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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What is the ideal government scenario for you? on: Today at 12:19:05 am
I would be happy with getting rid of gerrymanding and Citizens United, and letting the chips fall where they may otherwise.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What will the margin be amongst college-educated whites? on: Today at 12:14:15 am
Clinton will win college-educated white women by leaps and bounds. College-educated white men will either be a statistical tie or slightly go to Trump.

Taken as a whole, I'd give college educated whites to Clinton by 5-10%.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Isakson vs. Grassley on: August 29, 2016, 10:27:31 pm
The one who's not a Southerner.

Because the Northerners like Donald Trump and Steve King and Paul LePage give your party such a good reputation.
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Michel Temer on: August 29, 2016, 10:26:20 pm
Clearly an IMF stooge.
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Idi Amin on: August 29, 2016, 10:25:39 pm
Idiot, bull-headed, drove out the Asians (for what, exactly?)

I've been actually thinking about this recently and I still see no logic in this.
Is there any shock that someone like Amin might behave so irrationally?

Interestingly, some speculated Amin was quite deliberate in cultivating his image as an erratic buffoon in order to hide his murderous ways. Possible, but I wouldn't consider him rational by any standards.

As of the Asians expulsion, it was probably an old totalitarian "reasoning" behind the decision: "let's take their wealth and then award it to my (incompetent) buddies". Well' it doesn't end up well.
Wouldn't be surprised if that was why, yes.

That was almost definitely the reason. And it served the added purpose of pandering to populist xenophobia by kicking out those foreigners who are taking all the jobs and resources. Thank goodness such a politician would never succeed in our own country. Wink
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Uzbekistan: Karimov suffers brain hemorrhage on: August 29, 2016, 08:10:56 pm
Does this mean his kleptocratic Ivanka Trump-esque daughter is going to take over the family business?
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump has a huge problem with Catholics on: August 29, 2016, 07:41:28 pm
That Massachusetts data from 1985 simply must be wrong.

That's what I'm wondering about. How could they be less than 20% Catholic in the '80s?

I'm willing to bet money that even today Suffolk County is majority Catholic, and no doubt was moreso back then.
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: U.S. Residents not supporting Trump: If Trump wins.... on: August 28, 2016, 04:56:38 pm
I'd like to think that in Trumpist America, I'd be the person who hid a Hispanic/Muslim family in my attic and was later portrayed favorably in an autobiography one of the family members wrote.
9  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Idi Amin on: August 28, 2016, 04:54:17 pm
FF (literally normal anti-imperialist)

The guy was a hired gun in Britain's colonial army and his coup was largely met with positive or neutral reactions from the West because the previous president was a socialist who had nationalized a lot of Western-owned assets in the country.

America and the UK's attitude was largely "This guy's kind of weird but as long as he's business-friendly, we're going to ignore his mental instability and racist policies."
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Daughter of Sen. Manchin raises EpiPen price 400% on: August 28, 2016, 04:46:48 pm
I'm a little confused about what you are accusing him of here.  Getting his daughter a data entry job?

Are you being deliberately obtuse?

It's worth noting that when she got her first job with Mylan, Joe Manchin was a WV state senator who'd only been in office for a few years. He was not powerful or influential enough to actually do anything to make that a genuine "quid pro quo" situation. From what I've read, it sounds like he knew someone who worked at Mylan from before he became an elected official and that person suggested her for the job.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump has a huge problem with Catholics on: August 28, 2016, 04:30:58 pm

Why has Massachusetts become so much more Catholic over the past 20 years? I'm surprised it was only 17.4% Catholic in 1985.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: I just cannot fathom an Obama 12/trump 16 voter. (and they exist) on: August 28, 2016, 04:27:29 pm
Maybe their logic went something like this:

Voted for Obama instead of Romney in 2012 because Romney was too close to Wall Street/Big Business relative to Obama.

Voted for Trump instead of Clinton in 2016 because Clinton was too close to Wall Street/Big Business relative to Trump.
13  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: What happened to the China GDP talk of 6-8 years ago? on: August 28, 2016, 01:55:38 am
Obviously overblown BS.  Just like Japan in the 90s.  Fearmongering sells.

I don't think Japan was overblown or fearmongering. Japan's growth in the late 80s was explosive and wasn't starting too far back from the US like China. If they'd kept pace in early 90s, they probably would have surpassed the US. Even if the Lost Decade had not happened or been delayed several years, would the implications have really been that serious for US? There's probably a difference when your main economic competition isn't an adversary. Either way, the US economy was due for the Dot-Com Boom in the late 90s.

I don't really know much about the intricacies of the Chinese economy, but even now, China's GDP is at 60% of US GDP. In 1995, the Japan's GDP managed to hit about 70% of US GDP. Looking as far back as 1970, that was the closest any other country has been to the US. Prior to Japan becoming the world's second largest economy (surpassing the Soviet Union in 1977-78), no country was even at half of US GDP.

Except that it's virtually impossible for any country to "keep pace" at that level unless they want to keep the printing presses running 24/7.

At a basic level, there are three ways a country can increase its total output (i.e. its GDP):
1. Population growth (leading to more people producing things)
2. Substituting work for leisure (people producing more because they work more)
3. Productivity growth (people producing more without working more)

Japan can't do the first one because its population was stagnating for years and is now starting to decline outright.

It has been doing the second one with ferocious intensity for decades and that was a big contributor to their phenomenal growth in the '80s. When more of your people are getting old and no longer working, the people who are still of working age have to work more in order to make up for that. Hence, the archetypal overworked salaryman and the glorification of employees passed out at their desks from working all night.

Productivity growth has been slowing in the US since the 1970s (there was a small bump in the '90s related to the advent of personal computing in offices). I'd imagine the story has been similar in Japan.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will the GOP allow a vote on Hillary's first Supreme Court appointee? on: August 27, 2016, 10:11:24 pm
Stop treating it as a foregone conclusion that she'll win.  It's still 2.5 months until election day, so it would be unfair to call it anything other than a tossup.

15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump tweets about the death of Dwyane Wade's cousin on: August 27, 2016, 06:21:59 pm
Trump's pitch to the AA community, basically:

"Hey blacks, your neighborhoods are pigsties, you're all dealing drugs and shooting each other, and you'll never amount to anything.  But that's what you deserve for voting for Democrats, so vote for me instead."

I think it just might work.
If that were only his pitch... His pitch is basically: your communities are in turmoil because of failed Democrat policies in the inner city. Democrats want your vote, but don't want to help you. I can help you fix these problems.

Tell me, why do you support Trump?
Because he's a Republican and NOT a Democrat. I am a Republican. Therefore, I do not support Democrats.

He doesn't believe in wealth redistribution to the extent a Democrat does. He believes in enforcing our border laws and building a wall that should have been built years ago.

Professionally, Trump's policies are more in line with protecting the American workers against the evil HB-1 visa program. I do not stand for the proposition that those not from here should take high-skilled jobs away from Americans. That matters to me. A lot.

Note: I am not talking about low-paying HB-2 seasonal visas, which are necessary in certain labor markets.

The bottom line is that neither the GOP-e nor the Democrats care about me or my job. They let foreign workers take jobs Americans are well suited and trained to do to cater to the special interests. That's so wrong on so many different levels. Trump will curb that unethical practice.

And -- most importantly -- Trump gets things done. I prefer pragmatists that get things done in the mold of Eisenhower. Trump is very much in that mold.

Also, I despise the Clintons. I think they are lying, unethical scumbags that I do not trust as far as I can throw them. I wouldn't vote for her for dog catcher.

They are worse than Obama could ever be. Obama, at least, is an ideologue. I respect philosophical differences. I don't like President Obama, but I respect him.

I do not respect the Clintons. Never have. Never will.

Tell me more about how your Georgian job is in danger because of the scary browns Mexican immigrants.
Mexicans? No. Illegal immigrants have nothing to do with it.

I am talking about the joke that is the HB-1 visa program. You know, the program that put those Disney IT workers out of work a few months ago, where they had to sign a non-disclosure agreement and train their replacements in order to get a severance.

I think even most here on the left will agree that that was not right. Their replacements were workers on visas from overseas.

But for every illegal immigrant that works here, they are limiting the economic opportunities of legal residents and citizens. That matters to those workers in those relevant sectors when they are out of a job or getting paid less than they should.

You do realize that Donald Trump has said he supports the H1-B program as it stands, don't you?
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Paul Ryan and Hillary Clinton team up to support Anti-Poverty Plan on: August 27, 2016, 06:18:22 pm
The Republicans haven't learned a thing. I guarantee you that on Election Night, you'll have presumptive Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and his retainers sitting in some leather-and-mahogany steakhouse in Georgetown ranting about how "WE WILL MAKE HILLARY CLINTON A ONE TERM PRESIDENT!"

Even if Paul Ryan is actually serious about this, what makes you think he can corral the Freedom Caucus into doing anything when they'll likely make up a larger percentage of the GOP caucus simply because a lot of the non-insane Republicans will have lost reelection to Democrats?
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Conservative Independent Mike Smith on Tennessee Ballot on: August 25, 2016, 11:41:51 pm
how many god damn "conservative independents" do you guys need?

Gary Johnson wasn't good enough for them. Apparently McMuffin is too Mormon-y.

Some of these people will never be satisfied until Zombie Reagan launches a write-in campaign.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How many Faithless Electors will there be this year? on: August 25, 2016, 11:38:32 pm
One. An Indiana delegate will "conveniently" write Pence's name instead for president

Will this elector misspell Pence's last name, by any chance?

Maybe something like...

Hillary Rodham Clinton / Timothy Kaine - 359 votes
Donald J. Trump / Michael R. Pence - 177 votes
Micheal R. Pence (sic) / Donald J. Trump - 1 vote (faithless elector from Indiana)
Gary Johnson / William Weld - 1 vote (faithless elector from Utah)
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bill Clinton vs Melania Trump on: August 25, 2016, 01:10:29 am
Melania Trump.

Bill Clinton would be the sluttiest First Lady ever.
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Daughter of Sen. Manchin raises EpiPen price 400% on: August 25, 2016, 01:08:04 am
NY Times sez that a generic may be out by next year, so yeah, it's a good old fashioned money grab


One weapon the payers use in bargaining is to threaten to switch patients to a less expensive drug. But knowing a generic EpiPen was coming, an insurer might have been reluctant to switch patients from EpiPen to Sanofiís Auvi-Q (when it was still on the market), because once patients got used to Auvi-Q, it would have been harder to switch them to the even cheaper generic EpiPen once it reached the market.

Funny how people are okay with insurance companies doing this, but if someone suggests the government do so (that's what "negotiating drug prices" for Medicare would mean), people throw a fit and rant about MUH DEATH PANELS.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Bayh Couldn't get his Own Address Right in Interview on: August 25, 2016, 01:02:57 am
A quick search on Google Maps shows this appears to be some sort of condominium complex with a bunch of streets that are all named Canterbury -- Canterbury Place, Canterbury Court, Canterbury Square East, Canterbury Square West...etc.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why did Hillary picked Tim Kaine instead of Mark Warner? on: August 25, 2016, 12:50:39 am
I believe "skeletons in the closet" is the common phrase.  I'm not sure what it actually means but everyone seems to use it whenever Warner's brought up.

Mark Warner is an insider's insider. He went to work on Capitol Hill as a young man and then used his knowledge of telecom and utility regulations and his connections to elected officials to make a fortune investing in the then ascendant mobile phone service market.

He would only serve to underscore everything that people dislike about Hillary Clinton - they both live in that uncanny valley where business and government intermingle, where people who are "connected" can have both the security and stability of government jobs and the obscene paychecks of Corporate America.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump qunitupled his campaign's Trump Tower rent..... on: August 23, 2016, 01:00:30 am
I wish if Donald Trump were to announce he's a Dem plant, he would also announce that he has also donated all the money he embezzled from his campaign donors directly to Democratic and pro-Clinton superPACs. abortion clinics and free gay Muslim weddings for illegal immigrants
24  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Opinion on 'burkini' ban? on: August 22, 2016, 07:39:17 pm
Overdone and ludicrous -- meaning both the burkini itself, and the ban on them.

That said, western women once wore full-bodied bathing attire at the beach until very recently, at least the 1950s or so. Can a compromise be found so that Muslim women can wear those older style bathing suits and not bring negative attention on themselves from the police?

It sounds like you're arguing that dressing conservatively is okay as long as the conservative clothing was designed by white people.
25  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Opinion on 'burkini' ban? on: August 22, 2016, 07:36:44 pm
Couldn't they just wear something like this instead?

I mean anything who thinks that's too revealing (I've seen women preaching at church wearing less than that) has some major issues...

I don't think you entirely "get" how integral covering one's hair is to the traditional Islamic idea of modesty - the idea of going out with your hair visible isn't that much less scandalous than wandering around topless to them.

Intentionally or not, this is very similar to when the Soviet Union banned head coverings in the Central Asian republics in the name of SOCIALIST PROGRESS.
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