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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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826  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the first-past-the-post voting system on: November 14, 2014, 09:25:31 pm
Not a fan.
827  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Tony Abbott? on: November 14, 2014, 09:25:09 pm
Terrible, will hopefully be out by 2017.
*2016 Tongue
828  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Tony Abbott? on: November 14, 2014, 07:54:38 pm
He makes me ashamed to be Australian.
829  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Duckworth husband registers DuckworthforSenate.com on: November 14, 2014, 06:59:27 pm
Urgh. She just doesn't seem a very strong candidate in practice.
830  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2014 US Congressional Election Results on: November 14, 2014, 06:59:00 pm
For some reason I hope Tacherra wins.
831  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: November 2014 Special At-large Senate Election on: November 14, 2014, 06:57:45 pm
[ 1 ] Bacon King of Oceania
The People's Party

[ 4 ] Cris of Kansas
Federalist Party

[ 3 ] Poirot of New York
Independent

[ 2 ] SomebodyWhoExists of Quebec
Labor Party

[ 5 ] rpryor03 of New Jersey
National Party
832  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: What should Scott Brown do in 2016? on: November 14, 2014, 06:51:46 pm
He's damaged goods.
833  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will end up winning by more? on: November 14, 2014, 06:51:05 pm
Cotton. Only Magellan has polled the runoff I think.
834  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: can you chopsticks? on: November 14, 2014, 05:17:15 am
Yeah, though once I get to the rice I struggle and often resort to a fork lol.
835  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: First snowfall of the year, boys and girls on: November 13, 2014, 10:42:39 pm
It's like 90 degrees today where I live Tongue (which is because I live in the Southern Hemisphere, granted)

In any case the maximums rarely gets colder than say 50F (around 15C?) where I live....and it doesn't get colder than 10C when most people are still outside.
836  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Victorian State Parliamentary Election - 29 November 2014 on: November 13, 2014, 10:23:33 pm
Labor up to 56% in most recent Ipsos poll. Incredible thing out of the poll though is the 76% support for Euthanasia, lol  you Kevin Andrews.
Worth noting that the "56%" would be 53% under the more accepted way of preference flows.
837  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Australian Federal Redistribution 2016 on: November 13, 2014, 06:45:07 am
If there is any God they will redistrict me out of Kevin Andrews seat.
There won't be a redistribution in Victoria this election. IIRC though you're due for one before the 2019 election so you may get new boundaries then.

My condolences for living in Kevin Andrews's seat.

Anyway, two links about speculation as to what might happen in the redistributions.

http://www.tallyroom.com.au/20035 - NSW
http://www.tallyroom.com.au/20042 - WA
838  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Australian Federal Redistribution 2016 on: November 13, 2014, 06:04:57 am
So apparently the determinations have come out for the 2016 determination for entitlement to members in the House of Representatives.

This is important because the entitlements have changed. Accordingly there has to be a redistribution in New South Wales (who lose a seat) and Western Australia (who gain one).

Discussion etc. about the possibilities here.
839  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: AK's Australian Election Series - 1991 on: November 13, 2014, 05:33:38 am
Natural Law.
840  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / Re: What parties would you be in other countries? on: November 12, 2014, 10:27:51 pm
Zimbabwe: MDC. Like Russia though that's hardly a democracy either, though once Mugabe dies it may get interesting.

MDC is split in three parties: MDC-T under Tsvangirai, MDC-N is the old 2005 moderate breakaway now under Welshman Ncube and then there is the "Tsvangirai is too authoritarian and incompetent" breakaway from 2014 the MDC Renewal Team. Currently MDC-N and MDC Renewal Team are negotiating a merger and hope to form an alliance with the other opposition parties such as Dumiso Dabengwa's ZAPU, the Mavambo/Kusile Dawn party led by Simba Makoni and the NGO alliance NCA.
I'd probs support MDC-T, if only because I share the same first name as the Mr. Tsvangirai.

