Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 19, 2014, 08:46:21 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 10
1  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: CSU: Immigrants should speak German at home, CDU says LOLwhat ? on: December 16, 2014, 09:12:30 am
Tender, the main thing is, that "jemanden zu etwas anhalten" which was the wording of the original proposal etwas anderes ist als "jemanden zu etwas ermutigen".
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: December 05, 2014, 01:34:51 am
The election of the Thuringian Ministerpräsident (Prime minister) will be today. Red-red-green has a majority of just one seat, so it will be interesting, if there are any defections. Expect some constitutional and procedural shenanigans, if defections occur:

There would be three rounds of voting. In the first two rounds an absolute majority of all representatives would be needed. In the third round, the Thuringian state constitution (article 70) states, that the candidate with the most votes is elected. The CDU (and especially the new Landtag president Carius (CDU)) have been presenting creative interpretations of the constituion, the last days: They state, there had to be the possibility of explicitly voting "no", if there is only one contender in the third round because the Landtag rules of procedure say so and Ramelow could not be elected, if there were more "no" than "yes" votes.

Well, the constitution tells otherwise and there is some precedent from Schleswig-Holstein in the fifties, where an election of a minority PM occured under similar rules as the Thuringian constitution has. This also has an equivalent in the Grundgesetz (constitution) of Germany, as the Bundespräsident is allowed (but not has to) to appoint a chancellor that has got the most votes in the third round of voting, but not an outright majority.
 But of course, the Landtag's rules of procedure and the CDU's whish to block the election of the Left Party politician Ramelow are more important than the constitution. ;-)


The session is supposed to begin 10 o'clock am CET. MDR will broadcast the election.
http://www.mdr.de/mediathek/livestreams/fernsehen/livestream-mdr-plus100.html
3  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: English Proficiency Index: Danes are the best non-native English-speakers on: December 01, 2014, 04:52:43 am
The most outstanding are of course those sweet guttural sounds South Germans and Austrians do, if they use diminuitives. Noone here can pronounce "-erl" properly. ;-)
An Eichhörnchen isn't a cat, obviously. And only a comet has a Schweif.

"Kann es sein, dass Weibsvolk anwesend ist?" is the only way I could imagine a proper use of womenfolk. I think, Tender will get the reference. ;-)

I like it how the topic of this thread evolved into Austrian-German language differences.
4  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: English Proficiency Index: Danes are the best non-native English-speakers on: November 27, 2014, 01:53:54 am
Quote
(because it's the same word in German)
Well, the accurate German word is "Fahrstuhl", not to be mixed up with "driver's seat" - "Fahrersitz" ;-)
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Votes and elections in Switzerland on: November 25, 2014, 03:14:30 am
It is a brief analysis of the referendum results concerning "opening"/international integration of and immigration to Switzerland) classified by location ("Stadt" (urban) - orange/ "Agglomeration"  (suburban, metro area)/ - red "land" (rural) - grey). The results of each voting group are compared to the overall results (in percentage points)


The main point is that suburban voters have become more isolationist over time compared to the mean.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: POLAND locals 2014 on: November 18, 2014, 08:08:24 am
I love that in Polish the word for mayor is actually Schultheiß. ;-) I did not know that.
7  Forum Community / Survivor / Re: SURVIVOR: Countries of Africa on: November 04, 2014, 04:31:16 am
3 Egypt
2 Sierra Leone
1 Malawi
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the German President on: November 03, 2014, 07:41:11 am
Reactionary tool, warmonger, defintion of opportunism until 1989. When the civil rights movement had already succeeded he came out of the closet. And his concept of "freedom" is the most empty I ever encountered.

And he is taking all of Germany and Europe ransom for his trauma of his father dying in Soviet captivity.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics on: October 23, 2014, 03:53:41 am
Oh, how I love this "Would you let them sleep in your own bed" strawman.
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Where would you rather want to live ? (Tender Branson edition) on: October 16, 2014, 05:44:11 am
The total darkness of Tromsø in the winter would drive me directly to suicide.
11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Christopher Columbus on: October 16, 2014, 01:19:45 am
Quote
Christopher Columbus is one of the most despicable human beings that has ever existed.
Probably not. Beware the Ides of Hyperbole!

How is that hyperbole?
To be fair, at first I read "the most despicable human being" and that would clearly qualify. But even your notion would heave Columbus on a podest of cruelty that he would share with several hundred thousand human beings, at least.

2. It's of course pretty comfortable to personalize the cruelty of colonialsm and state that it was that way, because Columbus was so vile.
12  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying on: October 16, 2014, 12:50:28 am
Jokemany! Hahaha
A one-goal win against the total football superpower of Malta is not too impressive either. ;-)
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Christopher Columbus on: October 14, 2014, 07:04:57 am
Quote
Christopher Columbus is one of the most despicable human beings that has ever existed.
Probably not. Beware the Ides of Hyperbole!
14  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Is the European Union project a threat to stability, democracy and peace? on: October 14, 2014, 03:01:15 am
Just no.

I'm very surprised every time, when  US-Americans, that have a federation with a strong role of the states (I'm oversimplifying, here), don't get it that European integration is a long-term process with difficult negotiations and sometimes backlashes, but has been an appealing goal for many Europeans for many decades.

There is a lack of democratic control in EU institutions, but the provisions of the Lisbon treaty have actually reduced this, as they strengthen the role of the EU parliament. (The revision of the treaty after the Irish "no" - that had not much to do with its actual provisions, anyway - helped the interests of the Irish government - like upholding the "every state must have its own commissioner" crap). But the main problem with democratic lack of control is not so much the commission's burocracy, but the national government's outsourcing all the unpopular stuff, that they want to do but not be held accountable for to the EU via the European Council and the Council of the European Union (where they gather themselves) and than blaming Brussels for it.

The European Integration project has actually helped stability, peace and prosperity in (Western and later Southern and Eastern) Europe, e.g. through free trade, giving a forum for negotiations and providing funds to help poorer regions. At the moment, it seems we are at a watershed: A joint currency actually needs joint fiscal, economic and social (European meaning)  policies to work in the long run. So several paths seem to be possible. The best probably would be to provide these joint policies, but most of the contemporary political class isn't very visionary, fearing the loss of influence in their petty national states and the rise of euroscepticist populism (that they are actually firing up by bad policy decisions, communication and using the comfortable option of blaming Brussels for everything. The other point is, weither such joint policies (e.g. transfering competences to the European level) would need more common European political culture and discourse (that is slowly developing via the instrument of the European Citizens' initiative and the strengthened role of the parliament, but it will take time, until people notice that.

The second possibility would be some rollback of the integration, but their is no easy level to return to as integration has been in flow permanently and the process in different spheres has been intertwined for the last 25 years. And their really is no precedent how to accomplish a smooth disintegration. The most I can think of is actually some split in the EURO currency if the costs of keeping it would get out of control totally. Some egoisms could be appeased by giving some other competences back to the states, but where to go? It won't be something interfering with the EG/EU "common standard in a common market" approach. It won't be the agaric sector, because that would be highly unpopular with a core constituency of the centre-right parties in the long run. There is not much room for feasible returns of security policies in the environment of "international terrorism" and "international crime" (Actually much could be done to improve the cooperation between the normal police on different sides of intra-Schengen borders).

The third possibility would be having some kind of both as is often adressed with the slogan of a "Europe of different speed levels": Having a core Euro-zone that is integrating further politically and economically while having a bunch of others where only the common market things apply. (Actually, the provisions of EURO currency introduction and the Schengen treaty, that is not part of the EU treaties already follow this part.)
15  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Genghis Khan? on: October 09, 2014, 12:36:26 am
All I have to contribute: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B_ZKxA25nk8
16  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: maoist, trotskyst, moderate...but where are stalinist parties ? on: October 08, 2014, 04:31:49 am
The main question is, in which category you would put "unreformed orthodox" "parties" with an "antirevisionist" tendency, like the KPD, that was founded in the GDR in 1990 and still exists.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Communist_Party_of_Germany_%281990%29
17  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Official 2014-15 Club Soccer/Football Discussion Thread on: October 08, 2014, 12:52:59 am
They should have fired the whole management responsible for hiring the players and so on instead of the coach.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish parliamentary election, 2015 on: October 02, 2014, 04:00:31 am
Ah, I probably mixed KPN up with KNP and then thought the words "catholic" and "national" would be in both. So I totally screwed that up.

Once upon a time I even new some random right wing libertarian Korwin-Mikke supporter.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Polish parliamentary election, 2015 on: October 02, 2014, 12:44:47 am
Is KNP a renamed LPR or "only" a similar outfit?
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: September 30, 2014, 12:44:42 am
Quote
And is Left-SPD-AfD coalition viable?
Just no!
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Sweden election results thread (Sept 14, 2014) on: September 26, 2014, 03:20:52 am
This has probably been asked before, though in other wording, but why is there this political divide between the parts, that had been danish in medieval and early modern times (Skane and the western coast) and the rest?
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics on: September 25, 2014, 12:51:50 am
The migration of 39.000 "other" voters to the AfD in Saxony is quite doubtful, of course. I would guess that there are at least some proxy 2009 NPD votes in there. There isn't much room for that. Of the small right wing parties DSU is stable, the NPD offshoot SVP (Sächsische Volkspartei - Saxonian People's Party) has merged into the "pro movement" and got there votes.  "Freie Sachsen" in 2009 was merely a Freie Wähler proxy, and they got more votes in 2014 than their antecessors.
Small right wing parties not competing this time (PBC, REP, FPD [sic],)  added to about 12.000 in 2009
So the possiblities were the missing votes come from (other than proxy NPD) would be:
* Tierschutpartei (Animal protection): They lost half of their 36000 votes and are quite socially conservative (but I'm not sure many of their voters are aware of that)
* Some Pirate voters of 2009 (I quess, most of them went crazy with Sonneborn this time, but maybe I'm wrong). The areas Pirates are strong are not the typical AfD ones.
* Freie Sachsen: If their voters of 2009 differ much from "Free voters" supporters in 2014, but actually I see not much room for that
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics (State elections in Brandenburg and Thüringen!) on: September 24, 2014, 12:20:53 am
They got the exemption because Christoph Schulze won a FPTP seat. At the federal level you need 3 FPTP seats so that the 5% treshold isn't applied (basically assuring that the CSU will always get in the Bundestag) but in Brandenburg one seat is enough.
This.

Interestingly, only Brandenburg, Berlin, Schleswig-Holstein (1 seat) and Saxony (2 seats) have those Grundmandatsklauseln in their state electoral law.
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of the previous poster's display name on: September 23, 2014, 06:14:26 am
All hail the emperor!
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: German Elections & Politics (State elections in Brandenburg and Thüringen!) on: September 15, 2014, 09:44:16 am
Where can we find recent polling for Bremen and Hamburg?

Here.

But:

The most "recent" polls from Hamburg and Bremen are already several months/half a year old, which makes them meaningless, considering AfD's recent surge.

AfD will crash in Hamburg for sure, they profit the most from EU. I'm not sure about Bremen's demographics but keep in mind these are two free cities we are talking about and not regions. AfD took votes of Die Linke in the urban centres of the two states here so I can only see the making inroads in Bremen where Die Linke did well 10 years ago.
East isn't West
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 10


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines