Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 21, 2014, 05:27:43 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 103
1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cannabis '14: The WA & CO Memorial Thread on: October 17, 2014, 03:21:58 pm
Closer than I'd expect in OR: only passing 44/40.

It was polled again last week by a different firm showing 52% yes, 41% opposed, and 7% undecided: http://www.opb.org/news/article/voter-turnout-will-tip-the-scales-on-legal-pot-measure/

Ballots were mailed out a few days ago (I received mine yesterday) so hopefully it's looking good.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cannabis '14: The WA & CO Memorial Thread on: October 17, 2014, 03:10:10 pm

March 31, 2014

An overwhelming majority of voters in Virginia support the legalization of medical marijuana, but are divided over legalizing pot for recreational use, according to a new poll.

The survey released by Quinnipiac University on Monday found 84 percent of Virginia voters back medical marijuana.

Meanwhile, 46 percent support legalizing marijuana for personal use, with 48 percent opposing that move.


October 17, 2014

Want legal weed in Delaware? You're easily in the majority, according to a new University of Delaware poll that finds 56 percent of Delawareans support legalization of marijuana use.

The university polled 902 Delaware adults between Sept. 10 and 22, finding just 39 percent opposed to legalization. Delawareans older than 60 and self-identified conservatives were the only groups to express deep opposition, while young adults and liberals drove the support.

Support for legalization crossed racial and geographic boundaries, with poll respondents in all three counties saying they back legal marijuana.


Jan. 21, 2014

A growing number of North Carolina voters support legalization of marijuana, according to a new poll.

A recent Public Policy Polling survey found 63 percent believe doctors should have the right to prescribe marijuana for medical use – up from 58 percent a year ago.

But a plurality – 48 percent – still don’t think marijuana should be legal, as it is in Colorado and soon Washington, compared to 42 percent who believe it should be legal for adult purchase. The legalization figures is up from January 2013, when just 39 percent of voters supported it.

3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: ME-Pan Atlantic SMS: Collins leads by 43 on: October 14, 2014, 07:53:48 pm

4  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Which of these two kinds of candy do you generally prefer? on: October 14, 2014, 02:20:32 am
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Police take hundreds of millions of $s from motorists not charged with crimes on: October 11, 2014, 05:06:02 pm
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: New We Ask America Poll Quinn +4 on: October 08, 2014, 02:06:45 pm
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: How does the fact that Illinois is now pink on the aggregate map make you feel? on: October 07, 2014, 07:57:20 pm
* Medicaid expansion
* Same-day voter registration
* Legalization of same-sex marriage
* Medical marijuana
* Repealed the death penalty
* Accepting/using federal high-speed rail funds
* A right-to-vote constitutional amendment and progressive advisory questions placed on this year's ballot
* Running a campaign that correctly paints his opponent as an out-of-touch plutocrat
* A 2nd term agenda likely including a progressive income tax, minimum wage increase, and further liberalization of marijuana laws among other things

FF (feels fantastic)
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Who will win the Illinois gubernatorial election? (Oct. 2014) on: October 07, 2014, 06:32:56 pm

The August 2014 forum poll had about 65% saying Rauner: http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=197089.0
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: 5.8 million Americans can't vote because of their criminal records (+ map) on: October 07, 2014, 05:57:35 pm
I didn't know Florida had so many felons, much less felons without voting rights!

Those shades in Virginia are rather dark, but there's been some improvement since 2012, thanks to an effort from our former Governor and current felon Bob McDonnell.

It's a very popular policy with Rick Scott: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/21/rights-restoration-florida-ex-convicts_n_1904736.html

Florida, Kentucky, Iowa and Virginia are the only states that don’t restore ex-convicts’ rights as soon as their release from prison. In the Sunshine State, rights such as voting, holding public office, and serving on a jury are not automatically granted.

Instead, former inmates must apply to have their rights restored, which can be a lengthy gauntlet. In April 2007, former Gov. Charlie Crist began allowing Level I (burglary, DUI) felons to have their rights automatically restored, and Level II (aggravated battery, kidnapping) and Level III felons (murder, sexual assault) were given a review process.

However, Gov. Rick Scott’s administration reversed Crist’s reforms and also added a waiting period of five or seven years, depending on the crime.


Advocates say not only has Scott made the application process tougher, significantly fewer aplications have been approved: according to data provided by the Florida Parole Commission, 153,928 ex-felons had their voting rights restored over Crist's 4-year term. Nearly two years into Scott's tenure, only 255 could say the same.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / 5.8 million Americans can't vote because of their criminal records (+ map) on: October 06, 2014, 06:25:58 pm
October 5, 2014

Most states prohibit people from voting while in prison for a felony. Even if someone isn't physically incarcerated, if they're serving a criminal sentence for a felony conviction, they're probably not allowed to vote. Twelve states make it illegal for some people with felony convictions to vote even after they've finished their sentences.