Also would change to FdG or some other left-wing party in France, after hearing about the PS government over there.
841  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The "Who is running?" tea leaves thread on: November 12, 2014, 10:03:57 pm
Yeah Huckabee is clearly running. Commiserations, Phil.
842  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NOM takes credit for electing Merkley/Moulton/Peters, targets Portman on: November 12, 2014, 10:01:53 pm
I for one welcome NOM's effort to teabag Ohio.

But I doubt this passes Sad
843  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo had 'secret pact' with Long Island Republican Senators on: November 12, 2014, 10:00:55 pm
I can't believe this guy was considered the favourite for the nomination before Hillary looked interested in running for President.
844  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: World Cup 2018 and 2022: Site Selection on: November 11, 2014, 09:17:07 pm
So for 2022 there are rumours going around now that Blatter's stripping Qatar of its World Cup hosting rights, apparently.
845  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Scott Walker seems boring and mediocre to me on: November 11, 2014, 08:46:33 pm
He's certainly overhyped by many on this forum.
846  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Sarkozy v Le Pen on: November 11, 2014, 08:36:58 pm
What about the corruption investigations into Sarkozy, though? Surely the UMP might nominate someone else, then?
I'm not saying they will nominate him, I'm saying they might.

Also, I think it's fair to say I'd vote for the lizard, not the wizard.
847  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / Re: US with Australian parties on: November 11, 2014, 07:59:41 pm
Great to see this back! I think MD would have stayed Labor in 2010 though, otherwise good analysis. The rise of One Nation, as you stated, would also be a significant turnoff to quite a few Marylanders.

Also, would the Nationals come 2nd in WV? I think they'd be the main non-Labor party there.

Please keep this going by the way Smiley
Yes, though I suspect that the Liberals and Nationals would just run one candidate if the system was akin to America but the parties weren't.

I imagine for seats themselves the Nats would be the main party in all of the WV seats barring perhaps the Charleston one.

And thinking about it you're probably right for Maryland 2010, but I'll wait and see what happens after I do all 50 states and see what the EV totals were for both parties.

Sounds good, and speaking of the next states, I'm guessing:

  • Washington DC is obviously a Labor stronghold.
  • VA will be a Liberal-leaning state, although one Labor would win in good years (1972, 1983, 2007), with a rising Green vote over the past decade.
  • KY would mainly vote Labor, although not as strongly as WV.
Kentucky probably won't be for a while fwiw. I'll likely do it with the Midwest rather than the South.

Wait and see for the other two, please Tongue

For the most part you're not too wrong though

I will, just thought I'd share my predictions, so to speak.
Fair enough Tongue
848  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / Re: US with Australian parties on: November 11, 2014, 07:15:25 pm
Great to see this back! I think MD would have stayed Labor in 2010 though, otherwise good analysis. The rise of One Nation, as you stated, would also be a significant turnoff to quite a few Marylanders.

Also, would the Nationals come 2nd in WV? I think they'd be the main non-Labor party there.

Please keep this going by the way Smiley
Yes, though I suspect that the Liberals and Nationals would just run one candidate if the system was akin to America but the parties weren't.

I imagine for seats themselves the Nats would be the main party in all of the WV seats barring perhaps the Charleston one.

And thinking about it you're probably right for Maryland 2010, but I'll wait and see what happens after I do all 50 states and see what the EV totals were for both parties.

Sounds good, and speaking of the next states, I'm guessing:

  • Washington DC is obviously a Labor stronghold.
  • VA will be a Liberal-leaning state, although one Labor would win in good years (1972, 1983, 2007), with a rising Green vote over the past decade.
  • KY would mainly vote Labor, although not as strongly as WV.
Kentucky probably won't be for a while fwiw. I'll likely do it with the Midwest rather than the South.

Wait and see for the other two, please Tongue

For the most part you're not too wrong though
849  General Politics / Individual Politics / Sarkozy v Le Pen on: November 11, 2014, 07:10:02 pm
Apparently this choice for the run-off in 2017 is a real possiblity, embarrassingly enough.

Eww. Antonio/windjammer/other French lefties should emigrate ASAP.
850  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you rather live in Dublin or Belfast? on: November 11, 2014, 07:08:30 pm
Dublin (normal)
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