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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Atlantic: McCrory and The Saga of North Carolina’s Contaminated Water on: April 23, 2017, 10:20:03 pm
Quote
Brown herself was a registered Republican, but she changed her party registration to Independent after her experience with the state and coal ash. She supported Cooper in the election. “I started to realize the connection between the big companies and the Republicans,” she said. “They would rather protect the polluter than the people.”

"I never thought the leopards would eat MY face!"
-Woman who supported the Leopards Eating People's Faces Party
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Voters: have you ever split your ticket on: April 19, 2017, 07:56:58 pm
2016 is the first time I've not split a ticket. I voted Democratic for all elections from POTUS downward (though, only a couple of races even had Republicans running in them to begin with and all were non-serious gadfly candidates).
3  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: George H.W Bush back in the hospital on: April 19, 2017, 07:53:34 pm
Not to be pessimistic, but when you start being admitted to the hospital for pneumonia every couple of months, that is a pattern that usually occurs at the end of one's life. I've seen it in older relatives multiple times.

What makes it sadder is that I doubt Barbara Bush will live much longer after her husband dies. From what I've read about them, they have a level of devotion to one another that is above and beyond that of any other recent presidential couple.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: UT-2: Misty Snow running on: April 14, 2017, 08:55:00 pm
Mia Love versus Misty Snow sounds like a bad porn film title.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rep. Markwayne Mullin: "Bull crap" that constituents pay my salary on: April 14, 2017, 08:54:10 pm
Is that a real first name?

For a white person in Oklahoma without a college degree? Yes.
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Tennessee Republican Gov. Haslam proposes free tuition free community college on: April 14, 2017, 03:08:41 pm
I expect more Republicans to get behind this as times goes on, for the same reason I expect to see more Republicans get behind single payer healthcare:

It benefits middle class and upper middle class White people, who are the Republican base.

Most minorities already have the opportunity to get a government funded bachelors degree via Pell Grants.

Now middle class Whites (and the smaller groups of middle class African Americans and Hispanics) will be able to get free college as well. 

I'd venture to guess most upper middle class whites won't avail themselves of this.

There are "social capital costs" to going to a community college for two years and transferring to a four year-school. It's considered a negative when applying to graduate programs; many top-tier universities generally don't take many transfer students in general; people who rush fraternities and sororities generally do so as freshmen and sophomores; doing things like studying abroad for a summer term are more difficult to do. You'll still get a college degree, but you won't have many of the "soft signalers" that upper-middle class white people care about.
7  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Top 11 Most Popular Governors all Republicans on: April 11, 2017, 08:24:21 pm
To be fair, there are just more Republican governors.
8  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Social Mobility Lowest in the South on: April 09, 2017, 07:27:48 pm
One of the ironies of the regressive tax structure of most Southern states is that it leaves governments with zero incentive to do anything to encourage the creation of high-wage jobs.

If you get most of your money from sales taxes and/or an unprogressive income tax, there's little benefit to the state from fostering the growth of $150K/yr professional jobs as opposed to $30K/yr jobs for high school degree holders. There won't be as much marginal revenue as there is in states where the wealthy pay a larger portion of taxes.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: New Mexico bans "lunch shaming" on: April 09, 2017, 07:22:26 pm
New Mexico has been on a progressive roll lately

Then again, state legislators in New Mexico have no salary and work for free if I recall correctly

That's not the sort of thing that would make them more progressive.

Anyone who'd be willing to volunteer to be a state legislator probably loves being involved in politics for the betterment of society. I feel like you'd end up with more honest people when money isn't a factor

Only rich people can afford to take several months of work every year to go be an unpaid legislator. That doesn't preclude people from being honest, progressive, etc., but it doesn't foster it either.

Part of the catch 22 of state legislatures. Virginia has almost the same problem, low pay but short stints but no permanent legislature.

Texas does this too and the result is legislators who are:

1. Old retirees over 65. (So old people are disproportionately represented.)

2. People who own their own business and have the ability to leave for months at a time. (So the wealthy are disproportionately represented.)

3. People who are independently wealthy. (See #2)

4. Lawyers or other professions where the nature of the work means that it's possible to leave for 3-5 months without adverse professional consequences. (Disproportionate representation of the professions.)

So basically, if you, like the majority of people, are not old and work as a salaried employee of a company you don't own, you are effectively shut out of participating in your legislature.
10  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: New Mexico bans "lunch shaming" on: April 09, 2017, 07:18:43 pm
There is no such thing as a free lunch.

...and there is no reward in shaming the poor.

Sometimes generosity is rewarded.  Kids focused on hunger pangs might not be focused on the less immediate concern of learning in the classroom. Maybe their parents are lazy bums, but children need not be ridiculed for that. They aren't the ones to urge their parents to do day labor.

It's not as if kids are getting free cable TV complete with bawdy shows, overpriced logo jerseys, or trips to Di$neyland. Food is a necessity, and for kids to do well in school and have a chance in American life they may need some food in their bellies.

This. One of the reasons why I'm no longer a conservative is stuff like this. The knee-jerk responses to take better care of your kids, get a better paying job, stop mooching, etc from the right just are not logical in most instances. Most of the families that are on free or reduced are in areas where pay is low, can't move, single head of household, and more. Instead of complaining about and cutting these programs, conservatives would be right to preserve and do outreach for these minimizing the left but moreso being decent human beings on this issue.

Whenever you make policy that impacts children, you should always do so with the first principle that:

No child asks to be born.

And thus, poverty or irresponsibility on the part of one's parents is something that a child should bear zero consequences or responsibility for.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Booker be married before 2020? on: April 09, 2017, 04:22:10 am
Nah.

I think America can get used to a bachelor president. Considering there's now a large unmarried population in the US than ever before, I think we might get a large number of bachelor/bachelorette presidents in the future. Much like how we're suddenly getting a lot of non-veteran Presidents in the last 20 years.

Back in the fifties and sixties, when my father was young, if you were unmarried, people generally believed that something was wrong with you.
That's still true today.


In some regions it is, here in Houston it's a mixture. I'm not married yet, no one says anything.

It used to be that if someone was over 30 and had never been married, people would just quietly assume they were gay. Now gay people can get married, so that explanation is out the window and you're left with, "They must be too crazy/weird for anyone to stay with them."
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your party affiliation in 2014 vs your party affiliation today on: April 09, 2017, 04:15:07 am
Until 2012: Republican
2012-2016: Independent
2016-present: Democratic
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Which states have the worst state Democratic Party? on: April 09, 2017, 03:45:03 am
In terms of consistently performing well below potential, it's easily Florida.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TX-SEN: O'Rourke running on: April 08, 2017, 10:06:12 pm
I just wish Beto would fix his terrible campaign logo. I want a bumper sticker that I'd actually be willing to put on my car.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TX-SEN: O'Rourke running on: April 05, 2017, 11:04:13 pm
Beto O'Rourke says he's raised nearly $217,000 since announcing, with an average donation of $34.

https://twitter.com/TexasTribAbby/status/849019265491619840
That's already more than Ted's last opponent managed to raise. I personally think this race is likely R but I think after Flake and Heller this is the next place Dem's need to be looking at. You lose 100% of the races you don't contest.

Well, Ted's last opponent was some fat old former Blue Dog state senator from East Texas who had zero constituency or name recognition and hadn't held office since the '90s.
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Senator Whitehouse (D-RI) claims Wall Street backed Sanders to stop Clinton on: April 04, 2017, 10:32:11 pm
ah okay so sheldon whitehouse is just a waspy idiot like the guy he replaced. i mean he might be a little smarter than manchild lincoln chafee but not by much.

Two kinds of Rhode Island pols:

1. Ineffective, ineffectual, intellectual lightweight WASPs

2. Corrupt, conniving Italian/Portuguese/French Catholics
17  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why was Michigan so Republican in the 1920s? on: April 02, 2017, 11:41:06 pm
Great map!

Oh, here is a more accurate map of the reach of the Yankee diaspora, which also happens to be the zone that is littered even to this day, with small liberal arts colleges (many of which being of very high quality), almost all of which were founded by Yankees. New Englanders had the highest literacy rate on the planet back then, and valued education.