As a result, according to the Sentencing Project, 5.8 million American citizens have lost their voting rights through the criminal-justice system. And one in every thirteen African-American citizens has lost his or her right to vote this way.

This map, compiled by the Sentencing Project based on 2012 data, shows which states have disenfranchised the biggest shares of their electorates:

Read more at http://www.vox.com/2014/10/5/6906875/state-prisoner-voting-law-felon-disenfranchisement-map-virginia
11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of automatic voter registration on: September 25, 2014, 12:33:46 am
I don't think it's so much many as it is a few big ones and they list examples in the linked article (it has more text than the parts I quoted) like the registration deadlines, the lack of automatic updates, and even the opt-in model itself.

The main argument is a matter of effectiveness; why settle for a registration rate of 75% when you can achieve 95%+ with a simpler system? Automatic voter registration would be cheaper, more accurate, more up-to-date when processing changes (name change, change of address, etc), it would be less error-prone on the input side, and all the time these organizations spend registering people to vote could be spent talking with voters about the issues.

It's a win all-around over the current system. Hopefully Oregon can pass it in 2015. Democrats would have to net one state senate seat this year and hold as many as possible in the state house. The one Republican in the state house who voted for the 2013 bill retired (the district is pretty much safe-R) and I don't think the new representative will support it. It's too bad so many safe-D states are timid on this issue.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Opinion of automatic voter registration on: September 23, 2014, 08:36:59 pm

September 23, 2014

Today is National Voter Registration Day. Almost 2,000 partners around the country—student groups, educational institutions, unions, faith groups, civic leagues, libraries, worker centers, and elections agencies—are promoting opportunities for individuals to register to vote. Volunteers will spend hundreds of hours doing face-to-face outreach, technology will help voters find registration drives or, if available, register online, and tens of thousands of voters are expected to register to vote in a single day. This is a wonderful testament to civic organization in America.

But even with these laudable efforts, too many unnecessary bureaucratic barriers block the ability of eligible persons to register to vote.

In 2012, approximately 51 million eligible Americans—a quarter of eligible voters—were still not registered to vote. These missing voters are disproportionately low-income voters, people of color, and young Americans. There is also a significant gap in turnout based on income levels in the U.S.: in 2012, only 47 percent of eligible voters in the lowest income bracket voted, while 80 percent of voters in the highest income bracket voted, an income gap in voting of over 30 percent. Right now, racial and class gaps in registration result in a skewed electorate – one that is whiter, wealthier, and older than out nation’s citizenry as a whole. Surely this is one explanation why research shows that government is more responsive to the policy preferences of the donor class—also markedly whiter, wealthier, and older than the general public - than to average Americans, even when their public policy preferences differ greatly from those held by the majority.
13  General Politics / Economics / Re: Research shows every 2nd job might disappear within 2035 on: September 23, 2014, 03:57:10 pm
Nanotechnology, fusion power, advanced AI, space mining, 3D printing, etc.

It's pretty exciting to think about some of the things that could be achieved with technological advances. I think the best are ones that have potential to improve peoples' standard of living. Lowering the cost of communication while making it faster. Essentially free energy for households and personal transportation. Making customization of products cheaper and more pervasive so people can design their own things instead of relying on mass-produced versions. Etc.

Imagine if we could ever get to the point of modifying the human body to make it more resilient. That would be a disaster for the medical and food industries but it would be amazing for us to eliminate that dependency and have more control over ourselves. Trillions in revenues and profits would be gone so it's easy to get why they would be opposed to things like that. You can already see a glimpse of the conflict with electric utilities and solar power or US auto dealerships and electric vehicles.

If you're afraid of this, you've missed the boat on why work exists. The reason we have work in society is because we have tasks  that need to be completed or we will all die without it. If there is no work that needs to be done, it isn't a travesty but a success.

It should be a success. But the odds that policy makers decide not to implement some sort of redistribution scheme is non-negligible.

That's true, but I wonder how they could make it stick. Masses of unemployable people would probably result in redistribution or revolution. Furthermore, is it really in the elites' best interest not to redistribute a little bit? Pensioning off the unemployed masses seems like a pretty cheap insurance policy.

