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November 26, 2014, 05:08:38 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1051  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Florida Megathread on: February 07, 2014, 02:33:41 am
Just watched the MITT documentary and surprise, surprise, showed Crist as an opportunist douche. He swore up and down to multiple members of Romney's campaign (including Romney himself) that it was nothing personal, he just wanted to stay on the sidelines. Then he goes out and endorses McCain two days before the primary without saying a word to Romney, likely handing McCain the state and possibly the nomination.

Roll Eyes People to continue to support this guy...
Well it's like choosing between cancer and amputation. Scott is that bad.
1052  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Should Jerry Sandusky have received the death penalty? on: February 07, 2014, 02:25:13 am
No, because I don't support the death penalty, and DEFINITELY don't to someone who didn't murder anyone.
1053  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: AK's Australian Election Series - 1910 on: February 07, 2014, 02:20:00 am
Labour, though I am squeamish about conscription.
1054  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: By-elections of the 44th Australian Parliament (2013-2016) on: February 07, 2014, 02:14:36 am
Gonna say it'll be the same result as last time.

Interesting that there's been no polling and only one leaked internal.
1055  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What should be the next big Progressive/Liberal cause? on: February 06, 2014, 08:43:07 pm
Hopefully something good for once and get rid of the death penalty.

Lol don't be silly. My money's on euthanasia.
TBF, there is/was a pretty large movement at the state level to abolish the death penalty among us.
1056  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The New Irony Ore Mine on: February 06, 2014, 07:57:57 pm
Good. The fact that one of the schools pupils has appeared in a pornograhpic video is as bad for the school's reputation as if said kid was caught smoking during school hours just outside the school.

Oh my God just shut the hell up.
He's right you know.
1057  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of t_host1 on: February 06, 2014, 07:50:18 pm
Our finest visionary.
1058  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: SC-Wenzel: R Primary: Graham under 50 but up big on: February 06, 2014, 07:02:40 pm
Does he need 40% or 50% to avoid a run off?  I always get the Carolinas confused. 
50% I think.
1059  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Happy Birthday Van Der Blub on: February 06, 2014, 07:01:25 pm
The forum's GOAT.
1060  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Hick (D) recovering on: February 06, 2014, 06:41:40 pm
Still not fully convinced Hickenlooper is out of trouble. Still not above 50%.
1061  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Udall already sees GOP opponents in his rear-view mirror on: February 06, 2014, 06:40:38 pm
Odd that Qunnipiac had Hickenlooper looking decent but Udall in a sh**t load of trouble.
1062  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who has a >50% chance of beating Hillary? on: February 06, 2014, 06:41:30 am
Right now? None of them.
1063  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Alternate Two-Way 1992 US Presidential Election on: February 06, 2014, 01:48:09 am
Perot, purely because I'd like to see a third-partier in the White House.
1064  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you respect Hillary for staying with Bill? on: February 05, 2014, 06:46:28 pm
1065  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Alaska (PPP): Clinton leads Palin, trails other Republicans on: February 05, 2014, 06:35:15 pm
Lmao palin.
1066  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: UK papers claim Bubba-Elizabeth Hurley affair on: February 05, 2014, 06:34:29 pm
Hero.
1067  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Alternate State Capitals: Alabama Run-Off on: February 05, 2014, 05:51:08 am
Birmingham. Most important city and in a good geographic location for Alabama.
1068  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Brian Schweitzer on: February 04, 2014, 10:28:40 pm
Ff (not a right-wing democrat)
1069  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Ban Van Der Blub on: February 04, 2014, 08:11:17 pm
Counter petition to ban everyone who signed this atrocity.
1070  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Pryor retiring. on: February 04, 2014, 04:42:47 pm
Good work.
1071  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of ">implying" statements aka Implying Implications on: February 04, 2014, 03:34:51 pm
I find it pretty awful, personally.

Rich coming from someone who sees nothing wrong with sweatshops.


