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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New South Wales State Election, 2015 on: March 02, 2015, 05:24:58 pm
I tend to agree with your analysis overall, Ebowed.

He does have some interesting points in there though, such as the tidbit about the North Coast seats.

Quote
The north coast National Party seats of Ballina, Lismore and Tweed all sit on margins of more than 21%. All would be Labor held based on the results of the 2013 federal election and will be seats to watch despite being well beyond the uniform swing.

I don't think the ALP is in a position to take any of this trio, but I wonder how much they'll improve. There was also a substantial Greens presence in them, especially in Ballina (I read somewhere the Nationals are slightly worried about a Green upset there).
2  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion on: March 02, 2015, 05:10:51 pm
That seems to make sense. I first started following Aussie politics during Rudd's first challenge to Gillard back in 2012 and remember being surprised that the polls showed the government down "only" 47-53 before they blew back out to double digits when he lost.



Anyway, a rare poll is out from the Northern Territory, where, to put it mildly, the incumbent Country Liberal government has been a disaster.



On respondent-allocated preferences, the Labor lead is 62-38, an 18% swing from 2012, when the CLP won 56-44.
3  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Lion and the Rose, the II ASOIAF Game (Sign Up - Rules Thread) on: March 01, 2015, 06:33:10 pm
On the upside, this gives up one more day to send in our turn orders. Tongue
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion on: March 01, 2015, 08:46:56 am
The new Fairfax/Ipsos shows remarkable movement to the Coalition, with Labor ahead on 51-49, a swing of 3 points to the Coalition. On respondent allocated preferences, it's 52-48. Primary votes are 42-36-12.

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2015/03/01/fairfax-ipsos-51-49-to-labor-2/
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New South Wales State Election, 2015 on: March 01, 2015, 08:44:41 am
ReachTel has it 53-47 to the Coalition with primary votes of 45%, 35%, and 10%. Baird approvals are 42-21 while Foley is underwater at 17-27.

Newspoll has it at 54-46, and 43%, 36%, and 11%. Baird is at 59-26 and Foley at 36-31. Preferred Premier is 55-25.

Morgan has virtually the same primary votes as Newspoll, but it's at 52.5-47.5 on the TPP. Baird's at 49-26 and Foley at 28-28. Preferred Premier is 69-31.

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2015/02/27/newspoll-54-46-to-coalition-in-nsw-2/
https://twitter.com/ghostwhovotes
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Australia General Discussion on: February 27, 2015, 07:48:52 am
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/politics-news/liberals-may-back-kevin-rudd-for-un-secretary-general-role/story-fn59nqld-1227241427503

o_o

Apparently Rudd is considering running for UN Secretary General.
7  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Talleyrand for Northeast Senate on: February 26, 2015, 06:23:46 pm
Thank you all for your kind words.



Like most Atlasians tonight, I was horrified by the brutal attack on Topeka yesterday and my thoughts are with the victims and their families. I strongly condemn this cowardly, destructive actions by these terrorists. We will not be cowed by such behavior.

I strongly support the actions taken by President Lumine and Secretary of Internal Affairs Hagrid in response to this. When I take office next week, I fully intend to work with the Senate to make sure those responsible for these crimes face justice.
8  Forum Community / Election and History Games / Re: The Lion and the Rose: South on: February 25, 2015, 11:14:45 pm
Whichever came out first; just like how Cersei would have been heir to Tywin had she been male. I guess it's up to Lumine to decide between Horas and Hobber for that honor.
9  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Nevermore shall we hear the plaintive call of 'Reluctant Nay' on: February 24, 2015, 10:18:47 pm
And isn't that wonderful news?

Is this about Yankee? If so, you are a terrible person.

I would not say so. As conservatives, we needed someone, at that critical juncture, to stand up for the basic principles of free enterprise, the market economy, and pure fiscal sanity. For him to have signalled "reluctance" in opposing the ludicrous piece of legislation that was the Fuel and Power Act was tantamount to saying that his support of those principles was equally ambivalent.

I have have long had great respect for Yankee and his service, and I thank him for it, but the fact is that it had simply become too milquetoast, both in the Senate and as leader of the Federalists, who now are, and I don't think anyone would deny this, interminably moribund. Regardless, I doubt we will see anyone who will come close to his political longevity- and he managed to survive Operation Cottonfield, mind you- any time soon, if ever. I wish him the best.

