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July 23, 2014, 07:01:30 pm
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News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

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1  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT: Gravis: Daines only leading by 4 on: Today at 05:57:18 pm
Haha!

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/24/us/politics/montana-senator-john-walsh-plagiarized-thesis.html?_r=0

Montana Democrat’s Thesis Presented Others’ Work as His Own
Senator John Walsh of Montana Confronts Questions of Plagiarism

Well, guess that takes care of this polling blip.

Yup, because Rand's plagiarism (which is confirmed, not allegations) has hurt him sooooo much. Mhm. Safe R everyone.
I'm hoping Walsh's team responds well to this. He may not win, but he can make the GOP spend money here.
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Who will win in Georgia? on: Today at 03:13:35 pm
Nunn needs to go on the airwaves immediately. I believe Perdue is broke at the moment and she has $3M+ on hand.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT: Gravis: Daines only leading by 4 on: Today at 02:55:38 pm
Haha!

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/24/us/politics/montana-senator-john-walsh-plagiarized-thesis.html?_r=0

Montana Democrat’s Thesis Presented Others’ Work as His Own
Senator John Walsh of Montana Confronts Questions of Plagiarism
Who gives a flying Flitwick?
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How is Rand Paul going to escape his dad? on: Today at 02:05:09 pm
Rand appeals to a larger swath of voters than Ron did. Ron Paul, as much as I respect and love him, came across as a bit kooky and so wasn't taken as seriously.

Side note, Rand Paul has been doing a good bit of outreach lately. I heard him this morning on Black People Radio explaining his plan for prison reform.
5  Forum Community / Forum Community Election Match-ups / Re: Is the previous poster to the left/right of you? on: Today at 10:56:18 am
Right
6  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: what separates the U.S. from Britain linguistically? on: Today at 10:44:13 am
Rednecks

EDIT: & Freedom
7  General Politics / Political Debate / Re: Why is Meet the Press with David Gregory's ratings so low? on: July 21, 2014, 09:14:44 am
Trolling aside, I think Chuck Todd should replace him, and Luke Russert should take over the "Daily Rundown."
What he said.

The show was rightfully Chuck's anyway. He took over as NBC's Political Director when Russert died, and he should've gotten MTP too? Gregory fails to hold people's feet to the fire, ask follow ups, or hold guests accountable for what they've said and done. That's what Russert did and that's what Todd does.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: A reminder of Joe Biden's group/primary debate skills on: July 20, 2014, 10:50:23 pm
I do fondly remember the time that "Big" Joe Biden humiliated Paul Ryan on national television. But his debating skills do not outweigh his other weaknesses, unfortunately.
If giggling like Cesar Romero's Joker is akin to humilitaing Paul Ryan than, yes, Biden did that.
Denial
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who shouldn't run for president? on: July 20, 2014, 08:39:13 pm
Every Republican aside from Rand Paul.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-WSB-TV/Landmark (R): Nunn (D) with moderate leads over Kingston/Perdue on: July 20, 2014, 03:37:08 pm
What I want is a non-internal poll of this race. The last one we have is from SurveyUSA, which showed Nunn trailing by 6. The internals (on both sides) are showing radically different results from that, and it seems sort of odd that a republican firm would show a bigger Nunn lead than a PPP internal would. Still at Lean R for now. Going to wait for a poll that isn't an internal before totally invalidating SUSA and moving this to Toss-Up.
This is already a Toss-Up.
11  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA-WSB-TV/Landmark (R): Nunn (D) with moderate leads over Kingston/Perdue on: July 20, 2014, 02:59:32 pm
R Based? Really?
There is also the fact that the Kingston and Perdue are hammering each other with negative ads that only emphasize their negatives, causing neither of them to look good and the polls to favor Nunn. Once the runoff is done, I think Republicans will unify with positive ads on Kingston, causing the polls to narrow up. Remember, Georgia is still a red state. Trending away? Yes, especially with a scumbag like Deal, but not quite yet.
Or...
12  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: Who should be the face of the Democratic party? on: July 20, 2014, 12:37:23 pm
Sanders is an open socialist and isn't even a Democrat. God love 'em, but he wouldn't help the party.

