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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Idaho on: July 25, 2016, 03:31:18 pm
Safe R.
Trump: 56%
Clinton: 34
Johnson: 8%
Others: 2%
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who are you voting for in the 2016 General Election? on: July 24, 2016, 09:45:51 pm
Gary Johnson/William Weld. I do not like either Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump and would never vote for either one of them.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi on: July 24, 2016, 09:41:59 pm
Keep in mind that although Mosaddegh was democratically elected, by the time of the coup democracy in Iran had basically ceased to exist.  Mosaddegh dissolved the Parliament in 1953 thanks to a rigged election in which 99% of the voters supposedly voted to make him a virtual dictator.  The coup only became a certainty after the dissolution of Parliament pushed the Shah over the edge.  

Of course, the direction that the Shah took Iran in the aftermath of the coup was bad in many ways, but the act of the coup itself is not something I have a problem with.
Did the Shah lead the initial efforts efforts behind the 1953 coup and convinced the US and the UK to support it, or was he pretty much co-opted by the US and the UK into supporting it? Either way, I feel that the coup was a bad decision and still believe that the Shah was one of the worst leaders in Iranian history and one of the most infamous dictators of the 20th Century. On a side note, I do like the Shah's father Reza Shah Pahlavi and feel that he was one of the better leaders in Iranian history despite his authoritarian nature.
4  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Ted Cruz on: July 24, 2016, 01:49:14 pm
Massive HP.

In terms of policy, especially social issues, he's even worse than Drumpf if that's possible. He's right-wing ideologue without the ability to compromise. Even most GOP senators dislike that dude.
I agree 100%. Lyin' Ted is one of the worst Senators currently in office.
5  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi on: July 24, 2016, 01:47:26 pm
Massive HP. The Shah of Iran was little more the an incompetent and brutal dictator who mercilessly slaughtered his political opponents and sought to enrich himself at the expense of ordinary Iranians. According to a 1976 report by Amnesty International, Iran under the Shah had the highest number of political prisoners, the lowest level of press freedom, and the overall worst human rights record in the entire world. I would have enthusiastically supported his overthrow in 1978, but would have favored the secular democratic opposition led by Shapour Bakhtiar coming to power instead of Ayatollah Khomeini.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which State Will Give Johnson the Lowest Vote Percentage? on: July 24, 2016, 12:38:37 pm
Probably Oklahoma, West Virginia, Mississippi, Alabama, Maryland, and maybe New York.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Georgia on: July 23, 2016, 04:29:40 pm
Lean Trump

50-47-3
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will win Allegheny County, PA? on: July 22, 2016, 09:26:12 pm
Clinton, but it could plausibly close to 50 Clinton/44 Trump or so.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What state will have the largest percentage of Clinton Republicans? on: July 20, 2016, 02:29:20 pm
Probably Utah, Texas, Virginia, Arizona, North Carolina, New Hampshire, and Florida.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: Who would be President in the years from 2017-2041 on: July 18, 2016, 06:36:30 pm
2017-2021: Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro
2021-2029: Lyin' Ted/Tom Cotton
2029-2037: Joseph P. Kennedy III/John Bel Edwards
2037-2045: Unknown Republican
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Which states will be won by 20% or more? on: July 12, 2016, 08:25:49 am
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best and Worst Senators of the Past 50 Years: New York on: July 10, 2016, 11:57:24 am
Kennedy/Clinton
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: If Clinton actually loses to Trump...hands on: July 07, 2016, 09:16:46 pm
Clinton still would've defeated McCain in 2008. If anything, the map would be a bit different than in RL, with Clinton easily picking up Missouri, West Virginia, Arkansas, and maybe Tennessee, Kentucky, and Louisiana. On the other hand, I have McCain picking up Colorado, Iowa, Indiana, and North Carolina. Virginia and Ohio also might have been a bit closer in a Clinton vs McCain race, but I still see Clinton carrying both.
I don't think Clinton would win Arkansas unless she got more appeal to Blue Dogs without alienating the progressives who supported Halter in 2010.
Arkansas would have been a tough state for Hillary Clinton in 2008, but I feel that it is plausible for her to have carried it due to her past connections to the state and also due to the economic collapse and subsequent recession in 2008. Tennessee, Louisiana, and Kentucky also would have been tough states for Clinton as well, but I feel she would have had a chance in all three if she ran a strong enough campaign and framed her campaign in a way that appealed to Blue Dog Democrats.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: If Clinton actually loses to Trump... on: July 07, 2016, 12:38:23 pm
Clinton still would've defeated McCain in 2008. If anything, the map would be a bit different than in RL, with Clinton easily picking up Missouri, West Virginia, Arkansas, and maybe Tennessee, Kentucky, and Louisiana. On the other hand, I have McCain picking up Colorado, Iowa, Indiana, and North Carolina. Virginia and Ohio also might have been a bit closer in a Clinton vs McCain race, but I still see Clinton carrying both.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: President Nixon in 1964 on: July 06, 2016, 04:21:01 pm
Assuming that Richard Nixon survives an assassination attempt on November 22, 1963 and that the Civil Rights Act is passed the same time as in RL, I could see a map like this occurring:

President Richard Nixon (R-CA)/Vice President Henry Cabot Lodge Jr. (R-MA): 296 EV (50%)
Senate Majority Leader Lyndon Johnson (D-TX)/Congressman James Roosevelt (D-CA): 189 EV (44%)
Governor Orval Faubus (Dixiecrat-AR)/Former Governor Ross Barnett (Dixiecrat-MS): 53 EV (5%)
Others: 0 EV (1%)

For 1968, I have Vice President Henry Cabot Lodge Jr. winning the Republican nomination narrowly against Barry Goldwater and selecting Ronald Reagan as his running-mate. On the Democratic side, I have Robert Kennedy (who was narrowly elected to the Senate in 1964 due to Lyndon Johnsons coattails in New York) winning the Democratic nomination and selecting George McGovern as his running mate. George Wallace still runs, but selects Strom Thurmond (who remains a Democrat in TTL) as his running mate instead of Curtis LeMay. Due to President Nixons failed Vietnam War polices and due to voter fatigue regarding 16 years of Republican Presidents, I have Robeet Kennedy defeating both Henry Cabot Lodge Jr. and George Wallace by a landslide margin.
16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best and Worst Senators of the Past 50 Years: Missouri on: June 30, 2016, 10:45:26 pm
Danforth/Ashcroft, but Symington's pretty great too.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Blowin' in the Wind: A Timeline from the 1960s Onward on: June 22, 2016, 06:15:01 pm
Great timeline so far! It is interesting seeing LBJ sticking with his Dixiecrat roots on the issue of civil rights. BTW, was the Senate vote on the Civil Rights Act of 1962 75-25, with Ralph Yarborough and Estes Kefauver being the only Southern Democrats voting in favor and Norris Cotton, Bourke Hickenlooper, and Barry Goldwater being the only Republicans who voted against it? I would assume the House vote would have been around 300-138 in favor as well.
I never thought about that.  I would guess that John Butler would be the fourth Republican vote against it.
John Butler is definitely a possibility, though I think he did vote in favor of the 1957 and 1960 Civil Rights Acts.
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Joseph McCarthy on: June 19, 2016, 06:33:24 pm
Massive HP. Ted Cruz is quite similar to Joe McCarthy IMO.
19  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best and Worst Senators of the Past 50 Years: Kentucky on: June 19, 2016, 06:30:35 pm
Best: Cooper, though Morton is also good.

Worst: Bunning
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: What would produce this map? on: June 17, 2016, 07:31:16 pm
Lincoln Chaffee/Mike Huckabee vs Jim Matheson/John Bel Edwards?
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Best and Worst Senators of the Past 50 Years: Georgia on: June 17, 2016, 07:06:11 pm
Nunn/Russell
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Blowin' in the Wind: A Timeline from the 1960s Onward on: June 17, 2016, 06:49:29 pm
Great timeline so far! It is interesting seeing LBJ sticking with his Dixiecrat roots on the issue of civil rights. BTW, was the Senate vote on the Civil Rights Act of 1962 75-25, with Ralph Yarborough and Estes Kefauver being the only Southern Democrats voting in favor and Norris Cotton, Bourke Hickenlooper, and Barry Goldwater being the only Republicans who voted against it? I would assume the House vote would have been around 300-138 in favor as well.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: 1952 Ike vrs truman on: June 15, 2016, 06:18:22 am
Of course Truman would be the better choice. Just think of Iran: The CIA operation to overthrow a democraticly elected government was a disaster. It led to the Shah and later to the mullas. Eisenhower approved the coup d'etat at the reuqest of Great Britain because they weren't willing to share oil profits. The years before, President Truman rejected these ideas.
You are 100% correct. What we did to the Iranian people in 1953 was one of the worst foreign policy blunders in US history. Due to CIA director Allen Dulles manipulating President Eisenhower to sign on to Operation AJAX, Iran went from having a democratic government led by the great Mohammed Mossadegh (who in a way reminded me of Bernie Sanders) to having an authoritarian dictatorship led by the Shah of Iran, who was a brutal mass murderer and one of the most infamous and corrupt world leaders of the 20th Century. According to a 1976 report by Amnesty International, Iran under the Shah had the worlds worst human rights record, lowest level of political freedom, and had over 100,000 political prisoners awaiting torture or execution at any given time.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of the drop-outs? CRUZ edition! on: May 04, 2016, 09:33:32 am
Toss up between HP and Satan. Lean Satan.
Sparing us from this monster is probably the best thing Trump has done so far.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Blowin' in the Wind: A Timeline from the 1960s Onward on: April 10, 2016, 07:40:38 am
Does Oswald  remain  a   obscure  figour in this t.l.
I am curious what happens to  Reagan. Goldwalter  and John kennedy in this t.l.
Maybe JFK makes a comeback in 1968 and serves as President from 1969-1977 and Ronald Reagan gets elected in 1976 and serves from 1977-1985?
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