     I wonder who the longest-tenured current officeholder is now. Yankee held that distinction by a huge margin. Before him it was Dibble, and before Dibble it was opebo.

I think it's Homelycooking followed by Bgwah.
10  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Department of Federal Elections: Homelycooking, SoFE on: February 24, 2015, 08:35:06 pm
One issue: it was Cynic/Griff in October 2013, not Griff/Cynic (though I'm flattered).

Also, what about first round results? That'd make bore's victory look a lot better in comparison. Cheesy

bore's thing is from the first round results, otherwise it'd be 60-40 or whatever the margin was (I deleted my second round calculations about 115 votes in).

It would have been 71 Bore, 54 Maxwell with 2 exhausted. So 56.8-43.2.
11  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Talleyrand for Northeast Senate on: February 23, 2015, 12:36:22 am
The results are in and it looks as if we have won. I thank all my supporters for their backing; I am forever grateful. I further thank Cinyc and Matt on running respectful, issue-based campaigns and hope they both remain active in the game. I will do my best to represent you in the game.

I congratulate Senators Cranberry, Windjammer, and TNF on being reelected, and Senator Hagrid on his election. I offer my commiserations to Dereich, Spiral, and Yankee, who all ran strong campaigns as well. I am very excited about Senator Bore and Senator Bacon King's victory for the White House. They will do a fantastic job and I have no doubt that Maxwell and Dallasfan would have done so too. I look forward to working with the new Senate and President in a few weeks.
12  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Maxwell/Dallasfan65 for President - Concession Speech on: February 23, 2015, 12:27:25 am
You two are among the most conscientious public servants in Atlasia, and I'm glad to consider you friends. This was a principled, courageous campaign, and I hope we'll being more of both of you soon.
13  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: cinyc for Northeast Senate (Concession) on: February 23, 2015, 12:26:06 am
Cinyc, I really enjoyed this campaign; you were an active, diligent participant and interacting with you was a pleasure. I hope you will continue to contribute to Atlasia in some capacity, whether elected or as a citizen.
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Office of Northeast Chief Judicial Officer Talleyrand (Election Results) on: February 23, 2015, 12:23:14 am


As Chief Judicial Officer, I hereby declare that the total number of votes cast in the gubernatorial election for each candidates was as follows:

SawxDem- 16
Poirot- 9

As Chief Judicial Officer, I hereby declare that the total number of votes cast in the assembly election for each candidates was as follows:

Quota- 5

First Round

Winfield- 7
Blair2015- 5
MattVT- 5
Clyde1998- 4
Pikachu- 2
RGN08- 1

Second Round

Winfield- 5
Blair2015- 5
MattVT- 5
Clyde1998- 4 2/7
Pikachu- 2 2/7
RGN08- 1 6/7

I hereby certify that SawxDem has been duly elected Northeast Governor and Winfield, Blair2015, Matt from VT, Clyde1998, and Pikachu have been elected Northeast Representatives.

x Talleyrand
February 23, 2015

The election results have been certified.
15  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Northeast Voting Booth: February 2015 General Election on: February 23, 2015, 12:21:18 am


As Chief Judicial Officer, I hereby declare that the total number of votes cast in the gubernatorial election for each candidates was as follows:

SawxDem- 16
Poirot- 9

As Chief Judicial Officer, I hereby declare that the total number of votes cast in the assembly election for each candidates was as follows:

Quota- 5

First Round

Winfield- 7
Blair2015- 5
MattVT- 5
Clyde1998- 4
Pikachu- 2
RGN08- 1

Second Round

Winfield- 5
Blair2015- 5
MattVT- 5
Clyde1998- 4 2/7
Pikachu- 2 2/7
RGN08- 1 6/7

I hereby certify that SawxDem has been duly elected Northeast Governor and Winfield, Blair2015, Matt from VT, Clyde1998, and Pikachu have been elected Northeast Representatives.

x Talleyrand
February 23, 2015
16  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Cranberry, Windjammer Re-elected on: February 22, 2015, 11:41:23 pm
MIDWEST

