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April 21, 2015, 08:09:02 am
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Gay Bullying Taken To Whole New Level In Pittsburgh-Area School on: April 20, 2015, 10:44:16 pm
Are we still responding to a CountryClassSF as if he isn't a troll?
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Predict the 2018 Gubernatorial Results on: April 20, 2015, 07:34:04 pm
This is definitely far away - I could see some oddball places with Democrat Governors. I will say some places that I think are more definitive to lose Governorships -

Democrats Pick-Up: Maine (Maybe Poliquin will run after a shock win in 2016, otherwise I don't see it after two terms of LePage), Maryland (Hogan's strong, but so is Maryland Democratic Party), Michigan (very hormonal, switches easily), New Mexico (Another switchy state), Wisconsin (We'll see, but Walker's approvals seem to suggest a change), Illinois (Love Rauner, probably not winning again)
Republicans Pick-Up: Nothing

It's way too early, obviously (since in Governorships partisanship seems less emphasized), and I think most of these states could go either way since there will be a lot of open seats. No doubt, 2018 will be fun.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Predict the 2018 Gubernatorial Results on: April 20, 2015, 06:58:22 pm
I don't know how anyone could put Massachusetts at solid R. Obviously Baker could do very well and be re-elected, but here more than 3 years out from the election and a state as liberal as Massachusetts, there is a certainty of uncertainty about how it will go in 2018.

He also might not run - as Republican governors there tend not to.

Yeah, that was just Romney.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton faces domestic abuse allegations on: April 20, 2015, 05:30:06 pm
Scandal? This just shows she's a strong candidate. Bomb Iran.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Murphy In on: April 20, 2015, 05:23:14 pm
what about Ileana Ros-Lehtinen or one of the Diaz-Balarts? are they just house lifers? or would any of them ever seek higher office?

They are lifers and wouldn't make it out of the primary.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: IL-Sen. 2016 Thread: Duckworth in on: April 20, 2015, 01:49:28 pm
Q1 2015: Kirk raises ~$1 Million, Duckworth only about ~$522,000.


http://www.dailyherald.com/article/20150415/news/150419178/

So far, so much for Kirk being doomed. Smiley


Well the thing is Blanche would've been lucky to be within margin of the error (Which Mark Kirk has been in the opinion poll that has been taken).
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Murphy In on: April 20, 2015, 12:58:47 pm
McCollum is interested? Congrats Murphy
8  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who is more right wing? on: April 20, 2015, 10:21:37 am
Santorum took his dead baby home and showed his kids.

That being said, still Santorum.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Ten-Party System on: April 19, 2015, 11:09:36 pm
LOL at Rand Paul winning West Virginia and Oklahoma.
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Jack Kemp vs. Hillary on: April 19, 2015, 10:03:36 pm
I presume the one who isn't dead.

So Kemp Tongue
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-2016: A Thread on: April 19, 2015, 06:11:17 pm
If 2018 is as strong a Republican year as it could be, this is still not terrible news. Manchin can and should be beaten in a newly super Republican West Virginia.
I realize this is a joke, but there probably are people who don't realize that.

What about my post is funny?
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: WV-2016: A Thread on: April 19, 2015, 05:28:23 pm
If 2018 is as strong a Republican year as it could be, this is still not terrible news. Manchin can and should be beaten in a newly super Republican West Virginia.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: 2016 Presidential Candidate Mark B Graham (Live) on: April 19, 2015, 05:25:03 pm
Would you support the swift execution of your political opponents?
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of the estate tax on: April 19, 2015, 11:23:25 am
Horrible Tax (normal tax)
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Huckabee: young people should wait until Obama leaves office to join US military on: April 19, 2015, 11:19:18 am
are his book sales this bad? I'll buy his dumb book if it means he'll crawl back to whatever mansion cave he lives in at the moment.
He already gave up his TV/radio contracts. He doesn't have anything else to do besides run, even if he's already sold all his books. Besides, given your party affiliation, you should want him to run even though you don't support him - the more people splitting the tea party vote, the more likely the GOP nominates an establishment candidate, which means a better chance of them winning the general.

I don't care about the "establishment" candidate you goon (which, by the way, is probably Jeb Bush, who is no more or less electable than any other candidate). I don't want Huckabee to run because, oh, I don't know, I care about the level of discourse in this country. And I'm already aware Ted Cruz kind of ruins that argument, but Huckabee actively lowers it for the sake of his own branding. If you can't see that you're more of a goon than I thought.

Also I'm not a Republican, do your homework. Your brain is there to think with.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Huckabee: young people should wait until Obama leaves office to join US military on: April 19, 2015, 01:38:30 am
are his book sales this bad? I'll buy his dumb book if it means he'll crawl back to whatever mansion cave he lives in at the moment.
17  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: New Register Thread on: April 19, 2015, 01:30:14 am
I'll be waiting then Adam.
18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: April 2015 At-large Senate Election on: April 19, 2015, 01:28:37 am
[1] Yank
[2] Poirot
[3] Polnut
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Do you think a Landrieu is going to run for Senate? on: April 19, 2015, 12:07:39 am
Give it up.
20  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Grand New Hampshire Debate on: April 18, 2015, 03:31:05 pm
new hampshire's percieved elasticity is mostly the result of it being a super-important-primary-state that everyone cares about. in reality, it is lean democratic.

2010 Senate election, meet totheleft!

2010 was a massive Republican wave and "fiscal conservative" Paul Hodes is a clown.

See the presidential elections of 2004, 2008, and 2012 (especially)...also see the senate elections of 2008 and 2014 for a trend line.

2014 is not proof of a trend line - Republicans ran a xenophobic carpetbagger and still got within 4 points of taking the seat from one of the top politicos in the state who had no reason to be in trouble.
21  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Should residents of American Samoa receive US citizenship? on: April 18, 2015, 03:02:59 pm
We shouldn't have any territories that aren't clear cut states.
22  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The Grand New Hampshire Debate on: April 18, 2015, 02:21:55 pm
There is nothing libertarian about Kelly Ayotte or Maggie Hassan. It leans D with a lot of elasticity.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict the 2018 Senatorial Result on: April 18, 2015, 01:47:33 pm
I'd replace with North Dakota with Indiana as the for sure loss. Heitkamp is far more talented than Donnelly and North Dakota is far more elastic.
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: FL-Sen: Murphy In on: April 18, 2015, 12:56:58 pm
You guys actually want CLC in the senate? Grayson would lose the general by at least 15, no questions asked.
They're Republicans/Republican-leaning.

Nah, I'm just looking for entertainment in these races.

Indeed. I'm frankly tired, as an election observer, of the Democrats coronation process.
25  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of stoners on: April 18, 2015, 10:57:50 am
In high school and afterward, stoners and fellow nerds (there's always been considerable overlap, and both groups in my experience were always fellow working class kids) have always been the social groups that I've felt most comfortable around and always been closest to. Pretty much all my friends in high school were either stoners/nerds/scene kids (very few of the latter, of course because my god)

Some scene kids (most actually) seem to choose the embrace of aesthetic over anything interesting, but some are quite knowing of the music they listen to, which is something I really like even if I don't like the music in question.
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