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1  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Should super delegates be abolished? on: February 11, 2016, 12:21:49 pm
It probably won't ever be necessary in practice, but it might be a good idea to make it an official rule that superdelegates only get a vote if no candidate gets a majority of pledged delegates.
2  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If Hillary wins, what will the "Bernie Bros" do? on: February 11, 2016, 11:24:48 am
Of course they will vote Republican like all that millions of PUMA women did back in 2008.

Oh, wait!

Those in Arkansas did.
3  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Opnion of the Drop-Outs: Carly Fiorina on: February 10, 2016, 06:08:11 pm
Had no business entering politics, let alone running for President.
4  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Sorry, folks, Ben Carson's not going anywhere on: February 10, 2016, 05:23:12 pm
Great news! This reduces Cruz's chance of winning in the south.

Exactly. As if Carson would ever pass on a golden opportunity to get back at someone in a passive-aggressive manner.
5  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Rubio offers explanation for poor debate performance on: February 10, 2016, 04:05:35 pm
Said he didn't want to fight back for fear of hurting the party.
6  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton to Attack Sanders on Israel Record After New Hampshire Defeat on: February 10, 2016, 11:53:36 am
This doesn't even make sense from a demographic point of view; Hillary should be focused on shoring up her "minority firewall" and this is not an issue they have a particular affinity with.
7  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Christie out on: February 10, 2016, 11:41:26 am
I see nothing wrong with doing so, as long as the wiki link provides a source, as it does in this case.

Then link to that source directly.
8  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Christie out on: February 10, 2016, 11:36:43 am

Please don't use Wikipedia itself to "confirm" stuff.
9  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Clinton to Attack Sanders on Israel Record After New Hampshire Defeat on: February 10, 2016, 11:32:01 am
Can you be presidential material if you go unhinged every time you encounter adversity?
10  General Discussion / Constitution and Law / Most consequential Supreme Court justices on: February 10, 2016, 10:50:56 am
I took the Supreme Court database of all decisions since 1946 and gave each justice
  • 2 points for being part of a majority of one
  • 1 point for being part of a majority of two
  • 1 point for participating in an equally divided vote:
and this is what I got:

1738William Rehnquist
1684Byron White
1386William J. Brennan, Jr.
1319Sandra Day O'Connor
1305Anthony Kennedy
1287John Paul Stevens
1276Harry Blackmun
1180Antonin Scalia
1052Warren E. Burger
970Lewis F. Powell, Jr.
941Potter Stewart
896Thurgood Marshall
878William O. Douglas
802Hugo Black
797Clarence Thomas
752Felix Frankfurter
728Tom C. Clark
616Earl Warren
614Ruth Bader Ginsburg
596Stephen Breyer
587David Souter
578John Marshall Harlan II
547Harold Hitz Burton
524Stanley Forman Reed
410Fred M. Vinson
348Robert H. Jackson
336John Roberts
316Samuel Alito
278Charles Evans Whittaker
202Sherman Minton
140Arthur Goldberg
130Sonia Sotomayor
115Frank Murphy
110Elena Kagan
107Abe Fortas
99Wiley Blount Rutledge
11  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Who does Christie endorse when he drops out? on: February 10, 2016, 08:32:01 am
How is Christie's personal relationship with each of them?
12  General Politics / U.S. General Discussion / Re: The eventual fate of Chris Christie on: February 10, 2016, 08:20:49 am
He doesn't seem to be the type to be one of many in Congress.
13  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: What's Rubio's path to the nomination? on: February 10, 2016, 08:17:29 am
Whatever it is, it has to include some debate refresher courses.
14  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 10, 2016, 07:36:51 am
Quote
Harry, I guess I’m a little more bullish than you on Trump, depending on what margins he gets! Trump winning with 25 percent of the vote is quite a bit different from him winning with 35 percent of the vote. And it matters how the other candidates line up. If Trump gets 35 percent of the vote or something and the “establishment lane” is a mess, that’s a really excellent result for him and I wouldn’t be too dismissive about his chances going forward.

^ Nate Silver

Will he move the goalposts again?

As tiresome it is to keep seeing LiefSpear bash Nate all the time, he has been unreserved in saying how good this night was for him: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/republicans-need-to-treat-donald-trump-as-the-front-runner/

When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?
15  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: If it's Trump vs. Cruz... on: February 10, 2016, 06:10:30 am
If it's Trump vs. Cruz, then that means there is no longer an establishment.
16  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Republican New Hampshire primary results thread (polls close @7pm and 8pm ET) on: February 09, 2016, 07:07:38 pm
Decision Desk toplines:

Trump 35.84%
Cruz 15.12%
Kasich 14.94%
Rubio 10.72%
Bush 9.62%

Clinton 36.52%
Sanders 61.98%

Somewhere, Joe Klein is crying in a corner.
17  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Michael Bloomberg Tells FT He’s Considering Run for President on: February 08, 2016, 04:28:52 pm
Transparent blackmail is transparent.
18  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Ted Cruz: American soldiers are "220-pound psychopaths", keep my daughters away! on: February 07, 2016, 03:05:58 pm
220 pounds sounds arbitrary until you realize that's what you get when you convert 100 kilograms. Did Ted Cruz just expose himself as a metricist like Lincoln Chafee? If so then yes, he's done.
19  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Caption this picture from the NH debate on: February 07, 2016, 05:08:52 am

"I find your lack of faith disturbing."
20  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: DWS is sad. on: February 06, 2016, 06:26:54 pm
You'd like to hope she's at least self aware and she's just trolling.
21  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Monmouth: 24% of Trump's supporters in IA stayed home at caucus night. on: February 06, 2016, 05:55:10 pm
"Quelle surprise," said no one ever.
22  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Why is Bernie doing so well in New Hampshire? on: February 06, 2016, 05:38:42 pm
I get that it borders Vermont, but is that really enough of an explanation given how different the two states are on a political-cultural level? One is a swing state with a libertarian streak, whereas the other could pass as a liberal European country.
23  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Now that Paul's out, how are you celebrating the end of libertarianism? on: February 04, 2016, 03:59:22 pm
Rand is not that much of a libertarian, something that would have been more obvious if he hadn't been Ron's son.
24  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Worst slogan? on: February 04, 2016, 03:56:55 pm
Marco Rubio "A new American Century" would be a good slogan if he was running in 1976 or 2000, but doesn't really make sense in 2016

Surely this does not remind only me of the Project for the New American Century?
25  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion / 2016 U.S. Presidential Election / Re: Stop using this as proof that Sanders will lose. on: February 04, 2016, 03:43:52 pm
Anyone with even a modicum of statistical literacy must surely cringe at that image, because it assumes being white and being liberal are independent conditions in a given state.
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