TNF (Labor)
59% (13)
Dereich (Federalist)
36% (8)
GAWorth (P.E.A.C.E.)
5% (1)
Cassius (Federalist)
0% (0)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD  
TNF RE-ELECTED

Although there are still several ballots likely to be cast here, Senator TNF will maintain his lead over challenger Dereich, a Federalist and former Southern Emperor. TNF had been perennially vulnerable due to the polarized electorate in his region and his controversial communist stances, but he once again won very strong support from the region's left. While Dereich made it close, he was unable to win the crucial swing voters and turn up conservative turnout to a level needed to unseat the longtime Senator. When the body reconvenes, TNF will be its longest serving member. 


SOUTH

HagridOfTheDeep (Independent)
55% (11)
North Carolina Yankee (Federalist)
45% (9)

PROJECTION - INDEPENDENT GAIN  
HAGRID ELECTED

After seventeen consecutive wins, Federalist Senator North Carolina Yankee, who has served since 2009, has lost his seat. He faced an exceptionally strong opponent in his former ally HagridOfTheDeep, the incumbent SoIA and former Federalist Chairman who quit the party due to his increasingly centrist stances. As an independent, Hagrid won most moderates and leftists, while chipping at Yankee's strong support from conservatives to narrowly win the race where at most one more vote is expected. Yankee outperformed polls to make this a tight contest, but in the end it hasn't been enough. The South will have a new senator for the first time in six years.
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Cranberry, Windjammer Re-elected on: February 22, 2015, 11:26:04 pm
As of Poirot



FEBRUARY 2015 REGIONAL SENATE ELECTIONS



NORTHEAST

FIRST ROUND

Talleyrand (Labor)
55% (16)
Cinyc (Independent)
31% (9)
Matt from VT (The People's Party)
14% (4)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD  


MIDEAST

Windjammer (Labor)
60% (24)
Spiral (Democratic-Republican)
38% (15)
SPC (Labor)
3% (1)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD


MIDWEST

TNF (Labor)
59% (13)
Dereich (Federalist)
36% (8)
GAWorth (P.E.A.C.E.)
5% (1)
Cassius (Federalist)
0% (0)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD  


SOUTH

HagridOfTheDeep (Independent)
55% (11)
North Carolina Yankee (Federalist)
45% (9)

PROJECTION - INDEPENDENT GAIN  


PACIFIC

Cranberry (The People's Party)
93% (14)
Potus2036 (The People's Party)
7% (1)

PROJECTION - TPP HOLD

18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Feb 2015 Election Tracker - Labor to Re-Capture White House on: February 22, 2015, 11:20:43 pm
As of Yankee



FEBRUARY 2015 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION- REGIONAL RESULTS


NORTHEAST

FIRST ROUND


Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
68% (19)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
18% (5)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
14% (4)

PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN


MIDEAST

FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
53% (21)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
28% (11)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
10% (8)

PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN


MIDWEST

FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)    
64% (14)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
32% (7)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
4% (1)

PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN


SOUTH

FIRST ROUND

Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
50% (10)
Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
35% (7)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
15% (3)

PROJECTION - DR WIN


PACIFIC

FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
53% (8)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
40% (6)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
7% (1)

PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN


FEBRUARY 2015 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - TOTAL


FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
55% (69)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
31% (39)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
14% (17)


PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Northeast Voting Booth: February 2015 General Election on: February 22, 2015, 11:09:51 pm
Governor

1. Sawx
2. Poirot

Assembly

1. Pikachu
2. Clyde
3. Blair
4. Matt
5. Winfield
6. RGN
20  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Feb 2015 Election Tracker - NE Senate Projection on: February 22, 2015, 03:38:13 pm
PRESIDENTIAL





FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
57% (66)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
30% (35)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
13% (15)


PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN
BORE/BACON KING ELECTED

With nearly all likely votes cast, Inside Nyman projects that the cross-party ticket of Bore, Labor's Northeast Senator, and TPP At-Large Senator (and 4-time Vice President) Bacon King has won the election, defeating the Democratic-Republican ticket of Southeast Speaker Maxwell and former Northeast Governor Dallasfan65 and the Federalist ticket of Mideast Assemblyman JCL and former Pacific Councillor Devin. The ticket is winning outright on the first ballot, recording almost sixty percent of the vote and currently leads in four out of five regions. Although conservative late turnout may tighten the results somewhat, it's a tall ask for the DR ticket to gain over twenty-three votes in these final hours and is virtually impossible. Although late polls had shown a close race, it appears a divided vote along with the popularity of the leftist candidates has brought them to a win, returning Labor to the White House. Bore is poised to become the sixth Labor President of Atlasia, while Bacon King will become its third TPP Vice President.
21  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Cranberry, Windjammer Re-elected on: February 22, 2015, 03:31:00 pm
As of Windjammer



FEBRUARY 2015 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION- REGIONAL RESULTS


NORTHEAST

FIRST ROUND


Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
70% (19)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
15% (4)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
15% (4)

PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN


MIDEAST

FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
56% (20)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
25% (9)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
19% (7)

PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN


MIDWEST

FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
60% (12)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
35% (7)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
5% (1)

NO PROJECTION


SOUTH

FIRST ROUND

Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
50% (9)
Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
39% (7)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
11% (2)

NO PROJECTION


PACIFIC

FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
53% (8)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
40% (6)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
7% (1)

NO PROJECTION



FEBRUARY 2015 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - TOTAL


FIRST ROUND

Bore (Labor) / Bacon King (The People's Party)
57% (66)
Maxwell (Democratic-Republican) / Dallasfan65 (Democratic-Republican)
30% (35)
JohanusCalvinusLibertas (Federalist) / Devin (Federalist)
13% (15)


PROJECTION - LABOR/TPP WIN
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Cranberry, Windjammer Re-elected on: February 22, 2015, 03:23:57 pm
As of Lief



FEBRUARY 2015 REGIONAL SENATE ELECTIONS



NORTHEAST

FIRST ROUND

Talleyrand (Labor)
59% (16)
Cinyc (Independent)
30% (8)
Matt from VT (The People's Party)
11% (3)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD  


MIDEAST

Windjammer (Labor)
63% (22)
Spiral (Democratic-Republican)
34% (12)
SPC (Labor)
3% (1)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD


MIDWEST

TNF (Labor)
58% (11)
Dereich (Federalist)
39% (7)
GAWorth (P.E.A.C.E.)
5% (1)
Cassius (Federalist)
0% (0)

NO PROJECTION


SOUTH

HagridOfTheDeep (Independent)
56% (10)
North Carolina Yankee (Federalist)
44% (8)

NO PROJECTION


PACIFIC

Cranberry (The People's Party)
93% (14)
Potus2036 (The People's Party)
7% (1)

PROJECTION - TPP HOLD
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New South Wales State Election, 2015 on: February 22, 2015, 01:29:56 pm
Galaxy has it as 53-47 to the Coalition, down from 54-46 last time around.
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Feb 2015 Election Tracker - Senate Winners Projected in ME, PA on: February 22, 2015, 01:15:55 pm
Hagrid has won the IDS senate race.

It certainly looks very very difficult for Yankee to pull this out, but keep in mind the margin in terms of actual votes is still pretty small (2 atm). If everything and more goes right for him, he could force a runoff.
25  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Inside Nyman: Cranberry, Windjammer Re-elected on: February 22, 2015, 01:07:14 pm
As of Duke



FEBRUARY 2015 REGIONAL SENATE ELECTIONS



NORTHEAST

FIRST ROUND

Talleyrand (Labor)
57% (13)
Cinyc (Independent)
30% (7)
Matt from VT (The People's Party)
13% (3)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD 


MIDEAST

Windjammer (Labor)
62% (21)
Spiral (Democratic-Republican)
35% (12)
SPC (Labor)
3% (1)

PROJECTION - LABOR HOLD


MIDWEST

TNF (Labor)
56% (10)
Dereich (Federalist)
39% (7)
GAWorth (P.E.A.C.E.)
6% (1)
Cassius (Federalist)
0% (0)

NO PROJECTION


SOUTH

HagridOfTheDeep (Independent)
56% (10)
North Carolina Yankee (Federalist)
44% (8)

NO PROJECTION


PACIFIC

Cranberry (The People's Party)
93% (13)
Potus2036 (The People's Party)
7% (1)

PROJECTION - TPP HOLD
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