
1061  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: How many Democratic US Senators will be left from the Deep South? on: March 14, 2014, 05:14:46 am
Gonna be the pessimist and say 0.

3 at the most, though the 3rd is obviously quite unlikely.
1062  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Tony Benn dies at 88 on: March 14, 2014, 02:27:10 am
Shocking news. RIP.
1063  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Should able-bodied, mentally capable adults who receive welfare be required to w on: March 14, 2014, 02:25:38 am
There should be programs to help them get jobs, so Option 6.

However, I don't think it's theoretically possible for everyone to get a job, and even then there are too many people who have too many barriers to employment.
1064  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Eugene McCarthy on: March 14, 2014, 02:09:17 am
FF in 1968. Probably HP after that though.
1065  Election Archive / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-Insider Advantage: Carter +3% on: March 14, 2014, 12:16:09 am
>insideradvantage
1066  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Ranking the Senate Races.... on: March 13, 2014, 08:38:42 pm
1. South Dakota (D-Open) - it doesn't look like Pressler's getting much traction, which prevents any chance of this being a weird

2. West Virginia (D-Open) - barring a miraculous primary upset, this is looking like a coronation for Capito.

3. Arkansas (D-Pryor) - Pryor's campaign is collapsing pretty quickly, and he's trailing Cotton in the polls. I doubt spending much money here is worth it.

4. Montana (D-Walsh) - haven't really heard much about this race recently. Walsh being an incumbent is good news, but his campaign has had a rocky start, he's not really entrenched and Montana is fairly red.

5. Alaska (D-Begich) - Begich is still ahead in the polls, but he is mired in the early to mid-40's in a red state. I'm growing more pessimistic about this race.

6. Louisiana (D-Landrieu) - under heavy attack from the AFP and other right-wing attack ads, Landrieu has gotten very unpopular. However, I still suspect that the jungle primary will have the final say - she probably loses if her vote is the decider, wins if it isn't.

7. North Carolina (D-Hagan) - this race is getting more worrying for the Democrats. Attacked heavily by the Koch brothers and the AFP, Hagan has probably been 'defined', and in a R-leaning state, that isn't a good thing. The one good news? Brannon is far too right-wing to win in North Carolina, and Tillis is still quite tied to the Republican caucus ruinning the state government and isn't liked by the base. Still should be tight.

8. Michigan (D-Open) - no doubt the polling isn't good for Peters, but the state is still D-leaning, and this race is far from developed - Peters still somewhat unknown, Land not really defined yet. But the bad polls have been going on for long enough to not think of this as a toss-up.

9. Georgia (R-Open) - this race depends more on the Republicans than the Democrats. No doubt Nunn is a good candidate, but this state is still quite Republican, and if a normal Republican (i.e. Kingston, Perdue or Handel) win the primary, they probably win the general. But if the Tea Party get their candidate, watch out.

10. Kentucky (R-McConnell) - is McConnell in trouble? Yes. But he's still got $$$ and is running in a state that votes Republican pretty solidly federally. Whether Grimes gets over the line comes down to how well she handles being nuked by McConnell.

11. Colorado (D-Udall) - I flagged this as a race to watch last time I did this, but I did not expect Udall to be in as big trouble as he is now. First the polling showed him to be potentially vulnerable, then Gardner, their strongest candidate, jumped in. While it remains to be seen how good of a candidate he is in practice, this is one race the Democrats should start to worry about.

12. Iowa (D-Open) - this is one state where the Republicans dropped the ball. On paper, this should've been a great chance for a pickup as it's an open seat in a purple (albeit with a blue tinge) state. But the Dems concealed around one candidate, and all the Republicans got were a bunch of second and third-tier candidates. Loseable in a wave, but probably won't fall in neutral circumstances.

13. New Hampshire (D-Shaheen) - still think Brown is over-rated. Even if the year is bad for the Dems, doubt it'll be bad enough for fairly popular incumbents to lose in D-leaning states.

14. Mississippi (R-Cochran) - Childers getting in makes this race a lot more interesting. It remains to be seen how crazy one can be to blow a race in Mississippi, but at least we have a contingency plan here. Obviously if Cochran wins the primary, he should win easily.

15. Virginia (D-Warner) - Gillespie makes Scott Brown look like the most under-appreciated candidate of all time. Warner has little to fear.

16. Oregon (D-Merkley) - apparently a few potentially compelling candidates are interested, but none of them are particularly well-known, and unless the cycle goes from bad to nightmarish for the Democrats, any chances that this race becomes dangerous for Merkley seems far fetched.

17. Minnesota (D-Franken) - McFadden does have decent fundraising, but he's still a third-tier candidate at best and the base isn't big on him. Franken should be safe.

18. New Mexico (D-Udall) - yeah, nah. No-one who could even make Udall campaign looks like running.

19. Hawaii (D-Schatz) - while the primary is still very unpredictable, either Schatz or Hanabusa will most likely win the general.

20. Tennessee (R-Alexander) - I did see one poll which showed that this race might become interesting if Alexander got primaried, it is only one data point, we don't have a contingency plan ala Mississippi and Alexander doesn't look to be in too much danger in a primary anyway.

