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926  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the red counties on this map on: January 06, 2013, 07:28:13 pm
Like the other map they're a bunch of hacks.

(assuming that's Corker/Clayton yeah?)
927  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: On a scale of 1-10, how electable is the previous poster? on: January 06, 2013, 07:19:04 pm
9, would be a great candidate.
928  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: On a scale of 1-10, how would you rate ... on: January 06, 2013, 07:17:59 pm
As far as voting goes it's good, but the cut-off dates for registration were made way too long. Luckily the High Court struck it down. I can see people being turned off by mandatory voting, but it isn't that bad, and you can just not register if you don't want to IIRC. The system is apolitical and there is no real cases of gerrymandering (or at least these days, malapportionment was rife in the past).

However, I dislike that the parties seem to be too tightly whipped and there is little choice in parties.
929  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: On a scale of 1-10, how electable is the previous poster? on: January 06, 2013, 07:03:39 pm
10. Can't really think of many people more electable than Scott.
930  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: On a scale of 1-10, how electable is the previous poster? on: January 06, 2013, 06:56:13 pm
2. Much too leftist, particularly on economic issues.
931  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: On a scale of 1-10, how electable is the previous poster? on: January 06, 2013, 06:39:20 pm
7, seems to have rural appeal but he could be portrayed as too leftist.
932  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which Governor is the preceding poster most like? on: January 06, 2013, 06:03:44 pm
Walker.
933  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton vs. Santorum on: January 06, 2013, 06:03:21 pm
I think that Clinton would win in such a scenario, but I think that her victory margin would be closer to Obama's in 2008. From what I can tell, Rick Santorum's message of extreme social conservatism and his hardline foreign policy views are extremely popular in the South and parts of the Midwest. Santorum's popularity in those areas would increase even further if he picks someone such as Mike Huckabee or Rick Perry as his running mate. I don't even think Hillary Clinton would even carry her home state of Arkansas in such a scenario and Rick Santorum might even carry Ohio.

Here is what the map would look like:

Clinton/Schweitzer: 353 Electoral Votes
Santorum/Huckabee (Or Rick Perry): 185 Electoral Votes

For benefit of the doubt Ill give you the possibility of Santorum holding onto more southern states here then I think he actually would. However Ohio, I just dont see. Santorum may have been a rust belt senator but I don't see him doing well enough in northern ohio to offset Clinton margins. Clinton was very popular in Ohio during the democratic party primary and Santorum actually lost Ohio to Romney while he was still a viable contender. Considering this was his home region I take that as a sign as to his overall electability. I actually think Clinton would do better in Ohio then Obama did against Romney. Simply put Clinton against Santorum would be imo a bloodbath of epic proportions but the best he could proably do is keep the south solid and Clinton in the 370 electoral range.

I may have over estimated Santorum's performance in this map, especially regarding the Southern states, but I was under the impression that he was actually pretty popular in industrial states such as Ohio and Michigan due to his faux-populist message regarding economics.

He might do decent in a meh economy, but the conditions stated a great economy.
934  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How about Dan Quayle? on: January 06, 2013, 06:02:16 pm
Quayle does have experience on his side.

As much experience in the Congress as Jack Kennedy did when he sought the presidency.

And as much intelligence as Jack Kennedy after he "left" Presidency.
Now, that's a little far....
935  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Dayton? on: January 06, 2013, 06:01:19 pm
Would just fade away into the background afaic.
936  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Jungle Primary on: January 06, 2013, 06:00:51 pm
1) Biden
2) Schweitzer
3) Patrick
4) Cuomo
5) O'Malley
6) Christie
7) Martinez
Cool Bush
9) Rubio
10) Ryan
11) Santorum
937  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John Barrow 2014 on: January 06, 2013, 04:42:37 pm
Him and McIntyre will be lucky to survive given the demographics of the district.
938  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you vote on Chuck Hagel's SoD confirmation? on: January 06, 2013, 04:23:51 pm
For and anyone not a Jewish Republican that votes no is a hack.

Yeah he isn't so good on gay rights but will he have anything to do with that on the Defense thing?
939  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Arkansas Senate D Primary 1978 on: January 06, 2013, 07:02:34 am
Who's the most left-wing of the three?
It's Arkansas...that's kinda a moot point Tongue

Nah but seriously, probably Pryor right now, although if Thornton was a liberal then I'd consider him.
940  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Minnesota gubernatorial election, 1998 on: January 06, 2013, 07:02:01 am
I don't like dynasties, but I don't like conspiracy theorists and fake moderates either. So Humphrey I guess.

If Ventura wasn't a conspiracy theorist then yeah I'd plump for him.
941  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Which Senate committee would you most want to chair? on: January 06, 2013, 06:59:53 am
Finance if I can't have Appropriations.
942  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton 2016 Spectulation and Discussion Thread. on: January 05, 2013, 10:17:13 pm
If Hillary runs in 2016, she wins.

Simple as that.

If Hillary runs in 2008, she wins.

Simple as that.

Oh wait...
Who in the primary could beat her? And she's also way more popular than she was.
943  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How about Dan Quayle? on: January 05, 2013, 09:43:33 pm
Do you perform stand-up now Kal?
944  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will anybody form an exploratory committee this year? on: January 05, 2013, 09:35:07 pm
Not anyone important
945  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Sarah Palin still be a relevant force in 2016? on: January 05, 2013, 09:34:30 pm
Haha, she wasn't even relevant in 2012.
946  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Pennsylvania Senate Election, 2012 on: January 05, 2013, 09:26:10 pm
Don't like the Casey's, but the Republican ticket is a fair way worse, so Casey I suppose.
947  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Jim Matheson (D-UT 04) in 2014 on: January 05, 2013, 06:58:01 pm
Easier with 1. more experience to his district and 2. no Romney on the top of the ticket.
948  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Three way race with Cuomo, Brewer and Sanders atop the tickets on: January 05, 2013, 02:40:32 am


Brewer/Paul 279, 44% PV
Cuomo/Landrieu 256, 43% PV
Sanders/Crist 3, 9% PV
Others 0, rounds down to 0% PV

The gray states are states which Brewer won, but where Cuomo+Sanders would be enough for a victory.

lol wat, Democrats are winning 43% nationwide but ~50%+ in NV/NM/MN/IA/WI/MI/PA?

I don't think he took margins into account.
949  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which Governor is the preceding poster most like? on: January 05, 2013, 12:36:58 am
Beebe.
950  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Franzl on: January 04, 2013, 06:04:54 pm
Franzl >> Oakvale. I'll give him that.

Franzl is someone with some rather HP-ish political beliefs and is very quick to judgment, though he seems to be an alright guy in real life. I abstained.

Agreed on the first point, but calling Franzl's entirely sensible political views "horrible" is pretty rich coming from oh god what's the point?

Well, among other things, Franzl is known for supporting healthcare nationalization and has also been remarkably anti-gun from someone who I gather was originally from downstate Illinois Wink

These are bad ideas why exactly?
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