Probably not many, but I'd reckon there'd be plenty who aren't really fluent in English.

I'll take it I guess.

Clearly the Democrats. The suburbanites have (to a strong degree) bolted the GOP, that isn't really the case with poorer Southerners/Appalachian voters.

Define an "Obama collapse".

Depends on the team.

. He said he

Draw, with the media selling it as an Obama win. Dunno about the impact of it being in a town hall rather than a podium, however.

This will lead to the electoral college being abolished, which I want to see happen. Congressional district voting like Nebraska and Maine should be looked into for all 50 states.

That's even worse than the status quo.

I can't find any useful information on the Indie, so I'll go for the one who isn't Inhofe.

We're here, we're clear.

So she's doing slightly better than Obama now? That's pretty amazing.

I think you'll see most of these white senatorial candidates in close races do a point or two better than Obama, who is a black you see.

Thing is, Baldwin's a lesbian, and Wisconsin doesn't have that many blacks.

No bounce. If there is one, it'll go to Obama-Biden

Who's Adam Edelen?

Probably a Cuomo win.

Good!

Though the Pres vote looks a little favourable to the Ds.

The rent is too damn high!

Swing states by definition do not "lean."  And even if they did, Iowa and Ohio do not lean red.

I disagree. For example, Nevada and Florida are both considered swing states, but the former is generally understood to tilt Democrat and the latter Republican.

Then again, perhaps tilt is a better idea?

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.

What about Atlanta?

It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.

Basically. The Atlanta suburbs are very very Republican in a way that NoVa isn't.

How does Nevada tilt Democrat?  They haven't elected all Republican governors since 1998.

We're talking Presidential level. It voted Obama by 13 in 2008.

It's true at a lower level however that it is a key swing state, if not leaning R.

President vote, please?

WAA is an even sh**ttier version of Rassy.

Wow, this guy seems like a c**t.

Primary? Probably
General? Wins big but not all of them.

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.

What about Atlanta?

It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.

Depends on the nominees.

We know about...

* Scott Westman (Mechaman) - Montana Democrat Senator/Governor
* Jefferson Dent (Kalejwet) - Alabama Democrat Senator
* Lawrence Watson (Dr Cynic) - Pennsylvania Democrat Senator
* Thad O'Connor (Dallasfan) - Maine Republican House Member (though probably higher)

as fictional timelines. Perhaps we should do something similar here.

As if people don't know the "gun to your head" analogy! :p

Right now probably Mittens, but I'm gonna wait until more debates happen to make a judgement.

[or an Asian person (as is the case in Hawaii)?]

As Obama sinks, you'll see these Democratic senate candidates polling better.  White swings don't like Romney/GOP, just dislike the Black - they'll vote Dem for senate to make up for the nasty compromise.

What happens if a black guy was running for Senate, or an Asian person (as is the case in Hawaii)?

Different kettle of fish though as Hawaii's like 25% white.

Yeah I didn't really trust the polls saying this had tightened that much either.