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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Next Australian Federal Election - 2015/2016 on: June 30, 2015, 10:54:53 am
IIRC, they have multiple triggers.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-06-18/abbott-government-given-first-double-dissolution-trigger/5532358

The biggest reason, as has been pointed out earlier, that I think an early election is unlikely, is that with a halved quota, you'd see another spate of terrible cross-bench Senators with a double dissolution.

He won't do a House-only election, and the earliest he can have a regularly scheduled House/Senate election is August 6, 2016.

Another reason, although less important, is the fact that there are ongoing redistributions in WA and NSW that won't end until early next year. If Abbott does do a DD, this is what would happen.

Quote
The mechanism that has been in the Commonwealth Electoral Act since 1984, but to date never used, is a 'mini-redistribution'.

In a state set to lose a seat, the two adjacent electorates with the lowest enrolment would be amalgamated into a single electorate.

In a state set to gain an electorate, the two neighbouring electorates with the highest enrolment would be quickly divided into three electorates.

http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2014/07/double-dissolutions-and-the-redistribution-timetable.html
2  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice (Reform) Act on: June 29, 2015, 10:51:10 am
Aye
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Next Australian Federal Election - 2015/2016 on: June 29, 2015, 10:49:39 am
Newspoll has released its last ever quarterly report and it continues to show some improbable numbers.

Quote
Also out this evening is a last hurrah from Newspoll in the shape of its quarterly aggregates of federal voting intention broken by state. GhostWhoVotes relates that these show a 50-50 split in New South Wales, compared with a 54-46 lead to Labor last time and consistent with the story being told of late by BludgerTrack; a Labor lead of 57-43 in Victoria, down from 59-41; a Labor lead of 52-48 in Queensland, compared with 50-50 last time; a 50-50 result in Western Australia, compared with an improbable Labor lead of 54-46 last time; and a 52-48 Labor lead in South Australia, down from 53-47 last time. Hopefully there will be a link to full tables from The Australian reasonably soon, as well as gender breakdowns.

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2015/06/30/morgan-53-5-46-5-to-labor/
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion on: June 27, 2015, 12:50:26 pm
Is there any chance that Abbott will face another leadership challenge/motion due to his horrible polls? 

His polls aren't particularly horrible anymore. Trailing 48-52 midterm with an equally unpopular Opposition Leader isn't a position from which the party will try to get rid of him. Considering he survived in a much more disastrous position back in February, he's secure.

Started a federal election thread in the IE board because of the speculation over an early election-

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=215139.0
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Next Australian Federal Election - 2015/2016 on: June 27, 2015, 08:43:06 am
To help clear up the general election polling and stuff on the other thread, I thought we may as well start this now, since we already had one of these when Julia Gillard was Prime Minister at an earlier point in her tenure.

http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/five-reasons-why-tony-abbott-could-call-an-early-electionand-five-reasons-why-it-may-not-happen-20150626-ghyb1o.html

The election is due by January 14, 2017, but it will be held before then, most likely in 2016, but there has been speculation that Abbott may call an early election (as has almost every first-term government in the postwar era).

Nearly all recent polls have the Labor opposition 52-48 ahead in the TPP, which suggests this election is poised to be a tossup.
6  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice (Reform) Act on: June 26, 2015, 06:52:23 pm
A vote is open on the amendment to undo Yankee's amendment.

Senators have 72 hours to vote or until a clear majority exists to kill or pass the amendment.
7  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice (Reform) Act on: June 26, 2015, 01:13:04 pm
The amendment has been adopted because the objection was 2 minutes late.

I'll introduce an amendment to remove Yankee's amendment. Senators have 24 hours to object.
8  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: The White House (Bore/Nix Administration) on: June 25, 2015, 09:00:24 pm
Quote from:  FINAL TEXT
International Biodiversity Conservation Aid Act

1. Within the Atlasian Agency for International Development, a sub-agency dedicated to providing aid solely for the conservation of global ecosystems shall be created known as the International Biodiversity Conservation Bureau (IBCB).

2. $1 billion shall be appropriated each year from the federal budget for the IBCB.

3. The IBCB shall be tasks with providing grants to governmental and non-governmental organizations abroad who devote themselves to the aim of protecting species, their habitats, and ecosystems from excessive rates of extinction and erosion of biotic interactions.

4. The IBCB will have the expressed permission to carry out 'debt-for-nature' conservation swaps where debt from one country to Atlasia will be written off in exchange for a legal commitment to preserve, protect and defend a specific section of biodiversity within a country.

4b. The IBCB will have the authority to cancel any debt cancellation if the agreement has been breached, or if said country fails to meet the agreement set out.

5. The IBCB shall be tasked with creating a committee to review applications for aid and a taskforce to ensure allocated funds are used according to the tenets on which they are granted.

6. The following guidelines, in addition to those set by the the IBCB board, must be met before any body may receive a financial award from the agency.

a) The organization may not be guilty of involvement in any violations of international law and must be independently verified to be dedicated to achieving the goals for which it seeks financial resources.
b) The organization's goals must be approved by independent researchers and/or scientists as having a positive impact on the environment and directly related to the preservation of biodiversity on the planet.
c) The organization must demonstrate a long-term or short-term plan for how all the money provided by the Atlasian government shall be spent during its lifetime.


