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May 24, 2016, 04:32:27 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Sacrificial lambs that ended up winning the election on: Today at 04:27:11 pm
Heidi Heitkamp in 2012, it was a Presidential election year so a lot of democrats figured she was going to lose especially since ND is quite conservative but she pulled out a victory despite Obama losing there by 20%.



Joseph Cao is the only answer.

Here in Canada, Bob Rae and many of the NDP candidates in Ontario in 1990, most Quebec NDP federal candidates in 2011 and some of the Alberta NDP candidates in 2015.  

Ruth Ellen Brosseau in Quebec. Only got the spot because the guy who intended to contest in the riding bolted and she was a placeholder, she didnt even campaign there and didn't speak french at the time. And she won because of the orange wave in 2011.

Strangely enough even though the NDP was eaten up in Quebec last year by the Bloc, Conservatives and Liberals she kept her spot with even a small swing to her.

Heitkamp's election record shows she was anything but a sacrificial lamb - a very strong recruit in a state that is pretty elastic.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: ARG: Trump 46%, Clinton 46% on: Today at 02:43:52 pm
rofl lmao ARG
3  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Opinion of Richard Lugar on: Today at 01:39:36 pm
As close to good as a modern day Republican officeholder can get.
4  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Main Governor Paul LePage to run for Senate in 2018 on: Today at 12:56:13 pm
Would he even get past the primary?  Do Maine Republicans still want anything to do with this guy?

Safe I.

The Maine Republican Party probably wants to primary him, but the Republican voters there are getting increasingly wacky.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: "So what?" says Sanders, on if his supporters make the convention "messy" on: Today at 12:13:41 am
The guy wants a repeat of 1968.

He said he wants a "political revolution". I guess this is it.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: "So what?" says Sanders, on if his supporters make the convention "messy" on: May 23, 2016, 10:47:32 pm
Democracy should be messy.

A double digit popular vote margin should be very clean.
7  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Hail, Columbia! (The Election of 1892) on: May 23, 2016, 09:28:44 pm
Garcia for public education.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sanders, Clinton or Trump on: May 23, 2016, 05:10:06 pm


Clinton.
9  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Worse hack on TYT on: May 23, 2016, 05:07:41 pm
This does not sound like 2016 discussion. Probably general discussion, individual politiccs, or off-topic would've been a better choice.
10  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Predict the Clinton and Trump cabinets on: May 23, 2016, 03:33:50 pm
TRUMP:

Vice-President: Newt Gingrich (R)

White House Chief of Staff: Roger Stone (R)

Secretary of State: Joe Arpaio (R)

Treasury Secretary: Carl Icahn (R)

Defense Secretary: Corey Lewandowski (R)

Attorney General: Kris Krispy (R)

Interior Secretary: Eric Trump (R)

Agriculture Secretary: Ben Carson (R)

Commerce Secretary: Donald Trump Jr.  (R)

Health Secretary: Diamond and/or Silk (R)

HUD Secretary: Robert Durst (D)

Transportation Secretary: Barron Trump (R)

Energy Secretary: Jeb Bush (R)

Education Secretary:  Gary Busey (R)

VA Secretary: Allen West (R)

Homeland Security: Rudy Giuliani (R)


Very excited to learn more from GARY BUSEY
11  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favourite latest post by previous poster on: May 23, 2016, 03:07:12 pm
The horrible cities are Houston, Dallas (the worst), Phoenix (a close runner up to Dallas), and San Jose.
I am contractually obligated to disagree with your statement.  Tongue

Obviously there are a lot of great TimTurner posts.
12  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of Icespear deciding to act like a racist WV republican on: May 23, 2016, 03:04:14 pm
Why do people on Atlas get offended over stuff like this? It's obvious that he's joking, you all need to take a chill pill.

Nobody's offended by it. It's obviously an attempt at jest that, like most things IceSpear, reeks of trying too hard.
13  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Senate Race Upsets on: May 23, 2016, 02:53:53 pm
Carlos Beruff wins the Republican Nomination in Florida

Alan Grayson wins the Democratic Nomination in Florida

That's completely nightmarish.

Indeed, and unlike some of the other scenarios, Grayson could actually win this one.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls / Re: CA- Survey USA/ABC7: Clinton +18 on: May 23, 2016, 02:50:34 pm
lol this is great
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DNC Platform Committee Announced on: May 23, 2016, 02:40:54 pm
ugh Cornel West.
16  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: 2016 Senate Race Upsets on: May 23, 2016, 02:29:43 pm
Here are my thoughts
Kelli "Chemtrails" Ward will defeat John McCain, only to be defeated by Ann Kirkpatrick

Carlos Beruff wins the Republican Nomination in Florida

Alan Grayson wins the Democratic Nomination in Florida

Ross defeats Burr
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Opinion of TNVolunteer? on: May 23, 2016, 01:43:22 pm
The most boring poster on this forum.
18  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: The SteveMcQueen Theatre of Absurdity, Ignorance, and Bad Posts V on: May 23, 2016, 11:59:37 am
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?action=profile;u=11470

