Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 08, 2016, 04:49:26 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 2241
1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: This is why Virginia is no longer a swing state on: December 07, 2016, 02:13:08 pm
The majority of people are government employees and also members of public employee unions such as AFSCME

Union density in the state of Virginia is 5.4%. Must try harder!
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: This is why Virginia is no longer a swing state on: December 07, 2016, 02:07:02 pm
It's a very economically leftist region.

Words mean nothing now apparently.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Has Trump's level of support always been there? on: December 06, 2016, 06:53:57 pm
Ross Perot polled 19% of the vote in 1992 despite the general self-destructive weirdness of his campaign. Jesse Ventura was elected Governor of Minnesota in 1998. Etc. Stuff like that should have been treated by the two parties as a warning rather than dismissed as a series of flukes...
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: President Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton on: December 06, 2016, 03:14:02 pm
It reads like he's talking about both? Whatever; it's a useful point to bear in mind. It is gutting to lose like this of course but the rules are the rules and strategies are based around them...

...like I'm really not trying to be a prick here. I get that this must hurt like hell.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: President Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton on: December 06, 2016, 03:09:02 pm
I mean I understand the frustration and the bitterness. I really do. Yet...
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: During the course of this election, how have your political views changed? on: December 06, 2016, 02:56:37 pm
Yeah no that's really not O.K. at all. If you're starting to think along those lines then the time has come to disengage (at least for a while) from politics.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: President Donald Trump vs Hillary Clinton on: December 06, 2016, 02:52:45 pm
I know it's in vogue to forget, but it took immense political skill and years of hard work proving herself to clear the field in '16. And after achieving that, she managed to win millions and millions of votes more  than her closest opponent in the primary. She was chosen by the party. She was the people's choice at literally every juncture this year. Anyone could have challenged her and competed to amass more votes in the primary. Few did, and the ones that did failed to defeat her. She won. Period.

It isn't particularly unusual in a tennis match for the player who won the most points overall to lose the match, at least if the match is close. If that player were to declare that they had won really then people would be confused; the rules are the rules and the match is decided by how many sets are won (and these by how many games) not by the running total of points and the player knew that at the start of the match, indeed had obviously known it for their entire life. You follow me here?
8  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Peter Vaughan RIP on: December 06, 2016, 01:09:33 pm
He was excellent in everything, but I would particularly recommend his performance as Felix Hutchinson in Our Friends In The North and as Denethor in the BBC radio adaptation of LotR.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Italian Constitutional Referendum, 12/04/2016 on: December 04, 2016, 05:38:22 pm
Italian exit polls are basically trash. You have to wait until they're well into the actual counting before you can be sure of anything.

Of course a government that's not popular (it's not hated either but it's not popular) winning a constitutional referendum that it has consistently trailed in the polls for... er... that pretty much doesn't happen.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016) on: December 04, 2016, 12:26:28 pm
Also a big defeat for Nigel Farage who said "he'd bet all his money on a Hofer-win" ...

ahahaha
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016) on: December 04, 2016, 11:36:19 am
Hofer's campaign was more aggressive than in the first run around, I note...
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: New Zealand By-elections (next event: Mount Roskill [Dec 3]) on: December 03, 2016, 12:00:44 pm
Nice result Smiley
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Parliamentary by-elections, 2015-2020 on: December 02, 2016, 10:33:20 am
Labour lost their deposit, which is kind of embarrassing.

Well it's never good to poll that low, but this is basically Labour's weakest part of London and the deposit was nearly lost at the 2010 GE even. Vote shares since 1997:

1997 12.6 2001 11.3 2005 9.5 2010 5.0 2015 12.3, 2016b 3.7

And for the main predecessor seat:

1983 7.1, 1987 7.1, 1992 5.8
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: French presidential election, April 23rd & May 7th, 2017 on: December 01, 2016, 09:16:13 pm
  So Holland becomes the first French President in the direct election era not to seek a second term, correct?

Non. Pompidou died.
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / International Elections / Re: UK Parliamentary by-elections, 2015-2020 on: December 01, 2016, 09:14:08 pm
LOL Zac Goldsmith
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Trump's re-election inevitable? on: December 01, 2016, 11:16:05 am
Um, how exactly did the forum went from Trump being unelectable (and the equivalent of political nuclear waste) to being inevitable in 2020 and the Dems being doomed?