Mr President,
This bill has passed the Senate.

Regards,
Speaker Talleyrand
9  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: International Biodiversity Conservation Aid Act on: June 25, 2015, 08:58:55 pm
This bill has passed the Senate.

AYE (6) - Blair, Talleyrand, New Canadaland, Polnut, Cris, Turkisblau
NAY (1) - Yankee
Not Voting (1) - Hagrid
10  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Senator Talleyrand (Announcement) on: June 25, 2015, 08:53:29 pm
So this is announcement is a bit late, but I feel like it's necessary.

I am very happy to have won re-election to the Northeast Senate seat and thank the voters of the Northeast for the trust that they have put in me for another four months; I really appreciate this and am very sorry to let you down this way.

I will not be taking my senate seat on the commencement of the new Senate on July 3rd and will instead be resigning from the Senate that day. In all honesty, I've lost a lot of my interest in the body over the last month or so, and came close to dropping out in my re-election bid last week (I heavily regret not doing this now). I felt that I could probably revive my activity in a second term but I simply don't feel up to it at this point. It pains me to do this will the game itself lies in such a bad state, but I am simply unable to inject the enthusiasm into Atlasia that I have been able to provide in the past.

I will continue as Deputy Secretary of Federal Elections, assisting Homelycooking when necessary, and  vote in Atlasian elections, but I don't intend to run for electoral office in the future. For all intents and purposes, this is my retirement from active politics in this game.

I wish my successor the best of luck. Thank you all for your support.
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice (Reform) Act on: June 25, 2015, 08:11:45 am
The amendment has failed.

NAY (5) - Yankee, Talleyrand, Polnut, New Canadaland, Blair
Not Voting (3) - Hagrid, Cris, Turkisblau

Senators have 24 hours to object to Yankee's amendment.
12  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: If malcontents can whine the GM out of office on: June 25, 2015, 07:59:25 am
"The GM made me do it."

If that's actually true, of course you should be pardoned. No one should be convicted simply because the GM wrote that he or she did something naughty.

By this logic, everyone involved in the "civil war" last year should be pardoned, since in every "rebellion" or "revolution" before that, claims about killing people and overthrowing the government were completely ignored. If the Cabinet can pick and choose which of these actions are actually real, this game becomes even more of a joke. In my view, unless someone in a position of actual power (such as a governor) commits an act of treason in this game, they should just be ignored.
13  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion on: June 24, 2015, 09:12:51 pm
The Killing Season is actually brilliant, hard to watch but so good.

So compelling ... Rudd looks like the smug **** he is.

The series actually rehabilitated his reputation somewhat I think. Although Gillard continues to come off as a far better individual than Rudd, it's quite clear he was the wronged party (by FAR) in the 2010 coup.
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: The Time Has Come on: June 24, 2015, 07:22:25 pm
If you want to embark on radical change of this kind at least make sure to do it right. A wholesale revision of boundaries or nothing.

This is my view in short.

Either we do a whole-scale consolidation effort to create 3 regions and start from a blank slate with no concern for present regional boundaries, or nothing at all. Since the former isn't politically feasible, the latter it is.

An easy solution, however, which would basically be constitutional as far as I know, would be to set up a joint government for the two regions. Technically, you'd be living in either the Pacific or Midwest and they'd each vote for a Senator but the regional government would be united.
15  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice (Reform) Act on: June 24, 2015, 06:18:24 pm
Yankee, just vote NAY on your uncorrected amendment and we can end the vote there because it'll have enough votes to fail.
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Justice System Reform Bill 2 2015 on: June 24, 2015, 10:18:14 am
The amendment has been adopted.
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: National Parks Act of 2015 on: June 24, 2015, 10:17:53 am
The amendment has been adopted.
18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: International Biodiversity Conservation Aid Act on: June 24, 2015, 10:17:14 am
The bill has enough votes to pass. Senators have 24 hours to change their votes.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2015 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races on: June 23, 2015, 06:08:58 pm
Yeah, it's going to be a bloodbath.
20  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Petition to reban JoMCaR on: June 23, 2015, 11:28:34 am
x Talleyrand

21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: International Biodiversity Conservation Aid Act on: June 23, 2015, 11:15:04 am
Senators, a vote is open on this bill. It will last 72 hours or until a majority has been reached to pass or kill it.



AYE
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Criminal Justice (Reform) Act on: June 23, 2015, 11:14:22 am
I object to the amendment.

A vote on the amendment is now open.

The vote will last 72 hours or until a majority exists to pass or fail the amendment.



NAY
23  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: Justice System Reform Bill 2 2015 on: June 22, 2015, 07:05:40 pm
Senators have 24 hours to object to that amendment.
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: National Parks Act of 2015 on: June 22, 2015, 02:41:15 pm
Senators have 24 hours to object to Blair's amendment.
25  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Northeast Election Coverage (Assembly Results) on: June 22, 2015, 12:11:12 pm
I'm confused. Doesn't twistory have 5 prefs?

neither answer is correct.

twistory, along with autumnleaf and registered southerner gekkonidae, is in fact a sockpuppet of the esteemed federalist candidate for vice president, jomcar.

Yeah, he should have just been perma-banned.
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