"Hard Core"/degenerate/devient/violent/abusive pornography should be banned

[Federal voting intention in Canada]

Federal voting intention in Canada

Sample Size: n=1000 individuals
MoE: 3.1%
LPC : 35%
CPC : 28%
NDP : 18%
BQ : 10%

Tories+BQ haven't really moved... NDP up by 3 points

Regional breakdown[/b]

Atlantic
Subsample Size: n=62

LPC : 41%
CPC : 29%
NDP : 22%

Very interesting... I'd like to see some provincial polls from the Atlantic... I'd guess based on those numbers that the Libs lead in Newfies, PEI and NB, while the NDP lead in NS. Can't tell for sure though (and the Atlantic is a tough place to poll).

Quebec
Subsample Size: n=201

Bloc Québécois : 45%
LPC : 30%
CPC : 11%
NDP : 10%

NDP up to 10%? Strange...
BQ lead over LPC up slightly (might be statistical noise though).

Ontario
Subsample Size: n=346

LPC : 41%
CPC : 32%
NDP : 19%

My guess is that the Tories might be leading in rural SW or rural Eastern Ontario... they might also be polling well in the 905. The NDP *might* be leading in Northern Ontario and possibly inner Toronto. I'd love to see some numbers from Hamilton...

Manitoba & Saskatchewan
Subsample Size: n=53

CPC : 36%
LPC : 29%
NDP : 27%

The Praries are hell to poll (especially Saskatchewan) and it's difficult to read much into those figures.
The combined CA-PC vote has dropped from 2000 and the LPC are in serious trouble in Sask... but we all knew that anyway...

Alberta
Subsample Size: n=82

CPC : 46%
LPC : 31%
NDP : 12%

Yaaaawn...

British Columbia
Subsample Size: n=120

LPC : 30%
CPC : 27%
NDP : 25%
Green Party : 13%

A statistical dead heat. BC is also hard to poll... I'd cut the Green numbers a bit.
NDP will be leading on the Island and the CPC up the Fraser. I dunno about Vancouver and the Interior...

I've decided to retract my decision to vote Bush in November, pending the events of the next 7 months.

Anyone and everyone is free to try to persuade me to vote for their candidate.

Wait and see. Then vote for the best candidate (BTW: Re-elect Feingold)

among other things, but yes, home of the giant worms.

they are both heavily rural. I love Gippsland because every January I go down to my uncles property there, go canoeing, 4WDing, umm...well thats about all the activity. But its heaps of fun to relax in the country.

I chose Davenport Iowa because there is a town in Tasmania called Davenport. I was thinking about Melbourne, FL but it was too obvious

BTW, Tasmania is nice-but everyone there has two heads.

Well... some probably do... but... um... er... Tasmania was the only state that swung *against* Howard last election!

The whole PV thingie?

Yep

Port Melbourne, inner south. Y?

I've got a load of relatives in Australia (and as a result I'm interested in it). They live in Tasmania and NSW (one uncle *did* live around Melbourne for a while though)

Iowa-because nobody suspects the Iowans. Plus I quite like it-its sort of like Gippsland, my favourite place.

Gippsland... home of those giant worms?
Apparently it *does* look a bit like Iowa...

Bush might actually come second in the "southern" part of Oklahoma (Little Dixie), because of the Senate race... but the majorities he'll rack up in the rest of the state means he should be able to crack 60%

1. Hugh
2. Melbourne, Australia ()
3. Australian Democrats, maybe Labor
4. FDR
5. Living-Carter. Dead-whilst I should say someone like Churchill, I'm going to go with John Curtin, Aussie PM during the war
6. Discussing the 1996 Prime Ministerial election in the back garden with my parents. My mum said she was going to vote for Howard, my dad Keating, and I asked why. I also liked the maps of the seats on election night.
7. Linked off another forum.
8. The maps, the community, and the abiklity to discuss politics with smart individuals. It was a shame I felt I needed to pretend to be an american-now is the time to "come clean"
9. Aussie rules football, Reading, games-computer, board, sporting-etc.
10. Europe-The Flooders (Netherlands) US-dont laugh-Andre. Australia-crackerjack
11.Anything groovable. ATM, i like-dont laugh-Cindi Lauper-the Love shack.
12. I'm actually a 16 year old from melbounre, australia. I'm very interested in politics, including US politics, and my subjects at school are Psych, English, English language, french, politics and International Studies. I'm sorry for decieving you all, but I thought if I pretended to be an american I'd be taken more seriously. That was probab;y the truth, but wither way, now I'm going to tell the truth. Surprise

I thought you might be an Aussie.
What part of Melbourne are you from?
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Why Iowa though?

"In Hoover we trusted and now we are busted"

Alberta is conservative... Saskatchewan, Manitoba and BC are not.
Don't confuse a vote for the Canadian Alliance as a vote for the Canadian Alliance... for a lot of Westerners in the 90's it was a way of saying " you Ottawa!"
Note that the Conservative Party of Canada is polling considerably lower in Saskatchewan than the CA used to... and the NDP are back on top!
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Provincially, the only reason why BC has a right wing BC "Liberals" government is because the previous Glen Clark government ed up in a big way. The BCLibs now trial the BC NDP in the polls.
In Manitoba, the NDP was re-elected in a landslide last year... and in Saskatchewan the NDP has won the last 4 elections.

If Edwards was to jump back into the NC Senate race now (which he won't), he'd win a landslide...

TN is far to divided on Civil War lines to give *any* Presidential candidate over 60% of the vote (and the base of the Democrats in TN are white Yella' Dawg's in Mid TN).
Bush is unlikely to get over 60% in KY, as the KYDems are actually on a bit of an up at the moment (Kerry won't win the state, but Bush's margin will come down).
NC and SC have been devastated by the collapse of the textile industry. Bush won't even come close to hitting 60% in either of them.
I don't see Bush cracking 60% in MS either... AL is possible but the unpopularity of Governer Riley makes that unlikely.
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I think generally you are overestimating how popular Bush is in the South.
I remember an exit poll in 2000 that gave Bush over 60% of the vote in the South... he only cracked 60% in Oklahoma... and that's because the the distinctly non-Southern parts of the state voting for him by huge margins.

Mike for Senate!

Goldwater was anti-civil rights.

No, he wasn't.  He opposed the civil rights act of 1964 for reasons that had nothing to do with racism.

...but everything to do with winning votes...

I dont think he took them away from gore. He took them away from bush. If nader didn't run bush would have won Florida with more then 500 votes.

That is simply false.

Yep.
But "nader" is a LaRouche fan...

..and the Sex Industry is huge?

Look at the results in Lake County, MN from 1912 to 1936

i think they want to get people to travel to TX and NC to stand in front of supermarkets and get sigs from the locals.

...if they put a Bush/Cheney poster up...they will have those sigs in no time.  

In states like Michigan, Florida, Wisconsin, Iowa, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, etc, I suspect Karl Rove has already collected all the signatures Nader needs to get on the Ballot..

...and that's just from the Graveyards...

Thats just crazy.... recent polling suggest that dead people break 87/13% for the Democrats.., the GOP does poorly among the dead...

However enhanced GOTV efforts are working to improve that number...

By 2008 Karl Rove has commited to achieving graveyard parity with the Democrats

...but the GOP's lead amoung people yet to be born is impressive ...
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"Vote early... vote often"
-old (1880's at least) Northern Ireland saying-

The Nazi flag should be banned... by the Battle Flag shouldn't... it shouldn't be misused by hate groups though...

I'll update mine:

1. I'm usually called Al
2. Northern England
3. U.S: Dem, U.K: Co-op/Labour, Favourable to some Liberals.
4. FDR/Truman
5. Tommy Douglas (Saskatchewan)
6. God knows...
7. I like maps... a lot...
8. Arguing with people who can't hit me or threaten me with legal action
9. Reading, History, Maps, Drawing, Arguing, Legal stuff
10. Lord of the Rings, To Kill a Mocking Bird
11. Appalachian Spring, anything by Gershwin or Vaughan Williams, most Black Spirituals
12. I'm a fanatical Sunderland supporter... things are looking up

i think they want to get people to travel to TX and NC to stand in front of supermarkets and get sigs from the locals.

...if they put a Bush/Cheney poster up...they will have those sigs in no time.  

In states like Michigan, Florida, Wisconsin, Iowa, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, etc, I suspect Karl Rove has already collected all the signatures Nader needs to get on the Ballot..

...and that's just from the Graveyards...

The WVSOS website (http://www.wvsos.com) has the figures for 2002:

Democrat: 60.46%
Republican: 29.15%
Independent: 9.32%
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But WV is probably hell to poll accurately... I wouldn't be inclined to believe *any* poll done for WV...

My guesstimate right now would a repeat of the 1988 result.

I think it may be like scotland in that way.  Just dress the pollsters up like sheep and the west virginians will come.

Governer Wise is has issued an official complaint to a T-shirt company who put something like that on a shirt.

I saw that.  The shirt says:  "West Virgina.  It's all relative."  Tacky, but humorous.  Abercrombie and Fitch are elitist snobs, but it's a free market.

The name "Abercrombie and Fitch" is a bit of a give away really...

West Virginia is actually not too bad.

Louisiania is just a total &*&$%# to poll, as in New Mexico.  Minnesota's hard too.

Compared to Louisiana it's easy... but that's not very difficult
Polls from WV *can* be used as a guide to trends, but not for accurate predictions... Louisiana on the other hand... I've just looked at some of the polls from the Gubernatorial election...

The WVSOS website (http://www.wvsos.com) has the figures for 2002:

Democrat: 60.46%
Republican: 29.15%
Independent: 9.32%
---
But WV is probably hell to poll accurately... I wouldn't be inclined to believe *any* poll done for WV...

My guesstimate right now would a repeat of the 1988 result.

I think it may be like scotland in that way.  Just dress the pollsters up like sheep and the west virginians will come.

Governer Wise is has issued an official complaint to a T-shirt company who put something like that on a shirt.

[] with a b inside, then after the word [] with /b inside

[NO]

NO