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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Scarborough-Rouge River, ON [Sept 1]) on: Today at 07:57:26 am
Here are the swings

NDP: 51.0% (+7.0%)
Liberal: 33.6% (-6.8%)
PC: 12.1% (+1.3%)
Green: 3.3% (-1.5%)
Turnout: 32.5%

Liberal swing to NDP: 6.9%
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: Today at 07:37:14 am
Beautiful result. Must confirm that the NDP must be dead outside Metro Halifax, though.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 30, 2016, 02:50:37 pm
I saw that Pierre Lemieux announced, would I be correct in assuming he won't be a major player in the election?

Haha. Did he really? Jesus...

Lemieux is a bit of scumbag. Happy to see him go. Funny to see him in the race.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 30, 2016, 02:35:30 pm
Speaking of nailbiters, I'm predicting one in Halifax tonight: http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/2016/08/halifax-needham-provincial-by-election.html
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 30, 2016, 10:52:29 am
Doesn't Forum usually do a poll for Ontario by-elections?  Did I miss the one for Scarborough-Rouge River?

The riding is impossible to poll properly (lots of new residents who wont be in sample, lots of immigrants who don't do polls), so maybe for the best.
6  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: August 28, 2016, 07:54:56 am
No one will be naming their party "labour" in the 21st century (let alone a neo-liberal one). Sorry, comrades.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 28, 2016, 07:52:20 am
Anyone have the Tory membership numbers by province? Might help with our #analysis.

They use the system for the leadership with 100 points per riding, though, don't they?

Oh yeah. So, if the Tory membership in Quebec (what little there is) loves Bernier, that's a butt-load of points right there. 
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 28, 2016, 07:48:22 am

Pandering to immigrant voters.  What happened to the Conservative view of 'If  they want to come here, they should adapt to our ways"

What happened to it? Well, they actually want to start winning elections, so...

There's not enough die in the wool racists in Canada/Ontario for this to be a winning strategy. After all, they're mostly voting Tory anyways, so no need to pander to them. I don't event think they're doing any dog whistling.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 26, 2016, 09:31:41 am
For you RB:



Wink
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: Reuters/Ipsos: (Most) States on: August 25, 2016, 08:36:59 am
I am contractually obligated to say that ipsos is a junk pollster (opt-in panels = bad)
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 24, 2016, 05:00:07 pm
Anyone have the Tory membership numbers by province? Might help with our #analysis.

I can't say whether or not most Tories are anti-French, but they have expanded their membership since the Reform Party days.
12  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: August 24, 2016, 02:34:25 pm
Richard Hatfield: "very much a bachelor".  I suppose it was common knowledge what this was code for? Cheesy
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 24, 2016, 09:47:13 am
10% (actually, he is at 11%) isn't popular at all, really. But he is in 4th place, behind MacKay (might not run), O'Leary (probably won't run) and Kenney (will not run). So, who knows.

I'm picking Leitch as the underground Brownesque candidate right now. But that's based on circumstantial evidence.

Ehh... maybe it's soon to count out Raitt after all. We'll see. 

Did that poll also give Bernier's level of support in Quebec?  My guess is that if Bernier is at 11% nationally, he's probably at between 20-25% in Quebec.

Yes, he is polling at around 30% in Quebec. Outside of Quebec he's in single digits.

Interestingly, he is doing well with younger voters, perhaps because young Tories tend to be Libertarian? He's also doing much better among men than women for probably the same reason.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you purchased any signs/apparel from a presidential campaign this year? on: August 23, 2016, 04:53:07 pm
No; but my friend bought me a "MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN" hat as a gag gift for my birthday. Wasn't bought from the campaign though, as that would've been illegal, and probably would've brought him great shame.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 23, 2016, 04:51:45 pm
10% (actually, he is at 11%) isn't popular at all, really. But he is in 4th place, behind MacKay (might not run), O'Leary (probably won't run) and Kenney (will not run). So, who knows.

I'm picking Leitch as the underground Brownesque candidate right now. But that's based on circumstantial evidence.

