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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Alternative Elections / Re: House of Cards Election 2016 [S2 Spoilers] on: July 29, 2014, 10:04:43 pm
Was Stamper dead at the end of the last episode?
2  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: YouGov/NY Times/CBS News polls of all states with Gov. races on: July 28, 2014, 10:57:17 pm
Regardless of accuracy of this one poll, you can't deny Foley has the edge as of now.
He's got the edge, but it's still a tossup. Still confident that Connecticut's Democratic lean will pull Malloy over the line in the end like in 2010.

Exhibit A: 2006. A huge Democratic year
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Connecticut_gubernatorial_election,_2006
Rell won in a landslide, and Malloy himself isn't the most popular guy around.
Jodi Rell was never vulnerable at all. She continually polled in the high 50s, low 60s, then entire election cycle. Malloy and Foley have been tied the entire time.
3  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: YouGov/NY Times/CBS News polls of all states with Gov. races on: July 28, 2014, 10:13:56 pm
Regardless of accuracy of this one poll, you can't deny Foley has the edge as of now.
He's got the edge, but it's still a tossup. Still confident that Connecticut's Democratic lean will pull Malloy over the line in the end like in 2010.
4  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: Why is President Obama's approval so low? on: July 28, 2014, 10:11:04 pm
The fact that he's not attempting to get positive media exposure through campaigning as well as general voter fatigue. Edward Snowden's leaks and the Obamcare Debacle didn't help either.
5  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Top 25 animated shows on: July 28, 2014, 08:07:32 pm
Avatar definitely deserves to be on that list. Brilliant blend of humor, fantasy, and action without treading into the full on anime territory.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: Suppose Vice President Biden resigns due to health concerns..... on: July 28, 2014, 07:35:32 pm
My thoughts:
Evan Bayh - non-controversial, experienced, no chance of losing any current senator.
Mark Warner
Christine Gregorie
Evan Bayh was his second choice back in 2008, so possibly. He'd be a noncontroversial pick who might get a bit of Republican support. He's also unlikely to challenge Hillary due to their close relationship during the 2008 Primary and would be an attractive nominee in 2016 should she forgo a run. He's the best pick.
7  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: YouGov/NY Times/CBS News polls of all states with Gov. races on: July 28, 2014, 07:29:25 pm
Isn't this one of these YouGov polls?
8  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: Favourite latest post by previous poster on: July 27, 2014, 03:03:38 pm
It never was a big issue for them. They only started caring about it on January 20, 2009.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls / Re: CNN National: Clinton beats Romney by 13 points on: July 27, 2014, 01:52:40 pm
He also somehow manages to best Obama by a 53-44 margin due to pulling 16% of Democrats, 57% of Independents, & 46% of Moderates. Americans seem to have forgotten why they disliked him and view him through nostalgic rose-colored glasses.
10  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Rasmussen: Carter+1 on: July 27, 2014, 10:16:11 am
And this is with a black sample lower even than the electorate in 2010.
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: How Would Mark Warner Do With the PV/EV If He Is Dem Nominee? on: July 25, 2014, 10:14:59 pm
He'd be great if it turned out he was dynamic and exciting. But with his current personality it's be hard to get Democrats to the polls.
12  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: LA and NC 2014 Congressional Races on: July 25, 2014, 09:55:14 pm
Miles, has Hagan been on the air with any positive ads to build up her brand before Tillis can?
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Election What-ifs? / Re: 2004 Presidential Election: GAME THREAD on: July 25, 2014, 06:26:39 pm
Blanche Lincoln Debate Response
Quote
To All The Candidates, Without mentioning them by name at all, explain to us why you are different from your opponent.
"First if all, I'd like to thank you Gwen, for agreeing to moderate this debate and Case Western Reserve for hosting. It is so good that each of us can get our ideas out into the public conscience and help the voters make an informed electoral decision. It's also a great honor to have a woman moderating. We're in the same boat sister.