I might as well just link IceSpear's new awful, unfunny persona.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: VA - Roanoke College: Clinton - 38 Trump - 38 on: May 23, 2016, 11:48:18 am
lol Roanoke College

Junk Poll!
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Mini-Timeline - New History on: May 22, 2016, 11:53:06 pm
1976 General Election

Ford shows remarkable reluctance to endorse Reagan, and at the convention, gives a farewell speech that is completely unrelated to Reagan. Reagan never quite gained Ford's enthusiasm, but nevertheless Reagan began closing the gap between him and Jackson as soon as the convention started. Reagan picked a very moderate running mate in Senator Richard Schweikert, a name that angered some conservatives but ultimately proved to be a strong pick. Senator Jackson would take the opposite route - Jackson went with a fellow moderate in Georgia Governor Jimmy Carter. Carter was a little known name, but was viewed as a strong running-mate that could secure the South.

In the first Presidential debates since 1960, Reagan and Jackson slugged it out. Jackson demonized Reagan's conservatism as "dangerous" while Reagan ridiculed Jackson's beholdeness to labor. Ultimately, the debate was a draw even as many saw Reagan as more charismatic than Jackson.

The polls continued to tighten until the day Gerald Ford was asked if he would vote for Reagan in November. Ford, who had been rebounding in terms of popularity, told reporters that he didn't think Reagan or Jackson were qualified to be President, and would still have to think it over. Reagan's response to Ford was regarded as petty, and this alienated independents in the final few weeks and is believed to have halted Reagan's momentum. As a result, Senator Jackson scored a victory in November.



Senator Henry "Scoop" Jackson (D-WA)/Fmr. Governor Jimmy Carter (D-GA) - 50.5%, 318 EV's
Fmr. Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Senator Richard Schweiker (R-PA) - 47.9%, 220 EV's
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Mini-Timeline - New History on: May 22, 2016, 11:45:11 pm
1976 Primary Season - Republicans

A surprising and substantial win in New Hampshire for Reagan shakes up history for 1976, where Reagan at every step of the way outflanks President Ford with grassroots organization and sees the Republican Party shift right under his feet. The Ford campaign began falling apart with upset wins in Tennessee, Kentucky, Wisconsin, and Florida.



Former Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA)
President Gerald Ford (R-MI)

1976 Primary Season - Democrats

Carter’s gambit falls flat on its face in Iowa, as he flounders behind more well known contenders. Birch Bayh would win Iowa and Mo Udall would win New Hampshire - causing a split that needed a more moderate voice. Enter: Scoop Jackson, the candidate for the job. His large victory in Massachussets and narrow victory in Florida allowed a whole new world of events to occur. Leading him to build a narrow coalition of delegates that would allow him to win the nomination. Jackson had a strong mix of support - he had the support of labor unions, he bit into the support of liberals in a lot of states, and bit into some of Wallace's southern base with his stance on busing. Udall, Bayh, and Wallace remained strong throughout, hoping their momentum could eventually stop Jackson, but Jackson came away from the primaries with just enough delegates to take the thing away.



Senator Henry "Scoop" Jackson (D-WA)
Congressman Mo Udall (D-AZ)
Senator Birch Bayh (D-IN)
Governor George Wallace (D-AL)
Senator Robert Byrd (D-WV)
Former Vice Presidential Candidate Sargent Shriver (D-MD) - beige
Senator Fred Harris (D-OK) - sickly green
Senator Lloyd Bentsen (D-TX) - Light blue

22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Is Kaine fatigue real? on: May 22, 2016, 09:17:45 pm
Kaine is an incompetent bore. It's like picking DWS to the actual ticket, which is a terrible decision, but I feel like people on the forum justify Kaine's terrible performance as DNC because he has a penis.

Kaine is a bad pick. Only Inside Ball D.C. People really like him, and that's because I assume he's a nice guy.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opinion of Libertarian Pres. Candidates: Gary Johnson, John McAfee, & etc on: May 22, 2016, 09:14:38 pm
McAfee is probably not a good person, but he's a goof. I'll vote Hilarious Person.

Petersen is the worst. He's Erick Erickson's imagination of a libertarian with Ted Cruz's smugness. HP.

Weld is the best.

Johnson is Johnson.
24  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: How would you have voted in the 1996 presidential election? on: May 22, 2016, 08:52:11 pm
Clinton, but Dole is a good man, probably one of the better ones to be a GOP nominee. He doesn't strike me as odious like one of the Bush's.
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton: Polls Showing Sanders Could Beat Trump "Mean Nothing To Me" on: May 22, 2016, 05:20:10 pm
And for a while, Ted Cruz and John Kasich were doing better than Trump in the general election polling.

Do you seriously think either is a weaker general election candidate than Trump?

I'd say Cruz is legitimately weaker.
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