Ehh... maybe it's soon to count out Raitt after all. We'll see. 
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Conservative Party of Canada Leadership Race Megathread-May 27th 2017 on: August 23, 2016, 02:12:33 pm
Lisa Raitt's not going to win, unless there is some underground super campaign going on, a la Patrick Brown.  Is there one?
17  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canadian comedian fined $42k for joke on: August 23, 2016, 09:13:41 am
While I don't support this, obviously, anything that bugs dead0man is fine by me!
18  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: August 23, 2016, 09:11:03 am
Not really politics (though Trudeau was there) but the Tragically Hip's final concert was quite....lovely?  Didn't quite realize how popular the band was up there.

It was very touching. Was nearly in tears. How do you know about them? From what I gather they aren't well known in the US.


Well, I've lived in New Orleans for some time now and they wrote one song that wasn't about Canada.  Actually saw them play in New Orleans back in the early 90s.  Can't say that I had kept up with them over the years, but I started seeing stories about Gordon and his cancer and the final show, so I tuned in.

Interesting; how many people were there?


Oh wow. RIP
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 22, 2016, 01:32:08 pm
The latest province wide poll in Ontario has the Liberals crashing to 28% with the Pcs up at 42% and the NDP at 23% - the way the votes are distributed that could mean a PC majority and NDP as official opposition. Also if you extrapolate that trend the Liberals should be in deep danger of losing Scarborough-Rouge River!

Yes, but unfortunately it means a PC win there

Its hard to know how things extrapolate to that riding...In 2014 the Liberals came in first with the NDP a very strong second and the PCs not far behind...but a riding that is something like 65% made up of people born outside Canada and with a huge Tamil population is very difficult to poll and may or may not follow province-wide trends. Personally, if the NDP doesnt win that one, the next best thing is for the PCs to win...nothing will change the Liberal majority, but if they lose a suburban Toronto seat to anyone, it will create major panic and unrest within Ontario Liberal ranks...whihc means i can get out the popcorn!

It will be a true test to see the popularity of Brown among immigrants.
20  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II on: August 22, 2016, 08:51:44 am
Not really politics (though Trudeau was there) but the Tragically Hip's final concert was quite....lovely?  Didn't quite realize how popular the band was up there.

It was very touching. Was nearly in tears. How do you know about them? From what I gather they aren't well known in the US.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 22, 2016, 08:48:23 am
Speaking of Belanger, this has been bugging me... he was well known for wanting to change the anthem to be more gender equal, yet it appears his wife took his name [assuming it was her choice, does this mean she is not as committed to gender equality as her husband - or is she cynically trying to attach herself to his legacy through his last name]?  I only bring this up, because the article points out that there is speculation that she might run in the by-election.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 22, 2016, 08:40:16 am

I was cynically thinking Meilleur was going to run for the seat.

I kind of feel bad for Mathieu Fleury who will have to wait along time for this seat (provincial or federal) to open up again so that he can run. He's still young though, so he has lots of time.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Halifax Needham, NS [Aug 30]) on: August 22, 2016, 08:37:30 am
The latest province wide poll in Ontario has the Liberals crashing to 28% with the Pcs up at 42% and the NDP at 23% - the way the votes are distributed that could mean a PC majority and NDP as official opposition. Also if you extrapolate that trend the Liberals should be in deep danger of losing Scarborough-Rouge River!

Yes, but unfortunately it means a PC win there
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: Northern Voting Booth: August 2016 Elections on: August 21, 2016, 09:41:37 pm
Senator: Scott

Governor:
1) Flo
2) Kingpoleon

Assembly:
1) Gass
2) LLR
3) Clyde
4) Logan W Palmer
25  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: August 2016 House of Representative Elections on: August 19, 2016, 10:39:51 am
[1] evergreen
[2] talleyrand
[3] Peebs
[4] Clyde
[5] NeverAgain
[6] 1184AZ
[7] Shua
[8] Abraham Washington
[9] DFWLibertyLover
[10] ClarkKent
[11] Santander
[666] JCL
[∞] ClassicConservative
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 836


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