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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics on: December 20, 2015, 07:57:10 am
Is there any place to see the results?
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: It's December. Do you surrender to Donald Trump? on: December 03, 2015, 09:52:15 am
I'm still gonna wait until April before I make up my mind.

Me too. I just cannot imagine Trump being the nominee.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ben Carson admits fabricating West Point scholarship on: November 06, 2015, 01:35:36 pm
I think the next question is: is Ben Carson really a neurosurgeon? Cheesy
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Election 2000 and Beyond: Clinton impeached, resigns on: November 02, 2015, 06:10:11 am
I really like this timeline!
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Danish PM: Sanders should stop calling Denmark socialist on: November 01, 2015, 09:58:36 am
I completly agree. Sanders is no socialist and he should stop saying it.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: '12 on: October 23, 2015, 08:01:42 am
When will we see an update? Smiley
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / And so it continues... 2005 German election and on on: October 23, 2015, 05:54:01 am
6 pm, September 18th 2005

"Good evening, here ist the first projection for the federal election 2005"



"CDU/CSU are at 34,1%, down 4,4%, SPD at 35%, down 3,5%. The Greens are at 7,8%, down 0,8%, FDP is at 10,2%, up 2,6%, PDS is at 9%, up 5% from 2002. Other parties are at 3,9%. If the results hold up it would be the second worst result for the Christian Democrats, it is also a bad result for the SPD but they seem to stay the largest party in the Bundestag. The clear winners of tonight are FDP and PDS, but neither CDU/CSU-FDP or SPD-Greens seem to have a majority in the Bundestag."



"My party has a clear mandate to form the next government. We have achieved a great victory despite the campaign by the media against me and my party."

- Chancellor Gerhard Schröder in post-election debate

Final results of the 2005 German Federal Election:

CDU/CSU: 34,2%, 218 Seats in the Bundestag (-4,3%)

SPD: 35,2%, 225 Seats in the Bundestag (- 3,3%)

Greens: 8,2% 52 Seats in the Bundestag (- 0,4%)

FDP: 10,1% 64 Seats in the Bundestag (+ 2,5%)

PDS: 8,7 % 57 Seats in the Bundestag (+ 5,7%)

Other Parties: 3,6%
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) on: October 16, 2015, 08:38:48 am
So if someone just woke up from a 3 week coma, and wants to know why the Conservatives had a solid lead, and now there's talk of a Liberal Majority, what would you tell them?

1) There was never a solid Tory lead. The best we managed was around 2-3%

2) The NDP pooped the bed by running to the center when progressive voters wanted a shift to the left after Harper. This allowed Trudeau to consolidate the anti-Harper vote somewhat.

The Tories also ran a lackluster campaign and overplayed on the niqab which didn't help them.

Although I followed the election somewhat I don't get the niqab issue. Why is it so important? Why did it hurt the NDP in Quebec? And why didn't it hurt the LPC as well?
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: '12 on: October 11, 2015, 09:15:30 am
I love this timeline!
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden Watch Megathread on: October 11, 2015, 08:00:28 am
At this point I think Biden will only run if Clinton has withdraw from the race or something like that.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden decision timeline on: October 08, 2015, 04:01:00 pm
Perhaps he'll jump in on November 7th 2016...
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton’s Problem With Men on: October 08, 2015, 03:59:37 pm
We shouldn't underestimate sexism in our society. But it's sad that so many men can't accept the thought of a female president.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) on: October 05, 2015, 12:21:38 pm
There seems to be an unmistakable decline in the relative position of NDP.  This might be bad news for CPC as now there might be more pro-LPC tactical voting, especially in places like ON.   

The shift in the polls last few days seems to be working exactly as what I thought it would.  CPC getting the lead at the expense of NDP turned out to be working mostly in favor of LPC.

I think der LPC is now consolidating the anti-Harper vote, so the NDP might drop even further until election day.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oldiesfreak1854 Repository of Misogynistic Posts and Pejoratives on: August 15, 2015, 07:45:00 pm
Look, Sanders definitely has a chance.

The witch was once defeated by Obama and Sanders is already building a strong momentum accross the US.

The first thing you non-believing guys need to do, is to switch that button in your heads to "Yes, Bernie CAN defeat her". And then he eventually will. In the next months, more and more Democrats and Indys will see the light at the end of that filthy, bloodless tunnel called "Hillary Clinton" and switch over to the "real guy".

How is this "misogynistic" ?

This comment is only true for Hillary - not for other women. I'm a big champion for women's rights.

It is not misogynistic, as that would mean a post based on a belief that men are superior to women. It is pejorative in that it uses an insulting or disparaging term to describe Hillary. However, the question for Nagas is do you only intend to to put up posts that have pejoratives directed at women or will pejoratives used with men and male candidates go here as well? Why conflate misogyny and pejorative use?

The difference is that this is a specifically gendered pejorative. Nobody would describe Bill Clinton as a "witch".

And, in my experience, "asshole" and "bastard" are traditionally reserved for males. In most cases, need to insult a male, use a male insult, need to insult a female, use a female insult. There are, of course, gender neutral phrases such as "idiot", but those can only take us so far. What's your point?

Neither of those terms are gendered.

And men were never killed for being called "just" "assholes" or "bastards". Women on the other were killed for being called "witch". And that systematically. I have never heard a person who was really for equal rights calling a woman a witch.

This thread though definitely shows that some people on this forum should think about their attitude towards women. Especially on the 2016 board.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Boston Herald: It Happened on: August 12, 2015, 09:13:20 am
The vitriolic hate some people here have against HRC is really incredible.

Regarding the poll: Bill Bradley also came close in 2000 to defeat Gore in the NH primary and overall it made no difference for the nomination. We'll have to see what the other polls will say.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If Clinton is a two-term president, who is on the Democratic bench in 2024? on: August 02, 2015, 07:56:40 pm
Irrelevant premise, as no party is getting elected 5 straight times.

President Dewey agrees  with you.

Anyway Kamala Harris has potential, als has Martin Heinrich perhaps. In Murphy is elected next year perhaps ihm.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: National Review calls Jewish candidate Bernie Sanders a National Socialist on: July 22, 2015, 01:46:33 am
Bernie Sanders is not a socialist. And while the article is way over the top, it is important to note that Sanders (and other Democrats) us an "us vs them" rhetoric when discussing economic matters. And that can lead to xenophobia.

If Sanders were a socialist or even a progressive he would say that the Chinese workers also suffer from the capitalist system. And he would say that the system is to blame and not some specific people.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Raises $45 Million in 1st Quarter on: July 01, 2015, 10:25:31 am
From POLITICO

Quote
Hillary Clinton is on track to raise $45 million during her first quarter as a candidate, the Democratic front-runner's campaign said on Wednesday, adding that 91 percent of donations were $100 or less. The total captures the amount Clinton has raised since she launched her presidential run in mid-April.

The campaign has said it is aiming to gather $100 million before the end of 2015.

Suck it Sanders supporters.

But you have to remember that HRC is the candidate of the BIG BANKS :-P
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton utters Southern-sounding racist remarks toward Obama, whites in SC on: May 28, 2015, 02:56:54 am
This thread is ridicoulus. Though I liked the video.

Regarding the accent: HRC lived in Arkansas for some time and I now people in Germany who usually speak high german, but also start talking in a local accent when they come back to a region where they grew up oder lived for  some time.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Vice President Rick Perry on: May 18, 2015, 06:07:27 pm
This sounds quite interesting Smiley
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Fresh Starts on: May 18, 2015, 12:00:22 pm
This is a great timeline!
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Scott Walker = The next Mitt Romney? on: April 10, 2015, 10:41:03 am
I think that Walker comes off as much less elitist than Romney. So far he didn't make any gaffe that nearly compares the gaffes of Romney regarding elitism.

I think he can probably appeal to working class whites much better than Romney.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Why does Clinton need to chose a male running mate? on: March 25, 2015, 04:11:05 pm
It would be great progress to have an all female ticket or a minority VP candidate.

But minorities will probably vote Democratic anyway, so I would say picking a midwestern white guy would perhaps increase the white vote for the Democrats and thus ensure a victory in 2016.

The only reason it was reasonably close in 2012 was the deficit Obama had with white voters. If you close that and keep your advantage among minority voters a victory is almost guaranteed.

All in all I would say that somebody like Mark Dayton would be a very safe pick. If I were Hillary Clinton, I would choose somebody like him.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Rise of the Grinch on: March 20, 2015, 02:45:08 pm
I really enjoy this timeline! Keep up the good work Smiley
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: AP Files Lawsuit To Get Clinton Emails on: March 11, 2015, 03:45:03 pm
The anti-Clinton media bloodlust is embarrassing.

Indeed. If only the media applied as much scrutiny to President Bush's justification for invading Iraq as they did to private citizen Hillary Clinton's e-mails, the world would probably be a much better place today.

That's true. Though in the end I don't think it will seriously hurt her chances.

Didn't Colin Powell use his privat email as well?
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