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January 21, 2017, 04:50:53 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas..... Plz. Come on on: Today at 09:48:28 am
People pushing Ellison think the Dems need to get more populist. Populist is not a synonym for racist.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Space Age Swampland: A Florida Election Series (1960 primaries) on: January 20, 2017, 09:34:09 pm
Term limits have forced incumbent Governor LeRoy Collins to step down, and his successor will inherit a state with a population in flux. Florida now welcomes 700 new residents each and every day, many of whom bring with them political attitudes and beliefs alien to what had just decades prior been part of the deep South. Increasing numbers of tourists from the North are changing the shape of the state's economy, while to the south a new front opens in the Cold War.

Though the Democratic nomination still seems tantamount to election, the party itself is more split than ever before. The frontrunner, former Speaker of the State House Farris Bryant, has broken both with the incumbent governor (on the issue of segregation) and with the current Democratic frontrunner for President, whom he has refused to endorse. His campaign, however, has focused more on expansion of the state university system and federal highways than racial issues, and he has promised "segregation without violence."

His most viable opponent seems to be State Sen. Doyle Carlton Jr., a rancher and citrus farmer and the son of former Governor Doyle Carlton. Though much of his legislative career has focused on agricultural issues, including an extensive screwworm eradication plan, Carlton emerged as a strong legislative opponent of the so-called "last resort" bill, which would close public schools if courts ordered their integration. Carlton has won the endorsement of Governor Collins.

Also running is eleven-year Jacksonville Mayor Haydon Burns, who has overseen a rapid period of growth in his city. He has successfully lured a number of insurance companies to the city and paved the way for construction of the new Jacksonville City Hall, the Jacksonville Memorial Coliseum, and the Jacksonville Baseball Park (home to the Jacksonville Braves). A conservative on civil rights, Burns is running on expanding the state park system and adding state college campuses. He points to his international marketing of Jacksonville as demonstrating the skill necessary to draw business to Florida.

District Judge John Moore McCarty of the 9th Judicial District is also campaigning. McCarty is the brother of former Governor Dan McCarty, who died a few months after assuming office in 1953. McCarty has prioritized increasing teacher salaries and preserving public lands. State Rep. Bud Dickinson, Kennedy's state campaign manager, State Rep. Ted David, a Collins ally in the legislature, State Sen. Harvie Belser, the former sheriff of Holmes County, plumbing contractor Bill Hendrix, head of the Southern Knights of the Ku Klux Klan, Rev. George Downs, a Baptist minister and advocate of legalized gambling, and Jim McCorvey, owner of Jim McCorvey's Old South Barbecue in Clewiston, round out the Democratic field.

There are also some Republicans running, though the Democratic nominee is overwhelmingly likely to triumph in the general election. George Petersen is a realtor who is currently the Chair of the Broward County Commission and a former Vice Mayor of Ft. Lauderdale. Emerson Rupert is a local party official and management engineer.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of hypothetical Democratic Party leadership? on: January 20, 2017, 07:11:54 pm
Probably the best possible leadership, though I'd rather have Bullock or Cooper as head of the DGA.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: 2018 Florida Governor....a few Questions... on: January 20, 2017, 04:26:09 pm
Morgan is actively exploring a run for governor. He has a DUI from '97, after which he stopped drinking for four years (and I doubt "he was an alcoholic 20 years ago but has since recovered" is a particularly impactful piece of oppo, but who knows)
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should the Democratic ticket be both 45 and under? on: January 20, 2017, 04:21:41 pm
stop trying to make Gabbard/Kander happen
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Trump to run the second term on: January 20, 2017, 03:38:11 pm
Right now the most likely scenario seems to be Dems nominating someone like Booker or Cuomo, spending months trashing Trump supporters and congratulating themselves on their guaranteed victory, and then waking up on November 9th and realizing they lost. Again.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DNC Chair Poll & 2020 on: January 20, 2017, 03:36:58 pm
But also- I think DNC need to be a close to a full time job as possible (like when Howard Dean was chair).  Ellison being a congressman limits his ability to treat it as a full time job which is needed to set up the nationwide infrastructure needed to win again (DNC Chair is not a Policy position... but rather a logistical and structural implementer).

Ellison plans to resign his seat if he wins.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: If you headed the DSCC in 2018... on: January 20, 2017, 01:26:30 pm
Alabama (special): Tuscaloosa Mayor Walter Maddox
Arizona: Rep. Kyrsten Sinema
Mississippi: Public Service Commissioner Brandon Presley
Nebraska: Lincoln Mayor Chris Beutler
Nevada: Rep. Ruben Kihuen
Tennessee: Chattanooga Mayor Andy Berke
Texas: Rep. Joaquin Castro
Utah: Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams
Wyoming: State Sen. Chris Rothfuss
9  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: (Final) Obama approval poll. on: January 20, 2017, 11:09:53 am
Pushed from approve to strongly approve by the UN resolution and Manning commutation.
10  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever been to a Native American reservation? on: January 20, 2017, 11:07:39 am
I've visited the Cherokee reservation in eastern North Carolina several times, and of course all the Seminole and Miccosukee ones in Florida.
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Arizona vs Florida on: January 20, 2017, 11:00:46 am
I'd argue that Florida's best parts (St. Pete, the Keys) are better than Arizona's best parts (Flagstaff, Tucson), and though both have awful Sunbelt sprawl I'd prefer living in suburban Tampa or Orlando to suburban Phoenix, which to me sounds like the worst part of the country. Arizona does win on fewer animals likely to kill you.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: May/Trump/Putin vs. Churchill/Roosevelt/Stalin on: January 20, 2017, 10:47:55 am
FDR's the only good one of either trio.
13  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: DisruptJ20 on: January 20, 2017, 10:41:50 am
Always hilarious to see Republicans up in arms about a few assholes getting bruised street protests but quiet when the GOP votes to strip healthcare from millions.
14  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: WH considering ending press briefings, and not allowing media on WH grounds on: January 20, 2017, 10:40:18 am
So when Spicer gets a tough question, he can dodge it and give the next question to 'The Gateway Pundit' or OANN or Breitbart or Sputnik. Nice.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Do you have any regrets? on: January 20, 2017, 10:32:41 am
I regret not taking a quarter off and spending this autumn working for the campaign in Florida. No regrets for my primary vote and support for Bernie.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DNC Chair Poll & 2020 on: January 20, 2017, 10:28:59 am
Buttigieg's a sharp guy and he impressed me a lot, but at this point, anyone other than Ellison winning would be a disaster on the party unity front.
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Why are most Democrats in the Atlas forum community staunch progressives? on: January 20, 2017, 01:43:54 am
Because the largest determinant of candidate support in the primary was age and the forum skews young.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Atlas Jungle Primary - pick your favourite president from all 35 candidates! on: January 20, 2017, 12:04:48 am
1. Sanders
2. Lessig
3. Kaine
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Your Presidential Cabinet on: January 20, 2017, 12:01:14 am
President: SJoyce (D-FL)
VP: DNC Chair Keith Ellison (D-MN)

Secretary of State: Fmr. Sen. Russ Feingold (D-WI)
Secretary of the Treasury: Prof. Joseph Stiglitz (D-NY)
Secretary of Defense: Secretary of State Jason Kander (D-MO)
Attorney General: Prof. Pamela Karlan (D-CA)
Secretary of the Interior: Fmr. VP candidate Winona LaDuke (G-MN)
Secretary of Agriculture: John W. Boyd Jr., founder of the National Black Farmers Assoc. (D-VA)
Secretary of Commerce: Prof. Robert Reich (D-CA)
Secretary of Labor: Former CWA president Larry Cohen (D-NJ)
Secretary of HHS: RoseAnn DeMoro, executive director of NNU (D-CA)
Secretary of HUD: Prof. Peter Marcuse (I-NY)
Secretary of Transportation: Robert Grow, president of Envision Utah (I-UT)
Secretary of Energy: Attorney Carolyn Raffensperger (I-IA)
Secretary of Education: AFT president Randi Weingarten (D-NY)
Secretary of VA: Cleveland Clinic CEO Toby Cosgrove (I-OH)
Secretary of Homeland Security: Abolish

Chief of Staff: Mayor Andrew Gillum (D-FL)
Director of the OMB: Prof. James K. Galbraith (I-TX)
Administrator of the EPA: activist Bill McKibben (D-VT)
Trade Representative: Prof. Jeffrey Sachs (I-NY)
Ambassador to the UN: Dr. Jim Zogby (D-DC)
Chair of the CEA: Dean Baker, co-founder of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (I-DC)
Administrator of the SBA: Ben Cohen (D-VT)
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Gabbard/Kander or Kander/Gabbard on: January 19, 2017, 06:06:19 pm
Gabbard is awful and should be kept as far from power as possible, so Kander/Gabbard by default.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: All about yourself! on: January 18, 2017, 11:12:58 pm
Posting here, b/c I haven't updated this in a few years & haven't been active recently:

Age: 19
Sex/gender: Male
Sexuality: Straight
Race: White
Height: 5’11”
Religion: Episcopalian
Occupation: College student
Location: Chicago
Birthplace: St. Petersburg, Florida
Languages: English, French
Political orientation: Democratic socialist

Favorite book(s): Anything Hiassen
Favorite show(s): I don't watch a lot of TV, probably Highly Questionable on ESPN
Favorite movie(s): Airplane!, In The Loop, The Princess Bride
Favorite music artist(s): Jason Isbell, Eric Church, Brandy Clark, Kacey Musgraves, Miranda Lambert
Favorite sports team(s): Tampa Bay Bucs, Tampa Bay Lightning, UNC Tar Heels
Favorite video game(s): Dragon Age Inquisition, Madden 17, Rome Total War
Favorite color: Blue
Other interests: history, writing, football (college & pro), college basketball
Person you most admire: William O. Douglas
Favorite president: FDR
Worst president: the new guy

I'm not married, don't own a house, and don't have kids
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: For Dems/Indies only...Rank potential 2020 candidates in order of preference on: January 18, 2017, 10:28:33 pm
[1] Sanders, assuming he's healthy
[2] Warren
[3] Brown
[4] Bullock
[5] Harris
[6] Cooper
[7] Klobuchar
[8] Biden

Would not vote for Booker or Cuomo.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2020 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who is the Best Dem Candidate to win Florida (of realistic Noms) on: January 16, 2017, 04:19:41 pm
Gwen Graham will not be the next governor of Florida, and a national Dem electorate would never go for Governor Morgan.

Of the plausible candidates (politicians not named Bill Nelson), Roy Cooper would be my pick, but there's really no standout. A "Latino" would not help Democrats win Florida, as a Latino here really refers to one of the Castro brothers (or Villaraigosa, Tom Perez, Xavier Becerra, whoever). Luis Gutiérrez could help, but he's really the only Dem politician of any national prominence who could.
24  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: New Register Thread on: January 15, 2017, 03:21:00 pm
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Sessions' Replacement if He Becomes AG? on: November 18, 2016, 08:01:44 pm
Yung Boozy 3 is the obvious pick.
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