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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: High-energy interview on TYT on: April 27, 2016, 04:14:11 am
Wow, he single handedly took all the Turks to the woodshed. Massive FF!

It's really satisfying to watch! Cheesy
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Confession on: April 23, 2016, 03:44:06 pm
It's back! I just saw it now but I'm really glad! Keep it up Smiley
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: April 23, 2016, 09:54:52 am
Nobody posted it here yet: the SPD-centrist mayor of Berlin Michael Müller made a successful coup against leftwing SPD chairman Jan Stöß and got rid of some allies of his:

http://www.tagesspiegel.de/berlin/berliner-spd-michael-mueller-schlaegt-andreas-geisel-als-vize-vor/13466742.html

This also hurts the SPD-left overall as Stöß was one of the more powerful and outspoken members.

4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: April 23, 2016, 09:52:38 am
Wow, surprised the traffic light coalition actually went through.
Actually, Kurt Beck opted for FDP than Greens as coalition partner. Then RP FDP knows how to work with SDP.

Yes. There was an SPD-FDP coalition in RLP from 1991 to 2006 and Kurt Beck kept good relations with them afterwards. Apparently Dreyer was able to build on that, but she seems to be a natural bridge builder in my opinion.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton begins VP search (NYT) on: April 23, 2016, 09:14:10 am
Rooting for Deval Patrick. He's unquestionably qualified, would make an excellent attack dog, and it completely rewards African Americans, who are probably the main reason Hillary was able to put the nomination away.

Will never be him...

1. He doesn't want it
2. Clinton won't pick him because this actually would cause more Berners to say #BernieorBust (he's at Bain Capital!)

Booker could also have a similar problem when it comes to the Berners. He defended Bain Capital in 2012 after all...

Warner's time has gone, surely?

I would agree.

Furthermore I also think Castro is unlikely because it would start a debate about his experience at a time that the Clinton campaign propably wouldn't need it.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who Hates Hillary More? on: April 21, 2016, 10:16:02 am
TYT by far.

They really invoke the worst stereotypes people have of progressives.

TYT isn't progressive anymore.
7  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: To tell the truth I like Ted Kruz on: April 21, 2016, 09:41:06 am
The only advantage I see going for Cruz against Trump is that he isn't (or least doesn't seem to be) so crazy.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Campaign Trail: Post Your Maps! on: April 05, 2016, 06:08:29 am
https://www.americanhistoryusa.com/campaign-trail/game/156198

Kennedy: 356 Electoral Votes 50.7%
Nixon: 167 Electoral Votes 48.8%



Better than 99.8% Wink
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Just how relieved are you right now? on: February 07, 2016, 07:49:46 am
I think that Rubio still has a chance. I just don't see Trump performing well on Tuesday and Cruz is just to unpopular with establishment Republicans. Rubio has several problem, but he is still the most likely nominee in my opinion.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Spanish elections and politics on: December 20, 2015, 07:57:10 am
Is there any place to see the results?
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: It's December. Do you surrender to Donald Trump? on: December 03, 2015, 09:52:15 am
I'm still gonna wait until April before I make up my mind.

Me too. I just cannot imagine Trump being the nominee.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ben Carson admits fabricating West Point scholarship on: November 06, 2015, 01:35:36 pm
I think the next question is: is Ben Carson really a neurosurgeon? Cheesy
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Election 2000 and Beyond: Clinton impeached, resigns on: November 02, 2015, 06:10:11 am
I really like this timeline!
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Danish PM: Sanders should stop calling Denmark socialist on: November 01, 2015, 09:58:36 am
I completly agree. Sanders is no socialist and he should stop saying it.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: '12 on: October 23, 2015, 08:01:42 am
When will we see an update? Smiley
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International What-ifs / And so it continues... 2005 German election and on on: October 23, 2015, 05:54:01 am
6 pm, September 18th 2005

"Good evening, here ist the first projection for the federal election 2005"



"CDU/CSU are at 34,1%, down 4,4%, SPD at 35%, down 3,5%. The Greens are at 7,8%, down 0,8%, FDP is at 10,2%, up 2,6%, PDS is at 9%, up 5% from 2002. Other parties are at 3,9%. If the results hold up it would be the second worst result for the Christian Democrats, it is also a bad result for the SPD but they seem to stay the largest party in the Bundestag. The clear winners of tonight are FDP and PDS, but neither CDU/CSU-FDP or SPD-Greens seem to have a majority in the Bundestag."



"My party has a clear mandate to form the next government. We have achieved a great victory despite the campaign by the media against me and my party."

- Chancellor Gerhard Schröder in post-election debate

Final results of the 2005 German Federal Election:

CDU/CSU: 34,2%, 218 Seats in the Bundestag (-4,3%)

SPD: 35,2%, 225 Seats in the Bundestag (- 3,3%)

Greens: 8,2% 52 Seats in the Bundestag (- 0,4%)

FDP: 10,1% 64 Seats in the Bundestag (+ 2,5%)

PDS: 8,7 % 57 Seats in the Bundestag (+ 5,7%)

Other Parties: 3,6%
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) on: October 16, 2015, 08:38:48 am
So if someone just woke up from a 3 week coma, and wants to know why the Conservatives had a solid lead, and now there's talk of a Liberal Majority, what would you tell them?

1) There was never a solid Tory lead. The best we managed was around 2-3%

2) The NDP pooped the bed by running to the center when progressive voters wanted a shift to the left after Harper. This allowed Trudeau to consolidate the anti-Harper vote somewhat.

The Tories also ran a lackluster campaign and overplayed on the niqab which didn't help them.

Although I followed the election somewhat I don't get the niqab issue. Why is it so important? Why did it hurt the NDP in Quebec? And why didn't it hurt the LPC as well?
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: '12 on: October 11, 2015, 09:15:30 am
I love this timeline!
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden Watch Megathread on: October 11, 2015, 08:00:28 am
At this point I think Biden will only run if Clinton has withdraw from the race or something like that.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden decision timeline on: October 08, 2015, 04:01:00 pm
Perhaps he'll jump in on November 7th 2016...
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton’s Problem With Men on: October 08, 2015, 03:59:37 pm
We shouldn't underestimate sexism in our society. But it's sad that so many men can't accept the thought of a female president.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread) on: October 05, 2015, 12:21:38 pm
There seems to be an unmistakable decline in the relative position of NDP.  This might be bad news for CPC as now there might be more pro-LPC tactical voting, especially in places like ON.   

The shift in the polls last few days seems to be working exactly as what I thought it would.  CPC getting the lead at the expense of NDP turned out to be working mostly in favor of LPC.

I think der LPC is now consolidating the anti-Harper vote, so the NDP might drop even further until election day.
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Oldiesfreak1854 Repository of Misogynistic Posts and Pejoratives on: August 15, 2015, 07:45:00 pm
Look, Sanders definitely has a chance.

The witch was once defeated by Obama and Sanders is already building a strong momentum accross the US.

The first thing you non-believing guys need to do, is to switch that button in your heads to "Yes, Bernie CAN defeat her". And then he eventually will. In the next months, more and more Democrats and Indys will see the light at the end of that filthy, bloodless tunnel called "Hillary Clinton" and switch over to the "real guy".

How is this "misogynistic" ?

This comment is only true for Hillary - not for other women. I'm a big champion for women's rights.

It is not misogynistic, as that would mean a post based on a belief that men are superior to women. It is pejorative in that it uses an insulting or disparaging term to describe Hillary. However, the question for Nagas is do you only intend to to put up posts that have pejoratives directed at women or will pejoratives used with men and male candidates go here as well? Why conflate misogyny and pejorative use?

The difference is that this is a specifically gendered pejorative. Nobody would describe Bill Clinton as a "witch".

And, in my experience, "asshole" and "bastard" are traditionally reserved for males. In most cases, need to insult a male, use a male insult, need to insult a female, use a female insult. There are, of course, gender neutral phrases such as "idiot", but those can only take us so far. What's your point?

Neither of those terms are gendered.

And men were never killed for being called "just" "assholes" or "bastards". Women on the other were killed for being called "witch". And that systematically. I have never heard a person who was really for equal rights calling a woman a witch.

This thread though definitely shows that some people on this forum should think about their attitude towards women. Especially on the 2016 board.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: NH-Boston Herald: It Happened on: August 12, 2015, 09:13:20 am
The vitriolic hate some people here have against HRC is really incredible.

Regarding the poll: Bill Bradley also came close in 2000 to defeat Gore in the NH primary and overall it made no difference for the nomination. We'll have to see what the other polls will say.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Presidential Election Trends / Re: If Clinton is a two-term president, who is on the Democratic bench in 2024? on: August 02, 2015, 07:56:40 pm
Irrelevant premise, as no party is getting elected 5 straight times.

President Dewey agrees  with you.

Anyway Kamala Harris has potential, als has Martin Heinrich perhaps. In Murphy is elected next year perhaps ihm.
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