Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 18, 2014, 10:14:33 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

  Show Posts
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 576
1  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: 2013 New Jersey gubernatorial election (with hindsight) on: Today at 08:39:47 pm
Christie, not sure why hindsight would change my vote at all.

Presumably you were unaware in November 2013 that he intended to spend his next year in office destroying the state's economy.

A similar excuse you always use for President Obama applies here: NJ had a wealth of economic problems before Christie took over, thanks in large part to Democrats before him.

But other states, with GOP Governors or otherwise, have recovered far better than New Jersey has. Now that maybe an unfair comparison, considering New Jersey may have its own unique problems, but it's hard to be easy on Christie when other states haven't had massive credit downgrades and a consistently poor economy.
2  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Richard Nixon vs. Jimmy Carter on: Today at 08:38:01 pm
Obviously Carter, who is one of our most underrated Presidents.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Future is Here! on: Today at 08:27:11 pm
Cruz will indeed give rise to a Castro, though I hope it's Joaquin.

Julian won Cruz's Senate seat in 2018.

Yes, I know. I just mean in reality I hope it's Joaquin.

Ah okay. I've never delved into the differences between the two.

Its pretty simple, actually, Joaquin is the Congressman, Julian is the Secretary/Mayor.

That's obvious. I meant in terms of policy or appeal.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: HYPO: Brian Schweitzer as the Democratic nominee in MT-SEN on: Today at 08:24:46 pm
No. Loses by 4-7.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: WaPo/ABC: Romney far ahead, but Bush leads with Mitt out on: Today at 06:45:10 pm
Paul Ryan's numbers in this poll are surprisingly strong. He seems like the least likely of this bunch to actually run.
6  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Aaron Sorkin on: Today at 05:30:54 pm
I don't care what everyone says, I love both West Wing and Newsroom.

Somehow I'm not entirely surprised by this.

It's not just Newsroom. It's Studio 60, and his many other flops. It's his absolute inability to write for women. It's his overbearing sense of being right.

And I thought West Wing was better when Sorkin wasn't the lead writer.

Yes I can that, and it may make him overrated, obnoxious or irritating, but I don't see why it make him a horrible person. His personal view whether people disagree with or not, is really rather harmless, it's more or less a fluffy and harmless be nice message, not really something which should raise the blood pressure of his opponents.

I think FF and HP are merely "I like so and so" and "I don't like so and so". Sorkin isn't a horrible person, but he's bad for thoughtful entertainment.
7  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: SE House legislation introduction Thread on: Today at 05:08:18 pm
Quote
IDS Drug Legalization Act
1. The possession, transportation, and consumption of heroin, morphine, methadone, opium, amphetamine, ketamine, PCP, and methamphetamine and the substances, plants, or chemicals needed for their processing are hereby legalized throughout the IDS.
2. TBD on Taxation.
3. Anyone operating a vehicle with a trace of any drug mentioned in Section 1 is an offense that will be considered under the DUI laws, with a minimum fine of $1500 for the first offense and $3000 or 150 Hours of community service for the second offense.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Future is Here! on: Today at 04:48:43 pm
Cruz will indeed give rise to a Castro, though I hope it's Joaquin.

Julian won Cruz's Senate seat in 2018.

Yes, I know. I just mean in reality I hope it's Joaquin.

Ah okay. I've never delved into the differences between the two.
9  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of this image on: Today at 04:47:16 pm
of course hillarah will win by 50 points.

Moving you to my ignore list now.
10  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Tom Cotton on: Today at 04:42:54 pm
King of the Hawks. HP.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Future is Here! on: Today at 04:22:40 pm
Cruz will indeed give rise to a Castro, though I hope it's Joaquin.

Julian won Cruz's Senate seat in 2018.
12  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Future is Here! on: Today at 03:49:16 pm
August 23rd - Pence is the Republican VP Nominee


After speculation rose that Massachussets Governor Charlie Baker or Iowa Senator Joni Ernst would be picks that could shake things up for Cotton, the campaign ultimately decided not to take a risk. Instead of hunting after wandering Independents and Democrats, Cotton consolidated his party by picking his main contender for the nomination - Indiana Governor Mike Pence. Pence, considered a darling by fiscal conservatives and social conservatives, gave a rousing speech at the announcement, chastising Graham for her foreign policy inexperience and her populist stands on fiscal policy. Pence, like Cotton, doesn't hail from a swing state, but Pence has some sway in the Midwest, being able to speak to those values.

Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin



Night One: Idaho Senator Raul Labrador, Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse, Tennessee Senate Candidate Mark Green, Cotton's Wife Anna Peckham (Primetime)

Night Two: New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte, Nevada Senator Mark Hutchison, Colorado Senator Cory Gardner (Primetime), Maryland Governor Larry Hogan (Primetime)

Night Three: Chairman of the Heritage Foundation Ted Cruz, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, Iowa Senator Joni Ernst (Primetime), Indiana Governor Mike Pence (Primetime)

Night Four: Montana Senator Steve Daines, Jacksonville Mayor Lenny Curry, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker, Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton (Primetime)

The Republican convention, more or less, went off without a hitch. Republicans were slamming the Democratic ticket left and right, and kept the agenda focused on a brighter future. The shining moment was Cory Gardner's speech, a 15 minute showcase that outshined everyone else that night, almost sounding like his own Presidential acceptance speech. Gardner received a major bump in his race against the aging Former Interior Secretary and Senator Ken Salazar, and is considered future Presidential material. Also shining stars were Joni Ernst, whose clever jabs made voters laugh, and Tom Cotton himself, who, in the opposite of Mitt Romney, gave a thorough foreign policy vision, one unpopular with the doves of his party, but made sense to the viewers that watched it. For the first time in a long time, neoconservatives had someone who could competently explain their policies.

That's not to say there weren't a fair share of duds. Lenny Curry was supremely underwhelmed in his surprisingly high spot in the convention airing, Steve Daines was not a very inspiring speaker, and Ted Cruz, in his supreme arrogance, gave a rambling speech about the evils of liberalism. Cruz, oft considered the reason for Julian Castro's rise, received outright boos during some of his speech, leading him to fall into the oblivion of irrelevance.

Still, the GOP convention was considered superior to the Democratic Convention, and Cotton got a massive bump, going from trailing by 10 to tying (technically leading by 1). Cotton's got a ways to go - he trails Graham heavily on a lot policy questions, and he has a lot of votes he can get hammered on.

48% Cotton - 47% Graham
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Which state party is in bigger disarray? on: Today at 02:58:44 pm
To be honest, I think the title of this thread, with these two choices should be "Which party is more decimated?".

State parties like the FL Dems and WA GOP would be in "disarray", by the meaning of the word.

The thing is, Washington GOP controls the State Senate (before it was neutral control, but now I think they have it outright), and their bench isn't completely terrible. They also have a statewide elected official (SoS Kim Wyman) unlike Florida.

Now replace Washington GOP with Oregon GOP, and I think you're right.
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Aaron Sorkin on: Today at 02:56:36 pm
I don't care what everyone says, I love both West Wing and Newsroom.

Somehow I'm not entirely surprised by this.

It's not just Newsroom. It's Studio 60, and his many other flops. It's his absolute inability to write for women. It's his overbearing sense of being right.

And I thought West Wing was better when Sorkin wasn't the lead writer.
15  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Defeated Incumbents from House of Representatives (General) on: Today at 02:53:03 pm
Terry.  He would've won if it weren't for the Tea Partier who ran as an independent.  Looks like they threw away another important race. Sad

The Tea Partier dropped out way before November bro. But don't let that get in the way of your delusion Roll Eyes
Was he still on the ballot?

Doesn't look like it.
Then how did Terry lose?

Because the voters voted for the other guy Tongue
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: if you could travel back in time to this point two years ago on: Today at 02:39:26 pm
The problem with defining Gardner as an extremist is he is a former Democrat - he knows how to talk the talk. The better angle would be to portray Gardner as a phony, someone who would say anything to get into office.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So, it turns out the Democrat's path to majority was... on: Today at 02:38:06 pm
We lost Colorado solely because Udall ran such a poor campaign, had he ran a campaign like Begich did in AK we would've won I have no doubt about that. That's the only race that I think was salvageable.

Cory Gardner was an excellent candidate. Is there any circumstance where credit can ever be given to Republicans for doing a good job? lol

No, because he only won by 2%. An excellent candidate in Colorado would be able to win by at least high single digits in a wave election.

Not against an established incumbent like Mark Udall. For a guy who ran an incompetent campaign, he had a lot of advantages.
18  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Elections / Re: Write-In Campaign - Maxwell for Senate! on: Today at 01:43:49 pm
Oh, and the voting booth will open tonight!
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Does Rubio running make the lifting of the Cuba embargo/travel ban more likely? on: Today at 01:43:15 pm
A lot of those Cuban Americans aren't voting Democratic anyways.
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Hillary Clinton vs. John Kasich on: Today at 12:01:37 pm
Kasich would get absolutely crushed in the suburbs across the country.

Why do you think that?

Did you see some of his predictions in 2014? boshembechle is basically a troll.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Redefining: 2016-? on: Today at 11:59:56 am
I feel like even Mike Beebe in a good year for Dems loses to Boozman by 5-10 points. Then again, my timeline has Martha Coakley run for Senate in New Hampshire, so some distance from reality is good.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: Today at 09:19:34 am
Shows how things are changing, Barrow only outperforms Carter's margin by 6.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: The Future is Here! on: December 17, 2014, 09:07:34 pm
August 11th, 2020 - It's Gwen Graham/Tim Kaine!


After much speculation, Gwen Graham has decided on a VP, and that pick is Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kaine, a fairly moderate Democrat within the Senate Democrat spectrum, is a noted Democratic partisan and an active fundraiser, and his pick did some to secure the monied interests and more left-leaning elements of Wall Street to stick around for Graham. A good deal of left-wing disappointment settles in, but not enough to abandon the ticket, as Kaine agrees to amp up anti-war rhetoric against the Romney administration and to be a solid attack dog for Graham. He also does a good deal to shore up the state of Virginia, a state that Graham holds a not exciting lead in currently (48-45, which only improves with the Kaine nomination). Both Eric Garcetti and John Hickenlooper were considered as the list seemed to decline, but neither of the western state politicians seemed to show as much interest as Kaine.

Democratic National Convention in Atlanta, Georgia



Night One: Maryland Senator Chris Van Hollen, North Carolina Senate Candidate Nancy McFarLane, Minnesota Senator Al Franken, Stephen Hurm (Primetime)

Night Two: Texas Senator Julian Castro, Massachussets Senator Elizabeth Warren, California Senator Eric Garcetti (Primetime), Former President Barack Obama (Primetime)

Night Three: Speaker of the House Xavier Beccera, Screenwriter Aaron Sorkin, Former President Bill Clinton (Primetime), Virginia Senator Tim Kaine (Primetime)

Night Four:Georgia Senate Candidate Valarie Wilson, California Governor Kamala Harris, Massachusetts Senate Candidate Seth Moulton,  Florida Senator Gwen Graham (Primetime)

The first two nights of the Democratic convention were somewhat expected and somehow uneventful. Despite an empowering speech from the Former President, Warren, Castro, Garcetti, and Franken didn't wow the crowds like people expected them to. Nancy McFarLane, expected to be sort of background, moved to the front due to their underperformances.

The third night, however, is when sparks started to fly, both in good ways and bad ways. Bill Clinton gave a rousing, 25 minute speech chastising the economic situation under President Romney and doing it well. Screenwriter Aaron Sorkin's speech, however, didn't pan out as well, as he inadvertently made a lot of very misogynistic assumptions and comments. His speech was universally panned and criticized. All of these moments outshined Vice Presidential candidate Tim Kaine, who seemed to get lost in all the commotion.

By Night four, however things started popping again. Kamala Harris and Seth Moulton hit their speeches out of the park, praising Graham as a progressive, pragmatic leader for the future. Graham herself was on fire, giving the best speech of all. All in All, the Democratic Convention gave a decent if underwhelming boost to the Democratic ticket.

53% Graham - 43% Cotton
24  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Which posters do you most admire? on: December 17, 2014, 05:45:34 pm
Any of them that don't resort to personal attacks on those who disagree with them.  Some examples of posters I particularly admire (in no particular order):

Clarence
Miles
Torie
Badger
TJ
Duke
IBDD
Tmth
Angus
Bushie
Cathcon
Inks
DavefromMI

Honorable mention to BRTD; although I can't stand his views, I enjoy his musings on religion and music.

. . . . .

Not surprising considering it's Oldiesfreak.
25  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Atlas Fantasy Government / Re: FY 2015 Budget (Voting on Amendment) on: December 17, 2014, 05:26:57 pm
Quote
Agriculture
Farm income stabilization & crop insurance: $11.0 B
Agricultural research and services: $3.5 B
Worker Co-operative Loan Assistance (Worker Co-operative Pilot Program): $1.0 B
Agriculture Expenditures:     $15.50 B

I reference you to this -

The Let's Really Eliminate Farm Subsidies Act
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 576


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines