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October 23, 2014, 03:38:07 pm
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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Tom Cotton on: Today at 02:53:17 pm
Someday, sure. I think Gardner will be a far stronger candidate though.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CNN: Iowa Early Vote Data Shows Unprecedented Republican Numbers on: Today at 02:52:32 pm
RIP Ben Bournely. Sad

At least Ernst will be a guaranteed one-termer once Iowans start seeing how she votes.

That's what they said about Chuck Grassley...

Grassley is much more moderate than Ernst will ever be.

Eh, Pat Toomey was supposed to be the most conservative guy due to his leadership in Club for Growth, and he's moved to the center due to his state. I'm sure Ernst does the same.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: CNN: Iowa Early Vote Data Shows Unprecedented Republican Numbers on: Today at 02:46:34 pm
RIP Ben Bournely. Sad

At least Ernst will be a guaranteed one-termer once Iowans start seeing how she votes.

That's what they said about Chuck Grassley...
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / MI: PPP: Peters+14, Dominating on: Today at 02:35:20 pm
Link

Gary Peters - 53%
Terri Lynn Land - 39%
Undecided - 8%

With Terri Lynn Land winning a stunning... 2% of African Americans. This has been over for a long time, but now I can see Peters winning by nearly 20 points. Hot damn, what a disaster.
5  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: RNC: America needs a principled conservative leader-like George W. Bush on: Today at 02:31:26 pm
I am having such a facepalm right now that my hand is eating my face.
6  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Predict Louisiana on: Today at 02:30:57 pm
Primary
44% Mary Landrieu
40% Bill Cassidy
13% Rob Manness
3% Others

Run-Off
53% Bill Cassidy
47% Mary Landrieu
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: MI: Public Policy Polling: Tied at 48-48 on: Today at 02:25:19 pm
It is a League of Conservation PPP poll, which is probably a little less reliable. Still, not at all good news for Snyder, who probably is getting hurt by Terri Lynn Land's disaster of a campaign.
8  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: KS: Rasmussen: Orman +5 on: Today at 10:32:19 am
Rassy seems to be on a 2 week delay.
9  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So... what happened to Natalie Tennant? on: Today at 10:31:47 am
She was/is a terrible candidate running against a good one. It needs to be the other way around for Democrats to win federal office in West Virginia.

I wouldn't say she's a terrible candidate, but she's definitely not of the caliber that Capito is.
10  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 2: Environmental Act on: Today at 10:23:06 am
I think this bill goes too far in terms of improvements, requiring the average to go up by 5 miles per gallon PER YEAR. That will quickly outpace the ability of car companies to adjust. I'm thinking maybe 5 miles per gallon per decade is far more possible for car companies. I also think our subsidies are far too high in terms of paying for the cost of solar panels. Also, considering my new tax agenda which will probably lend to costs, I am starting to worry about balancing our books, so I think these edits to the bill will lower the cost of it significantly will still having your intended enviormental impact.

Quote
IDS Environmental Act
1. The average fuel efficiency for new cars and automobiles sold in the IDS will be 50 mpg by the year 2020, average new car efficiency increasing by 5 miles per gallon per decade.
2. The IDS will invest heavily in renewable resources, getting the region to be powered 50% by clean energy by 2020.
3. This will happen through tax breaks and regional subsidies;

    up to 30% of cost paid by regional government for solar panels
    up to 25% of cost paid by regional government for wind turbines
    up to 20% of cost paid by regional government for all other renewable resources

4. Regional government must print on 50%+ recycled paper.
5. Minimum fuel efficiency standards for new appliances and air conditioners must be increased by 50% by 2020.

I may have more of substance to add later on, but let's just start with the numbers.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: VA: CNU: Sarvis leads Gillespie with younger voters on: Today at 10:18:04 am
YES! My boy Sarvis is going to provide a smashing in November.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 on: Today at 10:16:45 am
This one will be so fun to watch. It may either be Republican tears or Democrat rage. And I'm just like Michael Jackson eating popcorn.

#gif
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO: Quinnipiac University: Hick recovers from 10-point deficit, now leads by 1 on: Today at 09:43:29 am
regression toward the mean. Hick does probably win this though.
14  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Sarah Palin has endorsed Walker in AK-Gov race. on: Today at 08:54:01 am
Palin is super unpopular in Alaska, so maybe this is a sneaky strategy to knock off Walker and re-elect Parnell.

Then again, Palin isn't exactly known for sneaky political strategy Tongue
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Congressman Don Young (R-AK) threatens to murder his opponent on: Today at 12:25:22 am
Alaska Republicans seem to always be insane. Always.

Dan Sullivan seems like a relatively normal, if boring, guy.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: So... what happened to Natalie Tennant? on: Today at 12:20:45 am
The focus seems to all be on the Democrats, when in fact, the Republicans didn't blow this one. They recruited their best candidate and their candidate held on. I mean, it didn't help that Tennant's attempts to sound independent from Obama came off as desperate, but it was more that Shelley Moore Capito won this election than Natalie Tennant losing it.

Compare that to 2010, when Democrats not only nominated Joe Manchin, who was known there as being a fairly conservative Democrat and was EXTREMELY popular (Tennant wasn't of similar popularity, obv.), but the Republicans nominated John Raese, known in West Virginia as a perennial loser of sorts.
17  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How partisan are you in your voting? on: October 22, 2014, 09:57:12 pm
This year It'll be (for offices with multiple humans running) 60/40 Democrat in Oklahoma.

