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January 18, 2017, 05:15:21 am
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever feel lonely? on: January 17, 2017, 07:41:36 pm
An interesting interview with the author of "Alone again, naturally":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hb5IU72enEw
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever feel lonely? on: January 17, 2017, 07:37:50 pm
Who cares?
Maybe that's the problem!
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever feel lonely? on: January 17, 2017, 07:33:28 pm
"You are born and die alone
You are born and die alone
You are born and die alone today"

http://lyricstranslate.com/en/puedo-ser-maybe.html
4  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever feel lonely? on: January 17, 2017, 07:28:31 pm
Misery Loneliness loves company. Sad
5  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Do you ever feel lonely? on: January 17, 2017, 07:16:46 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0qs54BYz2pk
6  Forum Community / Forum Community / Do you ever feel lonely? on: January 17, 2017, 06:56:15 pm
Just wondering.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 03:11:24 pm
Theoretically all of them.  We don't know what will happen between now and 2020.
Anything can happen. If the Vulcans are watching us, they might be concerned that there will be a nuclear war and take pity on us. They like it really hot, so if they invade us and move to the US, they would likely move to the South, thereby putting Trump's re-election in jeopardy... or would they be more likely to vote Republican?
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 03:06:00 pm
By the way, 2024 and 2032 will be interesting years as the Democrats could lose ground in the electoral college. It may not be likely that the Republicans will ever lose the electoral college and win the popular vote. I do wonder, though, if that happened, if the push to abolish it would be strong enough to be successful. 2032 is the goal for getting to Mars. How many of us will want to move there if we are unhappy about the 2032 election?
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 02:54:57 pm
Seriously, we are going to have to wait about three years before making accurate predictions about anything. We probably will not have any idea, for example, who the Ds are going to chose. I would give Trump at least a 50% chance of running and winning the GOP nomination.
He might even have a 50% of being re-elected, depending on many variables, and since he isn't even POTUS yet, we have no idea what is going to happen in the next three years.
By late '19 or early '20, I think that predictions could be more plausible. But how many of us thought that he would win even a year ago? How many of us thought that Wisconsin or Michigan could be in play? I didn't even expect him to win PA. The polls tightened in PA in October, but it looked safe before that. So, it will be interesting to look at this thread in the future and to see if it is at all prophetic. Like I said, I based the map on the 2016 election only and who knows what will happen in the future? Maybe the sun will come out tomorrow. Maybe not. But 2020? That's anybody's guess, as far as I'm concerned. Certainly some things we can predict as plausible. OK going GOP and HI going D.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 02:45:46 pm
Texas is a true battleground, as it is vulnerable to an establishment Dem picking off establishment Republicans, as HRC did. Arkansas is no longer a battleground. New Jersey isn't White, non-college, or married enough for a Republican to win it.
One factor in swinging a state like TX is if the POTUS candidate or VP candidate is from that state, perhaps, although many reject that hypothesis.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 02:43:20 pm
Rhode Island? It wasn't close in 2016; a hundred years ago since a Democrat won the WH without it. Wilson won without the state in 1916. Trump did poorly there. More important, it is only 4 electoral votes and hardly worth wasting money on. If Trump were to spend a lot of money there and the D didn't, I suppose it is hypothetically possible that he could win it. He could also win it if he wins in a huge landslide, but that could be said about any state.
I don't think any candidate is going to spend a lot of money on any state that small unless it has been a key swing state in the past (NH, & IA for example)
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 02:19:59 pm
Would the map look any different if the electoral college is abolished? Interesting to think about.
It's not likely to happen before 2020 but it could happen in the next 10-30 years. It's hard to predict if the electoral college will be abolished in the next 30 years more or less and also hard to imagine which states would swing. I think that the map would be similar with or without an electoral college.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 02:10:04 pm
Get rid of ME-1 and Texas, and that's probably fair.
I agree with you about Me-1. That was my only mistake. My map is simply based on all states within a 10% margin in 2016. I will change Me-1. Me-1 was not within 10%
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 09:50:21 am
Texas is not a battleground state. Texas being a battleground is just a wet dream of the Dems.
Probably true, but it was the only tipping point state in 2016. If Democrats go for it, and the Republicans don't defend it, it could swing, although maybe not if the election is close.
It would depend on how big a win the Democrat had in 2020. It might be foolish for the Democrats to spend money there, because the money is needed in closer states, the only advantage of targeting the state would be down ballot races.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 09:44:14 am
Minnesota is the most interesting with the longest track record of voting Democratic. (other than DC) Mondale won the state with less than 50%

