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May 23, 2013, 05:02:27 pm
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News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

  Summary - Craigo Picture/Text
Display name: Craigo
Username: Craigo
Posts: 120 (0.418 per day)
Position: Full Member
Date Registered: August 09, 2012, 01:40:28 pm
Last Active: February 26, 2013, 04:36:09 pm
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Seven Easy Rules for Reading Polls

1. Don't argue with the numbers because they're not telling you what you want to hear
2. Don't ascribe to bias or incompetence that which can be explained by random error
3. Don't use the phrase "statistical tie" unless the horse-race numbers are actually tied
4. Don't divide polls into "right" and "wrong" because the toplines differ
5. Don't assume that house effects are set in stone
6. Don't overreact to any single poll
7. Party ID is for amateurs


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