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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: 2017 French Presidential Election on: April 18, 2017, 07:56:18 pm
And it's the first time that Macron leads in this poll.

Two men have been arrested as they planed an imminent attack during the presidential elections. The candidates were advised last week. It's unclear at this point if the suspected terrorists targeted a particular candidate.

Damn, had the terrorist attack actually happened it would have been a game changer. Difficult to say who'd benefit, but I guess it'd help Le Pen and hurt Macron.

Something like that happened here in 04 and it changed the polls by around 9 points. (prediction was PP+4 result was PSOE+5 or so)

Wasn't that mostly because it turned a lot of people against the Iraq War, rather than just being a terrorist attack effect?
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Have you heard of the preceding politician on: April 05, 2017, 10:05:37 am
He ran aground Sam Brownback, right? I've heard of that guy.

Tareck El Assaimi
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Have you heard of the preceding politician? on: April 04, 2017, 11:15:09 pm
Claro que s

Jimmie Davis
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Have you heard of the preceding politician? on: April 04, 2017, 02:15:56 pm
No

igo Errejn
5  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Do Millennials want stay at home gays? 1 in 5 identity as LGBT on: April 02, 2017, 03:18:49 am
What does "gender nonconforming" mean in this context? There are lots of ways to be gender nonconforming and none of them make you LGBT or have any real bearing on your sexual or gender identity.
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Paraguayan Senate secretly votes to allow presidential reelection, riots ensue. on: April 01, 2017, 04:52:47 am
Interestingly this also paves the way for Fernando Lugo (ousted by Congress in 2012) to run again, and from what I've heard he's still quite popular.

So Paraguay had the same system as Mexico (you're getting one term and you'll never have another)?

Yep, as do quite a few other Latin American countries. Anti-dictatorship measures.

I know Guatemala had this system. So does Chile, except in Chile you can be elected to another term after waiting out, same with Peru.

It's more interesting how many countries had one-term limit but abandoned it (Brazil, Venezuela, Bolivia, Colombia...) under Democratic governments. Itamar Franco couldn't run in 1994, despite having freaking 80% approvals.

Of course, some dictators were never bothered with formal term limits, ruling, while out of office, throught figureheads, like Trujillo or the Somozas.

Personally I like the principle "OK, you've got your 4/5/6 years, so better use them wisely."

Weren't there proposals to do that in the US? Rutherford Hayes had proposed a sexenio-type system IIRC, although of course it never went anywhere.
7  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Paraguayan Senate secretly votes to allow presidential reelection, riots ensue. on: April 01, 2017, 04:30:13 am
Interestingly this also paves the way for Fernando Lugo (ousted by Congress in 2012) to run again, and from what I've heard he's still quite popular.

So Paraguay had the same system as Mexico (you're getting one term and you'll never have another)?

Yep, as do quite a few other Latin American countries. Anti-dictatorship measures.
8  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Autogolpe in Venezuela: The Last Vestige of Democracy Ends on: April 01, 2017, 04:12:55 am
Looks like Maduro is attempting to calm things down by condemning the judiciary.
9  General Politics / International General Discussion / Paraguayan Senate secretly votes to allow presidential reelection, riots ensue. on: April 01, 2017, 04:02:18 am
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/apr/01/paraguays-congress-set-on-fire-after-vote-to-let-president-run-again

Interestingly this also paves the way for Fernando Lugo (ousted by Congress in 2012) to run again, and from what I've heard he's still quite popular.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Who is running in 2020? tea leaves thread on: March 29, 2017, 04:57:17 pm
Susan Sarandon is the worst person on the list.

Most of the others are good. However, calling something the "People's Summit" is a bit Orwellian, as it suggests conservatives are not people. Further, holding more of these events will continue to erode Bernie's brand because he associates himself with far leftists who don't have the personal likability of himself (as a safe white-bread far leftist from a rural state). This was part of the problem with his Ellison endorsement as well.