Was that a parody on purpose?
1072  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: TNF and Alison Lundergan Grimes on: February 04, 2014, 03:33:14 pm
1073  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sen. Warner is no fan of Bieber on: February 04, 2014, 03:28:50 pm
WAG.
1074  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Coca-Cola makes cute ad, racist far-right idiots lose their [inks] on: February 04, 2014, 06:59:40 am
Voted #1, but in hindsight blaming Obama's too predictable, and #7 is more lol.
1075  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Flo's and ElectionGuy's Maps on: February 04, 2014, 06:46:48 am
Pennsylvania:



1 (blue - South Philadelphia): 87% Obama. 53% black. Safe D.
2 (green - Philadelphia): 89% Obama. 55% black. Safe D.
3 (purple - Erie): 54% Obama. Given that this is in the more ancestrally Democratic half of Pennsylvania, Likely D.
4 (red - West Pittsburgh suburbs): 52% McCain. Tricky to say. It's probably too far removed for Jason Altmire to comeback here (if it isn't, then it's a Tossup and probably titling D), and the trends here probably make it hard for us to win. Tilts R, I guess.
5 (gold - Mid-Northern T): 51% McCain. Amazed it was this marginal. Did Chris Carney represent much of this area in the old PA-10? If so, Toss-up. Probably Lean/Likely R otherwise.
6 (dark green - Berks): 54% Obama. Jim Gerlach's stomping ground. He'd still hold the seat now, but given he's retiring it's Tilts D going forward.
7 (grey - Chester City/Delaware County): 63% Obama. Safe D even taking into account how moderate Philly Republicans are.
8 (violet (?) - Bucks): 51% Obama. Likely R for Fitzpatrick, Tossup if Open.
9 (teal - South Western T): 63% McCain. A whopping 97% white. Safe R.
10 (pink - NE Pennsylvania): 58% McCain. Safe R.
11 (lime green - Scranton/Wilkes-Barre): 60% Obama. Safe D.
12 (some lightish blue - SWPA/coal country): 52% McCain. Arguably the most fertile ground for a Blue Dog/pro-coal Dem, Gore probably won here and Kerry might have too (so Obama was a uniquely bad fit for here). It is trending right pretty hard though, so Tossup.
13 (Montgomery): 58% Obama. Would ordinarily be safe, but might be close in 2010 like circumstances. Likely D.
14 (khaki - Pittsburgh): 73% Obama. Safe D.
15 (orange): 52% Obama. Tossup normally, but I guess Charlie Dent runs here, in which case it's Likely R for him.
16 (light green - Amish Country): 59% McCain. Safe R.
17 (dark purple - Harrisburg): 50% McCain, he won by about 2,000 votes. Probably Likely R in neutral circumstances, but the district seems a really good fit for Tim Holden, so the district would probably lean in his favour if he does come back.
18 (yellow - Westmoreland): 59% McCain. This part of SWPA probably wouldn't vote for a Blue Dog these days. Safe R, particularly if Tim Murphy runs here.
19 (Philadelphia): 85% Obama. 41% white (but still plurality white). Safe D.
20 (North Philadelphia): 60% Obama. The most white and least Democratic seat in Pittsburgh proper. Safe D, might be close in a wave I guess but even then....
21 (maroon): 57% Obama. Lean/Likely D, but Pat Meehan would probably prefer here than the 7th. He would make it close, but even with him it probably would still Tilt D.
22 (dark brown - Chester County/Lancaster): 54% Obama. Tossup given what sort of candidate each side would run in Philly suburbia.
23 (pale blue - Lehigh Valley): 57% Obama. Probably Likely D given that I doubt Dent runs here when he's got a more viable seat available in the shape of the 15th.
24 (very dark purple): 56% McCain. Safe R.
25 (East Pittsburgh suburbs/Penn Hills): 54% Obama. Close-ish on paper, but any Obama district in this part of the country is Safe D.
26 (North Pittsburgh suburbs): 55% McCain. Would be Safe R generally, but this district is similar to Jason Altmire's old district, so for him it could well be a Tossup.
27 (pale-ish green): 56% McCain. Safe R. Like the 9th it is 97% white.
28 (South Eastern T/York): 58% McCain. Safe R.

Safe D: 8
Likely D: 3
Lean/Likely D: 1* 
Tilt D: 1*
Tossup: 4*
Tilt R: 1*
Lean/Likely R: 1*
Likely R: 1*
Safe R: 8*

Again, my footnote for North Carolina applies for Pennsylvania.
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