In 2016 it was close
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 09:29:57 am
I voted Nebraska and Alaska. Nebraska because of CD2.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Complete list of possible battlegrounds on: January 13, 2017, 09:28:02 am
Assuming that the electoral college has not been abolished by 2020, this map shows all possible battlegrounds, although Texas is open to debate
If you think Texas is not a battleground vote "Texas no", all other votes are for states which you think are battlegrounds.
31 day poll



if you don't agree with the map vote "other states on map no" = some of those that are gray are not battlegrounds


other state yes if any of the following are battlegrounds
Oklahoma
Wyoming
D. C.
Hawaii
California
Idaho
18  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 10, 2017, 04:28:26 pm
Here are the moons with a diameter of 1000 kilometers or more. (=621 miles)
and Pluto and Mercury for comparison:

Ganymede         Jupiter   5262
Titan                  Saturn   5150
Mercury    planet             4879
Callisto               Jupiter  4820
Io                       Jupiter   3660
The Moon           Earth    3474
Europa               Jupiter     3121
Triton                 Neptune 2700
Pluto   planet                    2374
Titania               Uranus   1576
Oberon              Uranus   1522
Iapetus             Saturn   1470
Charon              Pluto      1208
Umbriel              Uranus   1169
Ariel                   Uranus   1157
19  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 10, 2017, 03:27:05 pm
In distance from Earth (assuming Jupiter and Saturn are at there closest to Earth).

1. The Moon
2. Mars
3. Europa/Jupiter
4. Titan/Saturn
5. Alpha Centauri

Although Titan is a little further than Europa, we may go to Titan before Europa if it looks more
suitable.
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 10, 2017, 01:57:48 pm
There is a current plan to get to Mars by 2032. I will turn 77 in November of that year, so there is a good possibility that I'll still be alive. It will be interesting to see what the plan is by then if it is launched that year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_One
21  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 09, 2017, 03:20:53 pm
Of course some people believe that we have already been visited by ets; I do not.
22  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 09, 2017, 03:19:02 pm
Perhaps another question (a little off topic perhaps), is if there is already sentient life out there somewhere. So far, no evidence. In this case the lack of evidence isn't necessarily evidence of absence, but it might be a good idea to be skeptical. I've always thought that it made sense to colonize the entire universe (a mind boggling concept, no doubt) if we are alone in the universe.

It's fun to think about. It may, as the thread title suggests even be necessary, if we somehow manage to destroy the earth's ability to sustain life, which may unfortunately at this point in time, be a possibility due to climate change if not nuclear war, although neither would necessarily mean that we destroy all life, just a lot of it. Certainly something about which to be concerned.
23  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 09, 2017, 03:11:53 pm
Our closest neighbor is a little over 4 light years. We would have to create a ship that goes over 100 times faster than what we have achieved so far to get there in 100 years.

That's crude math. It took about 2-3 days to get to the Moon. It is about 2-3 "light seconds" away. (rough guestimates based on my memory) a day is 86000 seconds. Therefore a spaceship would have to go about 86000 times what we now are capable of. At the speed of light a round trip would take a little over 8 years, so even that would be difficult. The bottom line being that it would take a lot to get there. I would think that it will be at least 100-200 years from before we would make such a trip. Will any of us be alive?
A trip to those moons you mentioned would be plausible in the next 50 years. I think we have the ability to go to Mars much sooner than that, if we had the will to spend the money.
I certainly hope that the idea of peacefull exploration of space is an agreed upon goal. It wouldn't be a good idea to export our war like nature into space.
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Atlas's Favorite TV Show - Round 1A on: January 09, 2017, 10:51:16 am
The are a lot of good shows that are not listed.
There really should have been an "other" option.
Also, I don't like polls where you can't see the answers if you don't vote.There are some shows here that I like, but will not vote for them for the reasons
stated.
25  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: If humans had to leave Earth and go live somewhere else in space, where/how? on: January 09, 2017, 09:13:39 am
Excellent question. Mars is the obvious answer, but maybe not the only one.
In ST 2063 is the year warp drive is invented, but I don't see any evidence that this fiction
will ever become fact. I don't know if any of the moons out there (of Jupiter, Saturn etc) are any better than Mars.

Mars is cold, but it is the only logical choice, as I see it.

I would be very interested if anyone has any specific ideas of places other than Mars.
Our moon doesn't have the most friendly climate. There is the idea of hollowed out asteroids, which could be used like space ships. (aka planetoids)

As for the how, well right now we don't have the ability to go to other solar systems, but exploring this one is not really a question of "how", but of the willingness to spend an awful lot of money.
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