Was William Jennings Bryan Orwellian for being a Populist?
11  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: BREAKING: Trump claims Obama wire tapped Trump Tower. on: March 28, 2017, 05:34:31 pm
If he's not going to share with the committee why is he on the committee?
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Flynn says he's going to "spill the beans" on Trump's Russian connections to FBI on: March 25, 2017, 06:05:01 pm
"May have"? Hm...
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AHCA Whip Count on: March 24, 2017, 10:13:03 am
Oh, man, if this bill gets less than 200 votes...
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AHCA Whip Count on: March 22, 2017, 10:34:31 pm
Patrick McHenry apparently says they have the votes?

https://twitter.com/pdmcleod/status/844718726385750016

Saying "Yep, we're going to be good" while fleeing reporters doesn't inspire much confidence. They could very well work out a deal, but I wouldn't go on what McHenry said while running out of the building. 

Mhm. It all depends on how many HFC members they can sway (and how many moderates they can keep) with these last-minute changes.
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AHCA Whip Count on: March 22, 2017, 10:07:08 pm
Patrick McHenry apparently says they have the votes?
16  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: AHCA Whip Count on: March 21, 2017, 03:24:27 pm
Is the Thursday vote a 100% final up-or-down vote?
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Who is running in 2020? tea leaves thread on: March 21, 2017, 11:59:40 am
Ugh
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Harvard-Harris national poll: Sanders 20% M. Obama 17% Warren 15% Clinton 10% on: March 21, 2017, 11:29:26 am
If Sanders runs he'll clear the progressive field. If Warren runs she might do so (especially if she gets the Sanders endorsement) but it's less likely IMHO.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Puerto Rico status referendum - June 11 on: March 20, 2017, 03:33:36 pm
Is there any polling data on this?
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: MO-SEN 2018: Kander likely out? on: March 19, 2017, 05:49:42 pm
If Dems hold all Senate seats and take AZ and NV, how bad does that signal it is for the GOP? That they're losing 30-40 seats in the House and Trump's approval rating is in the 30s?
I'd say it means they have lost twenty seats in the House, and Trump's approval is around 43 A/53 D.

I mean, that's where it is right now, so...
21  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If you were President, how would you handle N. Korea? on: March 19, 2017, 02:08:25 pm
We must leave the DPRK alone. We have killed enough Koreans. They have every right to nukes as any other nation. We don't get to police the world like this. We shouldn't even be in South Korea & Japan.

Didn't know so many socialists were in favor of nuclear proliferation
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: US states consider laws allowing Creationism to be taught by science teachers on: March 16, 2017, 07:18:46 pm
If it is taught in an elective class yes but not in a science class
All science classes should be electives, except for math. I do agree that evolution should be taught in science classes.

The only required classes in school should be math, post-classical European history including the secular study of Abrahamic religions, and civics. Why is teaching Darwinian evolution to every student a good thing?

Why only European history?
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Fox News national poll on Sanders and Warren favorability on: March 15, 2017, 10:31:57 pm
+29 favorables is pretty impressive. Especially compared to the epic fail that was the last nominee.

You are insufferable.

And right.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Who is running in 2020? tea leaves thread on: March 14, 2017, 06:45:17 pm
Warren will be speaking to the Detroit branch of the NAACP on April 23rd, five days after her new book comes out:

http://www.clickondetroit.com/news/elizabeth-warren-to-be-keynote-speaker-at-naacp-fight-for-freedom-fund-dinner

Quote
The Detroit branch of the NAACP announced on Tuesday that Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) will be the keynote speaker at the 62nd annual Fight for Freedom Fund Dinner.


Seems like she's trying to cover up the holes in Bernie's resume from 2016.
25  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Your opinion of this parody of The Young Turks? on: March 12, 2017, 09:40:25 pm
Humor is about making fun of the powerful. Conservatism is not.
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