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1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Tumblr Leftism vs. True Leftism on: Today at 12:42:41 am
Oh if this is basically just a "BRTD v. Snowstalker" poll, then definitely Snowstalker.
Feels more like "R2D2 v. TNF/Snowstalker" tbh.

Even more for TNF/Snowstalker then!
2  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Explain the previous poster's user name. on: Today at 12:41:03 am
He has no genitalia, and he studies victims.
3  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: April Senate Election Discussion Thread - ELECTION TRACKER on: Today at 12:39:09 am
First Round:
Goldwater - 13
Adam Griffin - 10

Lumine - 9
Alfred F. Jones - 8
Shua - 8
JCL - 5
a Person - 1

Goldwater and Adam Griffin are elected. a Person is eliminated, his vote goes to Alfred F. Jones.

Second Round:
Goldwater
Adam Griffin
Lumine - 9.7
Alfred F. Jones - 9
Shua - 8.2

JCL - 7.1

Lumine, Alfred, and Shua are elected, JCL is eliminated.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Gubernatorial Endorsements (2014) on: April 18, 2014, 11:25:46 pm
Colorado - Greg Brophy (R)

Brophy's out unfortunately.

Ugh.

Um... then I probably won't endorse in Colorado, because the field is terrible (Tancredo is closest to acceptable, and he's out there on too many issues).
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004 Presidential Election: GAME THREAD on: April 18, 2014, 11:19:38 pm


An Editorial: For President, George Allen


With the loss of an outstanding candidate, the choice got a lot harder. However, following George W. Bush's strong legacy and precedent as President, only George Allen has the leadership capabilities to make our country. We believe that George Allen is a candidate of conservative conviction: his record both as Governor and Senator shows this.[/font]

The field has been relatively strong, with many candidates making their mark on their states and country, but one thing that came up in our decision was conviction. Allen has had by far the most conviction to the values that are set forth in this newspaper. The campaign has attempted to move away from the issues, but Allen has consistently put forward a substance based campaign.

When push came to shove on healthcare, George Allen decided to make a change for the better. Other candidates criticized him for it, but a change for the better is just that: a change for the better, and Allen recognizes that. Making substantive changes in Washington is key toward the future of America, and we are choosing the candidate most likely to make those changes.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you have voted in the preceding election? on: April 18, 2014, 10:19:22 pm
I'm sometimes a swing vote, but certainly not in this case. Danforth.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Missouri,_2000

Dead man or John Ashcroft? Tongue
7  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: the preceding poster vs. john lindsay. on: April 18, 2014, 09:26:30 pm
hipstarr Tongue

Imma go with Supersonic over the incompetent.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004 Presidential Election: GAME THREAD on: April 18, 2014, 09:03:25 pm
George Allen for President: Campaign Schedule (December 14th-27th, 2003)


George Allen: "There he goes again, Bill Owens is out there trying to persuade all of you that he has a perfect record when we all know that is far from the truth. I endorse Medicare Part D because it lowers costs on prescription drugs through cutting taxes. I don't think the plan was perfect, but it was a good plan that gets results. Bill Owens, meanwhile, fails to pass an initiative for water storage and loses every single county. We need someone with a record of success in Washington, and I have a record of success."

December 14th-17th:
Bus Tour of South Carolina
Barnstorming across the state
Meeting with the State Party with Bob Goodlatte
Meet and Greets
Fundraising in Columbia



"Missouri is at the center of this election, and let me just say this. The Democratic field has the following people: a trial lawyer, the wife of a former President with no accomplishments at her current job, two career politicians, and a certified radical. These are the kind of people where, if you dig in their background even a little, you'll find plenty of things that are askew. That's why I say, when the general election comes, no matter what polling says today, that I would beat all of them in a general election, and I think every person in the field would do the same. That's why we need to make this election about who represents us the best, rather than who is the most moderate by scaring everyone of a possible Hillary Clinton Presidency."

December 18th-20th:
Bus Tour of Missouri
Meet and Greets all across the state
Barnstorming in Springfield, Jefferson City, St. Louis
Town Halls in Bolivar, Lebannon, Clinton, Warrensburg, Lees Sumit, and Booneville
Opening Campaign Offices

December 21st-24th:
Bus Tour of Iowa with Rick Santorum
Meeting with State Party
Town Halls in Smaller Counties with Rick Santorum
Meeting with Volunteers and Staffers
News Blitz



"Americans don't want excuses. I don't give excuses for my record. Medicare Part D was the right thing to do. We have to fix the Healthcare Problem, and by creating Health Savings Accounts, that's the first step. It partially privatizes the system. Look, I'm not going to be the person that says its perfect legislation, but to say that the Entitlement problem is worsened because of this policy is a flat out lie, and I would want Bill Owens to tell our President that he has exacerbated the very thing he went out to fix."


December 25th - 27th:
Dinner with New Hampshire Governors
Barnstorming throughout the state with Governor Craig Benson
Town Halls in smaller cities with Pat Buchanan
Opening Campaign offices
Meet and Greets all across the state



"We don't want somebody who will tell us what we want to hear. We want someone to tell us what is wrong and how he will fix it. George Allen has consistently proven he will do the right thing. Fighting illegal immigration? check. Supporting a strong foreign policy and national defense? check. Cutting taxes in Virginia? check. George Allen is the godsend we need for America, and I hope New Hampshirites see exactly what I see in him."

Major Ad Buy: Change
This ad will air in New Hampshire, Iowa, South Carolina, Missouri, Arizona, Oklahoma, and New Mexico.

"We can't change Washington by electing the same people. Meet George Allen: not a career politician, and a leader in fiscal responsibility. He has introduced in the Senate a line item veto, a balanced budget amendment, and Paycheck Penalty legislation. If only Washington were up to his speed."

"The issues we face today are the same ones we've faced for a long time, and I have the experience, as Governor, Senator, and businessman, to tackle these issues. If you elect me, we can deal with these issues head on, with reliable leadership you can count on. I'm George Allen, and I approve this message, because fighting hard is better than standing aside."
9  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Hide behind the poll: have you ever taken a picture of your genitals? on: April 18, 2014, 06:13:55 pm
I actually haven't, which is strange.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004: Mission Accomplished! on: April 18, 2014, 05:43:01 pm
Edwards wins surprisingly large victory





Senator John Edwards (D-NC)/Former Defense Secretary William Cohen (D-ME) - 51.7%, 355 EV's
Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN)/Governor George Pataki (R-NY) - 47.1%, 183 EV's
Others - 1.2%, 0 EV's

In spite of a pretty poor performance in the West Coast, The Edwards-Cohen ticket won a large electoral victory over Frist/Pataki. The campaign was riddled with a strange absence of President Bush and Vice President Cheney on the campaign trail, a weak campaign structure from Frist/Pataki, and a strong Democratic apparatus. The message from Edwards-Cohen, which was third way on some issues and populist on others, made surprising headway in the South, where they barely lost South Carolina, Kentucky, Arkansas and Louisiana.

With that, Democrats also performed strongly in the Senate races. His results pushed forward a lot of Democrats:

Competitive Senate Races
Alaska - 49.2% Knowles, 49.1% Murkowski, 1.7% Others
Arizona - 50% Goddard, 48% Flake, 2% Others
Colorado - 55% Salazar, 43% Coors, 2% Others
Georgia - 49% Isakson, 48% Oxford, 3% Others
Lousiana - 45% Vitter, 32% John, 15% Kennedy, 8% Others
Kentucky - 52% Mongiardo, 47% Bunning, 1% Others
North Carolina - 53% Bowles, 46% Burr, 1% Others
Pennsylvania - 50% Toomey, 49% Hoeffel, 1% Others
Oklahoma - 49.5% Carson, 49.4% Coburn, 1.1% Others
Utah - 52% Cannon, 45% Matheson, 3% Others

Interesting Races
Florida - 56% Castor, 43% McCollum
South Carolina - 53% DeMint, 45% Tenebaum
South Dakota - 61% Thune, 39% Bradford
Connecticut - 54% Bysiewicz, 44% Shays
Illinois - 58% Obama, 38% Rauschenberger
Missouri - 54% Bond, 45% Farmer

+2 Democratic Gain

Democrats - 50
Republicans - 49
Independents - 1

House Elections

+8 Democratic Gain

222 Republicans
212 Democrats
1 Independent

Interesting Gubernatorial Races
Indiana: 50% Daniels, 48% Kernan
Missouri: 51% McCaskill, 48% Blunt
Montana: 49% Brown, 48% Schweitzer
Washington: 50.1% Gregoire, 49.3% Rossi

0 Gains for Either Party!

Edwards win managed to sweep in some surprising contenders. Even in the two most unlikely places, Arizona (where McCain's death left a special election) and Oklahoma (where it voted against Gore by over 20 points), Democrats won elections. In spite of that, Democratic seats were left open for Republicans to take, which leaves the Senate in a very competitive place.

Edwards would have to face a divided government. Whether he could handle it, is whats next...
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004: Mission Accomplished! on: April 18, 2014, 02:35:09 pm
Debates and Important Senate Races

 

First Debate - 55% Edwards, 34% Frist
VP Debate - 52% Cohen, 42% Pataki
Second Debate - 49% Frist, 46% Edwards
Third Debate - 51% Edwards, 43% Frist


After three Presidential debates and a Vice Presidential debates, the momentum of Edwards has finally pushed him to a lead after trailing in June by over 20 points. Both candidates made a pact not to talk about the death of Senator John McCain, and not to invoke his image in any of their ads or their debates. The strategy of Edwards was to paint the image of Frist before Frist could paint him, and he managed to do so quite effectively.

Frist was imagined as a foreign policy dunce, a fierce partisan who couldn't care less about the future of America, but instead cared about what was in it for him. The populist message about fixing poverty made ways with many Americans, particularly those in the South and the Rust belt, where Edwards numbers began to balloon. Most importantly, the Edwards campaign took a third way position on foreign policy, talking about specifics and ways to get done with Iraq quickly rather than just chastising the administration.

In truth, Cohen sounded more aggressive than Edwards did during the debates, and Republicans tried to spin his performance as petulant and angry, and put Pataki as someone who was just trying to survive out there.

Even with all that going for the Edwards campaign, however, President Bush's approvals begun recovering after a long weak run, and this made it harder for the Edwards people to call this race anything but a toss-up.

Late October National Poll:
48% Edwards/Cohen
47% Frist/Pataki
1% Others
4% Undecided



Toss-Up States:
Florida - 48% Edwards, 47% Frist
Iowa - 48% Edwards, 46% Frist
Missouri - 49% Frist, 46% Edwards
Nevada - 48% Frist, 45% Edwards
New Hampshire - 49% Edwards, 47% Frist
North Carolina - 49% Edwards, 48% Frist
Ohio - 49% Edwards, 47% Frist
Virginia - 48% Frist, 46% Edwards
West Virginia - 47% Frist, 44% Edwards


Important Senate Races

Carson: The strongest campaign, but can it win?



Oklahoma: 48% Tom Coburn, 47% Brad Carson

Congressman Brad Carson's campaign was named by experts in the field as the best campaign of the season. In spite of Majority Leader Bill Frist dominating Edwards by 20 point margins in the state, Carson barely trails his predecessor in Congress. Whether this is because Coburn is too conservative even for Oklahoma is a question, but almost certainly Carson is making it a race to watch.

Other Competitive Senate Races
Alaska - 50% Knowles, 44% Murkowski
Arizona - 48% Goddard, 47% Flake
Colorado - 51% Salazar, 46% Coors
Georgia - 48% Isakson, 46% Oxford
Lousiana - 43% Vitter, 31% John, 12% Kennedy
Kentucky - 49% Mongiardo, 46% Bunning
North Carolina - 47% Bowles, 46% Burr
Pennsylvania - 47% Hoeffel, 46% Toomey
Utah - 51% Cannon, 45% Matheson

Interesting Races
Florida - 52% Castor, 43% McCollum
South Carolina - 53% DeMint, 42% Tenebaum
South Dakota - 58% Thune, 39% Bradford
Connecticut - 52% Bysiewicz, 44% Shays
Illinois - 53% Obama, 40% Rauschenberger

12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS-Rasmussen: Sen. Roberts (R) would destroy Sebelius (D) on: April 18, 2014, 12:54:07 pm
She does worse overall than the guy that was already running lol (they trailed by similar amounts, but more undecided for the other guy).
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Gubernatorial Endorsements (2014) on: April 18, 2014, 12:47:51 pm
Alabama - No Endorsement
Alaska - Sean Parnell (R)
Arizona - Doug Ducey (R)
Arkansas - Frank Gilbert (L)
California - Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado - Greg Brophy (R)
Connecticut - Tom Foley (R)
Florida - Adrian Wyllie (L)
Georgia - David Pennington (R)
Hawaii - Duke Aiona (R)
Idaho - John T. Bujak (L)
Illinois - Bruce Rauner (R)
Iowa - Lee Hieb (L)
Kansas - Tresa McAlhaney (L)
Maine - Eliot Culter (I)
Maryland - David Craig (R)
Massachusetts - Charlie Baker (R)
Michigan - Rick Snyder (R)
Minnesota - Dave Thompson (R)
Nebraska - Pete Ricketts (R)
Nevada - Brian Sandoval (R)
New Hampshire - Andrew Hemingway (R)
New Mexico - Susana Martinez (R)
New York - Andrew Cuomo (D)
Ohio - John Kasich (R)
Oklahoma - John Dorman (D)
Oregon - No idea
Pennsylvania - Bob Guzzardi (R)
Rhode Island - Allan Fung (R)
South Carolina - Nikki Haley (R)
Tennessee - No endorsement
Texas - Greg Abbott (R)
Vermont - No endorsement
Wisconsin - Scott Walker (R)
Wyoming - Matt Mead (R)
14  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Maxwell for IDS Legislator - Endorsing Senator Shua on: April 18, 2014, 11:38:21 am
Former Attorney General Maxwell endorses Senator Shua for re-election


Atlanta, Georgia -- Former Attorney General and Former Senator Maxwell took today to the podium to give an enthusiastic endorsement for the re-election of Senator Shua. Saying of Senator Shua;

Quote from: Maxwell's Speech
Of all of the candidates, Senator Shua emphasizes, above all else, a dedication to standing up for his values, asking the right questions, and most importantly, getting the right answers. I have tremendous respect for other candidates running, particularly Senator Lumine, who has brought on a conversation of foreign policy, but my man for this election is Shua.
15  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Previous Poster's Signature Thread on: April 18, 2014, 11:18:41 am
I haven't been on IRC in a long time. Never felt the need for it.
16  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Tumblr Leftism vs. True Leftism on: April 18, 2014, 08:47:09 am
Oh if this is basically just a "BRTD v. Snowstalker" poll, then definitely Snowstalker.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy: Perdue with a small lead in GOP primary on: April 18, 2014, 08:23:53 am
Wow, wasn't Gingrey leading at one point? Now he and Broun are behind HANDEL, who I thought was completely irrelevant.
18  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: 20 years Later Illmatic on: April 17, 2014, 11:29:28 pm
It's just too bad that nothing he did after it came even remotely close to matching its quality.

Also this.
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: IDS April 2014 Regional Election on: April 17, 2014, 11:05:50 pm
Emperor:
[1] Scott

District 1:
[1] Maxwell
[2] WI: Sjoyce
[3] WI: Chairman Sanchez
[4] WI: Jbrase
[5] WI: badgate
20  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Voting Booth / Re: April 2014 At-Large Senate Election on: April 17, 2014, 11:02:15 pm
[1] Shua
[2] Lumine
[3] Goldwater
[4] WI: Small L
[5] WI: Jbrase
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who's likely to win the 2016 GOP South Carolina primary? on: April 17, 2014, 06:11:20 pm
I think South Carolina will be the first real opportunity for Marco Rubio to shine. Walker will primarily focus on Iowa and Florida, Christie will focus on New Hampshire and Florida, Paul will be heavy in all four states, and Rubio will try to focus on the more traditional GOP voters in the south.

I strongly object to you identifying "traditional GOP voters" as socially conservative Southerners.

As for the OP, I'd guess Cruz or Rubio.

Hey man, like us or not, your stuck with us.

I never said I didn't like you, but I'd say we are the more "traditional Republicans" of the two factions.  I highly doubt Lincoln, Eisenhower and even Reagan would be championing the Tea Party.

Lincoln and Eisenhower don't embody anything similar to the modern GOP, and Reagan would likely be similar to a Scott Walker-level involvement in the Tea Party.

You seem to overcompensate for New England Republicans in most of these threads. You don't have to pretend like you guys run the GOP. If you did, your reputation would only decline due to the state that the GOP is in right now.

Eisenhower was arguably the most fiscally conservative President since WWII; it's a liberal myth that Obama is somehow the legacy of old school Republicans.  Simply wishful thinking (I guess if my party had an embarrassing history of racism, I might have incentive to rewrite history, too, though).  And considering Reagan pragmatically raised taxes when he needed to and pushed for sensible gun control, I think the Tea Partiers would be shouting RINO.  And how do I act like we're running the party?  I've never even come close to making that assertion.

The Eisenhower rates were 90%. How on earth is that fiscal conservatism?

It's a pure fiction to claim that Ronald Reagan, overall, raised taxes. He did so in certain circumstances in order to save the budget, but you can't call cutting the top rate from 70% all the way down to 28% by the end of his term "raising taxes".
22  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of this Political Cartoon on: April 17, 2014, 06:06:16 pm
Ronald Reagan was a Tea Partier?

His presidency doesn't show it, but based on his rhetoric, he was clearly the original tea partier.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Cook Report moves GA Senate race to "Toss Up" on: April 17, 2014, 05:41:46 pm
I feel like that's a mistake when you see Kingston and Perdue moving to the front of the field, but Nunn is one of the best candidates that the Georgia Dems have recruited in a while, so maybe its fitting.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of this Political Cartoon on: April 17, 2014, 05:38:44 pm
Ideology matters less than people give it credit for. The fact is, Liberal Republicans can blow it just as hard as Republicans on outer ideological reaches.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2008: McCain-Cantor ticket on: April 17, 2014, 04:09:33 pm
Cantor would be completely irrelevent. There aren't any VPs I could see winning it for McCain.
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