Yes, and that's why states such as Minnesota and Wisconsin have had such great education systems.  On top of the New England settlers, the subsequent German and Scandinavian immigrants also came from education-valuing cultures.

I'm guessing that also has something to do with why the Upper Midwest states were among the first to abolish or severely restrict capital punishment.
18  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Why are there so few people living along California's northern shore? on: April 02, 2017, 11:29:54 pm
Liberal protectionism is preventing people from finding work. I don't see Texas having this problem.

Unemployment Rate in Texas (Feb '17): 4.9%
Unemployment Rate in California (Feb '17): 5.0%

No significant difference.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What was Gary Johnson's appeal ? on: April 01, 2017, 08:54:24 pm

Also, the fact that he was a two-term state governor gave him a level of credibility that most third-party candidates lack and, combined with having a credible running mate, made him more palatable to marginal voters who normally wouldn't vote third party.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The reasons behind Dem's down ballot strength in WV & how vulnerable is Manchin? on: April 01, 2017, 08:22:34 pm
Whenever a state undergoes a partisan realignment, state-level offices tend to remain with the other party for longer than federal ones. (New England still elects Republican governors with decent frequency, for example.)

My guess is that Manchin can stay in the Senate another term, then retire and the seat will be Safe R.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: TX-SEN: O'Rourke running on: March 29, 2017, 05:12:38 pm
Good on him for actually sticking to his three-term limit, unlike most Republicans who make the same pledge.

I found the fact that he made that pledge very odd to begin with, since it was stereotypically something that post-1994 "grassroots conservative" Republicans do.
22  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Gamal Abdel Nasser on: March 29, 2017, 05:05:51 pm
He was basically the Lyndon Johnson of Egypt:

- Ambitious domestic anti-poverty programs

- Foreign policy aimed at expanding/maintaining his country's sphere of influence, leading to wars in Israel and Yemen that drained him of economic and political capital (he died in office under somewhat suspicious circumstances, but if Egypt were a democracy he likely would have been defeated for reelection or been forced by parliament to resign)

- Incredibly abrasive, larger-than-life personality
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Mattis asks WH to lift Obama-restrictions on supporting Saudi-Arabia in Yemen on: March 26, 2017, 11:36:05 pm
Disgusting.  I don't understand why the US needed to back the Saudi agenda in Yemen in the first place.

to stop iranian imperialism, a resonable goal if you think of yourself as a guardian for israel/ally to SA.

but to be totally fair, half of the sunni-arabian world is included in that conflict anyway.

The Houthis wanting independence/autonomy from the southern part of Yemen isn't "Iranian imperialism." It's a continuation of a local conflict goes back several decades.

Yemen as it exists today is a completely incoherent state. The area controlled by the Houthis was the Yemen Arab Republic prior to 1990, and before that it was the Kingdom of Yemen, a quasi-theocracy where the ruling family were descendants of a distinguished family of Shia Muslim imams.

The other part of the country is what, before 1990, was the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, a Soviet-allied communist state. Prior to that, it was an Aden-based British protectorate whose tribal Sunni Muslim inhabitants accepted British sovereignty as a way to prevent the Sauds from trying to incorporate them into their own kingdom.

There's no logical reason for these two entities to exist as a single country as they do now.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: N&O: Veto override in North Carolina means judicial elections are now partisan on: March 26, 2017, 01:07:43 am
Man, the GOPNC sounds like a bunch of corrupt sour grapes.

I'm thankful that my state's GOP branch is far more sane compared to them.

Kookinelli....that racist black guy.....the corrupt McDonnells....yeah, totally sane.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NV-02: Angle declares her candidacy on: March 25, 2017, 11:59:56 pm
Is there talk of Amodei retiring or running for another office?

An open seat with Angle as the candidate in an anti-Trump midterm...that would scare some Republicans in Nevada.

Yes, Amodei is apparently evaluating what it is like to serve in Congress under a Trump administration, and will consider a run for state Attorney General in a few months.

http://www.rgj.com/story/news/politics/2017/01/27/republican-amodei-doesnt-rule-out-run-nevada-attorney-general/97154702/

If I were a Republican in the House, I'd be looking for the first state-level political opportunity that presented itself.
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