Well you can look at the mass surveillance, the militarization of the police, and the treatment of the poor and see a lot of malice. Redistribution would be a huge concession from them. It could even reduce profits too if the population suddenly had a basic income that was mobile. How many people would move out of high-priced cities if they no longer needed to be there for their job? They could move to lower cost of living areas and that would be a loss to the incumbent real estate players in said cities.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cannabis '14: The WA & CO Memorial Thread on: September 23, 2014, 02:51:00 pm

A newly launched campaign to allow for the recreational use of marijuana in Arizona in 2016 is just the latest in what will likely be a slew of state-level legalization efforts for the next election cycle.

A local chapter of the Marijuana Policy Project, the advocacy group that helped legalize marijuana in Colorado, has formed a committee to push the same in Arizona, the Arizona Republic reports. But the Grand Canyon State is just one of a dozen states where the group plans to focus its efforts in the coming years.

MPP has set its sights on passing legalization in about a dozen states by 2017. It plans to focus on legalizing marijuana legislatively in Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont in the coming years, while the group hopes to use the initiative process to achieve the same goal in California, Maine, Massachusetts and Nevada.


If all 50 states legalized cannabis today, they'd be collectively raking in more than $3 billion a year in taxes.

That's according to NerdWallet, a personal finance site, which forecasts a total $3.1 billion annual windfall for state governments that legalize the popular plant.


NerdWallet's estimate assumed a flat, 15 percent excise tax on marijuana -- the same as Colorado's excise tax on recreational marijuana sales. NerdWallet added state and local sales taxes to that figure.

In 2010, Harvard economist Jeffrey Miron estimated more than $8 billion in annual savings in law enforcement costs if marijuana were legalized.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / 'Surprise' medical bills increasingly common in U.S. healthcare on: September 20, 2014, 03:54:46 pm
Before his three-hour neck surgery for herniated disks in December, Peter Drier, 37, signed a pile of consent forms. A bank technology manager who had researched his insurance coverage, Mr. Drier was prepared when the bills started arriving: $56,000 from Lenox Hill Hospital in Manhattan, $4,300 from the anesthesiologist and even $133,000 from his orthopedist, who he knew would accept a fraction of that fee.

He was blindsided, though, by a bill of about $117,000 from an “assistant surgeon,” a Queens-based neurosurgeon whom Mr. Drier did not recall meeting.

In operating rooms and on hospital wards across the country, physicians and other health providers typically help one another in patient care. But in an increasingly common practice that some medical experts call drive-by doctoring, assistants, consultants and other hospital employees are charging patients or their insurers hefty fees. They may be called in when the need for them is questionable. And patients usually do not realize they have been involved or are charging until the bill arrives.

The practice increases revenue for physicians and other health care workers at a time when insurers are cutting down reimbursement for many services. The surprise charges can be especially significant because, as in Mr. Drier’s case, they may involve out-of-network providers who bill 20 to 40 times the usual local rates and often collect the full amount, or a substantial portion.

Insurers, saying the surprise charges have proliferated, have filed lawsuits challenging them. In recent years, unexpected out-of-network charges have become the top complaint to the New York State agency that regulates insurance companies. Multiple state health insurance commissioners have tried to limit patients’ liability, but lobbying by the health care industry sometimes stymies their efforts.

“This has gotten really bad, and it’s wrong,” said James J. Donelon, the Republican insurance commissioner of Louisiana. “But when you try to address it as a policy maker, you run into a hornet’s nest of financial interests.”

Read more at http://www.nytimes.com/2014/09/21/us/drive-by-doctoring-surprise-medical-bills.html
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cannabis '14: The WA & CO Memorial Thread on: September 19, 2014, 01:01:56 am

September 18, 2014

Voters in the District of Columbia are poised to follow Colorado and Washington state into a closely watched experiment to legalize marijuana, according to a new NBC4/Washington Post/Marist poll.

By an almost 2-to-1 margin (65%-33%), likely voters in the city’s Nov. 4 election say they support Initiative 71, a ballot measure that would legalize possession, home cultivation and the sale of paraphernalia to smoke marijuana in the nation’s capital.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Sweden election results thread (Sept 14, 2014) on: September 16, 2014, 03:17:40 pm
having a government that only represents 36-37% of voters (less than what an Alliance government would represent) is a pretty unfortunate situation.

Come to canada where we have a dictatorial Conservative majority government that only 39% of the electorate voted for...Margaret Thatcher never won more than 42% of the vote in the UK and it never stopped her from ramming her policies down everyone's throats.

Yes, but there's a big difference between a PR and FPTP system. Thatcher always had a majority of MPs, and Harper had a decent plurality of MPs. The government Löfvén is proposing would have less support in parliament than the main political alternative. I have a hard time seeing Thatcher holding on if Labour had more MPs than her, and Harper holding on if the Liberals had been bigger.

Not that it will be impossible. We should remember that Sweden had a government representing only 11% of the voters, only 35 years ago, and that was before the simplified budget rules that make it easier for minority governments to hold on.

