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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sessions' Replacement if He Becomes AG? on: November 18, 2016, 08:01:44 pm
Yung Boozy 3 is the obvious pick.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Does Lisa Murkowski crack 50%? on: November 07, 2016, 06:50:50 pm
Murkowski: 51%
Miller: 18%
Stock: 14%
Metcalfe: 11%
Others: 6%
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: absentee/early vote thread, part 2 on: November 07, 2016, 10:35:16 am
Not sure why D's are so excited about FL:

2012 EV

Obama +3

2012 ED

Romney +2.1%

Result

Obama +0.9%

2016 EV

Clinton +1%

2016 ED

Lets cut the Romney number to 0.6% and say Trump +1.5% election day. I would argue Trump will do even better election day in FL than Romney did but this is just to show why Trump is in great position to take FL.

Result:

Trump wins FL by 0.5%

You're conflating "Democrat" with "Obama" here. The EV edge for Democrats in 2012 was built in part on turnout among Democrats who did not vote for Obama. Democrats won the early vote in Liberty County with over 70% of the vote, but the majority of those Democrats ain't voting like it. After accounting for registration shifts since 2012, Democrats are in a better position now than they were at this point last cycle.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict your district on: November 07, 2016, 09:41:39 am
FL-13

Gov. Charlie Crist (D-St. Petersburg): 53%
Rep. David Jolly (R-Indian Rocks Beach) (i): 47%
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Describe a Sanders/Kander/Greitens voter on: November 06, 2016, 11:15:37 am
Liberal vet who typically votes Dem but is impressed by Greitens' military experience.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Ranking Cold War Secretary of State on: November 06, 2016, 11:14:42 am
Tier 1 (decent)
1. Cyrus Vance
2. Ed Muskie
3. Dean Acheson
4. George Marshall

Tier 2 (not that harmful)
5. George Shultz
6. Christian Herter
7. William Rogers
8. Alexander Haig

Tier 3 (atrocious)
9. James Baker
10. Dean Rusk
11. John Foster Dulles

Tier 4 (should be rotting in the Hague)
12. Henry Kissinger
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Rubio vs Trump in Miami-Dade on: October 30, 2016, 12:55:18 am
Clinton: 66%
Trump: 29%

Murphy: 57%
Rubio: 42%
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who would be the strongest Kentucky Democrat in a statewide election? on: October 30, 2016, 12:47:22 am
ITT: "There is no chance of even a popular Democrat defeating a deeply unpopular Republican three years from now. Despite controlling the state house and two statewide offices Kentucky Democrats have no prayer of winning an election ever. One good GOP year in 2015 has forever doomed the party to minority status."

Anyway Miles has the correct answer.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: NV, Gravis/Breitbart, Tie, (B- 538) on: October 29, 2016, 12:36:46 am
I'd be willing to bet anything that Breitbart doesn't poll in Spanish. Add 5 points to these numbers.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: House Oversight Chair: FBI reopening Clinton Email Investigation on: October 28, 2016, 02:20:42 pm
It honestly shouldn't even be considered that an announcement from the FBI is politically motivated. The FBI is not a partisan organization, it never has been, and it never will be.

11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: The three most annoying Senators in your opinion? on: October 27, 2016, 01:56:24 pm
Marco Rubio (dumb)
Ted Cruz (evil, phony)
Cory Booker (the worst sort of moderate)
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: FL - Bloomberg - Trump +2 (4 way) on: October 26, 2016, 09:54:56 am
Trump only down 15 with Latino voters? Black voters only 12% of the electorate? Clinton only up single-digits with voters under 35? This is a JUNK POLL.
13  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: A New America Series - 1956 Conventions on: December 18, 2015, 05:08:35 am
Cramer - probably shouldn't be President, but we went to the same high school and I dropped off a package at the William C. Cramer Post Office a couple days ago.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How would you react if Trump becomes President-elect? on: October 23, 2015, 01:27:55 pm
Transfer to McGill
15  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Collage Football prediction megathread on: October 23, 2015, 07:59:32 am
Clemson wins, covers
Bama wins, covers
Texas A&M wins outright
Utah wins outright

Vandy upsets Mizzou
VA Tech covers against Duke
Mississippi State fails to cover against Kentucky
16  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Collage Football prediction megathread on: October 17, 2015, 05:19:10 am
Northwestern wins outright
Bama wins, covers
MSU wins outright
LSU wins, fails to cover

Upset: Kansas State over Oklahoma
Miami covers (-3) against Virginia Tech
Baylor fails to cover (-20.5) against WVU
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Bobby Jindal blames shootings on cultural decay, lack of faith and family on: October 11, 2015, 08:52:54 pm
Ugh, is culture warrior-ism coming back?

Fortunately, nobody listens to Bobby Jindal, so no.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Switching Your Support on: October 10, 2015, 01:03:35 pm
I've been pro-Sanders for a while, but if Biden gets in I would reconsider that.
19  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: The ultimate poll: Opinion of Florida on: October 10, 2015, 10:32:04 am
The news wouldn't be nearly as funny without it. 5 stars.
20  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Collage Football prediction megathread on: October 08, 2015, 08:20:21 pm
Michigan wins but fails to cover
Nebraska covers
TCU covers
FSU wins but fails to cover
Utah wins but fails to cover

Purdue upsets Minnesota
Oklahoma covers against Texas
Oregon fails to cover against WSU
21  Forum Community / Mock Parliment / Re: The Social Liberals on: October 08, 2015, 08:04:52 pm
I will be seeking another term.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Somewhere in Oklahoma abolished Columbus Day on: October 07, 2015, 06:06:08 pm
It's because it's Oklahoma. How often does anywhere in Oklahoma implement progressive SJW policies?

It's Anadarko, not OKC - your equivalent would be the headline "Minnesota town bans teaching of evolution" and the town being Prinsburg. Though, given the specifics of the town involved, "Minnesota town abolishes Columbus Day, replaces with Leif Eriksson day" would also work.
23  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Somewhere in Oklahoma abolished Columbus Day on: October 07, 2015, 04:08:53 pm
"41% Native American town abolishes Columbus Day" is not a surprising headline and I'm not sure why it's worthy of a thread.
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Is it normal/desirable that school kids are in WhatsApp groups with teachers? on: October 06, 2015, 04:22:45 pm
I text my debate coaches pretty regularly, but no other teachers (as I frequently need a rapid response from them, and people check their texts more often than their email). I know some other teachers have a system that sends out text messages to all their students, but it's not something like a message group.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Rank the presidents since WW2 for foreign policy on: October 06, 2015, 03:15:31 pm
Great:
1. Truman
2. Obama

Good:
4. JFK
5. Ford
6. Carter

Average:
7. Clinton
8. Bush Sr.

Bad:
9. Nixon

Horrible:
10. Reagan
11. LBJ
12. Bush Jr.
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