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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Villaraigosa/ Klobuchar VS Christie/ Martinez on: May 18, 2013, 06:16:20 am


A 384-154 win for Christie
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Deval Patrick/Tom Vilsack vs Mike Pence/ Peter King on: May 18, 2013, 05:51:54 am


Deval Patrick/ Tom Vilsack - 285 EV's
Mike Pence/ Peter King - 253 EV's
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton/Bill Nelson vs Susana Martinez/Deb Fischer on: May 18, 2013, 05:34:02 am


Hillary Clinton/ Bill Nelson - 312 EV's
Susana Martinez/ Deb Fischer - 226 EV's
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Cuomo VS Jeb on: May 18, 2013, 05:26:37 am


Andrew Cuomo/ Claire MacCaskill - 272 EV's
Jeb Bush/ Susanna Martinez - 266 EV's
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Post random maps here on: April 14, 2013, 01:19:10 am
More Universal Swings to achieve popular vote ties

1988 (3.86% swing to Dukakis)



George HW Bush/ Dan Quayle - 286 EV's
Michael Dukakis/ Lloyd Bentsen - 252 EV's

1984 (9.105% Swing to Mondale)



Ronald Reagan/ George HW Bush - 306 EV's
Walter Mondale/ Geraldine Ferraro - 232 EV's

2-Way 1980 (4.87% swing to Carter)



Jimmy Carter/ Walter Mondale - 297 EV's
Ronald Reagan/ George HW Bush - 241 EV's

3-Way 1980 (26.18% swing to Anderson, 17.96% from Reagan, 8.22% from Carter)



Jimmy Carter/ Walter Mondale - 243 EV's
Ronald Reagan/ George HW Bush - 155 EV's
John Anderson/ Patrick Lucey - 129 EV's
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Andrew Cuomo/Heidi Heitkamp vs Susana Martinez/Mike Lee on: April 13, 2013, 06:51:59 am


Andrew Cuomo/ Heidi Heitkamp - 274 EV's
Susana Martinez/ Mike Lee - 264 EV's
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Biden/Cantwell vs. Christie/Fischer on: April 13, 2013, 06:29:23 am


Chris Christie/ Debbie Fischer - 304 EV's
Joe Biden/ Maria Cantwell - 234 EV's
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Cruz/ Kasich VS Biden/ Christie on: April 13, 2013, 06:15:45 am


Joe Biden/ Chris Christie - 386 EV's
Ted Cruz/ John Kasich - 152 EV's
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Post random maps here on: April 13, 2013, 12:28:06 am
More Universal Swings to create tied popular votes

2 Way 2000 (0.255% swing to Bush)



George W Bush/ Richard Cheney - 301 EV's
Al Gore/ Joe Lieberman - 237 EV's

2000 3-Way (30.26% swing to Nader, 15.39% from Gore, 14.88% from Bush)



George W Bush/ Richard Cheney - 274 EV's
Al Gore/ Joe Lieberman - 220 EV's
Ralph Nader/ Winona LaDuke - 44 EV's

1996 2-Way (4.255% Swing to Dole)



Bill Clinton/ Al Gore - 279 EV's
Bob Dole/ Jack Kemp - 259 EV's

1996 3-Way (24.38% Swing to Perot, 16.45% from Clinton, 7.94% from Dole



Bill Clinton/ Al Gore - 222 EV's
Bob Dole/ Jack Kemp - 217 EV's
Ross Perot/ Pat Choate - 99 EV's

2 Way 1992 (2.78% Swing to Bush)



George HW Bush/ Dan Quayle - 275 EV's
Bill Clinton/ Al Gore - 263 EV's

1992 3-Way (14.21% swing to Perot, 9.89% from Clinton, 4.33% from Bush)



Bill Clinton/ Al Gore - 202 EV's
George HW Bush/ Dan Quayle - 195 EV's
Ross Perot/ James Stockdale - 141 EV's
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Post random maps here on: April 12, 2013, 07:27:29 pm
Previous Elections with Universal Swings to create a tied popular vote

2012 (1.93% Swing to Romney)



Barack Obama/ Joe Biden - 285 EV's
Mitt Romney/ Paul Ryan - 253 EV's

2008 (3.635% Swing to McCain)



Barack Obama/ Joe Biden - 278 EV's
John McCain/ Sarah Palin - 260 EV's

2004 (1.23% Swing to Kerry)



John Kerry/ John Edwards - 284 EV's
George W Bush/ Richard Cheney - 259 EV's
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1980: Brown/Askew vs. Connally/Ford on: April 10, 2013, 06:56:44 am
Would Anderson entering be enough to flip it to Brown?
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name two demographic groups the previous candidate would over-/under-perform on: April 09, 2013, 05:06:25 am
Over: Employers, Job Seekers in Union states
Under: Union members, Wisconsinites

Jimmy Carter
Apologies if it sounds random or something, but do I know you from somewhere? Tongue

@ Booker

Over: Pet owners, blacks.
Under: Blue-collar voters, Obamatards

Sarah Palin.

Yeah was wondering whether you were the same Morgieb as the one on Cricket Web

Back on topic:

Palin:
Over: Religous Right, Gun Owners
Under: Alaskans, Non isolationists

George HW Bush
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name two demographic groups the previous candidate would over-/under-perform on: April 08, 2013, 05:30:43 am
Over: Employers, Job Seekers in Union states
Under: Union members, Wisconsinites

Jimmy Carter
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Name two demographic groups the previous candidate would over-/under-perform on: April 07, 2013, 05:16:52 am
Over: Comedy Central Viewers, People from Delaware
Under: Academics, Fox News viewers

Brian Schweitzer
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Mark Warner/Amy Klochubar vs Tim Scott/Brian Sandoval on: April 06, 2013, 07:49:51 am


Mark Warner/ Amy Klochubar - 330 EV's
Tim Scott/ Brian Sandoval - 208 EV's
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Post random maps here on: April 04, 2013, 05:10:28 am
Schweitzer/ Landrieu (D) vs. Gingrich/ Carson (R)
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Brian Schweitzer/Kirsten Gillibrand vs Scott Walker/Kelly Ayotte on: April 01, 2013, 07:59:01 pm
Best Case Scenario for Schweitzer



Brian Schweitzer/ Kristen Gillibrand - 435 EV's
Scott Walker/ Kelly Ayotte - 103 EV's

Best Case Scenario for Walker



Brian Schweitzer/ Kristen Gillibrand - 274 EV's
Scott Walker/ Kelly Ayotte - 264 EV's
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Heitkamp/Warner vs. Jindal/Portman on: March 31, 2013, 03:46:35 am


Heitkamp/ Warner - 290 EV's
Jindal/ Portman - 248 EV's

This is what I was thinking, but with NE-02 for Heitkamp.  Jindal is probably winning the PV here, agreed? 

Agreed Jindal probably wins the popular vote
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Heitkamp/Warner vs. Jindal/Portman on: March 30, 2013, 09:48:43 pm


Heitkamp/ Warner - 290 EV's
Jindal/ Portman - 248 EV's
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Martin O'Malley/Maggie Hassan vs Bob McDonnell/John Boozman on: March 30, 2013, 08:26:35 pm


Martin O'Malley/ Maggie Hassan - 272 EV's
Bob McDonnell/ John Boozman - 266 EV's
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton/Xavier Becerra vs Marco Rubio/Bill Haslam on: March 30, 2013, 08:18:52 pm


Hillary Clinton/ Xavier Becerra - 417 EV's
Marco Rubio/ Bill Haslam - 121 EV's
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Patrick/ McCaskill VS Martinez/ Brown VS Huckabee/ Miller on: March 30, 2013, 11:14:54 am


Deval Patrick/ Claire MacCaskill - 472 EV's
Susanna Martinez/ Scott Brown - 37 EV's
Mike Huckabee/ Candice Miller - 22 EV's
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1960 Underwood/Dirksen (R) vs. Johnson/Humphrey (D) on: March 30, 2013, 09:09:03 am


Lyndon Johnson/ Hubert Humphrey - 269 EV's
Cecil Underwood/ Everett Dirksen - 268 EV's
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1988: Gary Hart wins the Democratic nomination on: March 30, 2013, 08:58:35 am
My Take



Gary Hart/ Bill Clinton - 271 EV's
George HW Bush/ Dan Quayle - 267 EV's
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Post random maps here on: March 25, 2013, 02:17:19 am
Yes being an incumbent overcomes being runner up in the primary
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