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April 19, 2015, 05:52:52 pm
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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Predict the 2018 Gubernatorial Results on: Today at 10:10:10 am


My best guess for the 2018 Gubernatorial elections is that the Democrats will pick up Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Florida, Maine and New Mexico, whereas I feel that the Republicans will pick up Vermont, Connecticut, Colorado and Alaska.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How many counties will Hillary win in her former home state? on: April 17, 2015, 12:31:29 pm
Whatever 2004 was seems about right. (That might even be a bit optimistic for her).
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: How much backlash would this Republican comment get? on: April 16, 2015, 06:36:51 pm
That's like something that Ted Cruz might say at the 2016 RNC if he gets the nomination (LOL!).
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Jeb Bush 2008 on: April 16, 2015, 12:34:12 pm

This^
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Kerry or Romney: Who came closer to winning the presidency? on: April 16, 2015, 09:49:58 am
Probably John Kerry, as he only needed to swing Ohio to win. In order for Mitt Romney to have won, he would have needed to swing Florida, Ohio, Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire away from Obama to win.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Last time a VP cost a state? on: April 15, 2015, 04:26:44 pm
Mondale probably would've won Massachusetts and Rhode Island if he had picked someone other than Ferraro
I agree that Geraldine Ferraro wasn't a great VP pick. I feel that if Walter Mondale had picked ether Mario Cuomo or Gary Hart as his running-mate instead, he would have had a good chance at picking up Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New York, West Virginia, Maryland and Hawaii and also might have kept Ronald Reagan at about 56-57% of the PV.
7  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: If the two previous posters were running President, who would you vote for? on: April 15, 2015, 12:43:43 pm
I'm not really sure, as I like both posters.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: CA a tossup? on: April 14, 2015, 01:59:27 pm
It would be hilarious if Hillary Clinton lost California, but won Texas.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Describe a Lincoln 1860, McClellan 1864 Voter on: April 14, 2015, 09:46:07 am
A civil libertarian who disliked Lincoln's suspension of habeus corpus and other questionable tactics, and thus reluctantly voted for McClellan despite his unease with Democrats support of slavery.
This^
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who should Hillary Clinton pick as her VP? on: April 14, 2015, 06:53:01 am
Probably either Martin Heinrich, Sherrod Brown, Mark Warner or Tim Kaine.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Will Hillary win a county in WV-03? on: April 13, 2015, 11:25:29 am
Maybe Mingo or McDowell county, though both would be quite a bit of a stretch.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Ben Carson on: April 13, 2015, 11:19:55 am
FF as a physician, but an HP as a politican.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: It's official on: April 12, 2015, 04:57:50 pm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5FvyGydc8no
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who will be the "comic relief candidate" of 2016? on: April 11, 2015, 09:24:02 am
Democrats: Lincoln Chaffe, Martin O'Malley, Vermin Supreme, Jeff Boss
Republicans: Jack Fellure, Ben Carson, Lindsey Graham, Donald Trump, Rick Perry
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Hillary Win? on: April 11, 2015, 09:16:52 am
I'm not really sure. As of today, I feel that Hillary Clinton is slightly favored, but a lot can happen between now and November 2016
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton set to announce her 2016 campaign on Sunday on: April 10, 2015, 09:46:20 am
I don't know why Hillary Clinton is even running. We all know that the inevitable Lincoln Chaffee is almost 100% assured to win the Democratic nomination easily (LOL!).
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: Obama vs. Christie 2012 Scenario on: April 10, 2015, 09:17:08 am
It's kind of ironic that Chris Christie might possibly be indicted pretty soon, as US Attorney Paul Fishman is rumored to have finished the Bridgegate investigation and may announce who will be indicted regarding the scandal this Monday.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results / Re: Why did conservative white Democrats like John Edwards so much in '08? on: April 07, 2015, 06:49:18 pm
How would an Obama-Edwards ticket have done in 2008 (assuming no Rielle Hunter scandal and that John Edwards was never picked as John Kerry's running-mate in 2004)?
19  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Kansas passes law banning food stamp receipients from pools, movie theaters on: April 07, 2015, 12:54:36 pm
Wouldn't a law such as this violate some of the provisions of the 1964 Civil Rights Act?
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Bold Predictions for the Next Few Cycles on: April 06, 2015, 09:40:22 am
2016: Hillary Clinton/Martin Heinrich defeats either Scott Walker or Jeb Bush by a somewhat close margin. The Democrats pick up Senate seats in Illinois, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, Florida and Ohio, whereas the Republicans pick up Nevada and Colorado. The Democrats pick up 15-20 House seats mostly in New York and California. The Democrats pick up the governorship in North Carolina while the Republicans pick up Missouri, West Virginia and Montana.

2018: The economy heads back into recession. The Republicans easily pick up Senate seats in Indiana, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, West Virginia (Joe Manchin retires), Virginia, Pennsylvania, Florida and Ohio, giving them a fillibuster-proof Senate majority. In addition, the Republicans pick up most of the 15-20 seats they lost in 2018. The Democrats pick up the governorships in Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan, Maine, Florida and Georgia while the Republicans pick up Alaska, Connecticut, Vermont and Colorado.

2020: Hillary Clinton opts to serve only one term, so Vice President Martin Heinrich gets the Democratic nomination and loses to the Republican ticket of Rand Paul/Larry Hogan. The Republicans pick up a handful of House seats, but lose Senate seats in Iowa and North Carolina.

After 2020, I am not too sure. I would bet that Rand Paul would be re-elected in 2024 and feel that the Republicans will hold onto both houses of Congress until the 2026 midterm elections.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Portman trailing Strickland, crushing Sittenfeld on: April 06, 2015, 09:25:05 am
#Ready4Strickland!
22  General Politics / International General Discussion / Re: Iran Nuclear Talks: Framework for Final Deal Reached on: April 05, 2015, 06:29:10 pm
Unfortunately, any treaty between the U.S. and Iran will be summarily rejected by Senate, as the likes of Ted Cruz and Tom Cotton will filibuster it and prevent it from ever coming into effect.

Again, this isn't a treaty.

I knew that. What I meant to say that if any agreement between the U.S. and Iran came up to the Senate for a vote, it would likely not pass and the likes of Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz would fight tooth and nail against it.
23  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you have voted in the preceding election? on: April 05, 2015, 06:21:34 pm
Probably Tony Knowles, as he was a pretty good governor overall.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York,_1980
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: Would Hillary have carried Virginia against McCain in 2008? on: April 05, 2015, 04:23:15 pm
Probably, but she would have only won it with a plurality of the vote. Against John McCain, Hillary Clinton would have lost North Carolina, Colorado, Indiana and NE2, but would have easily picked up Arkansas, West Virginia, Missouri and might have been able to make a play for Tennessee, Georgia, Kentucky, and Louisiana.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Do you respect Senator Cotton for his military service? on: April 03, 2015, 10:37:41 am
While many veterans come back hating war Tom Cotton came back wanting America to have more of it.  He won't be getting my vote, in fact, I probably would have voted for Pryor if I had lived in Arkansas.
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