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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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826  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 100 Largest US Cities Series: Irving on: June 23, 2014, 04:46:34 am
Texas suburb = HC.
827  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The 2014 election season starts (June 24: CO, FL-19, MD, MS, NY, OK, SC, UT) on: June 23, 2014, 04:44:41 am
Carn Tancredo and McDaniel.
828  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Rank the House members who have represented you on: June 23, 2014, 12:41:02 am
1. Anthony Albanese (2012-)
2. Daryl Melham (2003-10)
3. Tanya Plibersek (2010-12)
4. Robert McClelland (1996-2003)
5. Peter Baldwin (1994)
6. Gary Punch (1994-96)
(bottom 2 are mainly because I have little idea of their record)
829  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Maine/Maryland Senators on: June 22, 2014, 10:11:08 pm
Say what you will about Susan Collins, but she has never missed a single floor vote in her entire tenure, unlike any of her colleagues.  That's impressive.
Wow....that is pretty impressive.
830  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Should Libertas be unbanned? on: June 22, 2014, 10:08:49 pm
Not voting as I wasn't on the forum when Libertas was on.
831  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: June 22, 2014, 09:06:35 pm
Cameroon 0-3 Brazil
Mexico 1-1 Croatia
Netherlands 2-1 Chile
Australia 1-2 Spain
832  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What fraction of your life have you been posting on Atlas? on: June 22, 2014, 06:52:10 pm
About 15%.
833  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Maine/Maryland Senators on: June 22, 2014, 06:51:00 pm
Don't have a real opinion of the Maryland senators, I'll say FF for being in my party.

Collins is over-rated and strikes me as too moderate hero, so HP for her. King is an attention whore, but I do respect his independence, so FF.
834  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rating the Senatorial Races on: June 22, 2014, 12:57:08 am
Graham's won his primary already...
Aah yeah forgot that the SC primary had already went.

Move that down to like 20-something then.
835  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rating the Senatorial Races on: June 21, 2014, 11:49:04 pm
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=144510.50 is your friend :p

Anyway:

1. South Dakota (D-Open) - Pressler is polling OK, but not well enough to put the seat in danger.

2. West Virginia (D-Open)

3. Montana (D-Walsh)

4. Louisiana (D-Landrieu) - while previously I thought the jungle primary would be her Achilles heal, now it might actually save her. There hasn't been a published public poll in ages with her having a lead.

5. Arkansas (D-Pryor) - he's not out of the woods yet, and it looks like his rebound may be declining, but his position looks much better than it did 3 months ago.

6. North Carolina (D-Hagan) - well they didn't make the mistake of nominating Brannon, and Hagan's polling still looks ordinary, so this is worrying. Tillis is still an ordinary candidate though.

7. Alaska (D-Begich) - probably running the best campaign of the red-state Dems, although Sullivan seems like a pretty solid candidate. Want some polling here.

8. Kentucky (R-McConnell)

9. Colorado (D-Udall) - I want to see polling here.

10. Iowa (D-Open) - think Ernst is still a pretty weak candidate, but there's little doubt Braley dropped the ball here to some extent. Her leads were probably a post-primary bounce though.

11. Michigan (D-Open) - Peters has finally broken away. The CW here was that it was always over-rated as a pick-up opportunity, and it looks like they've been proven right.

12. Georgia (R-Open) - unfortunately the Republican's two strongest candidates got into the run-off. Will be hard for Nunn to get the 50%+1 to beat them, as they seem uncontroversial and Georgia is still a very red state.

13. New Hampshire (D-Shaheen) - Brown's campaign has been a joke. Shaheen should crush him.

14. Mississippi (R-Cochran) - I think Cochran loses the primary here. But it's still Mississippi, where even someone as controversial as McDaniel is favoured.

15. Minnesota (D-Franken) - there's some hope in McFadden's camp that he might make it close,  but Franken seems popular and Minnesota hasn't been kind for Republicans lately.

16. Oregon (D-Merkley) - Wehby had potential, but she's too scandal prone to win I feel.

17. Virginia (D-Warner)

18. South Carolina-A (R-Graham) - Dems actually have a possible contingency if Graham loses the primary, but the polling indicates that he's safe.

19. Kansas (R-Roberts) - hard to know. Don't really think a Tea Party upset will happen here, but anything could happen. Kansas is still very red, so even with a primary upset it'll be hard for us to win.

20. Tennessee (R-Alexander) - ditto.

21. New Mexico (D-Udall)

22. Nebraska (R-Open)

23. Oklahoma-B (R-Open) - Democrats failed to get serious opposition for what was an open seat.

24. New Jersey (D-Booker) - Rassmussen had Booker up by an underwhelming margin, but don't hold your breath.

25. Illinois (D-Durbin) - similarly, Durbin's lead is smaller than expected, but he'll win easily.

26. Massachusetts (D-Markey)

27. Texas (R-Cornyn)

28. Maine (R-Collins) - now that she's won her primary, she'll be completely safe. In 2008 she managed to knock off a pretty good recruit by 20 points, which says a lot.

29. Hawaii (D-Schatz) - regardless of the primary, the Republicans could only find a perennial candidate who lost to Inouye by 50 points.

30. South Carolina-B (R-Scott)

31. Delaware (D-Coons)

32. Idaho (R-Risch)

33. Oklahoma-A (R-Inhofe)

34. Rhode Island (D-Reed)

35. Wyoming (R-Enzi)

36. Alabama (R-Sessions) - is literally running unopposed.

Seems to be an unusually high amount of safe races.
836  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Nebraska/Nevada Governors on: June 21, 2014, 08:58:04 pm
HP for Heinemann, though I don't really know a lot about him.

Lean HP for Sandoval I guess, though he's probably the best Republican governor in the country.
837  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: AJC: GOP following Clinton around with giant squirrel mascot on: June 21, 2014, 12:34:17 am
Haha, lel.
838  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: June 2014 Federal Election - President, VP and Regional Senators on: June 20, 2014, 07:45:25 pm


PRESIDENT AND VICE PRESIDENT


[ 1 ] DemPGH of Washington and Windjammer of Minnesota
Labor Party



[  ] Sirnick of New York and Dallasfan65 of Massachusetts
The People's Party - Democratic-Republican Party



[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________



[  ] None of the above


PACIFIC SENATOR


[ 2 ] Flo of the Yukon Territories
Unaffiliated candidate



[ 3 ] Superique of Alaska
The People's Party



[ 1 ] Tyrion the Imperialist of New Mexico
Labor Party



[  ] Write-in:______________________________
-__________________



[  ] None of the above
[/quote]
839  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Five and a half years from now. on: June 20, 2014, 01:46:25 am
25, a couple of months off 26.
840  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: June 19, 2014, 09:58:30 pm
Italy 2-0 Costa Rica
Switzerland 1-2 France
Honduras 0-1 Ecuador
Argentina 3-0 Iran
Nigeria 0-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Germany 3-1 Ghana
841  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Bacon King Institute of Comedy on: June 19, 2014, 09:54:23 pm
pros:
- brings in conservative support to the ticket
- from an important swing-state
- helps with catholics and working-class voters
- extensive legislative experience
- soothing midwesterner

cons:
- lost to a bald guy by 75 points
842  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: should hillary pick rick santorum for vp? on: June 19, 2014, 09:52:26 pm
Yes.
843  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Dick Cheney on: June 19, 2014, 04:11:00 am
Needless to say, he's one of the FUTWWTRC.
844  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Obama dies. Does Hilary still run? on: June 19, 2014, 03:08:36 am
Depends when. If it happens in the next 6 months or so though, no.
845  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: June 18, 2014, 02:09:10 am
Netherlands 4-1 Australia
Spain 2-1 Chile
Croatia 2-0 Cameroon
846  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: FIFA 2014 World Cup - Official Discussion Thread on: June 17, 2014, 02:39:41 am
So how about my Italy vs. Portugal Final prediction, eh? What an ass kicking. They'll still advance (there's a clear opening for Ghana though) but definitely not as winners.

And no shock that Iran vs. Nigeria was the first draw and a scoreless one at that. Oh well. The streak of no draws was nice.

Face it guys, Italy is the only team that can beat Germany. Wink

Wink
Divers winning again? Eww.
847  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: June 16, 2014, 04:42:55 am
Iran 0-1 Nigeria
Germany 1-0 Portugal
Ghana 1-1 USA
Belgium 2-0 Algeria
Russia 2-0 South Korea
Brazil 2-0 Mexico
848  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What was or would have been your draft number? on: June 15, 2014, 05:08:27 pm
57. Boo!
849  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The FIFA World Cup tipping competition on: June 15, 2014, 03:15:02 am
France 3 - Argentina 0
Assuming this refers to France vs Honduras.
Yes, thank you.
850  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Who was Speaker of the US House when you were born? on: June 14, 2014, 07:40:23 pm
Foley.

Stop making me feel old, Atlas.
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