You got something against non-human animals? Angry

No, but there are no Squirrels running for State Auditor Sad
18  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How partisan are you in your voting? on: October 22, 2014, 09:43:54 pm
This year It'll be (for offices with multiple humans running) 60/40 Democrat in Oklahoma.
19  Atlas Fantasy Elections / Regional Governments / Re: IDS 1: State Representation Act on: October 22, 2014, 09:29:12 pm
I sign,

x Maxwell
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2008 Presidential Election: Game Thread on: October 22, 2014, 09:24:59 pm
Howard Dean Debate Responses


Quote
Governor Dean, congratulation on your win, now what are the difference between you and your opponents. Generally you all agree on the same points and are committed to defeating President Giuliani, but why should voters in New Hampshire pick you to be President?

"I think that is a misconception on your part to think that all of the candidates are similar on the issues, or even have the same level of commitment to defeating the President. Nevertheless, I think my candidacy stands out because I am not just opposing this President on the basis of his Republicanism. I am standing on principle for liberal policy. New Hampshirites want a leader, and unlike the other candidates on the stage, I have stood against the tide of Giuliani-Bush, and pushed for policies that help the average American rather than hurt them. My record speaks for itself. And unlike the other candidates on this stage, I will not take corporate contributions, separating myself from Special Interests. It's easy to say I represent this, this, or that, but it's much harder to stand for something, and I've done so throughout my career, and it's why I think New Hampshire should vote for me for President."

Quote
Senator Bayh, you've been critical of Governor Dean on some of his statements including taxes and healthcare, saying they are too extreme for the country. Are you out of step with your party or is Governor Dean?

"I wasn't asked this, but I'll respond to this anyway since it mentions me. I think it's interesting that Evan Bayh considers me 'extreme' on taxes, when all I want to do is repeal the Bush Tax cuts. These tax cuts have done enormous damage to our economy, and if he wants to stand by them, I'll let him, but the fact of the matter is that it's not extreme to support the economy, Tim. As for healthcare, it's interesting for him to say that too, because my plan cuts costs, helps insurers, and encourages innovation better than his plan. That's not just me saying that, that's economists and health care professionals around this country who know healthcare saying it. I've campaigned on balancing the budget, and unlike Senator Bayh, I have a plan to do it. I won't pander to the lowest common denominator because I believe this country deserves more than that. Apparently the Senator doesn't agree."

Quote
To all: Do you consider yourself or call yourself a liberal?

"Yes. I am not afraid of words. The fact of the matter is, liberals are the ones who have worked the hardest to change America and make it a more equal place. We're the ones out there with signs protesting Vietnam, standing for civil rights for all people, peace, and prosperity. Conservatives have used the word as an attack, I think that's silly. Their advertising campaign has worked marvelously, but nevertheless, I will wear that word as a badge of honor, and should anyone ask, I will say to them exactly what I have told you tonight, I am liberal from the bottom of my heart! *cheers*"

Quote
To all: Are each of you committed right here and now to supporting the eventual nominee whoever they maybe?

"How many times do we need to be asked this? It's like they want us to do a blood oath *chuckles* I will support the Democratic nominee, because unlike President Giuliani, they won't sign into law harmful tax cuts, charter schools, and won't support marriage amendments and wars. I'm a liberal, but I'm a Democrat, I love my party, and I'm willing to fight for it. I will stand with whoever the voters decide will be our standard bearer, and I will give it my all to campaign for them, and I hope they do the same."
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: NY-04 Predict the Margin on: October 22, 2014, 07:04:41 pm
56% Kathleen Rice
43% Bruce Blakeman

Blakeman is a fringe candidate, I'm surprised he's even behind 10%.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 House Election Polls / Re: IL: WAA: Ds holding CD11/17, Rs lead in 10/12/13 on: October 22, 2014, 05:47:48 pm
So this poll makes it seem that only Davis is going to win his race. And wow, Schilling is going to get annihilated.

I've got a gut feeling that Davis will be the only Republican of the 5 to win. I just remember all the polling in 2012 that showed Schneider, Foster, Enyart, Bustos losing, but they all ended up with pretty strong wins. Also this strengthens my position that if the Democrats keep total control of the state for redistricting in 2021 and Illinois loses a seat as they probably will, they should combine the strongest Democrat sections of the 12th and 13th. You could start down in Carbondale, go up to the St. Louis suburbs, head up and grab the Dem friendly areas in Springfield before going east to Champlain. 

I could see Dold winning, but besides him, the other Democrats probably got it in the bag, though Enyart's race will certainly be a squeaker.
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-PPP: Shaheen still ahead on: October 22, 2014, 05:44:14 pm
Jeanne Shaheen is the odd one out in these contentious races - she's still fairly popular with voters. Is the closeness just because New Hampshire is crazy?
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: OR: Survey USA: Merkley up by a lot on: October 22, 2014, 05:42:21 pm
Merkley's massive, meteoric margins might murder Monica's medical mind

... Tongue

Okay, good post.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: NH-PPP: Shaheen still ahead on: October 22, 2014, 05:41:41 pm
Garcia or Innis could've won this, but Scott Brown's performance has been downright impressive considering he's gone from "moderate independent" to "republican hack" so quickly.
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