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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CO - Colorado Mesa Univ: Clinton +9 on: September 22, 2016, 12:56:43 am
Results look like what I would expect but I don't know how much I would trust a University conducting their first ever poll.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7 on: September 22, 2016, 12:55:03 am
I think they accidentally polled Wisconsin twice. 
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Minnesota and Iowa on: September 18, 2016, 02:24:36 pm
Minnesota turning red would be ExtremeRepublican's wet dream, but Minnesota isn't as nearly as white as Iowa. Minneapolis and the upper Northeast are enough to keep the state Democratic barring a major wave.

This. Obama got 80% of the vote in Minneapolis, 75% in St Paul. There are no areas like that in Iowa.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Trump plays it smart and makes no major gaffes between now and the election.. on: September 16, 2016, 10:01:35 pm
No.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump calls for no moderators in "rigged" debates on: September 12, 2016, 02:28:43 pm
Setting up an excuse for his failure/withdrawal.  
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill Clinton CIA Director James Woosley endorses Trump and will Advise him on: September 12, 2016, 02:26:45 pm
FWIW he also endorsed McCain in 2008.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton: Half of Trump’s supporters fit in ‘basket of deplorables’ on: September 10, 2016, 10:02:36 am
If the hood fits....

8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Internal poll megathread on: August 29, 2016, 07:12:47 pm
Another MN congressional poll that included Presidential numbers (couple days old).

MN-02 (Dem internal)

Clinton 42%
Trump 35%
Johnson 13%
Stein 5%

Obama won MN-02 by 0.06%


http://www.twincities.com/2016/08/24/whos-winning-in-the-2nd-district-candidates-polls-disagree/



So Clinton's probably up 2-4 in this one?

Probably. If Trump is trailing in MN-02, MN-03 he is probably down double digits statewide.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Internal poll megathread on: August 29, 2016, 06:58:31 pm
Another MN congressional poll that included Presidential numbers (couple days old).

MN-02 (Dem internal)

Clinton 42%
Trump 35%
Johnson 13%
Stein 5%

Obama won MN-02 by 0.06%


http://www.twincities.com/2016/08/24/whos-winning-in-the-2nd-district-candidates-polls-disagree/

10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Internal poll megathread on: August 29, 2016, 06:41:36 pm
GOP poll for MN-03 also had Presidential numbers.

Clinton 39%
Trump 30%
Johnson 11%
Stein 4%

(Obama won MN-03 in 2012 by less than 1%)

https://twitter.com/RachelSB/status/770401070266724352
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which Democrats would be losing to Trump right now? on: August 29, 2016, 06:22:49 pm
Sanders.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to Launch $10 Million Ad Buy For This Week on: August 29, 2016, 06:09:48 pm
A $10 mil ad buy for a week is peanuts at this point in the cycle.  There are only a couple of months left, big league campaigns would be spending $100 mil a month.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump currently not on the ballot in Minnesota on: August 25, 2016, 05:43:59 pm
State DFL has announced they will not challenge Trumps spot on the ballot.

Embarrassment for the MN GOP, even  the "Legal Marijuana Now Party" managed to get on the ballot without any problems.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Minnesota on: August 23, 2016, 06:26:08 pm
Safe Demoncrat,

Clinton by 14

Obama in 2008 won the state by only 11%, and Hillary won't surpass that performance; stop this nonsense.


Not nonsense IMO. Trump is terrible fit for Minnesota as others have said. He will get killed in the Twin Cities suburbs where Republicans normally split the presidential vote. Trump is the antithesis of Minnesota Nice.   
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NV-Suffolk: Clinton +2 on: August 18, 2016, 08:05:24 pm
Donald Trump is every Pit Boss I have ever met in Las Vegas. 
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Ipsos/Reuters Polls (through DNC week): Clinton +6 (tied 4-way) on: July 31, 2016, 01:43:18 pm
lol breitbart
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump and Nevada on: July 30, 2016, 05:47:55 pm
Truly, I think hispanics in spanish speaking households are being undersampled, and Dem voter regisitration is rising much faster there than Republican voter registration. Additionally, most of the Nevada polls that have come out so far seem super unreliable.
In Nevada up to May 24th, 2016 party registration is as follows:

Democrats: 518,124
Republicans: 452,028

Republicans lead in Party Registration except for Clark County which the Dems lead 388,484 to 272,879 and the 2 parties are nearly tied in Mineral County which the Republicans lead by a grand total of 94 voters.

Republicans used to be ahead in terms of voter registration statewide I believe.
What year were the Republicans in the registration lead in NV?

March 2007, before the Obama campaign and the Harry Reid machine fired up prior to the 2008 caucusas.

http://nvsos.gov/SOSElectionPages/voter-reg/2007/0307maina.aspx


18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which state in the Upper Midwest is easiest for Trump to win? on: July 24, 2016, 07:09:41 pm
Minnesota

Curious as to why you think Minnesota is possible for Trump.  As someone who lives in Minnesota I just do not see it. Historically liberal state with lots of college educated voters, not exactly in Trump's wheelhouse.

BTW the correct answer for the choices given is Michigan but that is unlikely.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump: Ailes is a "very, very good person" on: July 24, 2016, 06:58:13 pm
Easy red meat for Hillary to throw to the Democratic base, gets to tie Trump to a sexual harraser  and gets to discredit Fox News.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton's campaign manager: Russia helping Trump on: July 24, 2016, 06:52:11 pm
I think this is a great line of attack to be honest, helps both to discredit the leaks and to build patriotic sympathy for the Clinton campaign.

Nailed it.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Malik Obama Endorses Donald Trump for President on: July 24, 2016, 06:49:52 pm
Thought it said "Malia" for a second.

So did I. LOL

So did I.

I am waiting to see who Joe Biden's nephew supports before I make a decision on who I support.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Can Clinton win Utah? on: July 24, 2016, 06:47:36 pm
Not unless it is a 34-33-33 race and I don't see that happening.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Thousands of Sanders Supporters take to the Streets in Philadelphia on: July 24, 2016, 06:45:58 pm
I love how the DNC protests are already way, way, way worse than the violent monstrosity that the RNC was supposed to be.

They really aren't.
Tell that to CNN, MSNBC, and every other media outlet that has evaluated the crowd size. The crowds are bigger. They are louder. And this is just day one.

Keep in mind, it's a lot easier to get to Philly then it is to Cleveland. You can hop on board a train and get to Philly from Baltimore, DC, New York, etc, in a matter of hours for a relatively reasonable cost. Most committed left-wing activists are too lazy to pay for airfare to Cleveland or make the twelve hour drive just to get driven back by clouds of tear gas.


Crowds may be larger but i have seen no indication they have been anything but peaceful. If you are hoping for clouds of tear gas I think you will be disappointed.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Thousands of Sanders Supporters take to the Streets in Philadelphia on: July 24, 2016, 06:33:22 pm
And in a little over 24 hours their revered leader will be giving a speech endorsing Clinton.

The Bernistas will have there little protests, get some symbolic victories that mean little (a platform nobody cares about, Superdelegate reform for 4 or 8 years down the line and DWS head on a pike).  In the end it will mean nothing and HRC will come out of the convention with a mostly united Party.
25  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: What is Newt Gingrich going to do now? on: July 17, 2016, 08:22:34 pm
He will probably go to the zoo.
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