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July 25, 2016, 05:01:35 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state in the Upper Midwest is easiest for Trump to win? on: July 24, 2016, 07:09:41 pm
Minnesota

Curious as to why you think Minnesota is possible for Trump.  As someone who lives in Minnesota I just do not see it. Historically liberal state with lots of college educated voters, not exactly in Trump's wheelhouse.

BTW the correct answer for the choices given is Michigan but that is unlikely.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump: Ailes is a "very, very good person" on: July 24, 2016, 06:58:13 pm
Easy red meat for Hillary to throw to the Democratic base, gets to tie Trump to a sexual harraser  and gets to discredit Fox News.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton's campaign manager: Russia helping Trump on: July 24, 2016, 06:52:11 pm
I think this is a great line of attack to be honest, helps both to discredit the leaks and to build patriotic sympathy for the Clinton campaign.

Nailed it.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Malik Obama Endorses Donald Trump for President on: July 24, 2016, 06:49:52 pm
Thought it said "Malia" for a second.

So did I. LOL

So did I.

I am waiting to see who Joe Biden's nephew supports before I make a decision on who I support.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Clinton win Utah? on: July 24, 2016, 06:47:36 pm
Not unless it is a 34-33-33 race and I don't see that happening.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Thousands of Sanders Supporters take to the Streets in Philadelphia on: July 24, 2016, 06:45:58 pm
I love how the DNC protests are already way, way, way worse than the violent monstrosity that the RNC was supposed to be.

They really aren't.
Tell that to CNN, MSNBC, and every other media outlet that has evaluated the crowd size. The crowds are bigger. They are louder. And this is just day one.

Keep in mind, it's a lot easier to get to Philly then it is to Cleveland. You can hop on board a train and get to Philly from Baltimore, DC, New York, etc, in a matter of hours for a relatively reasonable cost. Most committed left-wing activists are too lazy to pay for airfare to Cleveland or make the twelve hour drive just to get driven back by clouds of tear gas.


Crowds may be larger but i have seen no indication they have been anything but peaceful. If you are hoping for clouds of tear gas I think you will be disappointed.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Thousands of Sanders Supporters take to the Streets in Philadelphia on: July 24, 2016, 06:33:22 pm
And in a little over 24 hours their revered leader will be giving a speech endorsing Clinton.

The Bernistas will have there little protests, get some symbolic victories that mean little (a platform nobody cares about, Superdelegate reform for 4 or 8 years down the line and DWS head on a pike).  In the end it will mean nothing and HRC will come out of the convention with a mostly united Party.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What is Newt Gingrich going to do now? on: July 17, 2016, 08:22:34 pm
He will probably go to the zoo.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Jill Stein attacks Sanders' Clinton endorsement on: July 12, 2016, 06:17:51 pm
With Bernie or busters support she may triple her 2012 support, all the way to 1%.

Really, who gives a bleep what Jill Stein thinks? She is irrelevant to the presidential race. 
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: Minnesota is stupid on: July 04, 2016, 09:03:54 pm
I just replied to a similar post on a different thread but I will repeat myself here.

Delegates are bound by the primary, other party business is conducted at the caucus.  Nothing unusual about that.

11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: California Democrats call for elimination of superdelegates and caucuses on: July 04, 2016, 08:44:07 pm
Yeah, look for Christine Pelosi to be a big player in Philadelphia on the rule changes.

Apparently Washington is considering doing away with caucuses as well.

http://kuow.org/post/washington-democrats-may-ditch-precinct-caucuses

Minnesota has already done it. There was some talk for Colorado and Maine. Hopefully we see the start of a trend.

Minnesota did not get rid of caucuses. They are now holding caucuses AND primaries because they are stupid.

The Delegates are bound by the Primary.

Most states have some sort of process to pick the actual delegates and for grass roots party organizing, that is what the caucuses will continue to be in Minnesota.

BTW I believe Maine has already approved a presidential primary for 2020 also.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does anybody think Gary Johnson can win the election? on: July 04, 2016, 07:01:20 pm
I don't think even Johnson thinks he can win.

If Teddy Roosevelt couldn't win as a 3rd Party candidate I don't think this country will ever will ever see a 3rd Party candidate elected.

13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Majority of GOPers agree with TRUMP: Obama is an ISIS sympathizer on: July 04, 2016, 05:17:20 pm
Trump simply represents the base.  He's not some strange, wacky outlier or aberration like some conservatives depict.

14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democrats now ahead in Colorado registration for the first time in 20 years on: July 04, 2016, 05:08:30 pm
FWIW I believe there is still slightly more "active voters" that are Republicans but when you include "inactive voters" there are more Democrats. Not sure what defines an active voter in Colorado. I believe both active and inactive voters are mailed ballots.

BTW there are more no party affiliation/minor party registered voters than either Republicans or Democrats.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Flash poll: If Hillary goes down, who gets the nomination? on: July 02, 2016, 04:51:23 pm

Anyway, these wet dream threads are getting old. How many do we need?
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Was Donald Trump's tweet anti-Semitic? on: July 02, 2016, 11:44:06 am
you'd truly have to be a special kind of moronic to believe it isn't.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: NRA starts running ads for Trump - go Benghazi, not guns on: July 01, 2016, 03:26:38 pm
The NRA filmed that ad w/o permission and in violation of government policy to film at national cemetery.

https://twitter.com/EricBoehlert/status/748973843507666944
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When will Trump start leading in the polls? on: July 01, 2016, 03:16:31 pm
He'll lead in the week between the RNC and DNC. Unless he has a stellar debate performance or Hillary totally crashes, I don't see him leading after that.

There is no week between the conventions. 
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: When will Trump start leading in the polls? on: July 01, 2016, 03:13:27 pm
Never. There will be some single polls where he is slightly ahead, but he will never lead in the RCP-average.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) on: July 01, 2016, 12:18:20 am
Bottom line Bernie is still going to lose by a significant margin and the big picture does not change at all.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What happens if Hillary is indicted after the DNC? on: July 01, 2016, 12:15:42 am
BTW there is a better chance the Obama "whitey tape" drops than Hillary gets indicted. 

Some followers of losing candidates will always be looking for the magic bullet, the scandal they are sure is out there that will bring down their despised foe.  It almost never happens.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What happens if Hillary is indicted after the DNC? on: July 01, 2016, 12:04:34 am
She beats Trump by 5 instead of 10.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The House Democrats Sit-In on: June 22, 2016, 10:29:09 pm
99% of Americans are not watching and the remaining 1% are probably split.  The Republic will survive.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does the recent gun massacre of 50+ LGBT people in Orlando, Florida... on: June 12, 2016, 10:58:03 am
This will re-enforce peoples preconceived ideas.  The left will focus on the automatic weapon, the right on the faith of the shooter. As horrific as this incident is I don't see it as an election turning event.  
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Obama to endorse Clinton on Wed? on: June 05, 2016, 11:04:24 pm
https://twitter.com/wxdam/status/739646049808191488

Obama flying to New York Wed for "Democratic Fundraisers". Clinton also in New York after declaring victory Tuesday night.  Coincidence? 
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