I've always wondered how 'minority governments' run. Do bills and budgets need less than 50% of the vote or do they rely on opposition support on a case-by-case basis?
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: God Save the Queen on: September 16, 2014, 03:10:13 pm

Death to all monarchies everywhere. Disgusting parasitic filth and nothing more.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Which Pat Quinn accomplishment is your personal favorite? on: September 15, 2014, 09:52:56 pm
Medicaid expansion and same-day voter registration
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Cuomo v. Teachout on: September 09, 2014, 07:15:20 pm
semi-related question: in states with a closed primary is the turnout figure still based on the number of all registered voters or is it the number of people registered in the party?

The statewide figure is based on all registered voters in Oregon (which has closed primaries): http://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Documents/Voter-Turnout-History-Primary.pdf

You could argue the number is still inflated though considering it's based off of registered voters. A good quarter or even a third of eligible voters in some states aren't even registered to vote.
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Police take hundreds of millions of $s from motorists not charged with crimes on: September 09, 2014, 06:42:19 pm
Quite a lucrative system they've managed to set up for themselves: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/09/08/civil-asset-forfeitures-more-than-double-under-obama/

An ongoing investigative series by the Post sheds light on a law enforcement practice known as civil asset forfeiture, in which officials can seize cash or goods from a person suspected of a crime, even if no charges are ever brought against that person. Since 2001, police have seized $2.5 billion in cash from people who were never charged with a crime.

While many factors likely contribute to the increase, one major component is the rise in post-2001 "stop and seize" traffic stops documented in the Post article.

The Post piece notes that under civil asset forfeiture laws, the burden of proof is on the owner of the assets to show that they are not related to a crime by a legal standard known as preponderance of the evidence. In essence, you're considered guilty until proven innocent.


Previous attempts at reform have largely been stymied due to intense lobbying from law enforcement groups, for whom asset forfeiture can be a significant source of revenue.
22  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Government social program for low income families regarding automobiles on: September 07, 2014, 12:19:42 am
What about people who live in rural areas?

Subsidies for solar panels can mean free 'gas' when we consider electric vehicles. Both of these things are decreasing in price too (though they're obviously still too expensive at the moment). I could see that as a pretty progressive proposal in the future; saving households thousands of dollars a year by eliminating their electric utility bills and transportation-fuel costs.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Police take hundreds of millions of $s from motorists not charged with crimes on: September 06, 2014, 11:52:19 pm
September 6, 2014

After the terror attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, the government called on police to become the eyes and ears of homeland security on America’s highways. Local officers, county deputies and state troopers were encouraged to act more aggressively in searching for suspicious people, drugs and other contraband. The departments of Homeland Security and Justice spent millions on police training

The effort succeeded, but it had an impact that has been largely hidden from public view: the spread of an aggressive brand of policing that has spurred the seizure of hundreds of millions of dollars in cash from motorists and others not charged with crimes, a Washington Post investigation found. Thousands of people have been forced to fight legal battles that can last more than a year to get their money back.

There have been 61,998 cash seizures made on highways and elsewhere since 9/11 without search warrants or indictments through the Equitable Sharing Program, totaling more than $2.5 billion. State and local authorities kept more than $1.7 billion of that while Justice, Homeland Security and other federal agencies received $800 million.


Hundreds of state and local departments and drug task forces appear to rely on seized cash, despite a federal ban on the money to pay salaries or otherwise support budgets. The Post found that 298 departments and 210 task forces have seized the equivalent of 20 percent or more of their annual budgets since 2008.

Read more at http://www.washingtonpost.com/sf/investigative/2014/09/06/stop-and-seize/
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: Robert Morris University (PA): Wolf leads by 31 on: September 03, 2014, 12:57:35 am
^ Isn't it true that the 2012 state legislative elections didn't even take place under the new maps?



The Pennsylvania Legislative Reapportionment Commission approved its final compromise maps on April 12, 2012, following the rejection of the first set by the state Supreme Court. Because they were passed after the signature filing deadline, the 2012 elections were held using the old maps with the new maps going into effect for the 2014 elections.[3]

Do we know if these new maps are more or less gerrymandered than the old ones?
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Presidential vs. Parliamentary systems on: August 30, 2014, 01:48:45 am
Someone care to explain what a semi-presidential system is?

The President, who is the head of state, appoints the Prime Minister (and can't dismiss him), who is the Head of Government. So the two roles are distributed between the two offices.

Is there such a thing as a parliamentary system with a Prime Minister (head of government) who is also the head of state? A parliamentary system with just a PM and no additional/separate Monarch or President is what I mean.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 103

Login with username, password and session length


Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines