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July 28, 2014, 07:39:47 pm
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1896 Presidential Election on: Today at 02:37:08 pm
I would have held my nose and voted for William McKinley. William Jennings Bryan's extreme social conservatism would have been a bit too much for me to stomach.

Right!  You guys have to keep reminding us that supporting segregation is - inherently - a socially conservative thing.

I'm not aware that Bryan was an advocate of racial segregation (any more than the minimal acquiescence that any Democratic candidate of the era was required to give to appease the South). I would think that a description of Bryan as a social conservative would have more to do with his support for Prohibition and involvement in the Scopes Trial.
I don't really know too much about Bryan's views on racial issues such as segregation, but definitely his views on prohibition and his stubbornness regarding the theory of evolution would have turned me off and pushed me towards McKinley in retrospect.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 1896 Presidential Election on: Today at 12:51:32 pm
I would have held my nose and voted for William McKinley. William Jennings Bryan's extreme social conservatism would have been a bit too much for me to stomach.
3  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: I'm Baaack!...Sort Of on: Today at 12:28:16 pm
Welcome back Oldies! Smiley
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Politico: Mark Warner on offense in Virginia Senate debate on: July 27, 2014, 06:16:44 pm
I wonder what the Warner/Gillespie map will look like?  I would assume Warner's rural strength is fading but otherwise he performs similarly to 2008.  Perhaps it will be like a 58/40 Obama win in 2012?
I would imagine that Mark Warner would lose Shenandoah County and Amelia County to Ed Gillespie, but other than that the map would look about the same as 2008, give or take Warner's margins of victory in a few counties.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in North Carolina? on: July 27, 2014, 01:13:43 pm
I think that Kay Hagan will end up winning by about a point or two when all is said and done.
6  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: If President Obama gets impeached... on: July 27, 2014, 11:17:33 am
He'd definitely survive any vote in the Senate, as there are nowhere close to 2/3 of the Senate willing to convict and remove the President. As for impeachment itself, I would urge the House to move forward with impeachment hearings and proceed with a vote prior to November. I would be downright ecstatic to see John Boehner hand over the Speaker's gavel back to Nancy Pelosi.
I agree with you about Obama surviving an impeachment vote in the Senate. No Democrats would  vote in favor of it and the only Republican's who would likely support it would be Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Jim Inhofe, Jeff Sessions and maybe Tim Scott and Rand Paul.
7  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: atlas and facebook. on: July 27, 2014, 11:10:45 am
I sent a request to join the Atlas Forum Facebook group a while back. Is there anyway that you can accept my request to join the group?

We have one of these?


OP: Yes, only RetroMike. I haven't developed any other friendships on here really, and I'm not on FB much anyways. I've transferred my social life to Twitter, away from my parents/family/coworkers/adults in general.
I think that the group is officially called US Elections Atlas Forum if I'm not mistaken.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Politico: Mark Warner on offense in Virginia Senate debate on: July 27, 2014, 11:06:57 am
I have Mark Warner up winning with around 60% of the vote in my prediction map. While Ed Gillespie would have likely won by an alright margin in Virginia 15-20 years ago, Mark Warner's popularity and the changing demographics of the state make a win for him next to impossible barring any major and unforeseen changes.
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: atlas and facebook. on: July 26, 2014, 07:37:08 pm
I sent a request to join the Atlas Forum Facebook group a while back. Is there anyway that you can accept my request to join the group?
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Chris Christie going to run in 2016? on: July 24, 2014, 03:24:27 pm
Yes, but he will drop out after either Iowa or South Carolina.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What states could Elizabeth Warren win that Obama didn't? on: July 24, 2014, 03:21:55 pm
She would win significantly fewer, IMO, though her recent populist campaigning in a few Southern states seems to be going well.

I know right? This is the Warren vs Christie map

Warren wins fewer states and is reduced to the populist solid south.

Republicans win all voting categories except white socially conservative southerners because their economically liberal


Your map looks like the 1904 Election results actually, excluding Missouri and West Virginia and the Republican margins in the Northeast.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: MT: Gravis: Bush leads Clinton by 10 on: July 24, 2014, 03:11:57 pm
I would assume Montana wouldn't be too friendly to Clinton, especially after seeing her Colorado poll numbers.

I'm kind of thinking along those lines too. The West seems to be Clinton's soft spot, especially now that we have newer polls from states like Florida showing her doing quite well for a Democrat.

It's hard to see Clinton winning Florida by 20 while losing Montana and Colorado.
Stranger things have happened though. I was always under the impression that the West is somewhat of a weak spot for Hillary Clinton while certain areas of the South (like Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Arkansas and Georgia) were some of the places that she is relatively strong in when compared to Obama.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Senate Primaries on: July 24, 2014, 02:57:18 pm
Marco Rubio might be challenged by Allen West as well due to his past support for immigration reform. If West successfully primaries Rubio, it would automatically hand the race over to the Democratic nominee (possibly Patrick Murphy if he survives re-election this year).
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What states could Elizabeth Warren win that Obama didn't? on: July 24, 2014, 11:24:26 am
Elizabeth Warren could potentially win North Carolina and maybe Georgia if the Republicans nominate an awful candidate like Rick Santorum or Ted Cruz. If the Republicans nominate a competent candidate like Jeb Bush, Chris Christie or Scott Walker, I could see Warren losing Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Colorado and New Hampshire at the very least though.

And thus the election.
Correct.
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Long time, no see. on: July 23, 2014, 02:26:58 pm
Welcome back Smiley A lot changed on the forum since you left a few months back.
16  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Previous Poster's Signature Thread on: July 23, 2014, 02:18:49 pm
The quote certainly makes sense in my opinion.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: The Other Frontrunner on: July 23, 2014, 11:52:50 am
100% of Republicans want Joe Biden to be the Dem Nominee.
I could see the Republican candidate winning with over 300 Electoral Votes if Joe Biden is the Democratic nominee.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What states could Elizabeth Warren win that Obama didn't? on: July 23, 2014, 11:51:06 am
Elizabeth Warren could potentially win North Carolina and maybe Georgia if the Republicans nominate an awful candidate like Rick Santorum or Ted Cruz. If the Republicans nominate a competent candidate like Jeb Bush, Chris Christie or Scott Walker, I could see Warren losing Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Colorado and New Hampshire at the very least though.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: TXCD Memorial Thread on: July 22, 2014, 10:37:34 pm
All the timelines that TX Conservative Dem ever made are so ridiculous and disjointed that they almost belong in the Comedy Goldmine Thread.   
20  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Ray Goldfield on: July 21, 2014, 12:49:20 pm
I never heard of him or read any of his posts yet.
21  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Have you ever been to a KZ (concentration camp) ? on: July 21, 2014, 12:47:17 pm
No, but my grandfather was present at the liberation of some of them when he was in the military during World War 2.
22  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Simple Truths Silver Mine on: July 21, 2014, 12:45:53 pm
No, Hillary will lose Texas by double digits like every Dem has done so since 2000.
23  Questions and Answers / The Atlas / Re: Petition to ban TX Conservative Dem on: July 21, 2014, 10:14:30 am
Anyone wanna post any other entertaining/frightening PMs they got from this guy? Gonna be a lot less entertaining without him
TX Conservative Dem never sent me any threatening PMs (Ironically he was actually on my buddies list), but he did sent one to an old user named Guntaker a few months ago due to the fact that he was reprimanded by Guntaker for posting excessively on his timelines.
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The Good Post Gallery II on: July 19, 2014, 01:23:13 pm
Radical Republicans were indeed fighters for freedom. Corruption would have came to any government which took over the defeated Southern states. Transitions are rarely pretty and one can only applaud the Freedmen's Bureau and most of the Republicans governments of the South for trying to treat freedmen and freed women as citizens. Perhaps if the Freedmen's Bureau had been given half a chance to succeed great good could have come from it.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Should Russia be put on the State Department's State Sponsors of Terrorism list? on: July 19, 2014, 01:19:31 pm
Yes, and I think that would have been appropriate even before this week.
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