On to your question though,I feel the contrasts between our candidacies are clear: Senator Biden and I have actually been presenting plans and ideas to help move this country forward. Now it's one thing to actually run on a platform and another to run on platitudes while pretending you have any idea what you want to do.

Our opponent represents the ideas of the past and nothing but a continuation of the Bush/Cheney Doctrine of invade now, ask questions later. A retread of policies that favor the wealthy and those at the top, while completely ignoring the needs and problems of working families. Senator Biden has spent his entire career fighting for the Middle Class, and in Arkansas I've done the same."


Quote
To All The Candidates, Massachusetts has taken a big step in legalizing gay marriage, what is your position on the matter and should the matter of unions be left to the state?
"What Massachusetts has done is bold, but i'm not sure it's the right choice for the whole country. Senator Biden is a faithful Catholic, and I am a lifelong Episcopal. Our faith informs us and brings us to compassion and acceptance of gay couples; we know from the teachings of The Lord that it is not our place to assign sin or punish for them.

And Senator Biden and I are in full support of the rights afforded by civil unions: hospital visitation, benefits when somebody loses a loved one, the ability to file taxes jointly. But marriage should be left to the states. America obviously is not done discussing this issue. We are immensely supportive of that conversation and encourage all Americans to see both sides before deciding a stance. Otherwise we would be doing ourselves a disservice. We fully support states rights and the power of the Tenth Amendment."


Quote
Senator Lincoln, You and Senator Biden have been critical of the decision to go into Iraq, and argued that you wouldn't have made the decision to go in. Does that mean if Senator Biden were President and you Vice President, Saddam Hussien would still be in power?
"With regards to this question, I regret to inform you that its premise is false. When the Bush administration presented Congress and the public with false information, that information made it completely justified to remove Saddam Hussein from his reckless reign of power.

But Senator Biden was on the Foreign Affairs committee that met with President Bush. The President, his Vice President, advisors, Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld and NSA Rice all lied to the Senators on the committee. To their face.

Look, when a kid spills milk you make them clean it up to learn a lesson. But this isn't just some spilled milk. This is about the lives of our military members, and the Bush administration swindled the country into putting their lives in danger based upon untrue information.

What can be said about Hussein is that his regime kept peace between the Sunni and Shiite factions of Iraq, and without him we are seeing the beginnings of a civil war. Senator Biden and I are the only realistic option to make sure these problems and messes caused by Bush are fixed responsibly with as little loss of life as possible."



Quote
All right ladies and gentlemen, that brings us to closing statements.
"Over the past four years we've experienced a cycle of tragedy, national solidarity, and anger. More than any time in recent history, America's destiny is not of our own choosing. We did not seek nor did we provoke an assault on our freedoms and our way of life. We did not expect nor did we invite a confrontation with evil. Yet the true measure of a people's strength is how they rise to master that moment when it does arrive. But facing us now, in this election, is a choice.

Will we continue on a path of untethered war in far off foreign lands? Or will we put in place policies that invest in the infrastructure here at home? Will we provide cuts and breaks for those at the top who've enjoyed an easy ride from the Bush Administration, or will we help raise the boats of working families everywhere? Senator Biden and I put our money in you, the American people. And in November, we're counting on your vote. Thank you, and goodnight."
14  General Politics / Individual Politics / Re: What would you pick as your campaign theme song? on: July 25, 2014, 12:26:55 pm
Shining Star- Earth, Wind, & Fire
15  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6 on: July 25, 2014, 11:22:33 am
That's way too big a bump to just come from him winning the primary.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Age And Potential Democratic Nominees on: July 24, 2014, 09:54:36 pm
How did the party of some of the youngest Presidents ever elected (JFK, Bill Clinton, Obama) get to be defined by elder statesmen?
2010. It took out a lot of our rising stars and potential heavy weights in 2016.
17  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John Walsh, plagiarist? on: July 24, 2014, 08:04:29 pm
Who cares about plagiarism?

Montana isn't Germany.
Seriously, that will last 1week, and after, nothing more.


No, it is getting play and Walsh bungled his response.  This is probably fatal although I will wait for polling confirmation.
Why did the NYT have to look into this?

Because it raises legitimate questions about Walsh's judgement and character.  Walsh stole a good chunk of his thesis from someone else's work and got a diploma out of it.  I am as bummed about this as any Democrat, but the fact is that this is a legitimate (albeit boring) scandal and the New York Times was simply doing their job by reporting it.  I doubt the red avatars would be calling it a non-story if Daines were the one who did this.  Honestly, Paul (or much more likely someone on his staff) did plagiarize some stuff, but Walsh's was objectively much worse as far as such things go.  I know some of my fellow Dems don't want hear that, but we've got to be objective about these things and politics in general.  Otherwise you'll slowly lose the ability to analyze politics objectively at all and end up like the tea-party (i.e. convinced politicians would win everywhere if only they'd grow a pair and ignore everyone except the activist of your ideological stripe; and then always be shocked when candidates who only try to appeal to people like you lose).  It is a slippery slope once you start throwing objectivity out the window on even minor things in politics.
You're absolutely right, it's just a bummer that this had to happen when he was closing in the polls.
18  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: First Michelle Nunn moneybomb rakes in $$$ on: July 24, 2014, 08:00:30 pm
Colbert-Busch also raked in the money. What matters is how she uses it. Perdue won because he had a far superior ground game to Kingston, Nunn needs to put that money to use recreating the. Obama ground game. I've already read that the local Dems are attempting to use the Obama voter database.
19  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls / Re: NM-Rasmussen: Gov. Martinez (R) fighting for her political life on: July 24, 2014, 01:00:39 pm
Rassy being Rassy.
20  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Congressional Elections / Re: John Walsh, plagiarist? on: July 24, 2014, 11:33:09 am
Who cares about plagiarism?

Montana isn't Germany.
Seriously, that will last 1week, and after, nothing more.


No, it is getting play and Walsh bungled his response.  This is probably fatal although I will wait for polling confirmation.
Why did the NYT have to look into this?
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Past Election What-ifs (US) / Re: Sheer speculation, but how would a President McCain.......... on: July 23, 2014, 08:31:56 pm
Badly
22  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections / Re: MT (2016): Gravis: Bullock (D) in another close race on: July 23, 2014, 08:18:03 pm
I'd love to see Bullock's approvals in the state. Last I checked he was by far the most popular statewide official.
23  Forum Community / Forum Community / Re: What is your dream job? on: July 23, 2014, 08:16:25 pm
It'd probably be to shots a late night talkshow in the mold of Jon Stewart.
24  Forum Community / Off-topic Board / Re: Marvel vs. DC on: July 23, 2014, 08:14:01 pm
DC (normal)

New 52 is awful. I also don't understand why they are forcing Cyborg so much. Why can't we just have a nice, modern origin story with Clark, Diana, Bruce, John, Arthur, Hal, and Barry? Is that too much to ask? Is that so hard to do? The only thing like that I can find is Paul Dini's run, and it is kinda pretentious.
They wanted diversity, though I don't see why they couldn't go for GL John Stewart.

Anyway, DC. Though I do like Marvel's CU, I love the DCAU. I'd love to see a Doctor Strange film from Marvel & a The Flash film.
25  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2014 Senatorial Election Polls / Re: MT: Gravis: Daines only leading by 4 on: July 23, 2014, 05:57:18 pm
Haha!

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/24/us/politics/montana-senator-john-walsh-plagiarized-thesis.html?_r=0

Montana Democrat’s Thesis Presented Others’ Work as His Own
Senator John Walsh of Montana Confronts Questions of Plagiarism

Well, guess that takes care of this polling blip.

Yup, because Rand's plagiarism (which is confirmed, not allegations) has hurt him sooooo much. Mhm. Safe R everyone.
I'm hoping Walsh's team responds well to this. He may not win, but he can make the GOP spend money here.
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