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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CA-Gravis: Clinton 49% Paul 40%; Paul 44% Warren 33% on: July 31, 2014, 10:31:34 pm
lol this is great. If only this were true.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Political Matrix Series: Question 4 on: July 31, 2014, 09:46:44 pm
Usually disagree. Not a critical issue.
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Woodrow Wilson vs. Calvin Coolidge on: July 31, 2014, 08:59:51 pm
One of the greats, Coolidge.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: IL-Harstad Strategic Research (D)/Illinois Education Association: Rauner+4 on: July 31, 2014, 06:38:41 pm
Schauer is also down, too. Do, I think these will come home at the end for the Dems? Yes, because the polls are understating Minority support

Will you unskew the polls for us please?
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Paul only trails Hillary by 4, leads among Indies on: July 31, 2014, 06:30:09 pm
With this kind of momentum, Paul will obviously obliterate Hillary in all 50 states.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Mississippi 2014 discussion thread on: July 31, 2014, 06:11:47 pm
He looks so tired.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NV (2016): Harper (R): Reid in trouble against Sandoval on: July 31, 2014, 10:11:10 am
If Sandoval loses this my heart will break.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Sarah Palin be the 2016 nominee? on: July 30, 2014, 09:37:42 pm
The idea that Palin would defeat Hillary in Alaska of all places is absurd.

Not really.  Palin has burned a lot of bridges in Alaska, and is at the center of a personal feud with the Murkowski family.  While she defeated Frank Murkowski in the 2006 GOP Primary for Governor, Murkowski remains one of the richest men in Alaska.  She tried to crush Lisa Murkowski, but she came back from a primary defeat to keep her seat in a write-in.  There are a lot of Republicans in AK who hate Palin and would be able to organize a campaign to sabotage her Presidential bid in AK.

Didn't you just argue for SWE's case?
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Georgia Senate Race 2014 on: July 30, 2014, 08:46:12 pm
Perdue has the advantage at the moment, but Nunn could turn it around. Then again, she hasn't been as tested as a Senate candidate should be.
10  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Is the previous poster to the left/right of you? on: July 30, 2014, 08:19:41 pm
Clearly to my left.
11  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What would be your ideal solution to the Israel/Palestine issue? on: July 30, 2014, 08:16:27 pm
Two-state solution of some sort.
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Would you be disappointed if your son... on: July 30, 2014, 08:14:18 pm
To counteract the sexism of the other thread. Tongue

Roll Eyes

But yes, I would be.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in Hawaii? on: July 30, 2014, 08:12:55 pm
Y'all are overestimating Hannemann's chances. Unless there is a massive revolt among Democrats, Hannemann won't get to %10 of the vote.

Oh and by the way, Democrats have rejected Hannemann in primaries many times in the past 4 years.

I think everyone has Hanneman's chance of winning at 0%.

Right. I never said anybody said that he'd win (that'd be crazy), but people seem to think he can crack 10 percent.

Hawaii polling is garbage, but polls seem to suggest that its not only possible, but its likely.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Iowa? on: July 30, 2014, 06:06:32 pm
Where does this whole joke about Bruce TRYING to lose come from? Sorry. This race wasn't really on my radar until it tightened with Ernst.
The fact that Republicans nominated a joke candidate and are still competitive tells you everything you need to know about Braley.

Uh, no. The joke candidate would have been Sam Clovis.

Yea, Clovis would've completely blown it. That being said, Ernst was a far worse general election candidate than Mark Jacobs. Still, it says something about how good of a candidate Jacobs was that he started out ahead and ended up in 3rd place.
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What are the downsides to Joni Ernst as a GOP vice presidential choice? on: July 30, 2014, 05:48:27 pm
It looks like I may eat my words from earlier. Lol. Ernst still won't be the VP pick though.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in Hawaii? on: July 30, 2014, 05:28:58 pm
Y'all are overestimating Hannemann's chances. Unless there is a massive revolt among Democrats, Hannemann won't get to %10 of the vote.

Oh and by the way, Democrats have rejected Hannemann in primaries many times in the past 4 years.

I think everyone has Hanneman's chance of winning at 0%.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Tom Ridge be on the 2016 ticket? on: July 30, 2014, 04:57:14 pm
It's past Mr. Ridge's time. I would've liked VP Tom Ridge in 2000, but by this point he's a has been.

Basically this. The GOP doesn't need someone who hasn't been in elected office for 15 years on the ticket. Nor would they pick one, I don't think.

I mean, some are seriously considering Jeb Bush, who would be out of office for nearly ten years when and if he announces he is running for President.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: President Kerry and on... on: July 30, 2014, 04:54:11 pm
Interesting that Locke left the race, his numbers weren't too bad (8%, ahead of Warner). Still, the Dem field looks like a mess.

What do Iowa and New Hampshire polls look like at this point?
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Could Tom Ridge be on the 2016 ticket? on: July 30, 2014, 04:48:10 pm
It's past Mr. Ridge's time. I would've liked VP Tom Ridge in 2000, but by this point he's a has been.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: MI-03 PrimR: MIRS News: Amash leads by 20 on: July 30, 2014, 04:44:02 pm
I still can't say I feel secure, but any Amash lead is good.
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Who will win in CT? (Updated) on: July 30, 2014, 04:41:11 pm
Foley and Malloy. McKinney is a moderate, but probably still a worse candidate than Foley due to name recognition and fundraising.
22  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Pollstergeist: August 2014 At-Large Senate Special Election Mock on: July 30, 2014, 09:49:19 am
[1] Mechaman
[2] Spiral
[3] Matt
[4] WI: Hagrid
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: UT-04: Internal poll from Owens (D) shows him trailing Mia Love (R) by 9 on: July 30, 2014, 09:46:13 am
But it's an internal... so, in the trash it goes.

Still, I can imagine Mia Love blowing this.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: OH-Quinnipiac: Gov. Kasich+12 on: July 30, 2014, 09:44:28 am
Dominating!
25  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Would the previous poster win your state in a presidential election? on: July 29, 2014, 08:49:41 pm
As a socially liberal atheist, he could lose Oklahoma.
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