Wasserman-Schultz is just annoying and bad at her job.
13  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Question for Chick-fil-A eaters on: July 20, 2014, 11:29:07 am
Chick-fil-A is far better than KFC. They make great chicken without overdoing the grease. But by far and away the best chicken restaurant is Church's.
14  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Ask Rockingham on: July 19, 2014, 03:56:57 pm
Are you a Mormon who suffers from Down Syndrome and has an unnatural obsession with the never happening Presidency of Willard Romney?
15  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Will the Obama legacy sabotage Romney's presidency? on: July 19, 2014, 03:54:29 pm
You're still alive? I honestly believe there's something physically wrong with you.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Carson describes self as conservative independent, not Republican on: July 19, 2014, 01:44:55 pm
NO! That would just hand the election to Clinton v.2 in 2016. He should be Romney's VP, so that he can get elected in 2024.
I don't think Romney should pick a running mate who's even weaker than he is
Private sector experience begets more strength then public sector experience. Obama wouldn't last a month as a CEO. Whereas even a low level CEO could handle the presidency better then Obama has.
Yeah you're right. That's exactly why businessmen have made the greatest Presidents. I mean look at Herbert Hoover. And Romney's tenure as Governor saw Massachusetts place 1st in job growth for 4 years straight.
17  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Ask Gass3268 on: July 18, 2014, 02:23:15 pm
Am I that boring?

I think we all just passed Gass.  Wink
Ha
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: IA-Marist/NBC: More or less a toss-up on: July 18, 2014, 06:07:05 am
I think it tells you something if Hillary with her +10 favorability is leading Bush with his -11 one by only 4 points.

Hillary is a really flawed candidate.

Hillary is not really flawed. Tongue
She is just no Obama. Who was by far the greatest presidential candidate of any party since Bobby & John Kennedy.

Was Obama a better candidate than Reagan? I don't think so. Obama fared pretty poorly among working class whites. Compared to other Democrats, Obama overperformed in the big cities and underperformed in the small towns.
I actually think he was about on par with Reagan. The only reason Reagan fared so much better than Obama electorally is because the country was far less polarized in 1980 than in 2008. And he wasn't black. But mostly the first one.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: The surprises of the Senate elections... on: July 18, 2014, 06:00:20 am
Tennett closes the gap in WV but still loses by a 5-6 point margin and Nunn barely gets 50% in November (the last one's just my hope).
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: Georgia's Very Own Megathread! on: July 17, 2014, 10:28:49 pm
Sabato talking about possible runoffs: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/notes-on-the-state-of-politics-2014-07-16/

If Carter and Nunn forced the election into a runoff, there will have to be two runoffs: Dec. 2 for gubernatorial runoff and Jan. 6 for senate runoff.

Since runoff favors Republican, this would not be an ideal scenario.

Anyway, can Carter and Nunn each win a runoff?

It's not likely. Each need to beat the Republican by 3 or more to avoid a run-off (counting likely Libertarian share of the vote). The Republicans knew what they were doing when they redid the election calendar this year: moving the primary from July to May (to screw Broun) and separating the state/federal general runoffs (to screw Carter/Nunn). We can't even get our voters out for one runoff; look at the difference between the 2008 Senate general and general runoffs for proof. There's more ground game in Georgia right now than in 2008, but I still don't believe it'd be anywhere near enough to win in a runoff scenario. We have to bury the Republicans in November or bust.
So they don't need to crack 50, just to beat their opponents by say a 48-45-7 margin?
21  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: Beltway Hype for Gillespie on: July 16, 2014, 06:06:59 pm
This is getting extremely annoying. I'm starting to think Gillespie is paying of reporters to give him positive press.
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Marist/NBC: Braley and Ernst tied on: July 16, 2014, 04:37:33 pm
If it's a poll of registered voters, then Ernst is probably leading IRL.  Great news for the GOP.

Braley needs to go negative with ads listing all the crazy ish Ernst has done and said.
People who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones.  Braley has said and done some crazy-ish things of his own, so Ernst could easily counter-attack on that front.

Yes, Braley isn't exactly in a good position to attack Ernst as a crazy gaffer.
I'm not quite sure a comment about having a farmer on the judiciary committee and some neighbor's chicken running around your yard is on the same level as saying that Iraq had WMDs 10 years after it's been proven they don't and calling for the impeachment of the President. But that's none of my business...
23  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: CO-Quinnipiac: Beauprez (R) up 1 on: July 16, 2014, 08:06:25 am
Stop
24  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: IA-Marist/NBC: Braley and Ernst tied on: July 16, 2014, 07:19:27 am
Braley needs to go negative with ads listing all the crazy ish Ernst has done and said.
25  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Would the above poster's political opinions be popular in Kentucky? on: July 15, 2014, 09:12:52 pm
Possibly. He seems moderate enough to do well in statewide races such as the Governorship.
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