21. Kansas (R-Roberts) - Roberts looks pretty safe in a primary, though PPP did show his approvals low and a potentially interesting race if he does get Tea Partied.

22. Maine (R-Collins) - barring a major primary upset, Collins is safe. While Bellows trying to run as a strong progressive might be an interesting strategy for future races, I doubt she gets much traction.

23. South Carolina-A (R-Graham) - even if Graham does get primaried, there are no signs that the Democrats look interested in competing here.

24. Nebraska (R-Open) - on paper, an open seat should be interesting, but the Democrats don't have a candidate.

25. New Jersey (D-Booker) - Booker won by an underwhelming margin in 2013, but he looks safe this time around. Besides, he's cozied up to the NJRP enough to avoid serious opposition.

26. Oklahoma-B (R-Open) - although this is an open seat, and Oklahoma do have a couple of interesting Democrats who could hypothetically make this race interesting, it doesn't look like they have any interest in running.

27. Massachusetts (D-Markey) - Markey might be uninspiring, but this is Massachusetts and he hasn't really done anything to offend his constituents.

28. Texas (R-Cornyn) - now that Cornyn has won his primary, he should be safe. Alameel has money, but he isn't anywhere near seasoned enough to test Cornyn.

29. Delaware (D-Coons) - Coons isn't super-entrenched, but he's running in a blue state without a proper candidate.

30. South Carolina-B (R-Scott) - Democrats have better opportunities in other statewide offices.

31. Illinois (D-Durbin) - Durbin is entrenched.

32. Idaho (R-Risch) - it's Idaho.

33. Oklahoma-A (R-Inhofe) - Inhofe is entrenched and it's Oklahoma.

34. Alabama (R-Sessions) - Sessions is entrenched and it's Alabama.

35. Rhode Island (D-Reed) - Reed is entrenched and it's Rhode Island.

36. Wyoming (R-Enzi) - Enzi is entrenched and it's Wyoming.
1067  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: How likely would this map be in the coming years? on: March 13, 2014, 06:11:32 pm
Plausible map for 2020 if the Dems have a bad year.
1068  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the former poster The Professor? on: March 13, 2014, 05:27:26 pm
Anyone voting HP needs to get girls.
1069  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand on: March 13, 2014, 04:53:52 pm
FF, particularly by New York standards.
1070  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your Ideal 50/50 Senate (Happy now?) on: March 13, 2014, 06:25:01 am
Alabama: Sewell/Shelby
Alaska: Begich/Murkowski
Arizona: Grijalva/Flake
Arkansas: Halter/Boozman
California: Becerra/Campbell
Colorado: Udall/Tipton
Connecticut: Murphy/Rell
Delaware: Biden/Castle
Florida: Murphy/Ros-Lehtinen
Georgia: Cleland/Isakson
Hawaii: Schatz/Djou
Idaho: Minnick/Risch
Illinois: Kelly/Kirk
Indiana: Donnelly/Lugar
Iowa: Loebsack/Branstad
Kansas: Moore/Roberts
Kentucky: Grimes/Paul
Louisiana: Mary Landrieu/McAllister
Maine: Pingree/Collins
Maryland: O'Malley/Gilchrest
Massachusetts: Warren/Tisei
Michigan: Granholm/Amash
Minnesota: Ellison/Pawlenty
Mississippi: Hood/Cochran
Missouri: McCaskill/Wagner
Montana: Schweitzer/Daines
Nebraska: Kleeb/Johanns
Nevada: Horsford/Sandoval
New Hampshire: Shea-Porter/Bass
New Jersey: Holt/Smith
New Mexico: Udall/Martinez
New York: De Blasio/Gibson
North Carolina: Miller/Jones
North Dakota: Heitkamp/Hoeven
Ohio: Brown/Portman
Oklahoma: Henry/Cole
Oregon: Merkley/Smith
Pennsylvania: Kane/Gerlach
Rhode Island: Whitehouse/Careci
South Carolina: Clyburn/Haley
South Dakota: Herseth-Sandlin/Thune
Tennessee: Bredesen/Haslam
Texas: Davis/Eltife
Utah: Matheson/Huntsman
Vermont: Sanders/Douglas
Virginia: Perrielo/Rigell
Washington: Gregorie/McKenna
West Virginia: Rockefeller/Capito
Wisconsin: Feingold/Ribble
Wyoming: Freudenthal/Enzi
1071  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: What do you think happened to Malaysia Airlines Flight 370? on: March 13, 2014, 01:50:41 am
I blame Obama.
Nah, Benghazi caused it.
1072  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Your Perfect Senate on: March 13, 2014, 01:50:03 am


Pennsylvania:
Arlen Specter - R

I think the order was D, R, then D again.  Wink
Feck, I'll pick someone else.
He's dead anyway.
1073  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Portlandia on: March 13, 2014, 01:37:41 am
Quality. Enjoy it greatly.
1074  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Opinion of Community on: March 13, 2014, 01:37:09 am
First two seasons were gun. After that it kinda turned meh. FS on balance.
1075  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hypothetical Ronald Reagan impeachment vote, 1987 on: March 12, 2014, 11:31:58 pm
What are we impeaching him for?  Or are we just voting on whether or not we like him, like with the other impeachment polls?
Iran-contra.
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