I get that it was a shock win and he cracked (barely) the firewall myth, but come on.

Why did anyone believe that myth in the first place?

Hubris.
17  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Everyone is Fleeing Venezuela on: November 29, 2016, 02:04:01 pm
Venezuela is a depressing testament to human folly. The government has pursued policies known to destroy the country, as leftwing intellectuals in the West cheered on.

The strange part was that that - extremely embarrassing - cheerleading was clearly only ever about the aesthetics; the government's policies have always been very crude and obviously shaped more by (let's be absolutely blunt about this) peasant prejudice than even re-heated Marxism-Leninism let alone a Bright New Red Dawn.
18  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: on: November 29, 2016, 01:16:25 pm
best poster we have right now probably
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Vladimir Putin on: November 27, 2016, 07:58:56 pm
Creepy poststructuralist strongman.
20  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Fidel Castro dead at 90 on: November 27, 2016, 07:54:27 pm
And I'm gonna be the prick to point this out: there's a delicious irony in people taking to the internet to defend Castro!
21  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Fidel Castro dead at 90 on: November 27, 2016, 07:53:54 pm
I think even if one rightly thinks the Cuban expats in SoFlo are largely terrible far-right bores, one should not diminish his crimes. Pointing to education and healthful seems fine at first glance, but as we would mock a "trains ran on time" defense of a rightist, we should equally disdain such arguments defending leftost leaders. Castro's regime may have been relatively banal in terms of criminal acts (I can name ten far worse contemporaneous LAtin American regimes without breaking a sweat) but still did, y;know, dictatorial stuff.

This is exactly right. There's no point in acting as if he was One Of History's Greatest Monsters but pretending that he was Nice Guy FF Smiley is not exactly... either.
22  General Politics / Political Geography & Demographics / Re: Mark Kirk lost DuPage County on: November 26, 2016, 06:05:18 pm
Obviously the fact that the very well known Democratic candidate happened to be the Representative for a district including large parts of DuPage is irrelevant to this discussion.
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Is socialism to blame for Venezuela's plight? on: November 26, 2016, 03:10:30 pm
Socialism can denote all manner of creeds and policies, especially in the Third World. I.e. if we declare the policies of Chavez and his idiot successor to be 'socialism' and we hold their policies to be responsible for the disaster that is contemporary Venezuela this does not actually help us much in apportioning blame; all it tells us is that the disastrous policies in question were described as 'socialism' by those implementing them. Foreign observers of Latin America in particular are often apt to be overwhelmed by its colourful political cultures to the point where they only notice the aesthetics of politics when they really ought to know better. Venezuela was never another Soviet Union in any sense; its claimed successes were the result of the oil bonanza, its undeniable present state of catastrophe is principally the fault of an inability to understand that said bonanza would not last forever combined with heavy does of the sadly typical Third World economic incompetence, the basic patterns of which are often remarkably akin no matter the claimed ideological label of the regime. A vague but deeply held conviction amongst Venezuela's governing elite that the market is bad has further contributed to the unfolding horror show, but this (I'm sorry) more of a peasant prejudice than something that can be honestly labeled an ideology. Chavez was not Castro and even Castro was rather less interested in the principles of Marxism-Leninism than the average Warsaw Pact meatpuppet...
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Some WV stats: amazing/hilarious on: November 25, 2016, 06:40:56 pm
Something fun from the core coalfield counties of southern WV...

Boone: Sanders 2,423 primary votes, Clinton 1,783 general election votes
Logan: Sanders 3,216 primary votes, Clinton 2,082 general election votes
McDowell: Sanders 1,488 primary votes, Clinton 1,438 general election votes
Mingo: Sanders 2,432 primary votes, Clinton 1,365 general election votes
Wyoming: Sanders 1,500 primary votes, Clinton 1,062 general election votes
25  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: The Pigfvcker Memorial Suppository for UK News: A Departure from EUtopia on: November 23, 2016, 01:44:58 pm
Thomas Mair convicted of Jo Cox's murder: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-38079594

Whole life tariff imposed as you'd expect given that this was a political assassination and terrorism. A point made by the judge in his sentencing remarks.

Anyway...

Quote
Standing in the witness box, in front of the man who murdered his wife, Brendan Cox told Mair that he pitied him because his life was devoid of love and consumed by hatred. It was a highly charged moment.
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 2241


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines